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No sell signals yet but watching my charts carefully. Worse thing I see is 3 down days of NDX BP%.
Here is a summary of the dividends for the big 2
. $ Ex Pay
SPY 1.745531 9/20 10/31
SPXL 0.19251 9/24 10/1
QQQ 0.67686 9/23 10/31
TQQQ 0.230214 9/25 10/2
$MU ......60....Daily. Trend HH....Weekly.
60.
https://schrts.co/kzkvcQAQ
D... ABV BB 20 Center line R..MA50..
https://schrts.co/bCavNxbH
Weekly...HH
https://schrts.co/NtmWnZUr
$NVDA......120.....Daily ..trend HH. Weekly
2 hours.
https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=NVDA&p=120&yr=0&mn=2&dy=1&id=p95188301295&a=578563804
Daily.
https://schrts.co/reNRnass
Weekly..
https://schrts.co/erRTIbMq
No only are they doji's they are dragonfly doji's. I consider them positive. We have only had 2 down days in the last 12 trading sessions for a total SPY gain of 5.9%. Each day we march a little higher. 60m chart has a nice trend line.
Another day ending with a Doji on the daily. This makes 4 days in a row for SPY and QQQ.
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SPY&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=1&id=p95039734664
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=QQQ&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=1&id=p95188301295
BOIL too...
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=BOIL&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=1&id=p34461796644
Seems like the market is just waiting for an event to appear...
That made me laugh. Thx
I am going to take the rest of the day off and celebrate. I feel so good.
https://www.zerohedge.com/technology/seems-magic-sam-altman-says-chatgpt-will-bring-unimaginable-prosperity-fix-climate
I pretty much use 10ema the same way you do 9ma. I had a close above 10ema on the 5th, M12 and M3 both looked good, so I bought near the open on the 6th. Twice prices have closed back down below 10ema, but it is still very early in the cycle plus again M12 was continuing to climb and M3 never closed very much below zero, so I just waited to lose more money, but it didn't happen.
Yup, their was a full candle print above the 9ma on both Sep 5th, and 6th. I bought on the 5th. The following Monday the 9th candle closed below the 9ma. The next day Tuesday the 10th was a Doji. I bailed that Tuesday with a slight loss near EOD.
I am quick to get out of BOIL when the chart hints of turning.
The chart is looking much stronger now. Today, I decided to get back in BOIL again.
Your tenacity to hold on since the 6th is more agressive than I typically am. Well done!
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=BOIL&p=D&yr=0&mn=2&dy=1&id=p18449165271
You posted back on 9/5 that you had a buy signal. I looked the next day (9/6) and bought. Looking good.
This will be interesting to follow. Thx
More regarding the Zerohedge article;
Doug Clinton, CEO and founder of Intelligent Alpha
https://www.thedeload.com/p/the-secret-intelligent-alpha-master
BOIL looking interesting again. Showed a buy signal last week Friday, but I chose not to act.
Today looks to be confirmation. I will likely buy before EOD. GLTY
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=BOIL&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=1&id=p12808135353
This should truly be interesting to see how well this etf will do.
https://www.zerohedge.com/ai/future-finance-fintech-startup-launches-ai-etf-emulates-buffet-druckenmiller-and-tepper
Thank you for sharing your analysis. I always appreciate it.
I sold SPXL near EOD Thursday. Sold others near EOD Friday.
Looking at the 60min BP's, is market roll-over on the horizon? Like you, I am watching for this. Not here yet though. GLTY
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24BPSPX&p=60&yr=0&mn=1&dy=1&id=p24506053613
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24BPCOMPQ&p=60&yr=0&mn=1&dy=1&id=p24506053613
What a roller coaster of a month this has been. The first week saw a sharp drop in all the indexes and a full recovery the second week of the month. This past week added a little bit more to the gain. As you can see FNGU is doing the best (1x gain) of the 3 indexes.
So I went to cash on 9/5 and then back into the market on 9/11. So for this cycle and this month, my index holdings are up 2.7%, 3.0% and 4.3%, so I have a positive month going when I add in the losses for the first week. But the losses for the first week were part of the last cycle and it was also a good cycle.
We will see what happens next week, but for me, the worse case would be a BE or a slight profit, but I would like to see the market continue to rise a bit more before turning. I can't tell if we are still in a solid w3 or if it topping, so only time will tell, but I actually like which I see in the QQQ chart. The SPY chart looks even better making a new ATH last week.
'quad witch' it's a big one...
$4.5 trillion notional will expire between now and 4pm
$2.6 trillion of this is SPX Sep "regular"
remaining is split across etf and single stock at end of day
well we will see what happens from here >
SPX OEX and a few more index options CASH settle at the "opening" price print of RTH Friday AM
All the other options at the closing print Friday PM lock
I have seen "many" times into the past "Post OpEx" on Monday a drop to back to "Pre FOMC" levels > see if it happens again
Just a view of the Nite Ratz at work >
For sure gravestone doji's would be a concern. I only see spinning top doji's on SPY and QQQ, so not much of a concern. The fact that the day held I consider very positive.
I went 100% long with SPXL TQQQ and FNGU on 9/11 and just added since then. 9/11 was the first close for each above 10ema and prices have not dipped below since.
As my chart shows I went long at EOD 9/13 at 26.77. I was busy at the close, so got just a little bit better price than the close of 26.85.
The chart below is my 60min trend line chart for SPXL (TQQQ is a carbon copy). I was very encouraged by how well the TL held during regular hours and then saw it immediately start to climb AH. It is truly a mystery to me why the market did this AH and then the big jump at 4am.
EDIT: Pundits and macro analysis are often distractions and crystal ball ramblings. Got to believe (and act on) the charts!!!
Speaking of which, I just scanned through mine and noticed gravestone doji's forming on several as we approach EOD. A change in momentum coming? We will see what tomorrow brings.
I applaud your success today. Being the day after the first rate cut, today could have gone either way. You placed a bet and bet correctly. I chose to wait and ended up chasing one this morning. Did you also ride GUSH starting on Aug12 or 13th? My reading of your chart indicates to me a similar alignment of your signals. Yes?
Edit: I bailed out of SPXL before EOD to capture a gain. Even though the chart shows a inverse head and shoulders that suggests it goes higher, I didn't like the Doji forming. GLTY
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SPXL&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=1&id=p21587060324
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SPY&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=1&id=p95039734664
Today has been good. SOXL +16.6% Just WOW.
Time for some reverse splits on these <$10 ETFs and ~4:1 splits on the >$100 ones.
I was quite unsettled at the close yday. The day had started off good, but by the close, I wasn't sure what was going to happen today. I set one stop and had a whole list of stocks to sell with NDC (next day confirm). I watched futures after the close and by 8pm, it was clear something major was about to happen.
I am fully loaded at 134% and 127% for my two LT accounts and 178% for my short term account, so this is by far going to blow away by record day from 8/15. I just hope that this post doesn't jink it all.
As you can see from the chart, SPY (based on closes) had formed a triple top, whereas based on candles, it had set a new ATH. In my mind this thing could have gone either way, but I like the way it went.
I am getting to really hate etf's that under $10. Take too many shares and even small changes are big %'s.
Big move on NDVQ, -10.7%.
I hadn't thought of that, but YES!
If it happens, it would be a good time to refill our Strategic Oil Reserves.
THX, I will watch closely. I have GUSH swingtrade pos. So far charts not picking that info up. I do have a 50%PS max gain about 14% so 7% if stopped out.
Im out of BOIL minor loss.
Oil consumption is dropping worldwide due to lower consumer demand. Worldwide oil producers have tanker ships in route to locations that don't have capacity to receive it. This article describes how oil prices are going to go negative again!!!
https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/traders-are-most-bearish-oil-record-bears-conclude-opec-has-run-out-options
Towards the end is a summary of NatGas that suggests the bottom is now., and upturn expected this winter. GLTY
taking a hard look at NVDQ, see how we open Thur.
On an unrelated computer/PC topic, I have been hacked twice in the past 10 days.
First, I received an alert from Norton/Lifelock that a Payday loan had been taken out in my name. I contacted Lifelock the same day and disputed it. They are taking actions on my behalf from here.
Second, my rarely used TradingView account was accessed by someone in Finland. They used my credit card info (stored with TradingView!!!) to upgrade my account from a lower level, to an expensive full featured account, change the language to Russian, then started loading an over helming amount of crypto alt coin charts with alerts. I was suddenly seeing chart alerts every few minutes.
My fault. I was not using the two step log in verification option readily available. Like I said, I rarely use this account.
I had never connected TradingView with any brokerage account, so no concern someone would gain access to brokerage/banking information, but they could have tried.
I canceled my credit card, and closed the TradingView account.
Were not in Kansas anymore Toto...
For me, I find it preferable to keep a rather simple laptop to use for trading, banking, and email, and a separate more powerful PC (desktop or laptop) for gaming.
From time to time, I have found it useful to have two separate PC's in my home office too. Just a thought for you.
thanks, i will for sure copy the drive to passport. I also found 20 more GB to delete, so I should have enough room now. MS says Win11 takes up 64GB, but that includes space that Win11 took up. Just need 9GB to perform the install? The 20GB plus the 6GB free I already have should be more than enough.
found a program that I probably dont need anymore. I downloaded awhile back XPlane 12 and put on D Drive. I was afraid of removing XPlane 11 being maybe XP12 used some files from XP11? But it would have got those files when installing the XPlane12 Yes?
XP11/12 is a flight simulator.
Anyway, the XPlane 11 program takes up about 63GB, thats my solution for now.
J > may take some planning but to me that's your safe bet >
Clone what you have PRIOR to attempt to win11
In my case with desktops I'd just clone drives and then proceed
to muck around with a win 11 download > If goes wrong slap the clone back into desktop and nothing lost
I had the same crazy shit happen from win 7 to 10 > Long Story
I read you may do "D" but would take some configuring (Key wording for search is "Dual Boot")
The Windows 11 ISO file is 5.1 GB. To download the file, you need 9 GB of free disk space on the computer
you're downloading to. You can download the ISO file from the Windows 11 product download page.
That would work, but I was planning on buying a new desktop and using this one as a spare. So I dont want to spend much money on the LT.
I see I need 64GB free space to install Win 11. I need to see whats taking up all the space. I have been trying to move stuff to D drive.
C drive is 238GB and 232 used 6 free.
Yes, have a passport drive. 1T I think.
Yep > Light Show
J > That could be a real problem >
let me chew on that a bit >
do you have an external HD you can dump to ?
Might want to consider changing out your C drive for a 1T ssd (or 2T!) before you move from W10 to W11.
I believe the rule of thumb is to keep your boot drive less than half full.
https://www.donemax.com/copy-disk/change-primary-hard-drive.html
Dont forget @2pm the FED decision and D&P following @2:30
Thanks for info, the checker was in my program list.
Im good on the compatibilty check. I have a 3 yr old Alienware gaming laptop. Has TPM enabled, supports secure boot, I7 9750H 2.6hz processor with 6 cores
1T disk space. 32g mem
Where I might have problem is my Disk.
C has 238GB and almost full. D has 1T and 25% full.
Win 11 must go on Drive C? I have been having problems with backing up and had to transfer stuff to D Drive.
It goes a bit deeper than that decision >
"IF" i even think about going to 11 "I WILL" have cloned my hard drive of win 10
The processor requirement is the most restrictive; supported processors include 8th-generation and newer
Intel Core processors as well as AMD Ryzen 2000-series processors and newer. These are all chips that
launched in late 2017 and early 2018. Older computers can't officially run Windows 11.
https://www.techradar.com/how-to/how-to-check-if-your-pc-will-get-windows-11-update
Windows 11 compatibility check
In case your system meets the above-mentioned criteria, you need to run a health check to check if your PC will get Windows 11 update and ensure you're system ready. In case your device fails the health check, you will still have some time to update the computer to make it Windows 11 compatible since the OS will start rolling out sometime later this year.
To run the health check you need to first download and install Microsoft's PC Health Check app
Once installed, run the program
Click on the blue colored “Check Now” button on the Windows 11 banner
If your system is compatible, you’ll get a pop-up stating “This PC will run Windows 11"
In case Microsoft's Windows 11 upgrade checker tells you that your PC isn't supported but it meets all the
other requirements then you need to check your BIOS to enable TPM. Almost every modern CPU comes with
TPM support. In case you have an Intel CPU then you need to switch to TPM and for AMD you need to check
PSP fTPM in the BIOS. Once done, you can run Microsoft's health checker app to confirm the status.
Tomorrow 1:00 Eastern, the "You are here" marker moves. GLTY.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/heres-exactly-investors-buy-stocks-033914143.html
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Dividends http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/spy/dividend-history
Three X ETF's http://www.3xetf.com/ETF_List
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