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It's like AMRN is in pre IPO status these days with current PPS. BP and major institutions ( maybe one in the same in this particular case) are circling the wagons and musical chairs slowly plays until possible R-I interim look. When the music stops, the PPS pops to the $10-100 figures that we've all hashed out based on projected sales.
Hey Raf, here's your true worry and cold sweat dream from your previous post with disclosure of "Near 0% chance of it happening but imagine this scenario"
Apple having to design a Bat Phone for the FBI/NSA/CIA.
Thanks Pitt, I read the thesis and say this. 967 events is plenty to figure out where we're headed with the remaining trial participants. We're not dealing with toxicity issues and such. Safety isn't an issue. Besides CVD reduction, people are unknowingly benefiting from other positives associated with EPA, as touched on this site over the few years courtesy of Zum and others. Bummer for the placebo people. IMO, great interim efficacy results and Vascepa will have earned it's stripes from FDA boot camp. The meter maids at the FDA can go chalk some other tires for the rest of the year after R-I interim...... It's Metaphor Monday:)
I will chime in Kiwi with a comparative example. Did you read The Big Short or see the movie? Berry and like minded individuals saw the light at the end of the tunnel that was the tsunami of defaults on the horizon. We here see the light that is EPA and it's multiple benefits about to become game changing in healthcare. We buy and wait. So to your Vegas reference- no diversifying for me- I'm all in and have been for 2 years. One ticker only on my phone. In some twisted way, I have gained a little more patience over the last two years. Wouldn't and couldn't have done it without all members here on ihub.
Cheerio (someone else would have given you the same posting nickname in time) is coming with the goods. Succinct and locked in. I've read your posts on stocktwits as well. Glad to have you also. As you know, we're in countdown mode around here- just without a specific date of when the clock reads 0.00 and the corks pop.....I think Kiwi has already ordered a California license plate RRR 15 in the special throwback black and yellow letter combo we can get here now.
Uh oh, feelings are hurt. I don't recall a warning months ago. Aren't you supposed to say "stay thirsty my friends" after every post?
Probably a safe assumption Raf. That means you could start a new efficacy model with the earliest interim date of 2/2/16 now. However, low odds that JT purchases the day before possible interim date. So 1/11 date is no longer of use to us anymore in computation talks.
Maybe it's patronizing but who cares. I'm glad you stuck around. Two weeks ago you were supposedly gonzo. I'm going to enjoy the next 30 days of opinions between you and the Usual Suspects.
I will admit HD that his 23 posts in the last 3 years are of more substance than my 95 in the last 6 months. That being said, to talk about any percentages below 15% at this stage is going backwards from the last year and a half. I also know who is valued on this board and who isn't appreciated. No need for a pecking order or ladder system this far into the journey. I've taken my 6 off ignore because it's all just fodder until interim, BO, or..fill in the blank.
Raf/ Bi, stop the semantics with these convoluted calculations and 1/1000 guesstimate ranges. It's dizzying at best. How about dissecting potential 2/17 letter content instead? We already have a decent grasp on efficacy models presented over the last year. Bi seems late to the conversations. You don't need to hold his hand.
"Proceed With Confidence" says it all!
Top left corner of Reduce-It page. Great one page source of info. Game on friends.
Just buy yourself 300 shares instead. Baby steps
Main, we've seen this movie before with BB. His feathers get wet and he needs a little time to dry off. Mercurial sums it up best. He'll be back. Just a little ticked off at congress( who isn't these days) with regards to the AMRN/FDA gong-show. It's understandable to have disappointment over the years.
All this waiting has forced me/us to become more patient. Tolerant? No, There's still a few yardbirds here that chime 3-6 word posts who are useless. I believe every conceivable combo of R-I numbers and dates have been levied and now we're waiting for the DMC smoke signal at the Vatican.
DM, clearly there is some type of agenda with regards to his incessant regurgitation of questionable R-I success. I've been a daily reader of all posts here for the last few years and I've identified certain "people/alias" as "rinse and repeat" and he falls into that category. To beg that you please don't keep asking the same question is the biggest joke of all. All Kiwi does is repeat his combative stance with Vascepa success along with statins. Again, who spends quality time on this board for sport with no financial gain at the end of the day? It just doesn't add up. As for me, I can't add any scientific or mathematics to this board just some sarcasm and defense of valued posters such as Zuman. I'll use my 3 posts a day to back Zu anytime anywhere. . It's not Koo-aid induced either. It's respect for his consistent help and genorosity.
Not sure who has the bigger set of blinders on. Your "docs" or you? For them to throw an arbitrary 10-20% number down says they gave about 10-20 seconds of thought to the whole R-I study and it's potential. I'm fully content to wait and see this all play out in the next few months. I'm just not buying what your selling us on this board. Never did. Back to ignore.
As they said on CNBC, some people look through different windows with regard to current PPS. Let it pop in a binary event fashion at the interim/RI announcement and see a simultaneous short squeeze as well.
Kiwi, Most likely these 38 posters all have skin in the game and are invested. At this stage in the game ($1.27 buying opportunity for you last week) you may be the most passive aggressive I've ever read. Are you capable of timing the market low for the sake of pennies vs. dollars?
Certainly the mood around here has been pretty sour lately and for good reason (short term only imo). However, February is approaching along with a specific date 2/17 and possible other events to look forward to (NCE, interim?). PPS is just a manipulative game it seems now and a risky "in and out" environment with pending news on the horizon. I know I'm stating the obvious to most here. If a buyout were to happen upon impressive interim numbers in the next 1-5 months then Mog's worrisome dilution talk is moot. Does he have greater insight than anyone else or is it just being controversial for the sake of it? After all, he hasn't even been posting here 6 months.
Still don't know why some are so adamant that there will be no interim stoppage? BP wouldn't want to proceed pronto with impressive numbers >22%? All we have is time to ruminate until told otherwise.
Kiwi, it's been a head scratcher for awhile now with your constant attention seeking posts from the sidelines so I had to figure out why and I did a Google search not on kiwi the fruit (too easy) but the bird.
"The Kiwi birds have many weird and and wonderful features thanks to New Zealand's ancient isolation and lack of mammals." " Kiwi are flightless. They belong to an ancient group of birds that can't fly- the ratites." "A single roaming dog can wipe out an entire kiwi population in a matter of days."
Well folks- that about sums up it up regarding his AMRN position or lack there of.
I'm all in Fishy. Admittedly just being sarcastic to the few that troll spewing the same rehashed fears from the past. The ones who can't muster up more than a six word essay. I remember all the delisting talk and the countdown days when we were sub $1.00 I believe in the risk/reward theory on this one and have added recently.. I can't say this enough. People like you, Louie, Zu, JL, HDG, Marzan, could, Sam, north, BB, and a few others along the way have kept this board of Longs grounded and focused. Great DD by all for years now.Thank you all!
Fishy you nailed it. I'm going to CC: this to doga, freak, Mog, Kiwi, AF, and ....fill in the blank, so they can read and re-read and commit to memory. There's really nothing else to say from the dark side.
Freak the moderator. What a disconnect.
Attention all shorts: the current ask of $26.25 is approaching and IMO a legitimate price to completely take us out of our long positions sometime in the near future. Your time to accumulate pennies down here is borrowed time just like your short positions. Tick tock.
Garbage in garbage out
Get back to watching Price is Right and re-runs of Sanford and Son.
For someone who has been here for 4 months you probably have accomplished your boss's goal of getting under most people's skin. So kudos to you. But he keeps giving you the same memo points and you're running out of regurgitated lines and hypothetical examples. No mas. The game is up. "Carry on my wayward son. There'll be peace when you're gone....don't you cry no more."
Whatever you say Mr. Moderator
Pitt, it's obvious there is no pertinent background to him. Just an intolerant poster who can't do a little filtering of his own and size up this board for what we are. His I told you so attitude wears thin in this patience test we all are in. I doubt any of us have sold on his fear mongering, so I question his use of time here. It's all innuendo until our shares are removed in the form of an undisclosed BO. Tic, tock sums it up best.
Oh great sage, I'm still under your spell. Give me an "ah ha" statement. I just bought 2,000 shares today at 1.53 and have been long for longer than you've been poking around this pretty astute group assembled here. It's been a dollar cost average thing for awhile, admittedly on the way down these past few years. That being said, the overwhelmingly number of posters opposed to your repetitive rants here at this point in the game understand what is left to occur. Your Johnny come lately attitude has worn thin. I took you off ignore just for a little sport. A key word in all this is "Binary" and most here have come to understand that type of investing situation we're experiencing.
I'm throwing in the towel oh great swami. Please tell me what to do on Monday and for the rest of my life. I need your guidance. Your trance has worked.
More info for our PCP to order the EPA/AA lipid panel on all future check ups. Eventually it will become standard operating procedure I'm guessing. Thanks Zu
Good going Biobluntanair. Rattle the cages and shake the trees.
And you're listed as a moderator on this board? I don't get it.
Awesome Benny! I'm saving this story in my EPA/ Vascepa arsenal. Great contributions today from the crew. Thanks you guys
All alone in your cubicle with only a small group to reach out to. And your boss thinks he's going to singlehandedly move the market by us all selling? Be sure to add +1 on the Vegas invite so he can come. Can't decide if I should refresh my ignore list. It is a bit of comedy on such a quiet posting day.
Do we refer to it as the EPA: AA ratio or should it be the AA:EPA ratio when in discussion?
JL, what will most likely be used in the medical community 0.0625 or 16:1?
Let's all try and get on the same page with the EPA/AA lingo. Bio's last paragraph in his post was indeed confusing and his reply even more so to north4000. High EPA/AA shouldn't lead to CVD.
We are all striving for a high EPA/AA ratio, correct? For the medical experts here- what is considered a good ratio number? What are extremely low and unusually high (if possible)?
This apparently is needed info to communicate with our own doctors going forward. Thank you.
Hey lad, what is the movie you reference while you've been in your rabbit hole these past few months? One guess., "The Prince of Darkness"
Bull, I hear you. I was sarcastically trying to state that our core group here probably don't know too many Vascepa docs yet who would have the time, etc to blindly write a Rx. It's hard enough to get one in person according to some reports here. I do hope she gets in touch with one doc down there that gets it.
Bull, any PCP can write your "friend" a prescription. Come on, your 1% ownership clout doesn't afford a local doctor who you can extol the virtues of Vascepa to? Every adult knows some type of Doctor these days but not many who arbitrarily write a prescription to a complete stranger? Are you serious?