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In case you didn't know, not everyone reads the charts the same way. It's as much an art as it is a science -- but I stand by my analysis 100%. Now let's take a closer look at what was said here...
First, the way a trend line is drawn has absolutely _nothing_ to do with what the MACD is showing. Trend lines are drawn based on candlestick patterns, and absolutely nothing else. Maybe you meant to say that a trend line isn't valid without some level of MACD confirmation? Still, I don't agree at all -- a break in trend is a break in trend, period, regardless of what the MACD is showing. The trend in the candlesticks is a million times more important than what the MACD, MAs or RSI are doing. Remember "the trend is your friend"? Truer words have never been spoken.
Even though you disagreed with my analysis in your first three lines, your fourth statement says that you are in agreement with my statements (that we could be seeing a reversal soon.) So which is it? You seem to simultaneously agree and disagree with me at the same time.
Lastly, an examination of the chart shows many instances of where DROP traded right through the 50DMA with no resistance. The 50DMA is clearly not a particularly important MA to look at here. If I must provide evidence to show this, I will -- but it is all there for everyone to look up quite easily. However, the 30 week MA clearly been a more significant MA to look at, as you can see it acted as strong support or resistance near the end of Oct '11, middle of Jan '12, late Oct '12, and now. Also came quite close to it in Apr '12 and Jul '12. The only time we ever shot right past this MA was on very heavy volume about 2 months ago.
In short: DROP trades through the 50DMA like a hot knife through butter -- which means it's hardly as important as you state.
To be frank, this was a relatively nonsensical post. I don't take too kindly to someone implying that I severely botched my analysis either, especially when it appears that you're the one who is guilty of that.
Oh well, at least we agree a reversal is likely to come here.
Thanks for the weeklys. I agree things are looking good on that chart. The 30 week MA has definitely acted as strong support/resistance in the past, and I find it very unlikely we will drop below it anytime soon. Now here are the dailys:
As you can see, today we broke out of the wedge I mentioned a few days ago. Since these are the dailys, we probably need to wait until next week to really confirm, though. This would be very bullish.
Also, you can see we are still inside a longer-term uptrend, as I mentioned before. I see very, very little downside here when you look at both charts as a whole. When the drops start popping up on store shelves, watch out.
It appears that the massive hammer that printed yesterday has not gone unnoticed. (Daily chart showed a large "hammer" candlestick, which is bullish and signals a reversal.) If this continues, the short-term chart will show that we are beginning to break out of a falling wedge we've been in for about a month (bullish as well).
I originally believed the downside could be as low as .13-.14, but after yesterdays action I highly doubt we'll see those levels. If we can make it to .19 and close there (or higher) sometime this week that would be big, and we could retest our short-term highs in the coming weeks.
When the news finally breaks that product is on the shelves at Dicks, I think we'll get another boost. I do think there are some people who honestly don't believe it's going to happen.. just like those who thought EJ was a phony product.
One other FYI on the chart -- we are still inside of a longer-term uptrend that began back in August. Higher highs, high lows, all is well with the chart.
Lastly, we are higher now than we were when the 10-K hit. Everyone already knew about the warrants and revenue figures, so the only real news that was in there was actually positive. It is nice to see that reflected in the share price. Let's hope it keeps going.
I always thought an "AMD sufferer" was someone who used a computer with an AMD processor instead of one made by Intel.. Sorry, as a computer hardware enthusiast I could not resist.
Anyway, I have to say that the 10-K was more positive than I expected. I knew there wouldn't be much in the way of revenue.. But, the hiring of a sales team, the progress made with Macular, and the mention of ads coming via TV and/or radio is definitely nice to see.
Also, just an FYI but the the Fuse VZ twitter account is *extremely* active, and is up to almost 8,000 followers now (which is much more than the "official" account.)
I think you meant "sub-zero".
So are you going to wait until the pps hits "sub-zero" before you sell? A very smart strategy indeed.
Shore, I honestly don't blame you at all. Years of working on very powerful computers with 24"+ screens make a "smart"phone feel pretty useless to me. If I need to do something when I'm "on the go", then I am definitely going to open up a laptop instead... but I still feel like I have one hand tied behind my back while using one of those compared to a desktop. I really don't get how people can stare at those tiny screens all day (and this is coming from someone who has owned 4 smartphones.)
Anyhow, as for the 10-K, it will be interesting to see but it really isn't extremely important to me right now. Things are still very early, and I am definitely waiting around to see how things develop in the next 6 months or so (I am particularly interested to see how Mission is going to come into play here.) I will be a buyer if there is a sell-off due to DROP not meeting some silly revenue expectations.
Exactly. That is why I think it's OK that Tiger isn't on the front of the drop box -- I will be shocked if there isn't a large photo of Tiger on the display case.
Short-term uptrend was broken last week, so it's no surprise that short-term players are locking in their 50+% gains. Everything is fine. 800k shares isn't exactly big volume. People just want to get back in a bit lower.
I think many of you underestimate how big the energy drinks market really is. Maybe this will give you some perspective:
Monster comes in roughly 30 different flavors, and has hundreds of athletes endorsing them. This is just but one of them. (Another one, Rockstar, has almost 20 different drinks and countless athlete endorsements as well.) I have seen displays that contained hundreds, perhaps thousands, of energy drinks in a single location -- some of the larger convenience stores have energy drink sections that are bigger than the beer section. I am talking floor-to-ceiling displays that are 10 to 15 feet wide. This really is a gigantic market.
I will also say something that might be surprising (or maybe not): The average teen or young adult does not give a flip about the amount of caffeine in these energy drinks, and these are the people who are buying these products in droves. The media likes to make a big deal about it, and more health-conscious individuals will take note of this as well, but as a whole I don't believe that we are a particularly health-conscious nation. Especially the younger (and wilder) folks who often consume these energy drinks (and sometimes curiously mix them with alcohol..!)
Let's also remember that a lot of people drink these for the same reason they drink a Coke -- they want some caffeine/energy, sure, but they also simply enjoy drinking it. This is one aspect we have to consider, one that Fuse's DROPs will not be able to benefit from. I'm not too concerned here, as the DROPs are something that you can carry in your pocket and take absolutely whenever you need it, and this is something you certainly cannot do with any Monster or Rockstar. So the type of use we're looking at is clearly different from the energy drink market.
Since I am roughly half the age of many of you, I probably have a different view on this market than some of you, so again I am offering my perspective. I have personally known people who have heart conditions and still drink energy drinks anyway, and I also know teens who would rather drink Monsters than get drunk (and to me, that is a good thing.) Any form of media hoopla is not going to make these drinks disappear.
So how does Fuse fit in? I believe their product packaging/website/logo design/etc are all appealing -- these brands they're creating have a nice modern feel to them which will appeal to a wide range of consumers. I can tell you that 5 Hour Energy is one of the last things an 18 year old skateboarder is going to pick up -- it simply isn't "cool". The design team Fuse has hired has done an excellent job at creating brands that will be appealing to the younger generation, IMO. The older folks are a bit easier to please -- 5 Hour's packaging just isn't hip, and frankly isn't that professional to begin with at all. I do feel that the only reason they have such a large market share of the "energy shot" market (NOT the energy "drink" market, where they are not a player) is because there really isn't anything else out there that directly competes with them in the pocket-sized "shot" market (until now...)
So, I firmly believe there is plenty of room for Fuse, especially due to the uniqueness of the product, and because it will appeal to more people than any other energy product. Yes, I do believe that. It appeals to younger folks who want to try the latest and greatest energy product, athletes and health-conscious individuals who want "safe" and effective energy, and to those who are on the go and cannot lug around a 20oz Rockstar with them all the time. What other product targets all of these types of consumers? None that I am aware of.
That was one long post...
As they stated in the PR, shipping would be begin "the week of the 10th". Technically, that meant that shipping might not even begin until tomorrow. However, they came out and said they had begun to ship product on Wednesday. But that doesn't mean every single order was shipped out in a day -- remember, they are shipping product to retailers too, not just the orders received on their website.
I really don't know why some of you expected to receive the product literally 1 or 2 days after the soonest possible shipping date.
Anyway, I hope it arrives in time for you to give one to your friend.
Everyone needs to remember that virtually no one has had the chance to try the drops yet. Once people do receive their orders, and are satisfied with the results, then you can expect real sales. Word of mouth combined with in-store displays is how these products are going to take off. People want to hear from their friends about how great a new product is, and to be able to buy them at local stores so they can have it NOW. Frankly, the softlaunch numbers just aren't very meaningful. (athough I do appreciate the work that Russmeister did with tracking down all those orders.)
Another thing we need to remember is that EJ was not available for the full 3 months of Q4 FY12. The numbers from Q1 and Q2 of FY13 will be much more interesting, and will finally give us a glimpse of how well EJ is penetrating the market, as well as some data from drop sales at the in-store displays at DSG.
If we had 6-figure sales in Q4 FY12 (ended Sept 30), then I would be ecstatic. I am looking more for the 65-75k range, and I would be happy with that. Things are still very, very early here, and the fireworks won't start until we get a lot more displays at stores like Dick's, CVS, etc.
It sounds like very few people on this board drink energy drinks, and some haven't even heard of the most popular brands.
For what it's worth, I do enjoy drink energy drinks on a regular basis. Rockstar, Monster(original) and NOS are my favorites. Still, the Fuse drops are also very interesting to me.
I like drinking energy drinks for the taste just as much as the effects. Additionally, I also drink 2-4 cups of coffee a day, so I am certainly an "energy junkie" (sadly, I had to part with my SBUX yesterday.. it was just making me too much money, and I decided to lock in those gains.) The sugar content and the like isn't something I am concerned with.
In regards to the price, $3 for a serving is totally in-line with the competition. The typical energy drink ranges from $2 to $3+ each, while premium coffee often runs $5+ per cup. I don't see any issues with price -- especially when you have the advantage I discuss in the next paragraph...
One of the biggest positives I'm seeing is that you could carry around one of these small DROP ampules in your pocket and not even notice it. It's there when you need it, wherever you are. You sure won't see anyone with a 20oz Monster in their pocket, and even 5hr could be a bit too bulky for some as well (especially when you already have keys/phones/wallet/etc.) Monster does make screw-top versions of their drinks, and this is of course targeted at people who are on the go. Again, it still means you'd have to lug around a 20oz+ can.
Now, there is another energy "shot" I have tried, and I have to say it is the most puzzling to me: 5 Hour Energy. I am someone who consumes basically every type of energy product out there, but this is one that I don't touch. It just tastes absolutely terrible, and for me doesn't work as well as advertised. The first time I took one I fell asleep about 30 minutes later... so, I am not too sure what the hype is with this product.
So, I thought I'd offer my perspective on the product, since I feel like my views are quite a bit different from many of the regulars here. The Fuse products are definitely appealing to a wide variety of people, health-conscious athletes and energy junkies (me) alike.
As long as PowerFuse actually tastes good, I would be happy to add it to my repertoire.
Well, that is nothing to get excited about, but Amazon apparently isn't something they're really focused on right now anyhow. EJ is being sold in numerous online stores, and of course hundreds of GNC locations.
Sales from these sources are not going to show up as trackable order numbers on the poweredbyfuse.com site, which some people like to monitor, and so I believe sales for EJ should show very solid growth. FUSE already stated that repurchases exceeded their expectations.
Seriously, has anyone ever seen a product(EJ) that received such rave reviews...? No other product in it's category on gnc.com is close, and there are many products which have been on the GNC site for many years which only have a handful of reviews. The FUSE products are indeed something that people get excited about it. Contrary to what one poster stated, I do feel that the FUSE logo is very cool and attractive, and the designers they have used for the website/EJ/etc have done a great job (unlike the "Warrior HP Energy", or whatever it was, that featured label designs from the 1980s)
On a side note, I am limited to only one post per day, thanks to our lovely neighborhood administrators. So, if you ask me a question I will not be able to respond today.
You do realize there are 3 individual servings contained inside the box, right? You make it sound like they're putting 1 serving in a box just for the heck of it.
I would like to see how your chart shows that the "uptrend is over".
After finding the bottom at around .10, we've been seeing nothing but higher highs and higher lows. That is the definition of an uptrend. The previous long-term downtrend was solidly broken and is history.
Maybe you're only looking one or two weeks ahead, but most of us here are investors, not traders, and we're looking a lot further ahead than that.
You nailed it. While nothing is an absolute certainty, these two scenarios you described are pretty much exactly what I believe is likely to happen.
IMO, if we can close solidly above .22 then we will see .30s very soon. This would take us above the 200MA, and we are also breaking higher out of the top of a short-term trend that started in August.
Just for the record, the last time I was posting my charts here they showed the way from .20 to .35... but this time, we actually have products that are rolling out. Looking good...
I haven't taken the time to post my charts here, for various reasons that many are probably aware of. All I can say is that things are looking very good, and waiting for .10 or .15 again is very likely not going to work.
Thanks for the links. Fortunately, I believe that Warrior Energy is absolutely nothing to worry about. Their product isn't being sold in any major retailer as far as I can tell, and they have absolutely no one on board for endorsements. Also, compared to EnerJel, the Warrior Energy product packaging/labeling looks like something from 1985. Certainly not very eye-catching at all.
Oh, and unfortunately for them, there is already a more well-known energy product out there which is called.. you guessed it.. WARRIOR ENERGY (an energy drink.) http://www.drinkwarriorenergy.com/
Yeah I thought it was quite interesting. I know I don't post much on this forum anymore (I think the old timers here know why) but I am still long DROP. Can't wait to see that 10-K.. I believe the numbers will be very positive due to the sales via GNC.
Has anyone seen this site?
http://www.fusevzla.com/
It is apparently the site for Fuse Science Venezuela. It has exactly the same look and feel as the US site, but seems to contain even more information -- the PowerFuse and ElectroFuse link actually works (but it brings you to a page with another image they released months ago), and it shows T-shirts and hats as well.
I apologize if it's been posted before, but I can't do a search since I'm not a paid member. I'd personally rather see them putting this extra effort into enhancing the "real" Fuse site and/or doing more marketing here in the US.
I am 100% with you on this one. I would rather watch the grass grow than watch a soccer game -- literally. It is so dull. Fuse is going after athletes in what they feel are the most important sports to target, and I think they're doing an excellent job.
DROP is looking great today once again, and it is quite apparent that the .10-.11 area we were bouncing around in was a bottom.
That's right. Maybe people should wake up and realize this is the real world, not absolutely everything is going to go 100% according to plan -- that's not how it works for ANY business. Yes, it's taking a bit longer than some of us had hoped, but it is happening. The bottom line is that they are getting it done.
Everyone knew there was more dilution coming. Thankfully, the number of O/S is still very low for a pink. Take a look around -- most pinks end up with 500m - 1bil or MORE and that's why they never go anywhere. We're still under 200m, and revenues will be climbing rapidly in the coming quarters with EJ and the drops. That means massive dilution will not be necessary. Most pinks end up with 500m-1bil O/S because they never release real products that generate revenue, but that's not the case here.
Maybe because it was already prominently mentioned, as you stated yourself? Therefore, it does not need to be mentioned again a day later. This PR discussed other drugs such as Fentanyl and Estradiol.
Incredible news. Not sure how we aren't up at least 50-100% here
Yes. I am not sure why the news hasn't shown up here yet, but this is what I see on TD Ameritrade:
MIAMI LAKES, Fla. , Oct. 19, 2012 /PRNewswire/ -- Fuse Science, Inc. (OTCQB: DROP), (www.fusescience.com) an innovative company that possesses proprietary technologies set to redefine how consumers receive energy, medicines, vitamins and minerals, today announced that CEO Brian Tuffin and Tiger Woods are scheduled to appear together today on CNBC's "Closing Bell with Maria Bartiromo " shortly after 4:00 PM ET .
Yes, he most certainly will mention FUSE -- Tuffin will be there with him.
Someone just bought 219,300 @ .1451... looking good today.
Looks like that makes three of us. Take care.
Meaningless post. You know full well that we have not seen sales data since EJ has been sold in GNC.
Here's another search term that is probably quite common:
http://www.gnc.com/search/index.jsp?kwCatId=&kw=pain%20relief&origkw=pain+relief&f=Taxonomy/GNC/3593182&sr=1
It seems the gap between EJ and LivRelief Pain Relief is wider than it seems, although they are #1 and #2 in "Topical Pain Relief" category.
Yeah.. maybe I'll try to stick around a bit. I just hate being involved in such overwhelmingly negative and irrational nonsense. Especially when I know it just isn't true. It's kinda like being forced to listen to music you absolutely hate, at full blast... not too fun!
10k? Uh, yeah, OK. Over 10 million shares have moved this week so far.
So, can you try to run that by me one more time..?
Yes it is.
So, it's been a while since I was here. I'm sorry to say I'm not really "back", as the board seems to be full of short-sighted shorters, folks spewing irrational negativity and hatred for Fuse, and apparently at least one person with some form of split-personality disorder. Nevertheless, this board will have no effect on the long-term PPS of Fuse, and I am still long for sure.
It really is sad that extreme amounts of nonsensical negativity have unfortunately wrecked havoc on this board (poor moderation and censorship didn't help either), and on the share price as well.
In the end, it comes down to what kind of revenue this company will be generating, and we just won't have a good picture until next year. Until then, it seems it will be a roller coaster ride, and I will be extremely happy to continue adding on days like this. It is truly baffling how short-sighted the sellers are here, but hey, that's the market for you.. illogical sell-offs happen on a daily basis.
Price action in the next few days, weeks, and even months just doesn't matter if you're looking at this as an investment and not a trade.
Fortunately, in the end, I feel it will become evident that EnerJel alone will generate more than enough revenue to justify a higher market cap than what we have here -- even with further dilution, which in my opinion has been minimal so far. Word is finally getting out, and the bottom line is that EJ works, and everyone who tries it loves it.
I find it absolutely baffling how anyone could be negative on this company.. but everyone is entitled to their own opinions, no matter how misguided they are.
And it's quite apparent that not all of us on the other side have a "right" to post their views. Thank you.
Absolutely agree. This is a buying opportunity just like the last time we made down to .19/.20.
I feel that we're just in a bit of a "holding pattern" right now until the DROPs go live. The story has not changed.
Totally agree... Tebow is not even close to being in the same league as Tiger. In my opinion, of course. And for the record, I am not much of a football fan, or golf fan, so I feel I am relatively unbiased here.. :) (I am a baseball guy, as some may have noticed)
The OS does not concern me at all. I've seen pinks that were less-promising than Fuse hit mutli-dollar levels with a much higher OS. We just need more people to find out about this company, and the current investors need to remain patient -- the story has not changed.
I think it is quite apparent how unknown Fuse is after seeing how long it took for the free EJ promo codes to be used up. This will change soon, though.
Thanks. Have a good night! I really wouldn't worry about things here, once again it is an amazing buying opportunity.