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Bob Dylan - Into the Mystic (live 6/15/23)
new Pretenders! - Let the Sun Come In
(new) Noel Gallagher - Dead To The World
Hey nowie,
Much simpler these days posting videos. Just paste the url by itself. Nothing else needed before or after.
And don't HODL btc for the next couple of weeks. The Fed is coming up to bat in the next two weeks so I assume it's an ill wind starting to blow.
(new) Natalie Merchant - Big Girls (feat Abena Koomson-Davis)
Love the King!
(new) The Alarm - Next
(new) Depeche Mode - Ghosts Again
I still love this album. R.I.P. Trugoy the Dove
30+ years ago. I'm not too much of a hip hop person but this is a favorite I'm still listening to:
The War on Drugs - Thinking of a Place
David Crosby
(new) Ian Hunter - Bed of Roses
very tasty!
I had missed that one back in the day. It’s a slow song for Jack, but I always love when he gets to the point where he takes a chainsaw to his guitar
The White Stripes - 300 M.P.H. Torrential Outpour Blues
Wow...I like that. I may be under hypnosis but I really enjoyed that. Many body parts trying to keep the beat
new Noel Gallagher/High Flying Birds - Easy Now
Jeff Beck and Johnny Depp
Merry Christmas and Happy New Year and thanks for the update!
Still believing in the basic thesis
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=169688195
2020 Pandemic Year
2021 Supply Chain Year
2022 Inflation Year
2023 Recession Year
2024 and beyond - the flat recovery years
I am transitioning out of the ETF Optimizer portfolio which I must say I was really happy with in the first part of the year, but I saw it get tossed around in the second half of the year and they really seem to be adjusting their system on the fly trying to figure out the market turns.
I have stayed with Scott and team in their NEB group (mastermind). One of the more interesting themes and ideas brought to my attention is an ETF DBMF. It is a managed futures ETF utilizing a trend following system which in my simple mind keeps shuffling the leaders to the top of the deck of holdings and discards the laggards.
https://www.etftrends.com/managed-futures-channel/invest-in-the-trends-of-a-market-on-the-move-with-dbmf/
The trend following structure of the ETF I think (hope) smooths out the overall performance. The outperformance is there over it's brief history. The fees are low. It has a built-in sector diversification. As an ETF it fits the IRA approach nicely. I did make inquiries into different managed futures hedge funds that have lower initial investment thresholds, but can't beat the IRA at this stage for me. So DBMF works (until it doesn't).
Here is a variation that I have been working with...which is to take DBMF and .apply a simple crossover approach to holding a position in it. In other words, instead of buying at any given point and time and letting the ETF algos manage the market fluctuations use a simple crossover technique to try to avoid the bigger drawdowns and improve the overall performance.
* Simple Kalman Filter 20/50 Crossover system. Indicator available on Trading View (search for "ZELMA w/Kalman Filter [Morty]". The Kalman filter is hailed by Mole from RPQ Unlimited which he uses in his Gravitas system. The Kalman filter moving averages produce faster signals that SMA or EMA on their own IMHO.
** For my simple crossover approach I used the highest price on the day following the Buy signal to buy and the lowest price on the day following a Sell signal to sell to keep it less than optimized.
So using all of 2022 data, DBMF from the first trading day of the year stands at +20.74%. By using the crossover method described above yields a performance of +25.49%. Just one isolated year out of a very short history but I like the ETF on it's own to build a substantial position. There were 3 Buy and Sell turns in 2022. So very little "action" which is nice but not buy-and-hold either. A fourth Buy signal just happened last Thursday.
Other than this late activity in the last couple of months I've been staying pretty safe on the sideline and developing a strong sense that that is not the place to be either.
A prosperous 2023 to us all!
new Buzzcocks - Manchester Rain
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pC0WxEOle3s
new Iggy Pop - Frenzy
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GwB2EZS9x9I
Ghost Funk Orchestra - A New Kind of Love
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4H1dQv5nBvw
new Paul Weller - Rip The Pages Up
Hell yeah!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GeKcMV0IIqQ
The name Big Head Todd and the Monsters has always been stuck in my head. And I thought it was because I knew their music. But clearly I don't and I just remember the crazy name. The song was a nice reveal!
Primal Scream - Movin' On Up
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SnkjvECEQr4
Love and Money - Halleluiah Man
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=109qKHc1UxA
Big Star - In The Street
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cT8ihOjOf1g
Very nice! Not on my list of usual suspects...it is now!
(Whatever It Is) I'm Against It
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iFt9Xgrnmk4