Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.
Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.
Which antivirus program will slow down my Windows 8.1 notebook the least and still protect it?
Which antivirus program will slow down my Windows 8.1 notebook the least and still protect it?
$SPX turned Up yesterday about 1230 (NYT) while I was away.
Testing resistance presently.
Be aware two big weeks of earnings coming up, e.g., INTC, AAPL, etc.
Trend is Up barring major bad economic news.
It's important to remember price action and then moving averages rule.
All other technical indicators that are derivatives of price action are secondary.
Some leveraged ETFs to follow:
SPXL
SPXS
SOXL
SOXS
TECL
TECS
. . . for possible day or swing trading only, IMO.
Remember $SPX moving Up and Down has implications for the various leveraged S&P 500 based ETFs such as bullish SSO, etc.
How many bullish and bearish ones are there, anyway?
You can gain a lot by watching $SPX.
You're welcome.
For those who were watching the hourly chart yesterday, 5 July, you saw a Down signal late session.
The chart knows.
The charts on this site sure have been showing some nice signals.
But only if you watch.
There's no signal if no one is there to watch.
Folks who have not used an iPad don't realize what a remarkably versatile device it is.
Apple might sell even more if they'd give group tutorials, or rent them out for a week or so, where each interested person had their own to see what it can do.
But they really don't need to do that; a person can go to any Apple store and play with one and get their questions answered, as needed.
Based on the reviews that are coming out the Kindle Fire is quite limited by comparison.
Elder also has a trading topics eBook available:
"To Trade or Not to Trade: A Beginner's Guide"
see: Amazon.com
The gaps are especially unsettling if one wants to hold trading positions overnight.
Suppose one uses SSO.
Nice, informative chart!
So why trade short term?
Why not simply check the 200 DMA signals a few times per week following the close and spend one's time in other activities?
;)
If you were watching the 15 or 60 min $SPX charts yesterday you saw this move developing toward the market close as the green line (EMA 7 or 2 respectively) peaked.
That combined with Italy's debt yields rising, the general anxious nature of eurozone participants, and the S&P Futures turning down overnight sealed the deal.
Down it goes. . .
I agree.
S&P futures are in the red presently and may be starting a bigger move down. . .
How would you rank the various indicators in terms of significance, power, or, say, practical importance to a trader?
TREND1, What do you make of this chart?
What does this tell you?
Uptrend that started yesterday PM for $SPX and TNA continues.
AAPL joined today.
But note how you may be late to the run if you only follow Daily or longer charts.
Hourly charts are informative. . .
As one moves out to longer time frame charts the optimal EMA merges with price action.
An EMA of 1 is price action.
Watch price action on all time frames. All derivatives are secondary.
$SPX, TNA, and AAPL all continue Down today.
We'll see if there's a bounce later today or tomorrow.
Maybe the start of one. . .only the chart knows, and only the chart will tell.
The interested student of the market can find out how these short term setups develop and are resolved by checking shorter time frame charts, e.g., 15 or 5 min ones, etc.
Use larger EMAs for the shorter charts, shorter ones for the longer time frame charts.
If you were watching the 60 min (or faster) chart today you saw $SPX, TNA, and eventually AAPL turn lower, as indicated by price action, EMAs, STO and MACD.
If you want to check for faster price action go to shorter time frame charts (30, 15 min, etc.) all the way down to tick data, if that is what you want.
AAPL counter trending the broader market today.
Futures turning down yesterday (overnight) presaged gap down this AM.
As far as efficiency is concerned an intraday trader (day or swing) may be prudent to simply attend to price action and one of the following EMA sets:
2,4
5,8
7,11
9,16,
where, in general, there is an inverse relationship between the size of the EMAs and the chart time frame, with the shortest time frame 15 min and the longest 120 min.
If one wants, watch STO for a hint of directional changes to come.
Stay as calm as possible during the process. Exit at the end of the day if comfortable sleep is an issue.
$SPX, TNA, and AAPL: Charts in the Board Info Box above.
More from Kahneman: Nobel Prize Winner: Stock Advisors are Worthless
http://www.forbes.com/sites/petercohan/2011/10/24/nobel-prize-winner-stock-advisors-are-worthless/
Didn't someone say, "Never short a dull market."
;)
Book Review: Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman
http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/book-review-thinking-fast-and-slow-by-daniel-kahneman-10272011.html
Smart book.
Read it and think.
$SPX, TNA, and AAPL marginally Down.
Markets nearly flat this AM.
No significant change for $SPX, TNA, and AAPL. Bias appears higher, presently.
The problem with backtesting is it doesn't take into consideration the human element, the trader's emotions, and "information" collected from other sources, e.g., iHub, CNBC talk, eurozone issues, futures on the CME, etc.
Humans are messy information processors made of meat, not silicon gate computers.
The task is to keep things as simple as possible, practical, and prompt. Strive to stay on the right side of the market, use protection, stops, etc.
All of those are important for consideration. . .that's where judgment comes in, plus willingness to monitor closely, hold overnight, etc.
IMO, TNA 60 is still Up, but very risky for buying now. . .don't be surprised if it turns Down tomorrow.
Pick any day or hour on a chart and decide if it's a case of Up, Down, or flat. . .
Decisions by humans will always involve an element of judgment, probably influenced by emotion and a few extraneous factors, e.g., talking heads on CNBC, eurozone debt issues, earnings season, etc.
The Big Four in order of importance, IMO:
1) Price Action
2) Moving Averages
3) STO
4) MACD