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When the stock failed to advance past 42.5, the resistance level was confirmed. The stock subsequently traded up to 42.5 two more times after that and failed to surpass resistance both times.
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There were still two more opportunities (days) to get in on the action. On the third day after the breakout, the stock gapped up and moved above 56.
Tweezer Bottoms
The Tweezer Bottom formation is a bullish reversal pattern seen at the bottom of downtrends.
Tweezer Bottom formation consists of two candlesticks:
Bearish Candle (Day 1)
Bullish Candle (Day 2)
Sometimes Tweezer Bottoms have three candlesticks.
A bullish Tweezer Bottom occurs during a downtrend when bears continue to take prices lower, usually closing the day near the lows (a bearish sign). Nevertheless, Day 2 is completely opposite because prices open and go nowhere but upwards. This bullish advance on Day 2 sometimes eliminates all losses from the previous day.
The bears pushed the price of Exxon-Mobil (XOM) downwards on Day 1; however, the market on Day 2 opened where prices closed on Day 1 and went straight up, reversing the losses of Day 2. A buy signal would generally be given on the day after the Tweezer Bottom, assuming the candlestick was bullish green.
The Tweezer Top and Bottom reversal pattern is extremely helpful because it visually indicates a transfer of power and sentiment from the bulls and the bears. Of course other technical indicators should be consulted before making a buy or sell signal based on the Tweezer patterns.
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Support and Resistance Zones
Because technical analysis is not an exact science, it is useful to create support and resistance zones. This is contrary to the strategy mapped out for Lucent Technologies (LU), but it is sometimes the case.
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Successful traders isolate themselves from the opinions of others.
When supply and demand are equal, prices move sideways as bulls and bears slug it out for control.
BULLISH BREAKAWAY
There is a downtrend but we also see that the prices bottom out and level off now. The result is a long white candlestick that however does not close the initial downward gap of the first and second days. This suggests a short-term reversal.
Recognition Criteria:
1. Market is characterized by downtrend.
2. We see a long black candlestick in the first day.
3. Then we see a black candlestick on the second day with a gap below the first day.
4. Bearish mood continues on the third and fourth days as evidenced by lower consecutive closes.
5. Finally however, we see a long white candlestick on the fifth day characterized by a closing price inside the gap caused by the first and second days.
Explanation:
The Bullish Breakaway Pattern appears during a downtrend and it shows that selling accelerated to the point of an oversold market. It starts with a long black day then involves a gap in the direction of the downtrend followed by three consecutively lower price days. So far, all days in this pattern are black with the exception of the third day, which can be either be black or white. The three days after the gap are similar to the Three Black Crows pattern since their highs and lows are each consecutively lower. It is by now apparent that the downtrend has accelerated with a big gap and then starts to fizzle, however it still continues. There is an evident slow deterioration of the downtrend suggested by this pattern. Finally, we see a burst in the opposite direction, which completely recovers the previous three days' price action. The gap is not filled which points out to the weakness of the reversal. This is a short-term reversal.
Important Factors:
A confirmation on the sixth day is recommended in the form of a white candlestick, a large gap up or a higher close, to be sure about the reversal.
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Even though there is a long black candlestick indicating an open at 59, the stock fell so fast that it was impossible to exit above 44.
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The high and low are represented by the top and bottom of the vertical bar and the close is the short horizontal line crossing the vertical bar.
The deepest secret for the trader is to subordinate his will to the will of the market. The market is truth as it reflects all forces that bear upon it. As long as he recognizes this he is safe. When he ignores this, he is lost and doomed.
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Once you have chosen a particular charting methodology, it is probably best to stick with it and learn how best to read the signals.
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While technical analysts use charts almost exclusively, the use of charts is not limited to just technical analysis.
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BULLISH MEETING LINES
We sometimes see that market gaps sharply lower when it opens and then closes at the same level as the prior session’s close. This is seen following a black candlestick in a downtrend. Such an occurrence is called Bullish Meeting Lines Pattern that is a pattern reflecting a stalemate between bulls and bears.
Recognition Criteria:
1. Market is characterized by downtrend.
2. We see a black candlestick on the first day.
3. Then we see a long white candlestick on the second day. Its body is lower than the previous trend.
4. The closing prices are same or almost same on both days.
5. Both candlesticks are long but the second candlestick may be shorter than the first.
Explanation:
This pattern appears during a decline. The first candlestick of this pattern is long and black. However the next session opens sharply lower causing the bears to feel confident. Then the bulls start a counterattack pushing the prices up and leading to a close equal to previous close. The downtrend is now breached.
Important Factors:
The Bullish Meeting Lines Pattern is a pattern that is comparable to the Bullish Piercing Line Pattern. The Piercing Line has the same two-candlestick pattern. The main difference between the two is the fact that the bullish counterattack does not carry the prices up to the prior session’s white real body in the case of Bullish Meeting Lines Pattern. It can only get back to prior session’s close while The Piercing Line Pattern’s second line pushes well into the black real body. Consequently the Piercing Line Pattern is a more significant bottom reversal. Nonetheless, the Bullish Meeting Lines Pattern should also be respected.
The Bullish Meeting Lines Pattern requires confirmation of the reversal on the third day. This confirmation may be in the form of a white candlestick, a large gap up or a higher close on the third day.
A graphical historical record makes it easy to spot the effect of key events on a security's price, its performance over a period of time and whether it's trading near its highs, near its lows, or in between.
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Position Sizing – How much to buy or sell The decision about how much to buy or sell is absolutely fundamental, and yet is often glossed over or handled improperly by most traders.
LONG LEGGED DOJI
Long Legged Doji is a doji characterized with very long shadows. It shows the indecision of the buyers and sellers. It is one of the important reversal signals.
Recognition Criteria:
1. Market is characterized by a bearish mood and downtrend.
2. Then we see a Doji that gaps in the direction of the downtrend.
3. The real body is either a horizontal line or it is significantly small.
4. Both of the upper and lower shadows are long and they are almost equal in length.
Explanation:
Long Legged Doji shows that there is a great deal of confusion and indecision in the market. This particular pattern shows that the prices moved well above and below the day's opening level, however they finally closed virtually at the same level with the opening price. The end result is only a little change from the opening price despite the whole volatility and excitement during the day that clearly reflects that the market lost its sense of direction.
Important Factors:
Long Legged Doji is more important at tops.
Long Legged Doji is a single candlestick pattern. It requires confirmation in the form of a move opposite to the prior trade on the next trading day.
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In Nov/Dec-99, Lucent Technologies (LU)[Lu] formed a trading range that resembled a head and shoulders pattern (red oval). When the stock broke support at 60, there was little or no time to exit.
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Falling prices reflect decreasing demand and a weak economy. The chart below shows a clear positive relationship between industrial metals and the S
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Walking the Bands
Moves above or below the bands are not signals as such. As Bollinger puts it, moves that touch or exceed the bands are not signals, but rather "tags". On the face of it, a move to the upper band shows strength, while a sharp move to the lower band shows weakness. Momentum oscillators work much the same way. Overbought is not necessarily bullish. It takes strength to reach overbought levels and overbought conditions can extend in a strong uptrend. Similarly, prices can "walk the band" with numerous touches during a strong uptrend. Think about it for a moment. The upper band is 2 standard deviations above the 20-period simple moving average. It takes a pretty strong price move to exceed this upper band. An upper band touch that occurs after a Bollinger Band confirmed W-Bottom would signal the start of an uptrend. Just as a strong uptrend produces numerous upper band tags, it is also common for prices to never reach the lower band during an uptrend. The 20-day SMA sometimes acts as support. In fact, dips below the 20-day SMA sometimes provide buying opportunities before the next tag of the upper band.
The chart above shows Air Products (APD) with a surge and close above the upper band in mid July. First, notice that this is a strong surge that broke above two resistance levels. A strong upward thrust is a sign of strength, not weakness. Trading turned flat in August and the 20-day SMA moved sideways. The Bollinger Bands narrowed, but APD did not close below the lower band. Prices, and the 20-day SMA, turned up in September. Overall, APD closed above the upper band at least five times over a four month period. The indicator window shows the 10-period Commodity Channel Index (CCI). Dips below -100 are deemed oversold and moves back above -100 signal the start of an oversold bounce (green dotted line). The upper band tag and breakout started the uptrend. CCI then identified tradable pullbacks with dips below -100. This is an example of combining Bollinger Bands with a momentum oscillator for trading signals.
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Investor Hub Alerts: Sign up for 'STOCKGOODIES PLAYS OF THE WEEK ' E-Mail List UPDATE; 5-1-22 courtesy of charting /\ wit tweezer top calls /\ Tony @Montana_Trades Really good study sheet on Candlestick Patterns [-chart]pbs.twimg.com/media/FRn8188XMAAdZvk?format=jpg&name=small[/chart]
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