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Yeah, a couple more great presentations and we'll be down to $5.
I'm guessing the recommended stop losses that were suggested several times when it was at $12 + $11 + $10, that were opposed by most are looking like the better play in hindsight now.
Sell, wait, buy back twice as much for the same price.
But almost no one did because they were hyped in to believing the post merger market cap would be close to One Billion $'s.
Been buying more for last couple of weeks. They are giving shares away at these prices. Will be worth a ton. REMEMBER, for every share sold, SOMEONE IS BUYING THEM.
First I'd like to say Happy Holidays to all MRKR owners and I hope 2019 is GREAT for all of us.
But I'd also like to address something if I may.
People on this board want communication and updates and reports and presentations etc. from MRKR.
Understandable, BUT, even if we get them, they are all B.S. and almost meaningless. That is why there is always the disclosure about "forward looking statements".
NO company is ever going to say "WE SUCK" as a company. They are ALWAYS going to put the best spin on it.
How many times have biotechs have poor trial results and then try to spin it into the best possible news?
Even with trial failures it's always "encouraging news" because we identified a "subset" of patients that "may possibly" benefit, blah, blah, blah, that justifies our continued research and further trials, blah, blah, blah.
What else can they do? Shut down and fire everybody? Their jobs and paychecks depend on continuing forward, so they do the "best B.S. spin" that they can write.
THE ONLY THING THAT MATTERS or will ever matter is undeniable positive trial results.
Positive words are meaningless.
How many people on this board expected a market cap of 800 million or 1 billion after the merger based on "words" they read?
YES, MRKR has a "potentially GREAT" technology in the CAR-T space, but so do a dozen other biotechs I can list.
Until MRKR or others PROVE IT in trials, no one KNOWS for sure they will ultimately be successful.
I choose to believe in MRKR, that's why I got a large chuck of $ in it, but me believing in MRKR means nothing.
I don't care about "spin words", I want undeniable positive trial results.
That's what's going to make the share price skyrocket, not "spin words" or great sounding presentations. What CEO in their right mind (if they want to keep their job) is going to give a presentation that is not great sounding spin.
Presentations and expectations are great, but it's positive trial results that matter.
Hopefully we get some in 2019 and beyond.
In an oral capsule form for adults, Vitrakvi will have a wholesale acquisition cost of $32,800 a month for a 30-day supply of 100 milligram capsules. That's $393,600 annually.
One reason the drug is so expensive: Patients who will benefit are rare. Bayer estimates 2,500 to 3,000 patients in the U.S. develop cancer due to a TRK fusion each year.
Shorts just reported, still above 1.4 million shares, no covering.
The majority of the shorts were placed between 10.50 + 12. The rest were 8.50 to 10 range. If we could get the price above 11, 1.4 million shares being bought to cover, price goes higher.
GEEZ - SO CLOSE to my $6.06 limit buy.
Maybe tomorrow.
Next Few Months …..
MRKR goes up to 9.25, then drops to 6.75, then goes up to 9.50, then drops to 7.00.
We pull our hair out, they laugh and make $$$$$.
I think that you are absolutely correct, and that is what has been happening.
But we (TPIV/MRKR) are not alone. There are a number of biotech stocks that "someones" are playing around with, all stocks with small float, low volume, no great major interest, up and down, and up and down, in that trading range that's just big enough so they can pay their trade associated fees and taxes, and still have enough left over for a worthwhile profit.
They KNOW that there are three kinds of basic players in their game.
US, who are either too small or too inactive traders to be able to influence their game.
INSIDERS/VENTURE/INSTITUTIONAL/FUNDS, that are generally "longer" term holders, who therefore will not be actively disrupting their game.
THEM, who know that they are the only active players of any major consequence, so if they work together, each taking their majority profit in turn, they control the game.
UNTIL WE GET:
A Much Larger float available.
Great results from a MRKR MultiTAA T Cell Therapy trial, so that the Marker aspect is given much more regard as opposed to the TPIV side of the merger.
If we get both of those things, we should get a ton more interest, a lot more major buyers and funds buying, and we should finally be able to kick the manipulators and short sellers out of here.
I HOPE
P.S. That's why in an earlier post I said a one billion dollar market cap … around the second quarter of 2020.
The "right to try" law is new, but it has been around for years called "compassionate use". No drug company is libel for anything, every user signs a waiver, they use at their own risk.
I ain't Rockefeller either, but I did meet Nelson Rockefeller when he was Governor of New York.
We are about the same situation as far as shares owned and average price.
I have my investments split between a couple dozen stocks and Florida condos that I rent out.
I just sold two condos last week, so I am looking to put more $ into MRKR.
I already bought once at 6.06, so I'll pick up more there, but if it hits 5.25, I'm going to just make a bet that we are all correct in our assumptions for MRKR's future, and load up in the low 5's.
Good Luck to you.
JUST GET IT OVER WITH …………
Go down to $5.20, let my 6.06 + 5.25 limit buy orders go through, make a strong bottom, and then just start bouncing back up from there.
Hi, I mentioned in post # 25053, on 11/1 that it would not be a surprise if the short amount actually ROSE in the next report you cited.
Thank You
MRKR Market Cap 325 million, WHY?
Read post # 23920 from 6/15/18 which said combined market cap should be 300 to 350 million.
It was "billed" as a merger of "equals" when TPIV was about 60 to 100 million, that would equal a combined 200 million.
But let's say Marker was really worth more than an "equal" 100 million, HOW MUCH MORE and then also, WHY being worth more that 100 million, would they come in as "equal"?
One advantage to Marker, was this merger was an easier way to go public, rather then go through the legal and SEC regulatory route of the IPO. All they need this way was a shareholder vote. No SEC regulatory route.
OK, so HOW MUCH MORE than 100 million was Marker worth?
Now remember, in young, small biotech, value in part, is based on hype and hope.
We have ALL seen biotechs with the latest thing have SPECTACULAR phase 1 results and STELLAR phase 2 results, only to flop and die in phase 3 trials.
So, BE REAL HERE, their success is not written in stone yet.
SO, was Market worth twice as much as TPIV?
Were they worth triple of what TPIV was?
I don't think you can safely say, based on hype and hope and current trial results, that they were worth 5 times or 10 times as much as TPIV.
OK, so they weren't really worth 500 million or ONE billion.
They were worth 200 to 250 million based on what Dozens of other comparable biotechs were at the same stage, when combined with TPIV's 100 million = about 325 million.
ALSO, remember, everybody big just got to buy in at $4 a share, at a market cap of 180 million. 45 million shares X $4 = 180 million market cap.
If, like what happens when a stretched rubber band snaps back, if it gets to a market cap of 250 million, I will just buy more.
I still believe with "realistic expectations" that MRKR will be successful and have a market cap of One Billion, perhaps in the 2nd quarter of 2020.
Normally, it goes like "buy on the rumor, sell on the news", so people bought at $2 "the rumor" and have been selling since the top of $12.50 "the news".
In MRKR's case it's been, "buy on the rumor, then after the news wait a bit to see if all the hype plays out quickly into raising the share price, if not then sell while you still have profits."
I still think it has a good shot at long term success, so if it keeps heading down I'll just buy more in the low 6's and low 5's.
I just closed on 2 of my condos in Florida that I sold to the same buyer. As soon as the check from the title company clears, I AM BUYING MORE MRKR.
None, there is no more TPIV stock, every share was converted to MRKR stock.
Somebody bought 1/2 MILLION shares late Friday and Monday it TANKS!
????????
I wonder if Friday's buyer is happy.
Still got the 6.06 and 5.25 limit buys still in place just in case though.
Hello, Very Well written. I, also am worried about tomorrow, but as Sun Tzu pointed out, if you know what ground you are standing on, you can take advantage if that.
I am for the most part, a long term holder of stocks, BUT I do, if a stock if up a good bit, take 30% or 40% of my position to "stop loss" and then, do as you did, buy more back lower.
I don't find that stressful, I find it rewarding because I'm making extra money. To me, Stressful is just watching it go down without a plan and doing nothing about it.
ABOUT tomorrow, set yourself up to take advantage of the situation.
Do you have extra money?, put in limit orders to buy MRKR and/or others at a MUCH cheaper price just in case it's get crazy.
DON'T have the extra money? Do this? Raise money like this?
Take some stocks that you have the Most Profit in, and enter a "conditional" order, a "one triggers another" order.
Order #1, Put stop losses on stock a, b, c, etc., at JUST BELOW it's current price.
Order #2, Put in limit orders to buy MRKR and/or others at a MUCH cheaper price just in case it's get crazy.
If the first trade get executed, it automatically triggers the 2nd order.
Good Luck
Hi Eagle1, the thing with ONTX right now is based almost solely on their phase 3 trial, this stock will either triple+ rise in price OR you will lose 80%/90% of your money. I don't think there's much middle ground here. It's one of those smaller stock positions that you can afford to take a chance on and lose, because most of your larger investments are in MRKR etc.
The 11-9 date is the dissemination date for the short info settlements ending Oct. 31.
https://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/mrkr/short-interest
going UP on down biotech days.
First a deal with twoXAR, then a deal with KVK Tech, good news on the KP415 Prodrug, setting up good partnerships that will help sales of future prodrugs. BUY now - still CHEAP.
Hi, get info from -
https://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/mrkr/short-interest
The shorts on TPIV/MRKR has gone up Every Single Week since 4/13/18.
During the entire month of Sept., EVERY time we got the price up to $9++, there was selling pressure, some of it I think more shorts trying to keep price down.
We will know latest data on Nov. 9th, it would not surprise me at all if the shorts went UP to 1.5 - 1.6 million shares.
Shorts haven't covered any significate amount since April, and they haven't been covering big in the last 3 weeks when there was big down price pressure. I think all the shorts are still there and have increased.
We will know for sure Nov. 9th.
If there are 1.8 millions shorts on Nov. 9th, that's GREAT, it's just like money in the bank because you KNOW, at some point in time, they will HAVE TO BUY to cover.
P.S. I didn't cover at $6.06, I bought at 6.06 and 6.09 and 6.11 and 6.14, it was only down in that range for less than 2 minutes.
Hi, my logic goes like this.
In mid June price got to 12.50 with 500k shorts.
From then on you had another 800k shares shorted, all between 7.50 + 10.00.
We won't know the new data until 11/9, but most of those 1.3 million shorts are still active. I don't know why but they didn't cover yet, so at some point, they are going to have to admit defeat and cover their losses before they get worse.
As of right now, if all 1.3 million are still short, about 2/3's of them are losing $ or close to losing $ right now.
All we need is a few days of heavy volume up pressure and the short panic will begin.
I really don't think there has been much short covering for the last 3 weeks because the markets been going down, and buying to cover shorts creates upward pressure, and there ain't been much of that.
Most of the shares that were shorted before 9/28/18 (which is most of the shorts), were shorted between 10.50 and 12.25, so once the price gets to 10.50+, that should trigger the first wave, and by them buying to cover, that sends price up to 11.00 to 11.50, which sets off the next wave, and etc., etc., all the way until about 13.00 to 13.50, then it should settle back down to around 12.50 …. or at least that's the plan.
There's something happening here,
BUY Now before the news comes out.
A VERY Bright and Profitable future for MNOV, BUY in now while it's still undervalued.
A VERY Bright and Profitable future for KMPH, BUY in now while it's still way undervalued.
One day of Heavy Volume and HHPHF could be at $7.50 in the blink of the eye. Buy CHEAP now and hold till that happens.
If you don't BUY ATNM before December 1, I think you're going to be sorry.
Just another $1 up and the price will start to push shorts to cover all the way past $12. Need buying pressure with heavy volume, I hope.
Always followed what NEA, Baker Brothers, Sabby Management, Blackrock, Dr, Phillip Frost, and Renaissance Technologies are up to.
MRKR HIRING:
Executive Assistant to the CEO
Project Coordinator
Clinical Project Manager/Director, Clinical Operations
Scientific Editor
Scientific Writer
Scientist/Research Associate – Assay Development
Scientist/Research Associate – Immune Monitoring
Scientist/Research Associate – Process Development
Manufacturing Supervisor
Gotta spend $ to make $
NEW VIDEO:
BUY more now, before it's too late.
BUY more now, before it's too late.
BTW, just in case the market REALLY does NOT like the election results on Tuesday.
IF we get a big sell off, then the computers and algorithms will kick in and just make it much worse,
So, just in case, if you have any extra $, put your limit buy orders in ahead of time to take advantage of any major sell down.
Got mine in.
Thank You - that answered all of my questions.
Good to go, hopefully to $15 soon.
Just got to get the short sellers to have to buy to cover.
What did Baker Brothers pay per share?
How/Why does John Wilson wind up with 8.25 million shares?
Almost as much as New Enterprise Associates.
And Why don't I see Peter Hoang owning any shares?
You would think he got something out of the deal.
Even on a good up day, volume still very light.
Need good up days on continued heavy volume.
And insiders can't sell until 180 days from the closing date of October 17, 2018. So that's mid March until those shares can even hit the market.
AVXL is a sleeper - STILL CHEAP - BUY NOW - HOLD