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This is nerve racking, i wish it was next thursday already. Is everyone holding through or gonna sell off?
The run has started, hope everyone got their positions in while they were cheap. You will never see arena in the $7 range again. GL longs!
I've been invested in Cablevision for over a decade now. Have seen some awesome performance, despite the general market crashes. I personally know Charles and his son who run the company, good, smart businessmen. Not a bad investment choice.
This is going to get approved...why? Cause the FDA is going to realize that having an obesity drug with both extreme efficacy and safety profile simply isn't going to happen. They are hell bent on having something, anything that will work even modestly for the general population, safely over a long period of time. Maybe even permanently. With such mild side effects I, and thousands of other investors, analysts, and medical staff don't see a reason why it should be rejected. The U.S. and world needs this now, and if it isn't approved the FDA is only putting lives of millions in further risk of having to wait for a decent treatment.
Yea ionno whats goin on, i suspect they will keep this thing down till next week.
10 More trading days to load up at probably the last time you will see prices sub $7. I added more today, wish i had some more cash but i'm happy with around 4000 shares. Glta
Im sure you know this but, its revenue, not profit. The company is still operating at a loss. However, a lot of these costs are probably 1 time start up, get your feet running costs. I think Q3, Q4, and 2011 should be a pretty picture though :)
Yea that could happen too, unless Jack wants to do things alone for a min to get a bunch of companies fighting over a bid.
Who really knows, high 30's high 50's. The earnings potential with this is friggin ridiculous. These numbers will only be based on the U.S. market too. Shortly after approval I, and many others expect Arena to negotiate a similar deal with Eisai for worldwide distribution. $80 stock this time next year IMO.
x's. www.tinypic.com
Abbot Laboratories will be discussed in front of the review panel on Sept 15th, Arena's is the following day on the 16th.
http://invest.arenapharm.com/events.cfm
Aug 5, 2010
3:00 PM ET BMO Capital Markets 10th Annual Focus on Healthcare Conference
I dunno if its that big, but you can listen to the webcast on their page.
That was a good article and outlines Arena's superior stance in the safety factor. Holding super long!
There are 2 dates you need to worry about. The panel review in mid september. I think its the 16th. And the approval decision date Oct. 22nd.
The pps will continue to rise on speculation of approval to a theoretical point through september (I'm guessing between $10-$15) If it wins a good recommendation from the panel it will probably jump another 50-75% IMHO. If it wins approval in october, hope you like space travel cuz its gonna rocket.
My opinions obviously but this will definetly make a lot of people rich if it gets approved.
I been watching this stock everyday for the past 6 years. I got in around $12, then the economy crashed so i average down as much as possible around its low at $3. Everything here on out is profit. I cannot wait until this gets approved.
I expect this thing to keep riding up to maybe $8-$9 before the fda panel, if it goes well i think we'll see $20 before the approval date. I honestly don't see any reason why this woudldn't be approved with such mild side effects if any that it has. Arena is bout to win it all, eff you Vivus!! haha
Been holding this for years, I hope it wins all the bread. I could use an extra 100k
*didn't mean to quote you* i hate this message board format.
x2 on the link because I'm pretty sure the FDA panel rejected it due to lack of LONG term data on the side effects of the drug. How can this company produce this long term evidence in a month and a half?
Sure we all wanted to hear dominoes got Pizza, but Subway is still a huge company and offers huge exposure. And its still $10k a month, anyone forget that?
I don't get what Ike's deal is. It isn't that hard to state we have X amount of contracts signed, and received X amount of intial monthly services. The only thing I can see him holding off for is a quarterly release, which is when most communications companies ATT, Verizon, T-Mobile, etc. update their shareholders with info. I pray and beg to god this is what it is. I agree with everyone else though that these empty promises and ambiguous statements are getting fuggin old and I'm bout ready to drive to his office and have a nice chat with him on his responsibilities.
Im no tradeing pro, but i don't think this will move anywhere until
A. News about approved patent (big one)
B. News about client base and financials. (don't expect this until a quarterly release, which would be the norm for ANY communications company)
I know its expensive. Wishful thinking is what I could call it.
Vid looked good to me. Lets give Ike a few months and then he should compress this to 30secs and launch it prime time during a football game.
Ike said we should see the amateur video production on youtube around the 10th. I really don't see there being anything else worthwhile until A. PR about patent being approved (this will make this spike 150% i think)
B. Quarterly financials/customer adds
I really wouldn't expect Ike to give us numbers till his quarterly report so don't get your hopes up, i'm not. .05 this week? Hell no. .05-.1 Late august? Hell yes.
Hahaha no joke man. Youtube video means diddly compared to what is coming up.
I've worked in telecom for the past 5 years and I know its a running policy to not disclose how many contracts/consumers adds you've done until the end of the quarter. Thats how companies rate performance. Ike gave his projections, wait for the quarterly statements like every other investor in EVERY other company.
Just because it has a separte ticker doesn't mean the company isn't owned by another. Im not sure on this walmart case though havn't looked it up.
Your absolutely right man. People need to understand that BUSINESS ENVIRONMENTS change, it's how you deal with these changes and make decisions on the fly that will make a good leader. Has anyone here not called in sick to work? Or had to cancel an appointment and reschedule for some reason? Thats all that has happened here. Go smoke some ganja, watch the world cup for a month, chill out, then come back to see where we are. There is no sense to pump n bash this when yall wont even give the company a chance to operate.
/rant
They could be doing small test markets. Like some po dunk town in the middle of nowhere, testing to see if their infrastructure handles it well.
I wish investors weren't hungry whiney kids who wanted mcdonalds chicken nuggets (PR's) every day. All Ike has to do is hit dates claimed and things would be fine. Cash flow positive is pretty good. Which means expenses, salaries, etc. is only $100k, or 300 keywords? Everything after this point is straight profit. I really hope they know what they're doing, for the sake of everyone here.
I disagree. If the ad has some humor to it, it can spread like mad and get several hits. Young ppl spend a lot of time on youtube and watch several small videos a day on it. If its 30secs to a min and is designed in a way to make someone laugh while giving out product info it could be a start to the viral advertisement that works so well. It was mentioned a comedian is doing it so im hoping there is at least a minute amount of humor added. Time will tell.
I wonder how many ppl are going to be butthurt when there isn't a PR released today.
I could be wrong though, maybe Ike will come out n say we bagged 530 keywords and are bankin $437939 a month. oOOOOOooo wouldn't that be the tits!
Prolly not coming. These missed dates do get irritating. Good rule of business is never promise what you can't deliver. Or underpromise and overdeliver. That always looks better :D
331,900 long fa show
Yes it is still pending. However if it is approved i believe the PR stating that will drive some massive gains. Hopefully sometime in the next month or 2.
I think sideways. There just isn't anything to drive excitement or volume right now. In fact i don't think we'll see any significant gain until Ike releases a statement saying exactly how much of that "300 contracts and $100,000 projection", he did. If its on target, or even better if its over, i'm going to predict an over 100% gain.
Lets cross our fingers for those 1000 keywords Havphun suggested :D
So then why pay for a service they're getting for free? Still interested to know what exactly is gonna happen after june 1st etc etc
....all i did was post side effects of topamax because i know Qnexa uses a combination of it. So before you go and blast me realize i didn't mis-represent any facts at all. If ppl can't realize the side effects i listed weren't qnexa then they have other issues they should seek meds for....
Just glad they didn't add "posssible death" like i hear in a very low fast voice on those tv commercials haha.
I googled Topiramate/topamax side effects and got this. Some are significant some are not. While Qnexa may be the most effective it may not be well tolerated by everyone. Which is why i bought in on Arena as well as locaserin may not be the most effective but its safer, and still helps cardiovascular issues. Hopefully they both get approved and see success.
Off emedtv.com
Common Side Effects of Topamax in Adults
Topamax has been studied thoroughly in clinical trials, in which a group of people taking the drug have side effects documented and compared to another group not taking the medicine. This way, it is possible to see what side effects occur, how often they appear, and how they compare to the group not taking the medicine.
In these studies, the most common Topamax side effects in adults included:
* Unusual sensations, such as burning or tingling (paresthesias) -- in up to 51 percent of people
* Dizziness -- up to 32 percent
* Fatigue -- up to 30 percent
* Drowsiness -- up to 29 percent
* Mental and physical slowing or delays -- up to 21 percent
* Nervousness -- up to 19 percent
* Upper respiratory infection (such as the common cold) -- up to 18 percent
* Coordination problems -- up to 16 percent
* Weight loss -- up to 16 percent (see Topamax Weight Loss)
* Loss of appetite -- up to 15 percent
* Taste changes -- up to 15 percent
* Confusion -- up to 14 percent
* Difficulty with concentration or attention -- up to 14 percent
* Nausea -- up to 14 percent.
Some other common side effects, occurring in 5 to 13 percent of adults, included:
* Diarrhea
* Memory loss
* Anxiety
* Language or speech problems
* Changes in gait (walking pattern)
* Sinus infection or irritation
* Injury
* Insomnia
* Mood problems
* Decreased sense of touch
* Viral infections
* Abdominal pain (stomach pain)
* Joint pain
* Weakness
* Sore throat
* Dry mouth
* Indigestion
* Mood problems
* Back pain.