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Bought ADSX and MCLD. looking for 30% gain on them
Bought ADSX @.41 and MCLD @.49
Bought ADSX @.41 and MCLD @.49
IBAS and USIX, holding up this morning
For those that are not watching the yahoo board. If you would like to join the private club, please email me- Tim
This Week In BTS
Issue 13 12-09-01
If anyone has recieved this e-mail by mistake, or your a BTS member who wishes not to be included in the weekly mailing of this publication and wish to be removed from the BTS mailing list, please e-mail me, and i will remove you from our addy list, and our sincere apologies for cluttering up your mail box.
Hello BTS members, well alot of action in BTS this week, as there were alot stock ideas tossed around and some good money was made last week. If you havent been to BTS for awhile, come and share your investment ideas, and who knows, maybe you.ll find a winner or 2 posted by fellow BTS members. We like to start this weeks edition off with a report from the Economist magazine on the state of the economy.
“NOTHING contributes so much to the prosperity and happiness of a country as high profits,†proclaimed David Ricardo, an early-19th-century economist. If so, America is in a miserable state: corporate profitability has fallen to its lowest level since the depression of the 1930s.In the third quarter of this year, the pre-tax profits of non-financial firms fell by 26% from a year earlier, to a level equivalent to 7.5% of GDP in the non-financial business sector. As recently as 1997, that figure was 12.5%. Profits have further to fall. Economists at J.P. Morgan forecast that average profits will drop at an annual rate of over 20% this quarter, leaving profit margins at their lowest for more than 60 years.Profit margins always shrink in recessions, but this time the squeeze is particularly severe. Because companies have so much excess capacity, they have little pricing power. Meanwhile, unit labour costs are rising more rapidly. Wages still outpace inflation by a wide margin, and productivity growth has slowed.America entered this recession with historically low inflation. As a result, nominal GDP growth is likely to be close to zero over the next two quarters, which will put even more pressure on profits. Wages, which make up two-thirds of total costs, typically move down only reluctantly, so profits take the strain.The 2.9% jump in consumer spending in October, the biggest increase on record, brought cheer to those betting on a strong economic recovery. The jump, though, largely reflected aggressive discounting, especially by car makers and retailers. Discounts may boost volume, but at a high cost to profit margins. Stockmarkets rallied strongly this week in hope that economic recovery, and hence higher profits, is around the corner. But even if the economy turns round early next year, a strong rebound in growth is unlikely so long as firms are saddled with excess capacity. And as long as nominal GDP growth remains subdued, so too will be the growth in profits. That means that stockmarket investors are likely to be disabused, and also that firms will be under pressure to improve their finances by making further cuts in investment and jobs. And that could prolong the recession.Stockmarket bulls point out that productivity growth has held up better during this recession than in the past, offering better hope of faster profits growth in future. The link between productivity growth and profits is more complicated, however. Over the past three years, as productivity growth has quickened, profit margins have actually fallen. As with earlier technology revolutions, the lion's share of the spoils from information technology is going to consumers, not producers.
**************************************************************************************************
BTS Wisdom:
After philosopher William James lectured on the solar system, a woman told James he was all wrong . . . we live on a crust of earth sitting atop a giant turtle. James replied patiently, "Ma'am, if your theory is correct, what does the turtle stand on?" And she said, "You're clever Mr. James, but the first turtle stands on the back of a second, much larger turtle." "But what does this second turtle stand on?" he wondered. With triumph in her voice, the woman replied: "It's no use. It's turtles all the way down." It's impossible to reason someone out of an opinion they didn't arrive at by reason. If the facts don't fit their frame of reference, they'd rather change the facts. Like the three children who'd agreed to shovel snow from a walk for a dollar. A few minutes later they were back at the door. One said, "Mister, there's three of us and we can't figure out how to divide a dollar. Would you make the price 75 cents?"
BTS WISDOM: Facts liberate our minds when used to find truth. But facts further imprison our minds when used to prop up our biases. Whether facts add up to truth depends upon who's doing the adding.
**************************************************************************************************
BTS REVIEW
BTS CHAT: Tim, Street, HT, Drex,Rick,Andy
BTS WINNERS: Tim( XING, BIGT ENE) Street(AVAN) Horsetrader(BIGT) Equalizer(HYSL) Canada(AIRG)
The Board
Post 6538 Street provides a good read about the January effect.
Post 6539 Street sells AVAN
Post 6555 EQ sells HYSL
Post 6548 Tim sells ENE
Post 6575 Tim looks for opinions about FIRE
Post 6581 EQ shorts SWFT
Post 6585 HT concurs with EQ,s short sell........Nice find EQ.I may join you on this one.I counted about 6 tops on this all the way back to Jan/99.Seems to crap out in the $22.50-23.50 every time,and having looked at the charts,it should do it again.
Post 6599 Tim sells XING
Post 6601 PLRP,s 3rd Q Financals
Post 6649 Canada on CYLK.......I have not purchased it yet. Been waiting for a good sized pullback. If it doesn't happen soon and the TA looks good I will definitely buy somewhere around 2.80 - 3.00.
Post 6611 Eagle provides DD for Reg Technologies Inc RRE-.Venture
Post 6615 Street buys ESR
Post 6624 Tim stops out on BIGT
Post 6625 Tim stop out of XING
Post 6628 HT covers on INVN
Post 6644 Gulfquest has this to say about STEM.....This looks to get more upward movement this month after some market downtrend on Friday... Bios in general should have a good December... not holding but would take a small position on Monday... Any thoughts on this one guys? And thanks Tim for the invite to this board... no BS just good solid info... Pitch
Post 6653 Tims watch list
Post 6655 BTS has a new board .................This is the first post to our spin off on ihub:
To steal a pharse from another board:
A thread is born.
Let's exchange notes on quality stocks, undiscovered gems, and POS BBs *BEFORE* the pump, *NOT* during the dump.
Request that you post your trades as close to real time as possible.
Also, follow the rules. Be honest- for we all meet our maker in the end. Bottom line- lets help each other to gain financial freedom- Tim
http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=221937
BTS would like to welcome its newest member RothR13
Good Luck To All and God Bless America
EZ, did a quick look. Notice they were upgraded by the big boys, but I don't like the chart. Looks over bought. I see it backing up to the mid $9s short term
"Anyone here ever look @ Steel Dynamics ??
Any thoughts on "where" they might shake out of this
steel debacle ????
EZ"
Follow up story on the steel industry:
U.S. Steel in Talks to Buy National Steel
http://dailynews.yahoo.com/h/nm/20011209/bs/minerals_nationalsteel_merger_dc_1.html
USIX
USinternetworking, Inc. is a full-service, enterprise application service provider (ASP) delivering the functionality of complex enterprise software as a service. The Company takes total responsibility for delivering the latest enterprise, e-business and managed Web-hosting solutions over its proprietary Global Service Platform. USinternetworking ASP services are primarily delivered as Internet Managed Applications Provider (iMAP) offerings, which seamlessly integrate the hardware and software, networking and security, as well as around-the-clock Client Care the Company provides to its clients. The Company also backs its iMAP offerings with some of the highest service level guarantees in the industry.
Shares Outstanding 145.0M Float 40.6M
Shares Short 4.24M Percent of Float 10.4%
Book Value (mrq*) $0.85
Total Cash (mrq) $51.3M
Insider and 5%+ Owners: 72% · Institutional: 9% (32% of float)
(127 institutions)
Chart
http://clearstation.etrade.com/cgi-bin/details?Symbol=usix&Refer=http://clearstation.etrade.com/...
Support Price (5day): $0.230 Support Price (20day): $0.200 Support Price (50day): $0.190 Support Price (100day): $0.190
Resistance Price (5day): $0.270 Resistance Price (20day): $0.280 Resistance Price (50day): $0.450 Resistance Price (100day): $1.200
Thanks muel, My hope is get the ihub community to provide good info. Leaving RB for the P&D er's.
muel, Thats is what we have with BTS on yahoo. Most of us are getting tired of the glitches though. One reason I started a BTS board here.
Matt, if you let people create private clubs, I think you would be happy with the results. I suggest checking out how yahoo does it. I'm not a techie, so I have no idea how hard this would be.
BTW, Question? The club I started Friday, BTS- where will people find it once it goes off the new club spot?
Thanks for all you do- Tim
Posted this on the yahoo board:
Hey all,
After going through a shit load of $5 and under stocks, here are 8 that I feel may have some merit. Looking for some feed back.
ADSX= enter around .40 exit around .70
AVAN= enter around 2.85 exit around 4.70
CYLK= enter around 2.20 exit around 4.90
FIRE= enter around .75 exit around 2.32
FVCX= enter around .90 exit around 3.00
LCAV= enter around .75 exit around 4.65
LVCI= enter around 2.30 exit around 15.30
MCLD= enter around .55 exit around 1.10
Lets help each other make some money- Tim
Broderick,
Don't like RGNC. The others (ieme and infe)may go higher chart wise. But then, I'm not much good with the OTCs. Prefer the NAS $5 and under. At least you can get a quick profile on them. Then base your decision on the company weather to gamble or not. I use the charts as indicators for entry/exit, not on the decision to get in.
Just one man's opinion, LOL.
One more tonight
I see this as a buy under $1. Thoughts?
FVCX
First Virtual Communications Inc. conducts business in rich media communications solutions, providing systems and services that enable system integrators and service providers to deliver an integrated suite of collaboration applications to their enterprise customers. First Virtual Communications also delivers solutions directly to corporate and public sector enterprises. The Company's flagship product, Click to Meet, is a face-to-face communications platform for e-collaboration designed to seamlessly integrate video and audio telephony, data collaboration, and streaming across IP, ISDN, DSL, and ATM networks. Click to Meet provides an optimal platform for delivering a new generation of video enabled B2B (business-to-business) Web applications, for commerce, distance learning, telemedicine, federal and state governments, and the judiciary.
For the nine months ended 9/30/01, revenues fell 32% to $20.3 million. Net loss totaled $25 million, up from $12.5 million. Revenues reflect lower product shipments to enterprise customers and service providers. Higher loss also reflects the charges related to excess inventory and increased R&D expenditures.
Book Value (mrq) $1.00
Total Cash (mrq) $12.2M
Shares Outstanding 33.2M Float 27.6M
Shares Short 15.0K
Insider and 5%+ Owners: 17%
recent price $1.12
Support Price (5day): $0.890 Support Price (20day): $0.800 Support Price (50day): $0.540 Support Price (100day): $0.540
Resistance Price (5day): $1.170 Resistance Price (20day): $1.170 Resistance Price (50day): $1.170 Resistance Price (100day): $1.170
Chart- looks good to me. Should retract to under $1, then move higher. If it breaks $1.17, could test the 52week high
http://clearstation.etrade.com/cgi-bin/details?Symbol=fvcx&Refer=http://clearsta tion.etrade.com/cgi-bin/details%3fSymbol%3dezpw
Composite Indicator TrendSpotter (TM) Buy
Interesting- looks like some institutions are selling
http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/invsub/ownership/ownership.asp?Symbol=FVCX
Any thoughts on this one?
CYLK
Cylink Corporation develops, markets and supports a comprehensive family of secure e-business solutions. The Company's cryptographically based products provide a secure, flexible and easily managed solution for expanding its customers' businesses. The Company creates trust in customers' networks by securing the access, privacy and integrity of information when it is transmitted over their local area networks, as well as globally over wide area networks and public networks, such as the Internet. These solutions enable the Company's customers to merge their operations and transactions onto their existing networks, maximize their use, reduce the costs of their operations and expand their businesses. The Company's customers include Fortune 500 companies, multi-national financial institutions and agencies within the United States Government.
Book Value (mrq) $1.23
Total Cash (mrq) $10.4M
Shares Outstanding 32.9M Float 9.20M
Shares Short 124.0K
Recent Price $2.81
Of the 32.9 million of shares outstanding, 7.90 million are owned by insiders so insider holdings account for 24.0% of the company stock.
Over the next 1-2 months, StockScouter forecasts that growth stocks will be in favor, small-cap stocks will be in favor, and technology stocks will be in favor.
Institutional: 30% (109% of float)
http://yahoo.marketguide.com/MGI/HoldersReport.asp?target=%2Fstocks%2Fcompanyinf ormation%2Finstit%5Fowner&Ticker=CYLK
Support Price (5day): $2.810 Support Price (20day): $1.800 Support Price (50day): $0.750 Support Price (100day): $0.380
Resistance Price (5day): $3.100 Resistance Price (20day): $3.370 Resistance Price (50day): $3.370 Resistance Price (100day): $3.370
SIGACTS
Cylink Corporation introduced the Cylink Link Encryptor T3 (CLE T3) for securing high-speed data communications. The CLE T3 is the latest addition to Cylink's comprehensive set of leased-line security solutions. Designed to meet the market's requirements for speed and reliability, the CLE T3 supports Triple-DES and provides secure data communications at the full T3/DS3 data rate of 45 Mbps.
Cylink Corporation Shares Rise On Lockheed Martin's Contract Win
Topspin Partners to Purchase 8.6M Shares of Cylink Corporation
Charts say- Composite Indicator TrendSpotter (TM) Buy
http://clearstation.etrade.com/cgi-bin/details?Symbol=cylk&Refer=http://clearsta tion.etrade.com/
I feel this one will break resistance and test new 52 week highs.
Muel, What part of KS? I was at Ft Riley this past summer for a few days
OK, Got it now. Thanks for helping a dumb grunt understand that.
Still looking for a gap up on USIX monday.
Thanks everyone,
EZ, could not get your reply to open. I still don't get what the chart means about 1 day to cover.
http://www.nasdaq.com/asp/quotes_full.asp?kind=shortint&symbol=USIX%60&selected=USIX%60
Is this based on buying demand? Is that what the "short squeeze" is?
tia-Tim
I'm not real keen on how short interest works. If you short a stock, when to you have to cover? This chart says 1 day.
http://www.nasdaq.com/asp/quotes_full.asp?kind=shortint&symbol=USIX%60&selected= USIX%60
If this is so-
Shares Short 3.55M
Percent of Float 8.7
All, FWIW here is what I'm holding.
FBCE @$2.50
GX @ $1.70
IBAS @$1.10
IN @$1.70
USIX @ average $.25
Debating on taking my lumps on GX or doing a double down. The rest I am comfortable with.
Recently played PALM, XING, BIGT, and ENE.
I'm enjoying the $5 and under- no OTCBB plays, LOL.
cava,
Just started an ameritrade account. Not doing pennies, but so far I'm happy with the service. Another one I was looking into was RJT
Never paid any attention to that. Neat. Thanks
Good News for Last Mile Carriers and some wireless.
Approval of IEEE Standard 802.16 Sets Stage for Growth of Metropolitan
Area
Networks Using Fixed Broadband Wireless
PISCATAWAY, N.J.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Dec. 7, 2001--
Global Standard for 10 to 66 GHz Wireless Networks Fosters
Economic Alternative for "Last Mile" Access
The Standard Board of the Institute of Electrical and Electronic
Engineers
Standards Association (IEEE-SA) formally approved IEEE Standard 802.16
("Air
Interface for Fixed Broadband Wireless Access Systems") today.
The approval sets the stage for the widespread deployment of 10 to 66
GHz
wireless metropolitan area networks as an economical method of
high-speed
"last-mile" connection to public networks.
The global IEEE 802.16 WirelessMAN(TM) air interface standard is the
first
broadband wireless access standard from an accredited standards body.
It
will be published by January 2002. Until then, the approved draft can
be
found in the IEEE catalog at <http://WirelessMAN.org/published.html.>
"The new WirelessMAN standard is a groundbreaking development that
changes
the landscape for providers and customers of high-speed networks," said
Roger Marks, Chair of the 802.16 Working Group on Broadband Wireless
Access.
"The standard makes highly efficient use of bandwidth and supports
voice,
video and data applications with the quality that customers demand."
The 802.16 standard creates a platform on which to build a broadband
wireless industry using high-rate systems that install rapidly without
extensive metropolitan cable infrastructures. It was created in a
two-year,
open-consensus process that involved hundreds of engineers from the
world's
leading operators and vendors.
The standard enables interoperability among devices from multiple
manufacturers. It includes a medium access control layer (MAC) that
supports
multiple physical layer specifications. The physical layer is optimized
for
bands from 10 to 66 GHz. Extensions to the 2 to 11 GHz bands are
expected to
be completed next summer in the Working Group's 802.16a amendment.
The companion IEEE Standard 802.16.2 ("IEEE Recommended Practice for
Local
and Metropolitan Area Networks - Coexistence of Fixed Broadband
Wireless
Access Systems") was published by IEEE in September 2001. This document
provides guidelines for system deployment and is expected to be a
valuable
source of planning information for operators wishing to deploy IEEE
802.16
systems.
About the IEEE 802.16 Working Group
The IEEE 802.16 Working Group on Broadband Wireless Access has 178
members
and 52 official observers. It operates via an open process to develop
accredited air interface standards and recommended practices for the
global
development and deployment of fixed broadband wireless access systems.
It
meets bimonthly and has a record of rapidly reaching technical
consensus.
The Group's standards provide for high-speed network access to homes
and
enterprises. For more information on the IEEE 802.16 Working Group,
visit
<http://WirelessMAN.org.>
The working group is a unit of the IEEE 802 LAN/MAN Standards
Committee, the
premier transnational forum for wireless networking standardization.
The new
IEEE 802.16 standard joins the widely used family of Ethernet and
wireless
networking standards developed by the committee.
About the IEEE Standards Association
The IEEE Standards Association is an international membership
organization
serving today's industries with a complete portfolio of standards
programs.
The IEEE-SA is a major component of the Institute of Electrical and
Electronic Engineers, the world's largest technical professional
society.
IEEE-SA membership, through the IEEE, promotes the engineering process
by
creating, developing, integrating, sharing and applying knowledge about
electro- and information technologies and sciences for the benefit of
humanity and the profession. For more information on IEEE-SA, visit
<http://standards.ieee.org.>
CONTACT: The IEEE Standards Association
Roger Marks, 303/497-3037
marks@nist.gov
Dean Chang, 408/719-9977
dchang@apertonet.com
Karen McCabe, 732/562-3824
k.mccabe@ieee.org
EZ, Where the heck did that come from?
Posted this on 5 DEC in the yahoo BTS.
Any thoughts on FIRE at .75?
FirePond Inc. creates intelligent selling and online customer service software that helps companies to improve ROI by solving the most difficult aspects of customer acquisition and retention. Firepond's SalesPerformer and eServicePerfomer products leverage intelligence engines and automation technology to significantly shorten sales cycles, create greater revenue per channel and per rep., ensure accurate sales orders, develop complex proposals in hours, maximize price optimization, improve contact center productivity, reduced service times, and lower CSR turnover. Headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts, Firepond supplies solutions for more than 100 diverse companies including ABB, AT&T Wireless, Compaq, Continental Airlines, Empire Blue Cross Blue Shield, Ford Europe, Freightliner, Hitachi, Honda of Japan, John Deere, KLA-Tencor, NEC International, Renault, Ricoh Europe, Sikorsky Aircraft and Virgin Mobile.
Book Value (mrq*) $1.55
Total Cash (mrq) $44.3M
Shares Outstanding 38.8M
Float 14.0M
Support Price (5day): $0.720
Support Price (20day): $0.710
Support Price (50day): $0.410
Support Price (100day): $0.410
Resistance Price (5day): $0.960
Resistance Price (20day): $0.980
Resistance Price (50day): $0.980
Resistance Price (100day): $1.000
Zacks average brokerage recommendation is Hold
Two or more executives, directors or major shareholders purchased a large number of shares recently. Very positive
One or more analysts has significantly increased quarterly earnings estimates for FIRE. Positive
Shares are neither being accumulated heavily nor sold heavily by financial institutions. Neutral for a small company like FIRE
The StockScouter measure of relative price change and consistency is high. Positive
The consenous was to try to buy uner .70, then look at a top aroung $1. Missed the bottom and did not buy. Closed 7 DEC 01 at .84, breaking the resistance of .83. Next resistance will be .98.
Coulda been a next 30% gain
Bookmarked. Thanks
Thanks muel. Josh said he din't like the way yahoo works, so thought I could create an extension for the ihubbers
After digging around on WHX, I don't think this is a stock to play with. Throwing it out the window- Tim
WHX Corporation is a holding company that has been structured to invest in and/or acquire a diverse group of businesses on a decentralized basis. WHX's primary businesses are Handy & Harman, a diversified manufacturing company whose strategic business segments encompass, among others, specialty wire, tubing and fasteners, and precious metals plating and fabrication, Unimast Incorporated, a manufacturer of steel framing and other products for commercial and residential construction and WHX Entertainment Corp., a co-owner of a racetrack and video lottery facility located in Wheeling, West Virginia. WHX's other business consists of Wheeling-Pittsburgh Corporation and its subsidiaries, including Wheeling-Pittsburgh Steel Corporation, a vertically integrated manufacturer of value-added and flat-rolled steel products
Book Value (mrq) $9.87
Total Cash (mrq) $44.1M
Shares Outstanding 15.7M Float 1.10M
Shares Short 3.72M Percent of Float 338.0%
Charts- says wait to me
http://clearstation.etrade.com/cgi-bin/details?Symbol=whx&Refer=http://clearstation.etrade.com/
Has some legal problems:
The WPC Group is a party to various litigation matters
including
general liability claims covered by insurance. Claims that are
"pre-petition"
claims for Chapter 11 purposes will ultimately be handled in accordance with
the
terms of a confirmed Plan of Reorganization in Chapter 11 cases. In the
opinion
of management, litigation claims are not expected to have a material
adverse
effect on the WPC Group's results of operations or its ability to reorganize.
joemoney, Did OK, sold at .90 on ENE. Also, gained on BIGT and XING. Good week for me
I'm removing this board mark and posting here
http://www.investorshub.com/boards/board.asp?board_id=865
Matt, started a board called BTS- Question? How do I use the email feature for chair mail? Thanks- Tim
only 1mil float. 3mil shorted. Hmmm- what is your thoughts on this one?
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/w/whx.html
I got a feeling that with BS announceing 4 companies consolidating, This is one to own. I will watch it closely
To steal a pharse from another board:
A thread is born.
Let's exchange notes on quality stocks, undiscovered gems, and POS BBs *BEFORE* the pump, *NOT* during the dump.
Request that you post your trades as close to real time as possible.
Also, follow the rules. Be honest- for we all meet our maker in the end. Bottom line- lets help each other to gain financial freedom- Tim
Nope. Bought it at $2.69 and sold at $3.79. Since then made a dollar or two on ENE, BIGT, XING. Currently holding FBCE, GX, IBAS, IN and USIX.
Last night we had chat on FIRE. Thought the bottom would be .65- missed it, LOL.
Hope all is well on the island- Tim
OT: KP, drop by BTS- some solid discussion going on.
Arch- currently IN (1.70) and USIX (.2289) going 5-4-5, LOL
Stopped out on BIGT at .57 and xing at 5.55. Been a good couple of days.
FBCE put out two PRs after the bell yesterday.
FiberCore Announces Second Major Expansion of Its German Facility
http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/011206/cgth059_1.html
FiberCore in Arbitration with Japanese Supplier
http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/011206/cgth060_1.html
Josh, can I send this to a couple of people?
BIGT jumped up fast. Anyone see where it ended in afterhours?
Josh, what do you think of IBAS now, LOL? I'm having a good week