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VTLE 1.84 Q1-2024 versus 4.50 Q1-2023...
1.84 is below 1.97 average estimate...
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/VTLE/analysis
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/vital-energy-reports-first-quarter-203000732.html
those are the adjusted earnings without
hedge losses included...
More is less,,,
whence it comes with dilution...
So we watch...LJ
GRRR needs more buyers than followers on FB...
https://www.facebook.com/GorillaTechnology
FB has lost all my marketplace contacts
for the 2nd time in about a year...
Sync isn't something that I want to
do just because they say that folks
have to do it...
So much for repeat customers on FB...
Their tech was working okey dokey
when folks started using it...
So we watch...LJ
Young people have multiple news sites to
follow in these trying times...
It is much harder to hand feed them
canned news chosen for the public...
It isn't good to see protests or events
cancelled because of them...
It isn't good to see Leadership that isn't
as smart as college students...
Israel also has big growing internal
Turmoil because of poor Leadership...
Try to find that news...may be easier to
find news on China...
SMCI has a day gap for Friday open
around 760 and NVDA around 855 that
makes me wary and a watcher now...
Heck, if GRRR can't hold the 15 to 20
range, why are big companies safer
to hold in this trading environment?...
So we watch...LJ
GRRR venture with MTI had pr Monday...
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gorilla-mti-unveil-strategic-alliance-120000955.html
website...
http://mtiholding.net/en/content/category/2-enterprise-solutions
MTI already dealing with NUUO
Systems makes you wonder what
GRRR brings to table that they
couldn't bring...
Does it help GRRR get back to
$68/share in July?...
So we watch...LJ
U.S should suspend aid for Israel
that they recently passed...
Israel wants to kill off as many
children as they can in Gaza...
Agenda is to try and reduce the size
of that next generation from Gaza...
U.S. politicians aren't watching and
counting the killed children in Gaza
when they condemn protesters that
are watching so many get killed...
Lol, those politico are watching znn
hammer at Trump and dodge covering
the huge death toll in Gaza...
A country with hamas as a threat in
October damn well knew it and didn't
lighten up defense for a holiday...
They were either too spooked to respond
or ordered to stand down...
An agenda is an agenda...
Wait till you need a part to fix something
and can't get it to complain...
https://www.business-standard.com/world-news/red-sea-crisis-to-cause-15-20-industry-capacity-loss-says-maersk-124050700156_1.html
So we watch...LJ
Fine day for selling on tech and oil
on Monday...
Like, like everything is lovely...
so we watch...LJ
Iran should part Red Sea after Israel oil
bets on the cheap were reloaded...
Iran should call off the Houthi
obstructions and let international
shipping thru Red Sea go peacefully...
And that would halt the war if Israel
loses money on oil betting...
Iran has a below market customer for
oil with China anyway...
And China economy is due to start
bouncing back up some...
https://apnews.com/article/israel-palestinians-gaza-hamas-war-humanitarian-aid-5fb0455b81674b2bfe38d997c95d6f00
Lame duck leader in Israel has
isolated their country a lot...
Letting hamas attack in Israel for hours
with no response by defenses should
have been a sign for the world that they
wanted a reason to kill many in Gaza...
So we watch...LJ
GAZA starves...U.S. arrests regime opposition...
https://apnews.com/article/gaza-israel-famine-humanitarian-aid-children-8a4cb5736c42caf50b6e204f40d83a91
https://apnews.com/article/israel-palestinian-campus-student-protests-war-ec3f62c51c08599f8fcecd99f7cf9e33
In 2011, when Egypt erupted in turmoil,
Hillary and Joe were in the limelight
of Obama, but they were effective then...
World has a tough row to hoe in trying
to survive until year end with Joe
and avoid total chaos...
So we watch...LJ
Oxy needs to find a sucker like VTLE
to over pay what a property
may actually be worth now...
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/occidental-explores-sale-permian-assets-152814126.html
High interest rates, low natural gas
prices, and falling oil prices mean
they made need to offer an owner
financed deal to get a sale done...
VTLE surge on shorts to 34% of
the float shows they can do it...
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/VTLE/key-statistics
Back at 22% short on float used
to make me wonder...
So we watch...LJ
SMCI revenue rose over 2.5 billion above
the year ago quarter,
a mere 200% gain yearly...
5.1 billion revenue in current quarter is
estimate versus the 3.85 billion revenue
in quarter just completed...
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/supermicro-announces-third-quarter-fiscal-200500022.html
Some folks wanting to catch an 8 lb
bass might be disappointed with
catching only a 7.9 lb. bass,,,
but more likely just tired after catching it...
NVDA is catching the most upside buying
now because they are left to report...
Qs may rally back to test recent highs
up to the NVDA report before being a
decent pullback prospect again...
MMs for the Q index and SPX are gonna
bounce individual companies up and down
even during up or down trends...
Please send us the code on which ones
they will be moving either way...
That would be appreciated...
So we watch...LJ
NVDA $887, youth should consider A/C tech
jobs for future courses...
https://stocktwits.com/Rigdowntex/message/571812162
A/C tech jobs will be in high demand
as Ai rolls out more...
Tsla is spending big on Ai chips to be
used in Auto driving vehicles...
And A/C operation will be critical...
Nothing in the Ai sector growth will
happen without A/C cooling...
This ends today's Free Lesson...
So we watch...LJ
GRRR $5ish, was almost $70 in July,2023
after announcing big Egypt contract...
https://www.barchart.com/stocks/quotes/GRRR/interactive-chart
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gorilla-technology-signs-contract-deploy-210000935.html
Chit hitting the fan in that region has
been a negative drag on share price...
Has potential to recover in November
if voters kick out some of the Democratic
war party politicians...
Red Sea shipping restrictions have hammered
the Egypt receipts from Suez Canal traffic...
https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2024/03/07/Red-Sea-Attacks-Disrupt-Global-Trade
Turkey halted trade with Israel is a first
step in fronting against West backing the
Israel violence which boosts reasons
for Iran to be aggressive...
Turkey will more than make up for export
losses to Israel when they start exporting
more thru Egypt and Jordan to start the
long Gaza rebuild process...
Long post about only one little minnow in
the pond getting affected negatively...
Ai programs are projecting EGP value
to rebound by year end...
EU countries already pegged rights to
develop prime coastal property along
Egypt coastline in an aid package...
peon thesis...EGP should rise again...
Many large companies are expanding
in India where GRRR is focused on
growing employees in 2024...
India manufacturing is chosen to dodge
some possible China risk factors...
So we watch...LJ
GRRR is gentle and won't run around
on you...
should probably just add on it...
and avoid any disappointment expectations...
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GRRR/?p=GRRR
so we watch...LJ
NVDA seems more liked by M.S. than
SMCI...
https://investorplace.com/2024/04/morgan-stanley-is-doubling-down-on-nvidia-nvda-stock/#:~:text=Morgan%20Stanley%20(NYSE%3AMS),rating%20and%20%241%2C000%20price%20target.
but my adds again on weakness
were higher on SMCI this time...
SMCI currently has a higher Average
price target than NVDA,,,
but that is easy to understood by the
much lower share count of SMCI...
and Dell already had a liquid cooling
product before SMCI that is helping
drive the SMCI current quarter's growth...
Market seems to be large...
So we watch...LJ
June rate drop...Contraction in April in U.S.
manufacturing showing in survey...
https://oilprice.com/Finance/the-Economy/Stagflation-Signals-Soar-as-Manufacturing-Surveys-Show-Skyrocketing-Prices.html
Israel pushing oil price pump with
war is temporary price change until
world oil demand improves...
FED lowering amount of whatever they
are selling off their balance sheet monthly
now shows that they know that things
are slowing down,,,
but showed happy face this week...
So we watch...LJ
Asian countries reduced oil buying in April
with higher prices...
https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Asian-Oil-Imports-Dropped-in-April.html
Those bigger numbers of buying in
January and February were likely bot
at cheap prices in November and December
on oil futures delivery...
So we watch...LJ
Turkey halted all trading with Israel,,,
probably more to follow...
so we watch...LJ
SMCI needs to close gap around $859 from 04/30
if it is going to trade above
$1,000 on 3rd like it has done
on two previous months...
https://www.barchart.com/stocks/quotes/SMCI/interactive-chart
Odd how it is down after being
higher for a good spell...
So we watch...LJ
SMCI gap down from 858 close on 04/30
needs to fill to ease the crowd...
https://www.barchart.com/stocks/quotes/SMCI/interactive-chart
MMs work both ways on their
daily gap/open close markings...
So we watch...LJ
SMCI price targets are getting some raises...
https://investorplace.com/2024/05/smci-earnings-why-the-streets-reaction-to-super-micro-stocks-strong-results-was-illogical/
It likes to bounce around...
Key may be that factories were already
added to for increased production...
so we watch...LJ
SMCI 23ish forward P/E is cheap in
this market...
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SMCI/key-statistics
If anyone looks...
so we watch...LJ
NVDA RTX reads like science fiction...
https://wccftech.com/nvidia-calls-rtx-the-premium-ai-pc-platform-npus-only-good-for-basic-ai-pcs/
Which company might build the PCs
for such an idea?...
So we watch...LJ
NVDA goes for the gold...
https://oilprice.com/Metals/Gold/How-Gold-Became-an-Essential-Component-in-Nvidias-GPUs.html
so we watch...LJ
VTLE,,,WAHA at negative price shows that
the Gov't needs to put a floor under
that price in Texas if they want to
maintain oil drilling high enough to
keep oil production stable...
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/The-Permian-Shrugs-Off-Below-Zero-Natural-Gas-Prices-in-Texas.html
Whoever controls the WAHA gas flipping
to retail markets makes a lick and
surely won't agree...
If NYMEX natural gas drops to a
dollar or less this summer, then some
floor pricing might get bantered about...
Flaring is against the law now...
So we watch...LJ
SMCI forecasts over 30% quarterly revenue growth
over the quarter just reported...
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/super-micro-computer-inc-nasdaq-144129328.html
MMs painted down price to get
better deals after filling gaps...
MMs are slick...
Over 5 billion revenue in current
quarter would be even slicker...
So we watch...LJ
SMCI forecasting 30%+ revenue growth in current quarter
versus quarter just reported...
SMCI forecasts 5.1 billion to 5.5 billion
for current quarter versus the 3.85 billion
for quarter just reported...
CC transcript link...
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/super-micro-computer-inc-nasdaq-144129328.html
DLC server rack items caused a
surge in inventory at end of quarter
just reported to meet the demand
coming in the current quarter...
CC actually helped explain things...
It doesn't forecast the distant future,
but it hints the sell off was overdone...
So we watch...LJ
SMCI trails NVDA by over 10 forward p/e
on price now...
That is a pretty good knock down on
a company in a growth sector needed
to get Ai chips more in play...
and SMCI is in loop if AMD captures
more market share from NVDA...
chicken before egg thingy again...
so we watch...LJ
Wildcard seems holding anything with good earnings
in this market right now...
Hopefully, the market got the J.P.
flop out of its system...
Timing is bad for oil/gas companies
reporting now with oil price falling and
little relief from spot natural gas prices...
And of course, this is a market that can
forget that these are high oil prices...
So we watch...LJ
SMCI raised revenue guidance after stellar EPS
growth was produced for the quarter...
https://stocktwits.com/Stockmarketnerd/message/571370486
Profit taking off the price rises
seems to leave a vacuum on buying
for a short period at times...
So we watch...LJ
Etsy and Sbux found a weak 1st quarter
in consumer spending, despite Gov't
data spin that things were strong...
https://stocktwits.com/DonCorleone77/message/571486259
lol, hard to believe the gov't spinsters
get in front of mikes and say odd
things about good times now...
Houston, we have a reality problem...
So we watch...LJ
FED may try to run Dems out of office
by putting off rate relief later
than June...
July would seem latest to get ahead
of growing unemployment when campaign
spending is over and masses of staff
get pink slips...1% surge then?...
September would be too late...
The big wage inflation in union wages
pushed for by the gov't last year is
built in and won't be dropping...
Inflated growth numbers put out in
1st quarter looked a little higher than
Main Street reality too...
FED seems to be trying to paint a
pretty picture of things being better
than they may be...
So we watch...LJ
Oil price dropped with traders dumping war
premium on expectation of Gaza
war slowing that may not happen...
Bogus higher demand spinned in early
2024 now meets period when real
demand should start growing...
And at the same time as heat in Arab
nations uses more fuel to cool and
lowers supply to export elsewhere...
Stupidest looking prop and flop of oil
prices in 2024 by trading powers...
Makes it hard to estimate where true
values for companies shake out in
the oil/gas sector...
Weekly inventory change came due to
increased net oil imports for week...
Trucking traffic on highways being high
now doesn't indicate lower demand
in that distillate area...
So we watch...LJ
Institutions made a ton off sold call action
when dumping all tech stock
prices down together...
Need to pick the creme of the crop
to rise after they have stopped selling...
It is how institutions can hold positions
long term and improve returns...
So we watch...LJ
SBUX seemed to have a solid miss...
https://stocktwits.com/wallstengine/message/571333945
Question isn't the economy...
How does a coffee selling company
miss in a winter quarter?...
Too many working and not enough to
sit and drink coffee?...
So we watch...LJ
SMCI has Ai related products for NVDA, AMD,
and INTC...
https://www.supermicro.com/en/solutions/ai-deep-learning
click on GPU Optimized Systems to
review closer...
Liquid cooled options add to choices...
Interdimensional or playing the field...
So we watch...LJ
So the market tanks and oil price drops,
so why is U.S. Dollar up?...
On the Ai chips, the company with
the contracts to get chips to go into
products are in the lead,,,
Company already in that loop, should
have some advantage on the hard
side too...perhaps...
ARM is really the company in the cat
bird seat as long as Ai keeps rocking,
but seems priced in at its high price...
NVDA leadership is tied to TSM contracts
and their OpenAi connection...
Need to find a decent oil play during
this flop period...
So we watch...LJ
AMZN beat got whupped like SMCI
beat in after hours...
https://stocktwits.com/NewsByNick/message/571329500
What happens in afterhours stays
in after hours...
SMCI only has smidgen of sector sales
in comps to DELL and HPQ...
It is the much lower share count of SMCI
with a high price tag that shocks folks...
Oil price being brought down on Tuesday
and maybe Wednesday should give out
company price deals along the way...
The over priced oil for most of 2024,,,
now goes into period when higher prices
should start looking more correct,,,Opec
producers use a lot more of their own
production to cool in summer and it has
already started warming up there,,,And a
lower supply for world markets will occur
unless Opec+ increases oil production...
Just between us...
So we watch...LJ
SMCI, if every company reported .87/share higher
than expected, the whole market
might implode...
NVDA was a small snag in after hours...
SMCI was a small snag at 4 times more
than NVDA in after hours...
This whole stupid day may have been a
set up for the wheels to kiss the ring of
J.P. with a rally coming next...
SMCI stunned me with the good numbers...
Peons are often easily impressed though...
ERX put calls for 70 were closed today
to not leave any profit on table...Oilies could
bounce with everything else...
So we watch...LJ
SMCI, started buying after hours below
$786 gap fill area watched for...
no idea why it moves either way...
so we watch...LJ
I apologize, the lowball price prints didn't show
after Friday close, or on Saturday
or Sunday for Smci or Nvda...
https://www.investing.com/equities/super-micro-compu-historical-data
https://www.investing.com/equities/nvidia-corp-historical-data
The price drop was to bring them
lower to get them closer to the high
side of p/e ratios on companies over
long term in markets...
No idea how to explain the lowball print
prices showing for Friday on either now...
Amd did show the gap fill, But if you can't
see that High P/E, you don't need to
look at any charts...
My bad, everything appears lovely now...
So we watch...LJ