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Here are some winning trades from AF... as I said he bashes small bios and loves over priced stocks.. Here is a brief history..
Do the exact opposite of what Adam says!
On November 19, 2008 Adam wrote and article slamming the company GNVC.
http://www.thestreet.com/story/10448931/1/genvec-stock-hit-by-pancreas-studys-details.html?puc=_tscrss
On November 20, 2008 I bought GNVC at .48, doing the exact opposite of what he says.
On January 23, 2010 GNVC hit 3.20........... a 667% RETURN!
I wonder what your return would be if you followed his his advice of what to buy over that same time period versus doing the exact opposite of what he says?
This guy sucks, questionable timing as the Bio Party Pooper
I have never studied law, but if a guy with no technical background can be a biotech analyst then I might as well become a lawyer. Seriously this guy is not qualified to really write about the stuff he does as if he understands it. He might have a better understanding than the average Joe, but it doesnt matter since all his stuff seems biased. I dont really think he personally financially gains from the crap he spews out, but its not impossible that someone higher up, like say the Chairman of thestreet.com or others affiliated with them might profit directly or indirectly.
If he had general calls that were negative that came out say at a time when there was no news in the stock and it was relatively tame that would be one thing, but its usually timed when a stock has really run up on some news, he comes out at that time and essentially bashes it. Its like he is the bio party pooper lol. I seldom see really good reviews from him, its mostly negative, and again timed very close to when stock have run really hard and would be vulnerable to negative news and be a good short for.
Hard for me to believe this guy is not biased somehow. I will hold him down while Cameron takes his shots haha.
Is he fit to write anything on BIOs?
Most of the companies are run by well qualified scientists and administrative personal.
Prior to commenting on anything, the guy should be either qualified or experienced on the Subject matter. Adam has neither of this traits.
In my opinion he and his boss Jim Creamer uses the Media & CNBC to AMASS wealth at the expense of ordinary Joe.
One should NOT take the opinion of such people very seriously, since they are NEITHER QUALIFIED or EXPERIENCED on the subject matter, that means they are AS IGNORANT or MORE IGNORANT THAN YOU!!
Best to ignore such unqualified people's comments and use your own Judgement and review for your advancement.
GOOD LUCK!
And Finally this article...
Posted by Posted by VFC on Jun 12, 2009
a moment of boredom I came across the latest release of 'the Street.com's Biotech Mailbag,' a biotech column where readers interact with the host, Adam Feuerstein, by sending in questions about biotech stocks which Feuerstein answers in the form of his column.
I used to follow the mailbag every week, just as I used to watch Jim Cramer's CNBC show 'Mad Money', but it didn't take me long to realize that both Cramer and Feuerstein had their own agenda- and looking out for the little guy wasn't part of it.
Cramer is great at explaining the intricacies of the market in his books, but his TV show has become a platform for lunacy and his "BUY BUY BUY" rating on a stock is usually the curse of death for that particular stock.
Likewise, Feuerstein has been dead wrong more often than not (although I haven't been keeping up with his column, so his record for being right may have improved) and he has cost the small investor big gains because of his failure to even remotely entertain an opposing view to his. He reminds me quite a bit of Keith Olbermann- someone who likes to hear himself talk, but fails to recognize that there is an opposing opinion to his.
When investing in biotech, it's best to look at both sides of the story and place your buy/sell orders accordingly. However, taking a small amount of money and, after some Due Diligence, placing it on a long shot that has a chance, as Dendreon (DNDN) did (twice), an investor has the chance at realizing substantial gains.
Feuerstein misses that point and instead of advising investors to do their own Due Diligence, he'd rather them just read his column and take his opinion as the holy grail. That's not looking out for the little guy, and I'm sure glad that I did not heed his advice when I, as a small investor just getting started in the biotech market, would have missed the boat on quite a few stocks that have realized substantial gains after he wrote them off.
What's comical about his latest column is that when asked about his constant sceptical opinions, he writes:
I do love a good bear story, I must admit. Journalists are natural-born skeptics, and the high yuck factor in biotech only exacerbates the condition.
So he's a journalist now- he says so himself.
The problem with 'journalism' today is that the so-called journalists have forgotten that it's not all about them- it's about the audience. The journalist is supposed to report the facts and the let the audience base an opinion off of those facts. An accompanying commentary isn't a bad thing, but both sides of the story need to be entertained.
Feuerstein, like NBC, doesn't get this; They think it's all about them. Rather than giving an unbiased report on a stock or news item, the likes of Feuerstein and Keith Olbermann (we'll use him as an example to represent NBC), would rather tell the audience what to think than to feed them enough information to come up with an opinion of their own.
In the investing world, an investor can ill afford this and the time spent reading a Feuerstein column would be better spent researching the market or looking for a better source of unbiased information.
Someone who reports opinion over fact, is far from a journalist, especially one that is a self-proclaimed skeptic that likes a 'good bear story'. That means that he is more likely than not to take a possibly good bull story and swing it into a bear story to suit his own satisfaction- and that can cost potential investors a lot of money.
Investors, do your own Due Diligence. That's the name of the game. Period.
From Yahoo Listen to Adam F at your own Peril . He has been spectaculary wrong on many occasions.
Lesson Learned--
Three years ago I bought $20,000 worth of PCYC at $2 a share. Had done tons of research and felt it was a very good buy. One day, some SA article came out or Adam F. made a negative comment and it went down to $1.20 (OUCH!) Then it slowwwwly climbed back to $1.60. Suffice to say that when it went to $4.00, I let my fear prevail and I sold 9,000 shares, figuring that my risk tolerance was 1000 shares. When it hit $119 the other day BE ASSURED that I was happy to still have my position, but SERIOUSLY BUMMED that had I stuck with my original "plan" I'd be celebrating with a drink and my family (at my expense) on the beaches of Caneel Bay, St. John!!!!!!!! I believe in INO, and while this hit stings, I am STILL looking forward to celebrating at Caneel and am willing to wait this ONE out. Holding onto my 20K shares LONG AND STRONG!!! :) Best of luck to all the other longs out there
New article...which might be the reason shares jumped to 3 last week..
Inducing humoral and cellular responses to multiple sporozoite and liver stage malaria antigens using pDNA
Infect Immun. 2013 Jul 29. [Epub ahead of print]
Inducing humoral and cellular responses to multiple sporozoite and liver stage malaria antigens using pDNA.
Ferraro B, Talbott KT, Balakrishnan A, Cisper N, Morrow MP, Hutnick NA, Myles DJ, Shedlock DJ, Obeng-Adjei N, Yan J, Kayatani A, Richie N, Cabrera W, Shiver R, Khan AS, Brown AS, Yang M, Wille-Reece U, Birkett AJ, Sardesai NY, Weiner DB.
Source
University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine, Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Philadelphia, PA, USA, 19104.
Abstract
A vaccine candidate that elicits humoral and cellular responses to multiple sporozoite and liver-stage antigens may be able to confer protection against Plasmodium falciparum (Pf) malaria, however, a technology for formulating and delivering such a vaccine has remained elusive. Here, we report the preclinical assessment of an optimized DNA vaccine approach that targets four Pf antigens: circumsporozoite protein (CSP), liver stage antigen 1 (LSA1), thrombospondin-related-anonymous-protein (TRAP), and cell-traversal protein for ookinetes and sporozoites (CelTOS). Synthetic DNA sequences were designed for each antigen with modifications to improve expression, and were delivered using in vivo electroporation (EP). Immunogenicity was evaluated in mice and non-human primates (NHPs) and assessed by ELISA, IFN? ELISpot, and flow cytometry. In mice, DNA+EP delivery induced antigen-specific IFN? production as measured by ELISpot and IgG seroconversion against all antigens. Sustained production of IFN?, IL-2 and TNFa was elicited in both the CD4+ and CD8+ T cell compartments. Furthermore, hepatic CD8+ lymphocytes produced LSA1-specific IFN?. The immune responses conferred in mice by this approach translated to the NHP model showing cellular responses by ELISPOT assay and intracellular cytokine staining. Notably, antigen-specific CD8+ Granzyme B+
Celtic you are a smart man. Disregard the trolls who prey on others misfortune. That is especially true of those who fail to do their homework. A person who has done the research does not panic.
Anyone who is invested in INO should watch these two videos.. Investor Interview with Dr. Kim
Basically because the laws in this area, due to first amendment rights are very clear. If you put out an article like they did on S/A look for two points. One he is declaring he's short and secondly look for the word opinion. As long as you say that you can pretty much say anything. Unfortunately this is how it is. Many have tried defamation suits and this is the result. You can't prove intent. The articles themselves are not relevant they are used by Hedge funds and groups of traders to initiate short positions (attack) in this case and use the articles as cover. Motley Fool does the same thing. The sites don't care because they know that the law suits won't stick and they drive traffic to their sites which is really what they want...
Potential Pfizer (PFE) Pennsylvania Meetings Generating Increased Institutional Interest Vanguard is buying possible Merck partnership... take your pick
Tom I traded SPEX today they have less than 2 million shares in the float. It is not about which is better it is about momentum. Once day traders get involved with these low float stocks they go crazy..
Really disappointed with the trading today... I called Cliff early and he said the court decision did not warrant a press release. Sold my trading position after he said that. Still have long-term core will watch for trading opportunities again. Could be some margin call buy-ins tomorrow.
Lots of shorts under water now... at the $5 area most will be ... margin calls are going out today
IBH
With the risk of getting involved here. I think you are misunderstanding Post's comment. He is not saying you are wrong about the numbers. He is actually saying you are most likely correct BUT the order does not specifically say that and until it does there is a question mark?
His position is valid for how he trades and you are right to assume your position in how you trade. You are taking the risk in your assumption he wants to be sure, there is no reason to argue here. It is a matter of perspective.
I am not implying anything about a takeover on VRNG in fact I do not beleive that to be the case, at least I see no evidence of such.
It's the cockroach theory ... find one and you know there is a lot more
In a word Tob yes. I re-established a trading position on the USTPO news. This got it on my radar. We present trading ideas every day and as you know traders don't care about fundamentals, rulings etc they care about price and volume and resistance levels. This has started to stir. The short situation adds to the intrigue. Technical levels are being broken which is all positive. Next key resitance is the $4 -$4.40 area. A break there and the old highs are in play.
I presented the case in both groups it is on the radar. Some have taken positions, more on Friday's bump. Monday will see another increase in positions which will garner more interest. This is being played out on many boards. Even here on IHUB this board:
http://investorshub.advfn.com/ORIONS-Portfolio-Money-Making-Stocks-12753/
Has VRNG as one of the top plays, Twitter, Stocktwits all massive increase in interest, the volume will explode Monday..however caution is warranted because there will be games played, negative S/A articles etc. so be forewarned... this is not going to be a straight line.
The USTPO news in my mind pushed the needle to the buy side, Friday's news added to it. Now we could get a rr announcement at any time. Why would a person continue to be short here? The short thesis has worked for nine months it no longer makes sense.
Think about this. These cases are only the ones who were caught. The SEC does not have the funds nor the manpower to monitor all the activities. It is far more prevalent than you think.
Thanks ARP I also enjoy reading reasoned intelligent posts not drivel. It does not matter that I agree. I like to see some thought behind the words.
Sorry that is not true , there are plenty of leaks Dell moved before an announcement so did Heinz... I could name many more
The government accused SAC Capital Advisors LP of presiding over a culture where employees flouted the law and were encouraged to tap their personal networks of contacts for inside information about publicly traded companies.
The result was "insider trading that was substantial, pervasive and on a scale without known precedent in the hedge fund industry," the indictment said.
Informed investors start accumulating positions well before the retail masses get wind of it. It is impossible to have tight info there are so many people involved. Smaller companies are easier to get knowledge of takeovers than larger because compliance is not as robust.
Here is a page from the SEC on recent cases look at the number ...
http://www.sec.gov/spotlight/insidertrading/cases.shtml
A couple of examples:
Hedge Fund Analyst and Two Others – SEC charged a California-based hedge fund analyst with insider trading in advance of a merger of two technology companies based on nonpublic information he received from an executive at one of the companies. The executive and another trader also were charged in the $29 million
scheme. (3/26/13
Suspected Insider Trading in Heinz Stock – SEC obtained an emergency court order to freeze assets in a Swiss-based trading account used to reap more than $1.7 million from trading in advance of a public announcement about the acquisition of H.J. Heinz Company. (2/24/13)
Thailand-Based Trader – SEC charged Badin Rungruangnavarat and obtained an emergency court order to freeze more than $3 million in profits he made from insider trading in advance of a Smithfield Foods acquisition announcement. (6/5/13)
Nice chart from Stocktwits, weekly chart...
Note MACD moving up similar to the run from under a dollar to $5.73
http://stocktwits.com/message/14975532
Yes they do but the market always knows this ahead of time. Check virtually any takeover and you will see volume spike and price movement well ahead of the announcement. I would think that if an actual takeover was being executed the mm's would know and this stock would be significantly higher. They would be squeezing the shorts big time. Not seeing that yet....
Yes but Mr Arper in your own words you cite continued uncertainty as to what rate he is going to use and I agree. The stock price moved from around $3.20 to $3.74 A/H close. The re-evaluation will continue Monday with an even higher number. The market re-pricing and lowering the risk component is a fluid situation. It actually started with the big run last Friday. The risk/reward scenario is clearly moving to the buy/long side as I see it. Once again if this is the only news we get tomorrow the stock price will rise and then pause. Could go up/down from there depends on many factors, ( shorts, mm activity TUTS decisions on future expectations etc)
Bottom line stocks and markets in general move well ahead of tangible events.
Well there are rules in takeover disclosures and no one has a position large enough to date
1. Disclosure of Information
A person acquiring or disposing of 1) shares, 2) share warrants, or 3) convertible securities which can be converted into shares of companies having their securities listed on the SET or MAI, or of a public limited company, must file an acquisition or disposition report (form 246-2) to the SEC within the next business day when such acquisition or disposition causes the aggregate holding of the same type of security to reach or pass a multiple of 5 percent of the total number of the issued securities of the business.
While the judge does not specifically cite 20.9% he does not cite Google's figure either. You are waiting for clarification I get that. The judge would have most likely cited a lower number because it is an important consideration if he felt it was warranted. I don't know what he will do and as a long I do care about this. As a trader I only care what the collective market does. I have a long-term position (sub $1) that I will not move until all the judgments are done and I have now re-established a trading position. As a trader the market is my judge.
Once he rules, the pps will reflect his ruling.
Keep waiting for the judge to put a bow on it. The market is going to price in their expectations. If they (market) collectively feels it will be 3.5% then the price won't move much if at all from here. If they think it could be in the 5-7% range as Ravicher does then it goes higher and possibly significantly so due to the short situation. Guesses are a dime a dozen. Watch the real live trading and the answer is right there.
Feisty this is absolutely huge news and certainly not in the public conscience.
That lack of protection may be the reason that Vringo and Nokia Corporation (NYSE:NOK) may be in the crosshairs for both Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) and Google Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG). Apple's most complete protection would be to get Vringo and Nokia, but it likely had to discuss Google's plans for Vringo first. Will Google grab Vringo and thus force Apple to get Nokia for protection, or can Apple make a play for both? After all, Google doesn't really need Nokia Corporation (NYSE:NOK) since it bought Motorola Mobility earlier this year and has that substantial portfolio.
News flow will start tomorrow. Vringo will provide a release to acknowledge the Pacer filing. We will probably see some S/A articles good and bad .
if he issues an enhanced RR it will be "in accordance with case law, precedent, and Fed. guidelines".
Ok Understood .. the trades that you see are not all the trades those are the last 100 trades. If you look near the top you can select the trades every half hour 4-8 pm, if its important.
He doesn't have to wait 15 days, he can rule at any time. Someone mentioned that his schedule is clear August 1-6 so he may take the opportunity to wrap this up by Tuesday.
VWAP trades and late prints would have been lower not higher but they are clearly marked and they do them early A/H they don't affect trades near close.
Go through the trades here: You can see every trade
http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/vrng/after-hours
Realizer I just want to point out one thing from your chart. The big spike over 5 and back down was definitely shorted down. Here is where we disagree if you look at your chart you will see 4 waves down from the $3.54 area. These waves indicated the price was shorted down from there. This is why I believe the bulk of the retail shorts occured below this number. This is also the reason every time until late Friday the stock got close to $3.50 it was shorted down. Now we have a break and we need follow through, with volume. should this happen there will be many shorts underwater but not all. My pea brain comments.
Cheers
Not sure what you mean re A/H trades. I was watching and there was real trading going on. A couple of big orders filled. The $3.50 -$3.70 range was last seen in November. Technically it is very bullish. One thing we can agree on is that it will open higher, what happens after that will depend on many factors. It could run or could be subject to some limiting trading factors (ie mm activity , shorts actions)... tbd...
Agree Post but I am saying this trades higher with the news we have right now....additional news would make this into a silly trader like STXS, USU etc..
You are right IBH the Judges statement reflects on the amount of the interest not the rate. Some people want to continue to play devils advocate. The lower rate was never accepted at trial there is no basis for it.
The further we get from the $3.50 - $4 area ( the range where I think shorts get uncomfortable) those that are short and margined will be receiving calls. They can put money in their accounts to make up the deficiency or they can buy back shares. Most will opt for the latter. A squeeze may or may not happen it depends on whether everyone is running for the exits at the same time. You also have to combine this with new long accumulation. Those that do scans on stocks breaking out will find Vringo also, many chat rooms momo players ( I am in 2 and we are all going in Monday) will be buying, TUTS are becoming more comfortable with the story and may dip their toes now. Also when/if this gets over $5 even more TUTS who are prohibited from buying will come in. The short/long debate clearly was in the shorts favor (primarily because the legal process is unpredictable, in terms of time, and most people lose patience) The events of the last few weeks indicate to me that the story favors the long side. Tobinator gives a good analysis on this. The short position is the greatest ever and the enthusiasm to buy long is building here. The balance is clearly to the long side. Let's see what Monday brings.
True enough. However if a person is interested in buying shares, waiting for the Judge to put a bow on it and confirming 20.9 ( which you seem to agree is the most logical %) will cost you a higher pps. This is something people have to weigh in their own minds.
Great Summary .. Can we get the mods to make this a sticky? Excellent
Don't forget Tesla.. they have been shorting since $30 and have been totally destroyed..even BBRY was shorted heavily last September at $6 went to $18 in 3 months ....This is the year of short destruction lets add another log to the fire...
Most Read Boards on IHUB...
1 Vringo, Inc. 54,374 VRNG 3.535 0.325 10.12% 5,062,669
Multiply this by activities on Stocktwits..Vrngfreeboard and many private boards and you will have a surge of buying on Monday. This is what the shorts have to contend with. It is their own fault however that they chose to be more aggressive when the tide turned. This is similar to max pessimism and capitulation selling when a stock is about to change course. Look at Groupon last year massive sell volume and went to $2.60 within 9 -12 months up 400%.
Don't beat yourself over that. Hindsight is always 20/20. Obviously, when you know what has happened you make the right move always. What is important is to try and understand what is going on in the moment and act according to all available information. When you do that you should never have any regrets
Cheers
News regarding today's pacer document will most certainly be on the wires for Monday's open. There is no point putting this news out late on Friday.