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Moderator: CopperDollar Assistants: rimshot
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Last Post: 1/2/2019 1:46:44 PM - Followers: 20 - Board type: Free - Posts Today: 0


THE CHARTS AT THIS BOARD UPDATE "LIVE" FOR THE CURRENT PRICE ACTION, WHEN YOU REFRESH YOUR BROWSER IN THE FUTURE

Wall Street Journal - Data bank for each day's close - http://online.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/2_3022-usclosingstk.html?mod=mdc_h_usshl

Our other board shown at the LINK below provides infrequent updates for Sector & Index ETF's -

investorshub.advfn.com/boards/board.aspx

for subscribers to "extra" level stockcharts.com - Linkable version of the daily RUT to OEX ratio chart (updated August 4, 2011) , Small cap vs. Big cap price trend -

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$RUT:$OEX&p=D&st=2010-05-01&en=%28today%29&id=p27023465356&a=241052197

August 14, 2011 chart LINK for extra level subscribers to SC - the NYA weeky closes chart - horizontal price levels to watch NOW -
note where USO bounced from the current August intraday low - http://bit.ly/kaldPA

*** May 4 - Art Hill, StockCharts.com - Hanging Man and Bearish Engulfing Weigh on XLF

*** April 29 - Tom McClellan - So unless the strong correlation between copper and the stock market is about to break down, or unless the commercials are going to suddenly turn out to be drastically wrong, this is a bad omen for the stock market.  

http://www.mcoscillator.com/learning_center/weekly_chart/copper_and_the_commitment_of_traders_report/

Art Hill's April 26, 2011 chart updates for TNX (bonds) and SPY ... ahead of the April 27th FOMC statement 

http://blogs.stockcharts.com/arthurhill/2011/04/bonds-consolidated-ahead-of-fed-statement-and-conference-tnx-ief.html

Art Hill's Indicator summary - for price action, breadth and internals - updated for April 8, 2011

blogs.stockcharts.com/arthurhill/2011/04/indicator-remains-positive-as-bulls-control-trends.html

specifics about the US Government debt - http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/ ERP-2011/pdf/ERP-2011-table88. pdf

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

THE ITEMS BELOW ARE CAREFULLY SELECTED & DATED TO PROVIDE CLUES WHEN OVERALL SENTIMENT IS SHIFTING DIRECTION


April 25, 2011  Bloomberg article: Federal Reserve officials are staking their inflation-fighting credibility on an untested tool: the power to pay interest on bank reserves."Fed Officials Count on Untested Tool to Hold Off Inflation

April 25, 2011  Reuters Business article: Commodities crunch worsens for consumers and companies " The most important thing is pricing power," said Luke Rahbari, a partner with options trading firm Stutland Volatility Group. "Can they raise prices and still have the same number of sales, and if they raise prices, will they lose market share?" But with consumers also feeling the pressure of gasoline near $4 a gallon, investors will be watching earnings reports to see if those price increases are driving away customers. The avg US household will pay $825 more for gas this year than in 2010.
 
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The biggest percentage drop in quarterly revenue in three years, driven by lower lending and reduced fees, is damping investor appetite for shares of the six largest U.S. banks.

April 26, 2011 article by Bloomberg:  S&P 500 Rises Above Highest Closing Level Since 2008 on Earnings

April 27, 2011, 12:35 pm - the Fed acknowledges an increase in inflation but still thinks it is transitory.  FOMC statement

April 27, 2011 1:50 pm - Parsing the Fed: How the Statement Changed

April 27, 2011 1:50 pm - FOMC will complete purchases of $600B of longer-term Treasury securities by the end of current quarter

April 27, 2011 - FOMC members see a great deal of uncertainty going forward - Mid East, Africa, emrg mkts, comm prices, European situation.

April 27, 2:30 pm - Fed Chairman Bernanke recently began his press conference. He has outlined revisions to the GDP forecast, which now suggests that the economy will grow between 3.1% and 3.3% in 2011 after it had previously been forecasted to grow between 3.4% and 3.9%. For 2012, GDP is now expected to grow between 3.5% and 4.2% after it had been forecasted to grow between 3.5% and 4.4%. For 2013, GDP is expected to grow between 3.5% and 4.3% after it had been forecasted to grow between 3.5% and 4.6%. Long-run growth is now expected to range from 2.5% to 2.8%, versus the range of 2.4% to 3.0% that had been issued previously.  While GDP growth is expected to moderate, the Fed now expects that unemployment in 2011 will be between 8.4% and 8.7%, which is down from the range of 8.8% to 9.0% that had been previously estimated.

April 27 - Bernanke press conference ends. See the full recap here:

April 27 - archived video of Bernanke press conference

April 27- Ben Bernanke goes on record to warn the US deficit is not sustainable 

April 27 - St. Louis Fed - FOMC is prepared to adjust its securities holdings as needed in light of incoming information

April 27 - Cleveland Fed - Is a sustainable consumer recovery finally here?

April 27 - Cleveland Fed - NEW Economic Trends article: The Federal Reserve's Influence over Excess Reserves

April 27 - Kathy Lien - EUR/USD, AUD/USD, GBP/USD all touch new YTD highs after Bernanke's speech
 
April 27, 2011 pm - Starbucks forecasts Jump in Commodity Prices
 
April 29 - Dallas Fed - PCE Inflation Update: "Foodflation" continues for the third straight month.
 
April 29, 2011 - Bloomberg - Bernanke Says High Unemployment, Housing Restrain U.S. Growth
 
May 1 -Warren Buffett tells CNN Money there are no big risks to US economy...and says US leaders are doing a "decent" job... expresses his view of the housing starts data
            Warren Buffett calls risk of another US banking crisis soon "very low" -- but sovereign debt risk remains in Europe.
 
May 1 - Bloomberg - China's Growth May Moderate as PMI Shows Slower Expansion in Manufacturing -
 
May 1  Reuters - So far, 324 of the S&P 500 companies have reported earnings, of which 73 percent were above analysts' expectations,
                              according to Thomson Reuters data. In a typical quarter, 62 percent of companies beat estimates. -
 
Jim Rogers:  Commodities Will Be In A Bubble Some Day But Probably Not In 2011.
 
May 3 -  LA Times - U.S. Treasury to take 'extraordinary measures' to avoid debt limit, Congress is  told -

May 4 - Wall Street Journal - Weaker-Than-Expected Services ISM Sinks Stocks: A weaker-than-expected, forward-leaning report on the servic... http://on.wsj.com/l58xNc

May 5 - St. Louis Fed - initial claims for unemployment rise to 474,000, the highest level since August

May 5 - Wall Steet Journal - Transports Jump as Oil Prices Skid: The sharp retreat in oil prices -- the black stuff is down 6% today http://on.wsj.com/kXVPqg

May 5 - Bloomberg - Commodities Plunge Most in Two Years on Economic Slowdown Talk

May 11 - JPMorgan analysts see housing prices falling until mid-2011 http://goo.gl/fb/1X6zh

June 8 - World Bank lowered its global economic growth forecast for 2011 to 3.2 percent from 3.3 percent, citing the political unrest in North Africa and the Middle East and the natural disaster in Japan.

June 10 - Meredith Whitney predicts 1 to 2 milion government employee layoffs

June 10 - Carl Swenlin's updates on sector "signals" - http://blogs.decisionpoint.com/chart_spotlight/2011/06/buy-signals-lost.html

June 14 - RealtyTrac's Sharga sees no housing recovery before 2015

June 20 - Bloomberg Funds Trim Bullish Commodity Bets - Funds reduced bullish bets on commodity prices for the first time in four weeks as Greece's debt crisis spurred speculation that global growth will decline, curbing demand for raw materials. 

June 20 - Art Hill, stockcharts.com:  AAPL - Apple Forms Hammer After Support Break - http://bit.ly/k4jPTt

June 28 - For the tenth month in a row, seasonally adjusted Case-Shiller index of home prices in 20 cities declines http://bit.ly/iCJc1u

June 29 - TIMELINE - Key hurdles for Greece in coming weeks: tinyurl.com/36oqy8r

July 20 - the U. S. Office of Management & Budget - The Federal government plans to shut 40% (800) of computer data centers over the next 4 years http://t.co/1vi7HvJ

August 14 - USA Today - Economists' outlook darkens: now forsee a 30% chance of recession

August 14 - Barry Ritholtz's blog - Was There a Selling Climax?

August 15 - Moody's Zandi sees QE3 on the horizon

September 22 - Bloomberg - Global Stocks Enter Bear Market 

September 23 - Bloomberg - EU plans Greek buyback program open to all debt |

September 28 - Kathy LIen -  Euro is Giving Back Gains as Patience Wears Thin  | FX360.com  

September 28 - JP Morgan says better US Q3 growth but more worries for Q4

September 29 - Wall Street Journal -  Thirty-year benchmark mortgage rate at record-low 4.01%  

September 30 - ECRI's AchuthanI says US is entering a new recession  / ECRI's track record is found here - http://www.businesscycle.com/aboutecri/trackrecord

September 30 - NAAIM thread at TT by Mark Young ("OEXCHAOS" - a sentiment expert and owner of a sentiment newsletter service and owner of the Equity Guardian Group) -
                                                                                           

October 1 - The Economist magazine - The Economist predicts a grim future for 2012 - photo of the cover for the recent The Economist magazine:
                                "Until politicians actually do something about the world economy ... Be Afraid" 
                                                                                           http://www.economist.com/printedition/covers/2011-09-29/e-eu-la-me?fsrc=scn/tw/te/cp/29sep11 

October 3 - briefing.com -  Market Snapshot http://www.briefing.com/investor/markets/stock-market-update/2011/10/3/more-of-the-same.htm#ixzz1Zik3HYY3
   
More of the Same / 03-Oct-11 08:10 ET - Market is Closed
[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: -0.40. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -9.50. In the final session of September, stocks suffered another loss, which only added to their poor monthly performance and their worst quarterly showing in almost three years. Yet the same crucial themes that weighed on sentiment in recent months continue into the new quarter. More directly, underwhelming data from Europe and news that Greece will come short of its deficit target for 2011 have taken Europe's bourses down sharply and, by extension, put pressure on domestic stock futures. That said, premarket pressure hasn't been too intense. There are a couple of noteworthy releases on tap for today. Both the latest ISM Manufacturing Index and construction spending numbers are due at 10:00 AM ET. Monthly motor vehicle sales numbers will be released intermittently.

October 3 - St. Louis Fed - ISM Manufacturing index rises to 51.6

October 4 - Bloomberg - the S&P 500 Index below the $1,100 level places the bear market in view |

October 4 - El-Erian of Pimco says the real US unemployment rate is at 20%

October 4 - Reuters -  Bernanke says the Fed is ready to do more to aid the economy - http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/10/04/us-usa-fed-bernanke-idUSTRE79337C20111004

October 4 - European debt concerns are reduced after Greek finance minister Venizelos said Greece has enough money to service all its financial obligations until mid-November, a month later than earlier predictions,
which may buy Greece more time until European leaders can agree on a resolution to the debt crisis


October 6 - U.S. 30-year mortgage touching a new record-low at 4% today.
October 6 - Bloomberg - Mortgage rates for 30-year loans in U.S. fall below 4% |
October 6 - RealtyTrac - Mortgage Rates Fall Below 4%,

October 6 - Reuters - U.S. facing slow growth, not recession, CEO's say

October 6 - Bloomberg - Bank of England Governor Mervyn King has lost faith in European governments' ability to resolve the region's debt crisis / Announces Stimulus - 
October 6 - Bloomberg - EU Leaders Pressured for Bank Rescue Plan 

October 7 - the Cleveland Fed - New Economic Trends article: Incomes Are Down, Poverty Is Up 

October 7 - Reuters - Fitch cuts Italy and Spain ratings, outlook negative 

October 25 - Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index drops to 39.8, the lowest level since March, 2009

October 26 - Moody's: U.S. Retail to Remain Sluggish in 2012

October 26 evening - Euro Summit Statement: European banks agree to 50% writedown on Greek debt as part of agreement to end crisis, officials announce

November 9 - CNBC - this is why housing demand is not yet recovering: http://www.cnbc.com/id/45209336

November 10 - Reuters - Bernanke: the Fed is focused "intently" on job creation

November 14 - Christopher Adams, Financial Times - Risk of contagion is still high: French banks have exposure to the Italian public sector and US, UK and German banks are exposed to French banks - BarCap

November 14 - CNN - Monti works to form a new Italian government

November 14 - Reuters - Chance of 2012 U.S. recession tops 50 percent: San Francisco Fed paper

November 15 - Mark Hulbert:  Long live the euro. The euro has performed better this year than the S&P 500 index

November 16 - World Economic Forum  - 70% remain pessimistic about the global economic outlook according to the World Economic Forum's second quarterly Global Confidence Index.: 

November 21 - Analysts at Moody's:  the troubles of Europe aren't restricted to countries in the continent's periphery - Moody's today issues cautious comments about the outlook for France's debt rating

November 21, 1:27 pm ET:  White House - when asked about the risk of US credit downgrade - White House says the $1,200 Billion deficit reduction is locked into law

November 22, 8:30 a.m. ET - the US government revises Q3 GDP growth down to 2.0% from previous 2.5%

November 30 early a.m. news before the cash market open - New York Times - Central Banks Take Joint Action to Ease Debt Crisis

December 7, 2011 - Diana Olick  of CNBC - Modifications Wind Down as Foreclosures Heat Up

-----------------

August 30, 2012 9:45 a.m. ET - briefing.com - The relative strength in consumer stocks is likely due to 15 out of 16 same store sales reports showing improved results -
http://www.briefing.com/investor/markets/stock-market-update/2012/8/30/consumer-stocks-outperforming-early.htm

August 31, 2012  - Bloomberg - The ECB is expected to obtain the sole power to grant banking licenses in the euro area at their next meeting on September 12
This will widen the ECB's influence on banking matters in the eurozone at a time of extreme industry duress.

September 5, 2012 - Bloomberg -  U.S. manufacturing orders and production actiivity drop  to three-year lows. -  http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-09-04/ism-index-of-u-s-manufacturing-decreased-to-49-6-in-august.html

September 6 - Bloomberg - the S&P 500 index closes at the highest level since January 2008 / the Nasdaq-100 index closes at the highest level since December 2000

September 7 -SNL Data Dispatch - CalPERS holds $2 billion in U.S. REIT investments - http://www.snl.com/InteractiveX/Article.aspx?cdid=A-15747586-10284

September 8 - Yahoo Finance headline article for the weekend, Reuters - Wall Street Week Ahead: A nice rally while it lasted.  At the start of the historically weakest month for equities there are
plenty of reasons to believe stocks may be just about reaching a top - at least in the short term. http://finance.yahoo.com/news/wall-street-week-ahead-nice-233746007.html

September 10th close - Apple (AAPL $662.74, -17.70) marked a fresh all-time high today at $683.29, but reversed into negative territory and ended down 2.6%. Meanwhile, Google (GOOG 700.77, -5.38) lost 0.8% as it nears its all-time high of $714.87.
General Electric (GE) today achieved a new multi-year intraday high of $21.65.

September 11 9:40 a.m. ET - Moody's says the US rating could be cut to AA1 if the debt/GDP ratio isn't lowered. Commodities spiked  this morning after Moody's warned of a one notch downgrade of the U.S debt. This caused the dollar index to pullback, pushing commodities higher.
* 9:40 a.m. - EURUSD currency rises Above $1.2825; the Highest Since May 15, 2012 ... $1.2835 is the current value of the 200-day sma

September 11 - Yahoo Finance -  Homebuilder ETF (XHB) has advanced 43% year-to-date to price levels not seen since 2008  - http://finance.yahoo.com/news/homebuilder-etf-rallies-highest-since-155333109.html
 
September 11 close - Reuters - DJIA closes today at the highest level since 2007

September 17 - Arthur Hill, Stockcharts.com - http://www.facebook.com/stockchartscom/posts/502521769776083 
-- A FIFTH WAVE FOR THE S&P 500
-- BUYING PRESSURE WEAKENS AS LONG UPPER SHADOWS FORM
-- BEARISH ENGULFINGS FORM IN RETAIL AND HOMEBUILDING SPDR'S
-- SHANGHAI COMPOSITE FAILS TO FOLLOW WALL STREET
-- CHINA IS THE ASIAN ANOMALY
December 26, 2012 - CNN Money - home prices post largest annual gain in over two years - http://money.cnn.com/2012/12/26/real_estate/home-prices/index.html

December 28, 2012 - Reuters - Pending U.S. home sales hit a two-and-half year high in November
 
January 11, 2013 - JP Morgan revises forecast for the fourth-quarter U.S. GDP growth to 0.8% from 1.5% on the wider trade gap/

January 11, 2013 - Reuters -
U.S. trade deficit widens sharply on consumer goods imports

January 16, 2013 - Reuters - U.S. business executives call for raising retirement age to 70

January 17, 2013 - Financial Times - "Biggest growth story is outside the US" - column by BlackRock's chief investment strategist is second most read article on FT
 
*** Questions which are asked at this board may not be answered because information sharing by participants is voluntary - Please understand ***

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#668  Sticky Note $NYA daily, $NYA daily with $TRAN & other rimshot 01/02/19 01:46:44 PM
#665  Sticky Note $SPX 2506.85 = the December 31, 2018 price rimshot 01/01/19 12:21:06 PM
#668   $NYA daily, $NYA daily with $TRAN & other rimshot 01/02/19 01:46:44 PM
#667   Larry Tomlinson rimshot 01/02/19 12:54:54 PM
#666   $SPX - marker values for 2 important S&P rimshot 01/01/19 04:45:02 PM
#665   $SPX 2506.85 = the December 31, 2018 price rimshot 01/01/19 12:21:06 PM
#664   Larry Tomlinson rimshot 01/01/19 11:13:15 AM
#663   $SPX daily with 63,2 Bollinger Band & with rimshot 12/29/18 09:22:04 PM
#662   $SPX 2534 = the daily 200,2 lower Bollinger rimshot 12/29/18 07:32:26 AM
#661   SentimenTrader @sentimentrader 18 hours ago rimshot 12/28/18 11:58:53 AM
#660   Larry Tomlinson rimshot 12/28/18 11:45:45 AM
#659   /ES above the 2470 to 2488 zone is rimshot 12/27/18 04:36:28 PM
#658   /ES S&P 500 futures must achieve a lasting rimshot 12/27/18 11:46:13 AM
#657   Liz Ann Sonders rimshot 12/27/18 10:58:45 AM
#656   Larry Tomlinson rimshot 12/27/18 10:30:02 AM
#655   Bespoke @bespokeinvest 2 hours ago rimshot 12/25/18 10:21:49 PM
#654   SPY daily over a 10-year period rimshot 12/25/18 01:16:38 PM
#653   /ES S&P 500 futures - March 2019 pricing: rimshot 12/25/18 01:00:07 PM
#652   /ES 2712.25 / 2690.00 levels must eventually be rimshot 12/25/18 12:23:05 PM
#651   $SPX daily with internal stats since 2015 - rimshot 12/25/18 01:45:44 AM
#650   Bespoke @bespokeinvest 10 hours ago rimshot 12/24/18 11:16:17 PM
#649   SentimenTrader @sentimentrader 1 hour ago rimshot 12/24/18 11:45:51 AM
#648   $SPX daily chart with XLK, XLF, XLY which rimshot 12/24/18 10:43:03 AM
#647   recession talk via Reuters rimshot 12/24/18 10:11:20 AM
#646   $SPX daily and $BKX weekly charts; rimshot 12/23/18 10:44:10 PM
#645   Walter Murphy rimshot 12/23/18 07:07:35 PM
#644   Some good insights from @_DecisionPoint and @NDR_Research rimshot 12/23/18 01:07:42 PM
#643   Point & Figure Charts Plummet in Triple Bottom Breakdowns rimshot 12/23/18 12:50:53 PM
#642   Slowdown or Recession? rimshot 12/23/18 11:02:49 AM
#641   recession in 2019 / 2020 expectation percentages by rimshot 12/23/18 10:58:47 AM
#640   JC Parets & Tom Bruni, All Star Charts rimshot 12/23/18 10:37:32 AM
#639   AAII Investor Sentiment rimshot 12/23/18 03:05:15 AM
#638   Fari Hamzei rimshot 12/23/18 02:49:14 AM
#637   Charlie Bilello rimshot 12/22/18 10:47:26 AM
#636   three $NYA daily & weekly charts revised on rimshot 12/22/18 10:41:08 AM
#635   pullback lows by /ES S&P 500 futures of rimshot 12/22/18 09:00:20 AM
#634   $SPX support & resistance analysis by an old rimshot 12/22/18 01:14:26 AM
#633   In this week’s episode of LPL Market Signals rimshot 12/20/18 09:30:45 PM
#632   Ralph Acampora CMT rimshot 12/20/18 09:06:41 AM
#631   Charlie Bilello rimshot 12/20/18 08:55:42 AM
#630   three $NYA daily & weekly charts, correctly revised: rimshot 12/20/18 04:30:24 AM
#629   $NYA daily & weekly charts revised on rimshot 12/19/18 07:52:08 PM
#628   Charlie Bilello rimshot 12/19/18 06:42:09 PM
#626   $NYA daily chart with $NYMO - rimshot 11/03/18 04:49:04 PM
#625   new record bounce highs for /ES : rimshot 10/29/18 04:13:31 PM
#624   bulls need future bounces to hold above rimshot 10/28/18 09:11:19 PM
#623   Callum Thomas rimshot 10/28/18 02:17:21 PM
#622   notice to readers that Silent One passed away rimshot 10/28/18 01:27:13 PM
#621   $SPXEW Point and Figure daily chart - rimshot 10/28/18 01:23:45 PM
#620   SPY daily with 3 internals for the $SPX, rimshot 10/28/18 12:46:59 PM
#619   10/26/2018 - 95 /ES handle decline from Thursday's rimshot 10/27/18 06:27:44 PM
#618   Walter Murphy rimshot 10/27/18 09:39:57 AM
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