After filling the gap at 6.35 yesterday, perhaps today the one at 5.77 will get filled too.

Naively, my expectation was 2H23, because that’s what he himself set in the August CC. He kinda slipped the delay in there, making it our fault for expecting things to happen according to previously communicated timelines. 🤷‍♂️

From todays call:

“after the last 12-week readout, there was an additional safety follow-up and that's basically why the timing is maybe a little bit different from expectations”

Gaps fill. Another one at 5.7

You have to read between the lines. He no longer mentioned on track for 2H23 and explained why there was a delay of the readout.

No Rett data this year. “But we are on track” …no you’re not since you wont make 2H23

There are two gaps waiting to be filled: at 6.35 and 5.70
Gaps tend to fill absent breaking news.

11 months of waiting for this data..and counting

There is a gap around 6.30 that will be filled

No one cares about a market of 450 million people? Reality check.

What happened to ADCS-ADL data ?

Peer-reviewed publication can take anything between 6 months to a year.

AF’s piece was already out on Friday. Didn't make much difference. I am sure there will be a followup after todays CC.

https://www.statnews.com/2022/12/02/an-anavex-study-spin-job-sullies-an-otherwise-spectacular-alzheimers-conference/

they were here but since removed

https://www.anavex.com/_files/ugd/79bcf7_669721c3ce0e4868b5c52ba343b24064.pdf?fbclid=IwAR05XjJZtD9jBjl_YWRtTfSLS3c0Ac_HpqrFm5CVv3x0dsf8adMPs3uBZbg

I agree with your sentiment. The fact that the presentation has now been removed indicates the issues raised are valid. This needs to be clarified before market opening or keep the stock halted until it is.

However, I cannot phantom that the statistical analysis and p-value hinges on these slides. If it does, that we be the fuck up of the century.

So either the slides lack info to explain the discrepancies or someone made typos due time pressure?

Isn’t that sad that it only took a few hours to question the numbers based on arithmetic errors (at face value)

I feel a new PR coming.

Database cleanup/lockup was 2 weeks ago. This is outside of AVXL control.

But who handled the data in between that event and day-1?

I hate this amateurism where these mistakes slip by. AVXL should hire a twitter critic to go through the slides and pick’m apart before they release.

Fortunately that’s what peer reviewers will do but that will take many more months.

Watch the video. Anavex received the data yesterday. McFarlane received the ppt one hour before.

Question: did Anavex had to do all the calculation on p value in the last 24h or was this delivered to them?

If the error in slide 21 turns out to true then ADAS-COG is not stat significant.

If you take ADS-COG from slide 16 for the aggregate arm then its 28.75 with a delta of 1.61. This enhances p value

What I read is innuendo, alluding to nefarious stuff. But never anything to back it up.

I fully agree. But I also ride the waves. It went up with no reason from 2 to 3.6. Better to make money on these waves.

You blame the rollout or the data ?

I have read that a million times before on here. Only very recently did it become true

Got in TPIV in 2015 around .30 and kicked myself for not selling in the run up that year. Finally sold my intake in 2018 with the big run up after MRKR merger. Now I am riding and trading free shares.

Price action lately puzzles me as I fail to see the reason why it is continuously rising, step by step. Not an a huge volume, but decent enough. Can only conclude that someone is accumulating. But why? They know something? What am I missing?

Don’t really understand the price action lately on low volume. Somebody seems to be buying and buying.

I learned the hard way that trading around a core is better then having money tied up for many years. Whatever the science. Always being afraid to miss the big run means you always miss.

That’s why I sold some weeks ago as it ran on nothing but gamestock air. It was bound to go back down and the offering helped too.

So if one knows a pump and dump is ongoing, you ride it. No? At least I did when it suddenly ran on nothing some weeks ago. Sold 7000 shares out around 3, bought back 11000 last week around 1.85. Feeling pretty good with 4000 extra free shares.

Or Rkmatters

Seriously at 1.75 ? Why not at 3 some weeks ago? Glad I took profit then, can jump in cheap again.

Yesterday’s run inspired by the SA article?

BIIB got 2-73 over 3 years ago. You think todays publication comes as a surprise to them? If so, they are suckers in r&d

If it is this good for MS, you think BIIB will sit on the drug for 3 years and think about it??

Oh sure, 3 years on they are still testing it...

It must not have impressed BIIB too much since they had the drug for testing.

Sounds like a “yes, but”. Long timeline to go...

It was the only run and slaughter: summer 2017 it ran from 4 to 8 in anticipation of AAIC data, only to be pushed all the way down. And we have never since been back.

Euh... wrong. October 2015, run up to 14 and brutally slaughtered thereafter. In fact it has never seen 14 since.

I am kicking myself for not selling at 9... could have doubled my shares.