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RE-UVXY.....10....+ Daily. .trend HH...
10..
https://schrts.co/NQxYGQXf
DAILY.
https://schrts.co/JKwVXXCq
Actually one of my indicators hadnt given confirm yet. The MA 3 and 8 hadnt XO'd yet I missed that during the EOD rush to look at all my charts. My signals might be slow but generate less whips.
So far this AM is telling me I shouldnt have took.
BOIL
BUY SIGNAL??? Buy signal for BOIL was last week...lol...but who knew about a nice rebound...
Here's my last 3 month return of CMA type ETFs @ annual rate.
FLOT 7.38%
MINT 6.54
GSY 5.72
TFLO 5.57
SGOV 5.25
BIL 5.19
vs.
TDA's "sweep acct" 0.35% ......LOL!!!
I was watching the L2 screens of these AH today, TFLO might still be a candidate, order book was pretty deep. 1c spread.
Never mind about TFLO, that dog wont hunt. AH trading is a no-go, worse than FLOT. For "sweep" purposes SGOV BIL Kingdaddy's right now.
That said, if you can figure out your MOC orders then TFLO would work but not much better return for the flexibility of a SGOV
I was looking at TFLO as alternative to BIL or SGOV.
FLOT for sure better for RTH moves.
I need to watch TFLO AH before I consider it.
How to do you see TFLO vs FLOT?
Interest rates certainly jetted up. 10yr 4.32 up from 4.21 previous close
Powell comments are at play. Some people suggesting that we will have only one or none rate cuts this year.
I have yet to update my "CMA" type ETF chart, too many things going on today. Im real busy this week getting my house fixed up for out of town company this weekend and Monday. I am 4.5mi from the Eclipse center line and it will be a crazy time for sure.
I use this site (see below) and use 3 months history. My objective is to compare the ETFs against one another and look at liquidity RTH and AH plus price volitility to decide where to put my cash.
Im tracking TFLO also.
TFLO
UVXY.....10....+ Daily..trend HH...
10..
https://schrts.co/NQxYGQXf
DAILY.
https://schrts.co/JKwVXXCq
this chart is the main source for my short "veto" . Going short is not very profitable on most swing trades right now. Quick time frames different story of course.
That explains some of the charts I see not matching up with the current front end futures. probably best to follow the front end futures for trading BOIL, but a big move in spot might be something to watch as well. If I find a good Spot Henry Hub chart, I will share also.
I might have a buy signal today in BOIL
I can draw either a wedge (dashed lines) or a channel (solid lines) and still get a minimum of 3 touch points for each line, which is the rule of thumb. For now, the melt up continues. I continue watching and waiting for a break down... GLTY
https://archive.is/IlDKr#selection-793.0-805.360
https://archive.is/www.zerohedge.com/markets/meltup-continue-last-week-hedge-funds-shorted-most-stocks-start-2024-goldman-prime
I found an interesting graph for #natgas vs spot price... https://twitter.com/aeberman12/status/1774391149517537786/photo/1 I'm trying to get the link for updated graphs...
D > got it > Thank you
In my chart I showed the APR% for each month. 4.96% Jan 5.77% Feb and 5.60% for Mar.
Let me show how a ytd APR would be calculated.
The close Fri was 100.71. The close for Dec 29 was when adjusted 99.408.
That is a gain of 1.013097537 if I don't subtract the 1 and get the actual yield of 1.3097537%.
I now want to calculate the daily interest rate. From Dec 29 to Fri is exactly 90 days, the formula would be
1.013097537 ^ (1/90) = 1.000144594 ( again the actual gain would need the 1 subtracted to get .000144594%
Note: most calculators have either a "shift" or "2nd" button to make it each to just take the 90th root of the ytd gain (with the 1 still included).
Now that I have the daily rate, all I have to do is raise it to the 365th power to get the annual rate.
1.000144594 ^ 365 = 1.054190254
So the YTD APR is 5.42%
These formulas would be written out as
daily interest = (1 + ytd gain) ^1/(number of days in period) - 1
APR % = (1 + daily interest) ^ 365 - 1
It took me a while to figure out how dividends are used to adjust past closes some years ago. Yahoo used to do a good job of it, but no more.
Stock Charts allows us to see the raw numbers (data reported each close of the day) and the number adjusted to take into account the dividends.
On Fri SGOV closed at 100.71. After the dividend is paid Monday that number will be adjusted to 100.26. The formula used for adjusting back data is the following.
Previous Close (Fri) - Dividend (Monday) divided by Previous close
100.71 - .449911 / 100.71 = .995533
So Fri will be adjusted 100.71 * .995533 = 100.26.
All previous data will get multiplied by the same factor. As you go back in time, the factor grows smaller as each new factor is multiplied by factor from previous dividend payments.
As the data stands right now the Dec 29 adjusted close according to SC is 99.408. I also have 99.408.
As on Monday my Dec 29th adjusted number will change to 98.964
Below are two charts from Stock Charts showing adjusted numbers and then unadjusted or raw numbers. They I show my worksheet.
D ?? >
You might want to use this to base your numbers
I'm certain your numbers are correct just not certain where they came from
If you want you can download the Nasdaq data > it's in a CVS format > assume you use Excel
Nasdaq log is an official register
sgov
https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/etf/sgov/historical
https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/etf/sgov/dividend-history
flot
https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/etf/flot/historical
https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/etf/flot/dividend-history
Excellent, thanks. And 6 significant figures to boot.
SGOV div >
Ex/EFF Date /Type /Cash Amount /Declaration Date/Record Date/Payment Date
04/01/2024 Cash $0.449911 11/28/2023 04/02/2024 04/05/2024
FLOT >
Ex/EFF Date /Type/Cash Amount /Declaration Date/Record Date/Payment Date
04/01/2024 Cash $0.255934 03/28/2024 04/02/2024 04/05/2024
D > is this the screen you started with ? >
That was done by the TOS devs labeled as SSE light so as not to freak out
the new users of TOS > They did a pretty good job but to me it is "horrible" >
You do have other options quickly availiable
More "Save Work Space" info >
https://my.simplertrading.com/trading-education/tutorials/create-save-workspace-in-thinkorswim
D > another tos tip >
a few other ways to "recover" from a screw up but this is easy >
How do I restore my workspace in thinkorswim?
If you accidentally lost or deleted a workspace, please try the backup/restore procedure.
To do so, log out of the thinkorswim® platform and pull-up the login screen. In the lower left corner,
click Gear Icon, then on the next window, click on the Clock icon in the same lower left corner.
Here is the best thing I have found on TOS. Under Account Statement, I can see an actual ledger with each trade and its effect on balance of cash. I had this with Fidelity, and it proved to be very useful at time. Neither Schwab Web, SSE or IB did this.
market are Closed till Monday >
Futs reopen Sunday night 5pm
NGK24 yes...that's what I've been following for a couple weeks now...I also go on X and search #natgas which gives great incite...also reports from https://www.eia.gov/naturalgas/weekly/#tabs-storage-3 also gives incite toward future prices...I'm trying to find meaningful info...natgas isn't just charts it moves from fundamentals as well...I anticipate I will be positive tomorrow with my BOIL buyin pps of 13.54 and next week anticipating back into upper 14s...
still waiting for a solid buy signal, NGK24 is the one to follow, BOIL consists of that contract and it is now the front month.
5 cents is a big swing for BOIL...and I'm following Natural Gas May '24 (NGK24) when pricing BOIL...follows closely...today report came out https://www.tradingview.com/news/barchart:d62058342094b:0-nat-gas-prices-rebound-as-weekly-eia-inventories-fall-more-than-expected/
OUT UVXY 6.28.......6.28 WAS IN =NADA
10.
https://schrts.co/NQxYGQXf
Daily....R1=6.41 TODAY HIT 6.31 CLOSED
https://schrts.co/BEbRqyRr
J > no > this is what I was talking of >
figured you and Duma do similar and if you wanted you could
share / swap workspaces between the two of you >
OR computer to computer swaps >
UVXY.....10.......+ VIX...
https://schrts.co/NQxYGQXf
No, unless you are talking about screenshot screens.
J > do you know how to do TOS share >
we are close, $1.50-1.55 is the recent low.
NG report supposed to come out tomorrow...
today NG hit a new 52 week low prolly close to 4 year low...it goes in cycles...unclear how much farther down it will go...
D > #3
some in depth stuff > you might want to save these
part 1
D > #2 vid could not get to link up >
strange but some weird youtube stuff within code
Watching BOIL closely. Not buying just yet.
J > yep you got that right >
D > between the 2 vids "most" stuff will be answered for initial
I will watch it. I am making trades but I am not impressed. Just a little entry bar at the bottom.
Nasdaq breadth PSar flipped 8 days ago
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%21ITBMRANAS&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=1&id=p97572495279
Small Cap breadth flipped 7 days ago
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%21ITBMRASML&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=1&id=p04854830264
...and SPY breadth flipped today. GLTY
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%21ITBMRASPX&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=1&id=p41516435575
D > this guy is good > might want to bookmark him >
this vid will get you into "what Is where" and some setup stuff
this will save you hours of time just reviewing this vid over and over and messing with platform
so no way to react...until Monday. I doubt any real surprise but you never know.
D > I'll put up some TOS vids that will be a big help >
lots of moving pieces in that platform > are you using 2 monitors?
Block pop-up ads http://www.adfender.com/
Dividends http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/spy/dividend-history
Three X ETF's http://www.3xetf.com/ETF_List
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