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Going higher the US economy is doomed by tariffs can't stop the beast Institutions dollar selling... And interest rates rose for 10-year Treasury bonds because there are more sellers than buyers....
Another nice trade $27s to $31s TMV time to exit as overbought now. Pretend economy great real one not so much so unless you own stocks and real estate…lol. Time for TMF
#TMV: $30 HANDEL...
#TMV: WTF.... 75% RED...!
I am keenly aware that the biggest short in $silver ever is BOA right now... these guys are going to get blown up if they do not stop but... they just play real games with money created on a keyboard. How bad can it be for these 'too big to fail' institutions?
I saw your screen name and thought you were replying to my Bank of America post. They are related. Maybe the audience can work that out as well?
LOL!!! After this week... I think the audience has a clue.
Do you think they figured it out yet?
#TMV: $80.... JUST THE BEGINNING... -)
$400k $60
looking to add another $800k in 2 tranches...
$1.2M total..
Bidding the dip we should see when there market bounces before the crash
Bonds having trouble... maybe this is it... (link back)...
It was a bubble before the virus. It's a full fledged blimp now. It probably won't pop until a vaccine is widely distributed and the economy grows. Then it will be like Lakehurst in May of 1937. "Oh, the humanity."
unlimited quantitive easing can keep bond market in a bubble? or does it collapse and the short ETF's start to breakout?
short bond ETF's on watch; anyone willing to take me to sunday school?
TYBS
TMV
TMF
TBF
UBT
TTT
TBT
Been ripe for a while. They are still hanging on. I can't imagine any capitalist locking in these rates for 30 years unless they are the borrower. Lending money at this rate to the government is like asking them to spend it frivolously.
Lend it to Trump so he can buy Greenland and install golden toilet fixtures?
Bonds are ripe for a major fall... the market will force this correction in a highly manipulated market:
FinViz charts are in the link or in the i-Box...
https://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=BONDS&p=d1
The perfect storm. Government giving out all that money, and doesn't have a high rate. They don't have to print so much to cover it. Won't have to raise taxes. Maybe the buyers will lend some to me?
It's a great place to put your money if you want to leave your grandchildren with a socialist country fighting endless wars. What else would the government do with Trillions at these rates?
OTOH, the war on warming and corona could be endless without so many young people at risk. I'm already fighting in both wars and I'm not so young.
I would put money in bonds if they paid a decent rate. I'll take the risk of stocks until they do. Sell bonds, clear the money market, buy stocks. Even commodities. I got a boatload of oil for cheap.
The bond hyper bubble is the last place for IRA's/retirement accounts. When the bubble bursts, that's it. No retirement for anybody because stocks will wipeout with the bonds.
I figure it's the only way to SAVE AMERICA from socialism. They only want 1.28% for a 30 year bond? They either have too much money, or they don't believe in Capitalism. You need a healthy rate on the bonds or most people won't save for retirement. Then they start collecting checks from the government.
I spose the government can pay them, too. Just issue more bonds.
I've reviewed TMV calls for Jan. 2022... looks tantalizing.
What they call "sovereign debt," not really the "bond market" so much as the money that governments use to fund wars. Can you imagine? All those people funding Donald Trump's administration. I am actually for the Donald, but not for giving him that much money to spend.
The hyper bubble is the bond market bar none.
Soon, this fund will outperform nearly everything across every sector...
Markets reversed from their earlier plunge on FED news:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20200323a.htm
Dollar rampage spurs FX interventions, speculation of big G7 move
Karin Strohecker, Sujata Rao - MARCH 19, 2020 / 4:22 PM / 2 DAYS AGO
https://www.reuters.com/article/uk-health-coronavirus-interventions/dollar-rampage-spurs-fx-interventions-speculation-of-big-g7-move-idUSKBN2163SU
LONDON (Reuters) - From Brazil to Norway, policymakers are leaping to defend currencies against the onslaught of the dollar which scaled three-year peaks on Thursday, raising speculation that a joint move by the world’s biggest central banks may be in the offing.
Unlikely, most market-watchers say. But these are unusual times, and Norway’s central bank earlier in the day threatened to intervene to lift the crown, a step it hasn’t taken in more than 20 years.
The warning followed the crown’s 30% plunge versus the dollar in less than three weeks, though oil’s price collapse contributed.
But the dollar’s brutal ascent — up 5% this month against a basket of peers — has sent almost every other currency reeling. Amid the crisis caused by worries about how badly the coronavirus pandemic will hit the world economy, investors and companies around the world have been scrambling to get their hands on the market’s most liquid currency.
That forced highly unexpected moves such as a 15 basis-point rate rise from Denmark to support its crown while other countries such as Russia and Brazil engaged in direct dollar-buying. And South Africa said it did not rule out emergency interventions.
Despite these efforts, a global stampede for dollar funding meant currencies across the world sank to multi-year or record lows against the greenback. Some relief came after the U.S. Federal Reserve opened $450 billion in swap lines to several central banks but the pressure broadly remains.
“If there is one currency causing problems right now and aggravating the sell-off in global asset markets, it is the U.S. dollar,” ING Bank told clients.
Could the answer lie in large-scale global intervention to tame the greenback?
Most top central banks, with the exception perhaps of Switzerland, are committed to letting markets determine exchange rates. Yet many welcomed Norway’s shift; Danske Bank economist Frank Jullum urged it to buy crowns “by the bucketful”.
One issue is that piecemeal central bank interventions are often doomed to fail as individual economies usually lack the firepower to influence currency markets for any length of time But shock-and-awe moves such as the coordinated Group of Seven moves to weaken the yen, seen after the 9/11 terror attacks or the 2011 Japan tsunami, have worked.
Alternatively the United States could act alone, some say, noting that dollar strength was highly unwelcome at a time when the U.S. economy is headed for recession. The last time the Fed went out on its own was in the early 1990s under George H.W. Bush to stem a soaring dollar.
“The U.S. has brought in almost all its instruments, the one that hasn’t been done is intervention - the stronger the dollar gets the more likely the U.S. government will consider intervening,” said Thomas Flury, head of FX strategies at UBS Global Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Office.
“Typical during past crises, FX interventions helped calm not only FX markets but also equities and brought credit spreads down and that is something they will be keen to do.”
The manipulation game can only go for so long... in the commodities sector, bonds are listed and going short is a viable option for me to take advantage of this developing situation. Safest bet is this ETF. I'll be checking on options. Capital preservation above all.
https://www.danielstrading.com/2020/03/11/how-to-use-commodity-contracts-to-hedge-against-the-unknown
#TMV: Protecting the $USD will crash the 20-30 yr.
Just a matter of time....:-}
We've been watching this for a few years...
Could this be the start...?
The trend change looks to be dramatic...
Prior to watching this video, I'll tell you what I know which is no real shock - when the bonds break hard downward, it will suck everything into the void. Be ULTRA cautious out there!!!
cs - thank you for sharing this with us.
#TMV: Bonds going KAPUTT...:-}
http://www.direxion.com/products/direxion-daily-20-year-treasury-bull-3x-etf
#TMV: Peter Schiff Season...:-}
#TMV: Getting ever closer to that day. . How about $5.00 PPS ETF
It’s a show of strength
Crypto is a direct competitor of the USD. Possibly a stress test.
The old anti debt play here. Could continue tomorrow. Hope you bank, dog
Goodluck
Keep trying
We’re close
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http://www.direxion.com/products/direxion-daily-20-year-treasury-bull-3x-etf
The Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull & Bear 3X Shares seek daily investment results, before fees and expenses, of 300%, or 300% of the inverse (or opposite), of the performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. There is no guarantee the funds will meet their stated investment objectives.
These leveraged ETFs seek a return that is 300% or -300% of the return of their benchmark index for a single day. The funds should not be expected to provide three times or negative three times the return of the benchmark’s cumulative return for periods greater than a day.
Quote from Doug Casey - 3.25.2020 - "... bonds are in a hyper bubble..."
20_03_23_Casey_liferay.mp4http://www.direxion.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/tmf-tmv-fact-sheet.pdf
https://ycharts.com/indicators/20_year_treasury_rate
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