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Bakken report release Thursday
The Forum
Published Tuesday, April 08, 2008
BISMARCK – A federal report on how lucrative potential oil production is in the Bakken Shale formation will be released Thursday.
Sen. Byron Dorgan, D-N.D., and the North Dakota Industrial Commission have pushed the U.S. Geological Survey for nearly two years to complete a new study of the Bakken, which underlies western North Dakota, eastern Montana, southern Saskatchewan and southwestern Manitoba.
Dorgan and other North Dakota officials sought the new study because a previous USGS study in 1999 was never released when its author, Leigh Price, died before it could be peer-reviewed. Price estimated the formation holds up to 400 billion barrels of oil.
By contrast, the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge is estimated at 16 billion barrels.
Dorgan said he and the USGS will hold a briefing Thursday.
Dorgan spokesman Justin Kitsch said it is likely that the USGS would make the full report available on its Web site the same day.
Don Canton, a spokesman for Gov. John Hoeven, noted that the North Dakota Division of Mineral Resources’ Oil and Gas Division is also doing a study of the Bakken formation that is specific to North Dakota’s geology. The results will be released at a Williston Basin Petroleum Conference in Minot on April 28.
Ain't there yet.
I've been gone for a year and your still behind me.
How about under 45??
It is a new platform Waterhouse has. Well they had it for about 8 months now. I was wondering if you tried it. I haven't
Ear on the Street
Antrim Energy (AEN : TSX : $4.24)
2007 year-end as expected
Canaccord Adams maintains "buy", 12-month target price is $7.50
Akela Pharma (AKL : TSX : $1.22)
F07 better than expected
Paradigm Capital maintains "buy", 12-month target price is cut to $2.50
Bronco Energy (BCF : TSX : $13.50)
Option value remains
RBC Capital Markets maintains "outperform", 12-month target price is raised to $19.00
Baffinland Iron Mines (BIM : TSX : $3.14)
Closed financing
Raymond James upgrades to "strong buy", 12-month target price is cut to $5.00
BlackWatch Energy Services (BWT.UN : TSX : $0.64)
Q4 lower than expected
Blackmont Capital maintains "sell", 12-month target price is $0.70
Calfrac Well Services (CFW : TSX : $22.76)
Downgraded on relative return
RBC Capital Markets downgrades to "underperform", 12-month target price is raised to $20.00
Enerflex Systems (EFX.UN : TSX : $10.79)
Upgrade on valuation
RBC Capital Markets upgrades to "outperform", 12-month target price is raised to $12.50
Eastern Platinum (ELR : TSX : $3.01)
Lower-than-expected production in the second half of 2007
Raymond James maintains "market perform", 6-12 month target price is $4.20
RBC Capital Markets maintains "outperform", 12-month target price is not given
Extract Resources (EXT : TSX : $1.00)
Sold 17.5% stake in Kalahari Minerals
Paradigm Capital maintains "buy", 12-month target price is $2.05
Flint Energy Services Ltd. (FES : TSX : $19.42)
Upgrade on rolling forward valuation
RBC Capital Markets upgrades to "outperform", 12-month target price is raised to $26.00
First Majestic Silver (FR : TSX : $4.18)
Closed equity financing
Blackmont Capital maintains "buy", 12-month target price is $8.50
Genesis Worldwide Inc. (GWI : TSX : $1.15)
Announces Ukraine licensing agreement
Canaccord Adams maintains "buy", 12-month target price is $3.00
High River Gold Mines (HRG : TSX : $2.47)
Q4 a bit weaker than expected
RBC Capital Markets maintains "sector perform", 12-month target price is cut to $3.50
HSE Integrated (HSL : TSX : $0.90)
Q4 revenue higher than expected
Blackmont Capital maintains "buy", 12-month target price is $1.65
Katanga Mining (KAT : TSX : $14.85)
Lowers F08 production guidance
Paradigm Capital maintains "buy", 12-month target price is cut to $25.00
Lake Shore Gold (LSG : TSX : $1.75)
Strong exploration results from Thunder Creek
Raymond James maintains "strong buy", 6-12 month target price is $3.25
MEGA Brands (MB : TSX : $4.39)
Plenty of toy business concerns
RBC Capital Markets downgrades to "underperform", 12-month target price is cut to $3.00
Mecachrome International (MCH : TSX : $9.65)
F07 in line
RBC Capital Markets maintains "outperform", 12-month target price is not given
Moly Mines (MOL : TSX : $1.73)
100% increase in Spinifex Ridge Tonnage
Paradigm Capital maintains "buy", 12-month target price is cut to $6.00
Metallica Resources (MR : TSX : $6.15)
To be acquired by New Gold
Blackmont Capital maintains "buy", 12-month target price is $7.25
Madalena Ventures (MVN : TSX-V : $0.60)
Drilling on the TT-2 well starts
Blackmont Capital maintains "buy", 12-month target price is $1.10
Newalta Income Fund (NAL.UN : TSX : $17.75)
Upgrade on rolling forward valuation
RBC Capital Markets upgrades to "outperform", 12-month target price is raised to $19.00
New Gold (NGD : TSX : $7.13 | AMEX : US$6.97)
Three-way merger provides liquidity to sell into
Raymond James maintains "underperform", 6-12 month target price is $5.00
New Millennium Capital Corp. (NML : TSX-V : $1.90)
Increasingly positive industry fundamentals
Raymond James maintains "strong buy", 6-12 month target price is raised to $2.90
Osisko Exploration (OSK : TSX : $4.60)
Scoping study results released
Paradigm Capital maintains "buy", 12-month target price is $7.20
RBC Capital Markets maintains "outperform", 12-month target price is cut to $7.75
Precision Drilling (PD.UN : TSX : $23.09)
Downgraded on relative return
RBC Capital Markets downgrades to "sector perform", 12-month target price is raised to $25.00
Pacific Rubiales Energy (PEG : TSX : $1.44)
2007 year-end as expected
Canaccord Adams maintains "buy", 12-month target price is $2.35
Pason Systems (PSI : TSX : $15.00)
Upgrade on rolling forward valuation
RBC Capital Markets upgrades to "sector perform", 12-month target price is raised to $16.00
Pure Energy Services (PSV : TSX : $4.92)
Upgrade on rolling forward valuation
RBC Capital Markets upgrades to "sector perform", 12-month target price is raised to $6.00
Red Back Mining Inc. (RBI : TSX : $7.31)
Q4 down on one-time hedge charge
Haywood Securities maintains "sector outperform", 12-month target price is $9.75
Reitmans (Canada) (RET.A : TSX : $18.48)
Q4 preview
RBC Capital Markets maintains "outperform", 12-month target price is $22.00
Research In Motion (RIM : TSX : $119.23 | RIMM : NASDAQ : US$116.27)
Verizon launches EV-DO Curve
RBC Capital Markets maintains "outperform", 12-month target price is not given
ShawCor Ltd. (SCL.A : TSX : $29.19)
Upgrade on implied returns
RBC Capital Markets upgrades to "top pick", 12-month target price is $38.00
Saxon Energy Services (SES : TSX : $5.89)
Downgraded on relative return
RBC Capital Markets downgrades to "sector perform", 12-month target price is raised to $7.00
SFK Pulp Fund (SFK.UN : TSX : $2.06)
Departure of CEO
Dundee Capital Markets maintains "neutral", 12-month target price is $3.25
Solana Resources (SOR : TSX-V : $3.32)
TransAndian pipeline fixed
Blackmont Capital maintains "buy", 12-month target price is $4.00
TransForce Income Fund (TIF.UN : TSX : $7.75)
Reorganization proposed
RBC Capital Markets maintains "outperform", 12-month target price is raised to $9.50
TransCanada Corp. (TRP : TSX : $37.19)
Acquires U.S. assets for US$2.8 billion
Canaccord Adams maintains "buy", 12-month target price is $45.00
RBC Capital Markets maintains "outperform", 12-month target price is not given
TVA Group (TVA.B : TSX : $16.00)
Issuer bid to repurchase shares
RBC Capital Markets maintains "underperform", 12-month target price is $17.00
Uranium One (UUU : TSX : $3.24)
F07 loss due to higher operating and capital costs
Canaccord Adams maintains "buy", 12-month target price is cut to $6.58
Paradigm Capital maintains "buy", 12-month target price is cut to $6.75
Raymond James upgrades to "outperform", 6-12 month target price is cut to $4.40
RBC Capital Markets maintains "sector perform", 12-month target price is cut to $4.00
Don't you trade through Waterhouse?
Have you tried the active trader platform? If you did is it any better than webroker?
Peter Hodgson from Sprott says he has been buying GCE as fast as he can.
Says that they will make between 2 and 3 bucks a share.
http://broadband.bnn.ca/bnn/?sid=205&vid=43078
starts at the 20 munute mark.
Don't know. Just heard about them this morn. Listened to half your favorite show. Going to look into them though.
WES looks like a good one to watch for a turn around.
I only got to listen to half the show.
Interesting thing he said about oil not coming down and potash being over bought and anyone wanting to get in should wait for a good 20% pullback.
As far as the real estate, I only heard the first half of the answer to the first question.
How far has realestate dropped since 2006?
The builder guy says 16 - 25% in some areas but much more in other areas. Or something to that effect.
Well some poeple out here where I live went through the big D and they had a property there that was valued at a mill three a few years back. They ended up selling it for $350,000 about 5 months ago.
I see that they have archives. Will isten to the rest this week.
Average cost of a bungalow in Vancouver is $872,000
Hi Novo,
Thanks for the info but I have no interest in investing in oil at this time. I'm interested in Coal miners that mine coking coal. And Iron ore miners.
Ya that's the golden rule.
I've been good. But may turn bad again and hafto leave!
Yep.
I'm sayin' that I don't want to pay a site that tries to put spyware on my 'puter
Options are the best way I know to loose your money real fast!
ROTFLMAO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
It has options too !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Internet Hoax Gooses Stock Market
posted on: April 01, 2008 Font Size: PrintEmail Traders woke up to a pleasant surprise on Tuesday morning, with equity Futures strongly higher. CNBC anchors were exuberant as previous earnings and credit fears melted away.
The cause? An internet April Fool's hoax that backfired.
Dedicated short fund manager Doug Kass, of Seabreeze Partners Short LP, put out an early morning, tongue-in-cheek commentary, titled Time to Buy the Bull? The long time Bearish market pundit and writer for The Street.com and Real Money announced that he was raising his year end price targets for the S&P500 to 1,666, which would reflect a yearly gain of 26%.
The Financial press read the commentary literally. The WSJ announced "Bear Flips Bullish!," causing equity futures to rally. CNN Money covered the joke as if it were a real news item, and Marketwatch declared "Short Seller Starts Stock Rampage." Barron's headline read "Longtime Bear Tosses in the Towel; Says New Bull Market is Upon Us."
Bloomberg's data service ran a full news alert, specifying the details of the longtime Bear's hoax, without recognizing it wasn't real:
- The writedown of toxic paper throughout the world's financial system has dramatically overstated the severity of the credit issue.
- The major money center banks and brokers will be a contributing factor to a surprising 25%+ rise in corporate profits.
- Shares of financials, which have been unfairly targeted by the short community over the last year (monoline insurers, banks, brokerages, etc.), could double in price by year-end.
- Oil prices, stimulated almost entirely by managed commodity trading funds and hedge funds, are destined to drop below $50/barrel by year end.
- The U.S. economy will avoid recession, as housing has definitely bottomed;
Bloomberg failed to note these comments were all in jest, adding to the upwards market pressure.
The veteran fund manger had assumed that readers would get the April Fool's joke -- but never imagined it would go over the heads of veteran financial writers.
Shortly after the open, US equities were in a strong rally mode. The Dow was up over 230 points, and Nasdaq had gained almost 2%, up 50 points.
The short seller issued a sheepish mea culpa that morning. "I apologize to my partners, and to my friends, and especially to the SEC, for whom I have the greatest possible respect. I never intended markets to be manipulated in this manner. I was only trying to make some traders, who have been having a tough year, break a smile...
One part of the joke turned out to have a surprising result. As part of the April fool's joke, Kass announced he would host a new CNBC show, called "The Mad Bull," at 4:30 p.m. EDT daily and after "The Closing Bell." CNBC program director Bill McChesney said that the station had already test marketed the idea, and the show had a very enthusiastic response. The program "The Mad Bull"
http://seekingalpha.com/article/70771-internet-hoax-gooses-stock-market
I just posted the Ultra short US financial one. Same deal 200%. Looks like they track together.
SKF
Is that just Canadian?
When the banks start lending to other banks over night instead of having to go to the fed, Then that will be a beginning. When they have more cash than debt, then you can say that they are finally getting a hold on their troubles. And how many banks will fall before all that happens? The banks have no money and a few billion isn't going to help them.
We'll see. I don't think so for one minute.
I still haven't recieved my present.
LEH. Their turn may be next.
Will listen,, Thanks for the link.
So I guess they aren't going to mine any coal?
I don't know. Ya think a guy should pratice the ol' draw before going down there?
Give me a few weeks notice when you are coming and sure I'll meet for a beer.
So far I've been looking at Texas and Arizona. Someplace where it is warm when it is cold here.
Can get a decent 3 bedroom house Double attached garage for under 70 grand.
No. After that happened I was kicking myself... Should have seen it coming with their two failed hedge funds last summer.
I don't think that is over yet. A few more may fall.
I've never played golf in my life.
I may buy some US real estate in the coming year.
I've been OK. Not much new out here. Was snowing here yesterday. all I've been trading is options for the last 8 months or so. Looks like Coal is ready to take off again.
How you been?
Can't post there I don't have a subscription. I'm not sure if I'm going to get one just yet.
Shazam! Canaccord Adams has increased its coal price forecasts. Australian newspaper The Age reported last week that
Canadian juniors are settling interim 2008 coking coal prices of US$225/t for coking coal and US$190/t for PCI coal:
"Provisional price settlements are made by the smaller coking coal producers when there is no benchmark agreement between
the big producers and steel makers, as is currently the case. The provisional settlements revert to the benchmark prices once a
deal is struck. The expectation is that after a provisional price is set, the benchmark price will generally be higher." While the
details have not been confirmed to us by any of the junior coal companies, we are inclined to believe it is probably true. The
same newspaper article reported trade press rumours that Xstrata is demanding US$300/tonne. Benchmark price negotiations
between the major suppliers and Asian steel mills are dragging. Canaccord Adams is increasing its benchmark 2008 coal year contract price forecast by 30% to US$250/tonne (up from US$175/tonne) or hard coking coal and by 52% to US$190/tonne (up
from US$125/tonne) for ULV PCI coal.
Did they ever put out that coal report?
Scam unit zeroes in on manipulators
JANET McFARLAND
Sunday, July 08, 2007
In a surveillance room at the Ontario Securities Commission, a team of investigators is processing public complaints, monitoring Internet chat sites and skimming newspaper ads in an effort to shut down a booming business in stock frauds.
The new scam unit marked its first success last week, receiving a temporary cease trade order involving two Toronto-based companies – Al-tar Energy Corp. and Alberta Energy Corp. – and 10 people allegedly related to the companies.
The order says the individuals will not be able to buy or sell shares of the two companies for 15 days while the investigation unit probes allegedly improper share sales to the public.
Scott Boyle, assistant manager of investigations at the OSC and head of the new unit, said cease trade orders will be the unit's first line of attack to try and shut down boiler rooms and other scams quickly before more victims are targeted.
A cease trade order prohibits individuals from trading securities in Ontario, making it impossible for them to place buy or sell orders and manipulate stocks for a scam.
“We want to get all of the people that are involved in this, including the people that are on the phone,” he said. “We want to make it as unpleasant as possible for those people taking this kind of employment. Because what we're seeing is the same individuals moving from one boiler room to another.”
The scam unit was set up this spring after the OSC saw the number of individual stock frauds climb steadily between 2001 and 2006, said OSC enforcement director Mike Watson. In the late 1990s, the OSC shut down a host of penny stock schemes at small brokerage firms targeting individual investors.
“This kind of activity is sort of like a virus,” Mr. Watson said. “Eventually it will mutate and find a way around the cure that you've imposed, which is essentially what has happened here.”
The new unit will target two types of fraud.
One is the traditional boiler room, where scammers rely on a series of phone calls to victims to convince them to mail in money to invest in unknown penny stocks.
Those scams tend to be somewhat impersonal, often targeting baby boomers in their forties and fifties who have $5,000 or $10,000 available to invest. While e-mail spams touting stocks are often used as a supplement to help pump up stock prices, boiler rooms usually rely on phone calls.
The other type of fraud is a more personal, one-on-one scam. In many of these cases, someone infiltrates a tight-knit community, such as a church group, often building the trust of members and extracting far larger sums of money. Seniors are often victims in these cases, and the scam typically spreads as victims unwittingly recommend the fraudulent investment to others in their group.
“Sometimes they'll initially target the minister at a church, because he's a really good guy to have onside,” Mr. Watson said. “He makes a bunch of money up front and says to everybody in the congregation what a good buy it is.”
The scam unit already has most of its six staff in place, and has a half-dozen cases under investigation.
To identify cases, the unit will rely primarily on consumer complaints, Mr. Watson said. Increasingly, he said, members of the public will call the OSC while a fraud is ongoing and the people involved have not yet disappeared.
“A lot more people who get approached on these kinds of things recognize it for what it is and phone us and tell us,” he said.
In addition to public complaints, the OSC team is also monitoring Internet chat sites devoted to penny stock investing, and is probing newspaper ads touting dubious stock deals.
Once a scam is identified, the investigators work to figure out the identities of the people behind it, which typically involves following the money trail. Victims write cheques that must be cashed somewhere, and investigators then have to follow the movements and transfers of the money to try to find the owners of the accounts.
“Someone has to pay someone, someone has to rent the premises, somebody has to rent the cellphone. All of that information we are able to use in our investigation.”
The OSC's enforcement work is not a perfect solution, however, because the commission does not have authority to impose jail sentences. Ideally, municipal police forces would also pursue frauds, Mr. Boyle said, but they rarely do.
“Typically, and unfortunately, many municipal police forces don't have the capacity to take on these types of cases, or the expertise. That's part of the reason we wanted to form this unit, so we could develop some expertise in this area.”
Mr. Watson said a cease trade order can still eventually lead to jail terms. If an individual breaches a prior cease trade order, the OSC has the option of laying quasi-criminal charges in provincial court, where jail sentences can be imposed.
Mr. Watson said it is also difficult to recover funds on behalf of victims. The OSC can seek to freeze bank or brokerage accounts, but the money is generally moved too quickly.
“In the vast majority of these situations, once you invest your money it's gone,” Mr. Watson says.
Total talk lifting oil sands target
Friday, June 15, 2007
Investors are snapping up shares of Western Oil Sands Inc. Friday after published reports in France linked Total SA, Europe’s No. 3 oil company, as gearing up for a possible run at the Syncrude oil sands partner.
The stock is trading at $37.51 on the TSX, up $2.01 or 5.6 per cent, giving the company a market value of $6-billion.
The jump isn’t all that surprising because Western Oil put itself on the block last February, when the stock was hanging around $30.
I think that this is the bad part of any water purification system.
It’s very pure. We remove viruses, bacteria, moulds, funguses, those sorts of things, as well as the organics in the solutions. But it will not remove things like salt and irons that are inherent in the water, so we do have to further treat that water to get it to the same sort of standards that are currently available.
If they found a way to leave the water natural like spring or well water.
There was a public spring out right on the side of Hiway 7. People were getting their drinking water there for over 15 years.
Last year Health Canada shut it down.
So is it OK with the tree huggers to use them for ethanol, But not to build houses?