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Yeah I've been flipping the last few days. I think Monday it might start the run. Lets see.
I was in this for a few days, but it couldn't seem to hold above 5.
I keep checking back on it though. I think once it does start moving it'll do really well. The chart is just begging for action! GLTY.
Riiiiiccccccooooolllllaaaaaaaaaa......
Holding 2000 shares overnight. Wish me luck.
Lol...I'm from New York, I talk loud.
I heard your echo from the REVI board . Lol.
Back in at 5.01 for a swing. Holding overnight. Where is everyone?
Boom chicka waaa waaaa
You mean 5 DOLLA HOLLA.
$5 coming, lets squeeze those shorts baby
Atlantic Power Raised to Mkt Perform From Underperform by BMO >AT
Last update: 3/27/2013 8:33:39 AM
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
March 27, 2013 08:33 ET (12:33 GMT)
Some news. Will the street likey?
I'm liking the tail on this one today. Will watch for a confirmation of a reversal tomorrow and take a position.
Buying shares at this cheap price. Piling on, not many law offices in the US that haven't filed against AT.
Nice catch! Here we go :)
Insider buying has started .. Director bought shares.. Going up from here..
I think the bounce may have started. We hit 5.00 for a moment around 2 and almost immediately bounced up to 5.10. I'm hoping we close out green today.
Chart is pinching ..
Me too! Pincher in deck
I got in today. It's bonkers how oversold this is right now! Hoping for a nice bounce up :)
GLTA
That's the name of the game.
I got a core position and looking to do some short term trading.
Like I have said before, this isn't going back over $10 for the foreseeable future (barring some sort of miracle) but I think we are below a decent valuation.
Would be nice to see a Red to Green day today.
AT $5.22, got a starter this morning for another flip...
Well then.
It is good to have a core position and a trading position to build said core position.
Range bound stock for the win.
I have a few more thoughts to add, but I will post a little later.
Talk about bias .... (My own, because I forgot to mention the lower target.)
RBC price target is $6.
A look at the chart reveals:
Resistance at $5.70
Support at $5.40
Let's see if the stock can hold and perhaps head higher.
Market in general looks ready to pullback, so we will see what happens here.
Price Targets from Canadian brokerages on Atlantic Power (in C$):
TD: $7.00
BMO: $7.00
CIBC: $7.50
Of course, everyone has their own bias ...
And many of these brokerages had price targets of $10-$12.50 previously.
And they also did forecast a dividend reduction.
Well there are a few things to consider ...
Who is buying ?
Let's just say that someone who sold at $10 + are looking at 40% profits ...
There are also people who can see that we are trading at 70% discount to book value ($8).
Yield hunters are likely turned off for now ....
Who is selling ?
A number of funds who are/were forced to sell due to the dividend cut.
IMO, that's why we crashed on Mar. 4 .... funds were forced to sell (shorts were happy to buy).
Were do I see this going?
It is hard to say.
But, I can see that the selling has subsided (at this level) and shorts are covering.
So, that likely means up.
Can't really look at the chart because there is too little information.
If I did, I would expect a little resistance at $5.70 and then at $6 (because it is at $). Beyond this, there isn't much to say.
AT Pincher Trade RSI 11 Extremly Oversold High ADX PPO Perfect Pincher Chart setup trading below book value fat 7%+ Divy yield utlitiy company those normally trade twice their book values fell due to divy cut even after the divy is cut at the current price the Yield is over 7% pretty sweet deal at these fire sale prices Stock will rebound from these levels its way oversold on a techincal as well as a fundamental both screaming strong buy
It has bottomed now I think and a nice up day on that selling asset pr .. Where do u see the PPS in short term ..
Nice post..agree
The stock seems to be at an interesting point now.
I think those that had to sell are likely done or are willing to wait it out.
Book Value is $8 and is a better approximation of where this ought to be.
The reason that shares traded at $13 - 15 was because of the dividend.
If shares traded at $8 before the dividend cut, the yield would have been 14.375% which is extremely high.
At $13.50 (where the stock traded for a large part of 2012) the yield was 8.52%
That was still a high yield, but it did not go lower because there was some sense of reality in the valuation (ie. it didn't trade 2 to 3 times book value).
The dividend cut was a necessary evil as it is next to impossible to maintain a 100% payout ratio, especially when your assets have a limited life and investment in new purchases is a fact of a continuing business.
As a potential investment, the stock's current valuation is low and there appears to be a lot of room for appreciation.
I think a number of people are waiting and watching for the stock to bottom out.
Do you think this stock could go lower??? The way of the dividend being cut to 1/3 of the previous amount????
first of many ambulance chasers, I'm sure. I'll expect a letter in the mail someday, LOL.
I kind of think it'll continue down some.
Panic selling slowing down finally .. Hope for a green day tomorrow..
GLTY, I dumped my shares on the day after the PR, after it rebounded from the pre-market lows. Going to watch for good re-entry, try to make back those losses.
I got in yesterday at 7 for a bounce trade and now I am down one buck .. It's going up a bit in after hours though .. Lets see how it trades tomorrow ..
wow, it did take one hell of a beating today. I think insiders sold before the public knew, because it had taken quite a dive few days before the announcement, knew something was up. then the announcement after hours had it down another 30% before the market opened, normal retailers were screwed. Might bounce, but other than quick buck turnaround, can't see a lot of buyers right now with waiting to see what they do with the money.
Way oversold with RSI at 9 .. It should bounce from here .. IMO
Nope, been posting for those interested in monthly divie payers. the drop in divies to build alternative power structures should be short term to pay for them, but wonder if it will ever cause increase in divie payouts to come back, most alternative energy systems are a bust. But still decent divie if in a IRA, avoid the 20% foreign tax, payout would be the same as most U.S. utilities.
Any one else following this one , looking to start buying in Below the 6.00 $ range.
Atlantic Power Corporation Releases Fourth Quarter and Year End 2012 Results and Announces 2013 Guidance and Dividend Reduction
Company Release - 02/28/2013 18:27
BOSTON, Feb. 28, 2013 /PRNewswire/ -- Atlantic Power Corporation (NYSE: AT) (TSX: ATP) ("Atlantic Power" or the "Company") today released its results for the three months and year ended December 31, 2012. The Company also provided initial guidance for 2013 and announced a lower dividend level to strengthen its ability to execute on growth and enhance long-term total shareholder return.
All amounts are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise indicated. Cash Available for Distribution, Payout Ratio, and Project Adjusted EBITDA are not recognized measures under generally accepted accounting principles in the United States ("GAAP") and do not have standardized meanings prescribed by GAAP; therefore, these measures may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. Please see "Regulation G Disclosures" attached to this news release for an explanation and the GAAP reconciliation of "Cash Available for Distribution", "Payout Ratio" and "Project Adjusted EBITDA" as used in this news release.
2012 Highlights
Achieved project cash distributions of $275 million, exceeding the Company's guidance of $255 to $265 million
Increased cash flows from operating activities by $111 million to $167 million for the year ended December 31, 2012, compared to $56 million for the same period in 2011
Delivered a Payout Ratio of 100%, within the Company's guidance of 96% to 102%
Added 450 MW of net generating capacity
Paid off a $265 million construction loan with tax equity financing at Canadian Hills Wind
Placed Canadian Hills in commercial operation in December, within budget and on schedule
Acquired Ridgeline Energy, a Seattle-based wind and solar project developer, in December
Recent Developments
Announced in January 2013 an agreement to sell its Auburndale, Lake and Pasco projects for approximately $136 million
Expect Piedmont to achieve commercial operation in late March 2013
Increased average remaining power purchase agreement ("PPA") life by 58% to approximately 11.4 years from 7.2 years, reflecting asset sales and addition of Canadian Hills, Piedmont and Ridgeline in 2013
"We had strong financial results in 2012, with cash distributions from projects of $275 million exceeding our guidance range," said Barry Welch, President and CEO of Atlantic Power. "We also successfully managed two large construction projects, with the completion of our 300 MW Canadian Hills Wind project in December and the expected commercial operation of our 53 MW Piedmont biomass project in late March 2013. We also closed the acquisition of Ridgeline Energy at the end of last year, which added 150 MW of operating wind projects to our portfolio. In addition, Ridgeline provides us with demonstrated capabilities in both developing and acquiring renewable energy projects, which we expect will be an important area of growth for us."
"We will continue executing on our growth plans this year by investing approximately $140 to $150 million of net cash available to us by mid-year in one or more acquisitions that will make accretive contributions to our cash flows," continued Mr. Welch. "In addition, together with our Ridgeline team we are moving a number of solar and wind projects through the development pipeline toward commercial viability and should have more to discuss on this later in the year. In short, we continue to capitalize on our strong industry relationships, reputation and experienced team to drive growth initiatives that will meet our financial objectives and grow long-term shareholder value."
Cash Available for Distribution and Payout Ratio
For the year ended December 31, 2012, cash flows from operating activities increased by $111.1 million, to $167.1 million, compared to $55.9 million for the same period in 2011. For the year ended December 31, 2012, Cash Available for Distribution increased by $52.6 million to $131.6 million, compared to $79.0 million for the same period in 2011.These increases over the prior-year periods are primarily due to contributions from the 18 Partnership projects.
For the year ended December 31, 2012, the Payout Ratio associated with the dividend was 100% compared to 109% in the comparable prior-year period. The Payout Ratio for the year ended December 31, 2012 was within the Company's guidance of 96% to 102%. For further information, attached to this news release are the calculations of Cash Available for Distribution and Payout Ratio
As a result of this review, the Board, with management's recommendation, has unanimously approved a reduction in the annual dividend level to Cdn$0.40 per share, or Cdn$0.03333 per share on a monthly basis. The new dividend level will commence with the March 2013 dividend to shareholders of record on March 28, 2013. Shareholders of record as of that date will receive a dividend of Cdn$0.03333 per share on April 30, 2013. The February 2013 dividend of Cdn$0.09583, declared on February 15, 2013, will be paid on March 28, 2013 to shareholders of record on February 28, 2013.
Atlantic Power Corporation Announces February 2013 Common Share Dividend
BOSTON, Feb. 15, 2013 /CNW/ - Atlantic Power Corporation (TSX: ATP) (NYSE: AT) (the "Company" or "Atlantic Power") today announced its distribution for the month of February 2013. A dividend of Cdn$0.09583 per common share will be payable on March 28, 2013 to holders of record at the close of business on February 28, 2013.
Atlantic Power Corporation Announces Agreement to Sell Three Florida Facilities
BOSTON, Jan. 31, 2013 /CNW/ - Atlantic Power Corporation (NYSE: AT) (TSX: ATP) ("Atlantic Power" or the "Company") announced today that the Company and certain of its subsidiaries have entered into a definitive agreement with Quantum Utility Generation, LLC and certain of its affiliates to sell the Company's interests in three Florida projects (the "Sale"), Auburndale Power Partners Limited Partners ("Auburndale"), Lake Cogen, Ltd. ("Lake"), and Pasco Cogen, Ltd. ("Pasco") for a purchase price, including working capital adjustments, of approximately $136 million. Atlantic Power expects to receive net cash proceeds of approximately $111 million in the aggregate, after repayment of project-level debt at Auburndale and settlement of all outstanding natural gas swap agreements at Lake and Auburndale. The Company intends to use the net proceeds from the Sale to fully repay the Company's senior credit facility, which is expected to have an outstanding balance of approximately $67 million at close, and for general corporate purposes. The agreement contains representations, warranties and indemnification obligations that are customary in the industry. The Sale is subject to customary closing conditions and approvals, including approval from the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, and is expected to close in the first quarter of 2013. All figures are in US$ unless stated otherwise.
"Our business model is focused on achieving stable, predictable cash flows from contracted power generation. Given our projections that the Florida energy market will not recover in the near-term to allow us to secure economic power purchase agreements ('PPAs'), we concluded, after considering all available options, that the sale of Lake and Auburndale maximizes shareholder value," said Barry Welch, President and CEO of Atlantic Power. "The average remaining PPA life of our portfolio, when taking into account the sale of the three Florida facilities and the proposed sales of the Delta-Person generating station and Gregory facility, will increase 19% from 9.7 years to 11.4 years."
Atlantic Power Corporation Announces January 2013 Common Share Dividend
Company Release - 01/15/2013 12:00
BOSTON, Jan. 15, 2013 /PRNewswire/ -- Atlantic Power Corporation (TSX: ATP) (NYSE: AT) (the "Company" or "Atlantic Power") today announced its distribution for the month of January 2013. A dividend of Cdn$0.09583 per common share will be payable on February 28, 2013 to holders of record at the close of business on January 31, 2013.
Tax Information for Shareholders
Atlantic Power Corporation designates its dividend to be an "eligible dividend" pursuant to subsection 89(14) of the Income Tax Act (Canada) and its equivalent in any provinces of Canada.
U.S. individual or other non-corporate taxpayers may be eligible for the reduced rate of tax currently applicable to "qualified dividends" provided that the investor meets the holding period and any other requirements.
The Company's common share dividend is subject to a 25% withholding tax rate for holders that are not residents of Canada, which may be reduced pursuant to an applicable tax treaty. The withholding tax rate is 15% for U.S.-resident holders that qualify for the benefits of the Canada – U.S. Income Tax Convention.
Non-Canadian holders may be required by their brokers to complete a Form NR301 (or an equivalent form) in order to demonstrate their entitlement to a treaty-reduced rate of withholding tax. U.S. and other non-Canadian holders should consult their brokers about the requirement to provide such forms.
U.S. individuals holding shares in taxable accounts may be eligible to receive a credit on their U.S. income tax return for this withholding tax. U.S. individuals holding the Company's common shares in Individual Retirement Accounts ("IRAs") may be exempt from withholding tax pursuant to the Canada – U.S. Income Tax Convention.
Taxpayers should always seek their own independent qualified professionals regarding the tax consequences of purchasing or owning common shares of the Company. Individuals who believe the withholding tax exemption applies to their IRA should contact their broker to determine how to claim the exemption.
Atlantic Power Announces Closing of Ridgeline Acquisition and Canadian Hills Achieving Commercial Operations
BOSTON, Jan. 2, 2013 /PRNewswire/ -- Atlantic Power Corporation (NYSE: AT) (TSX: ATP) ("Atlantic Power" or the "Company") announced that on December 31, 2012, it closed its previously announced acquisition of Ridgeline Energy Holdings, Inc. ("Ridgeline"). Upon closing, the maturity date of the Company's 6.00% series D extendible convertible unsecured subordinated debentures (the "Debentures") (TSX: ATP.DB.D) was automatically extended to December 31, 2019. The Company also announced that the approximately 300 MW Canadian Hills Wind project (the "Project" or "Canadian Hills") achieved its commercial operation date ("COD"), and that the Company closed tax equity funding for the Project and fully repaid the Project's $272 million construction loan. All figures are in US$ unless stated otherwise.
"We are pleased to add 450 net MW of generating capacity to our portfolio with the addition of Canadian Hills and Ridgeline, an increase of 20%," said Barry Welch, President and CEO of Atlantic Power. "The acquisition of Ridgeline adds over 150 net MW of fully-operational wind generation to our portfolio, and also positions us well for additional growth in the renewable energy space, where we have had success managing development and construction risk through to commercial operation. We successfully accessed the capital markets in 2012, raising $300 million of growth capital to fund acquisition opportunities and closing $225 million of tax equity funding to refinance the short-term construction debt at our Canadian Hills wind project. We expect the addition of the Canadian Hills and Ridgeline projects in December 2012, and the Piedmont project in the first quarter of 2013, will increase the average remaining power purchase agreement ('PPA') life of our portfolio by 38% from 7.2 years to approximately 9.9 years, as all five projects have PPAs of 20 years or longer."
Closing of Ridgeline Acquisition
"We are excited to add the significant renewable energy experience of the Ridgeline team to Atlantic Power," said Mr. Welch. "They successfully managed the development and construction of the 120 MW Meadow Creek wind project, which met all conditions for COD on December 22, 2012, and was delivered within budget and on schedule to qualify for the federal stimulus grant program. We have initiated the integration of the Ridgeline team into the Company, and are focusing their efforts on near-term wind and solar development projects in their pipeline as well as on assisting with our renewable acquisitions opportunities."
The Ridgeline acquisition increases the Company's ownership interest in the Rockland wind project to a 50% managing member interest from 30%, and adds a 12.5% interest in the 125 MW Goshen North project in addition to a 100% equity interest in Meadow Creek. The total cost of the Ridgeline acquisition was $88 million, and includes the purchase of all of the outstanding shares of capital stock of Ridgeline and the 100% equity interest in Meadow Creek. The purchase price for the acquisition (together with working capital and acquisition expenses) was financed through a firm underwritten public offering, on a bought deal basis, of Cdn$100 million aggregated principal amount of the Debentures. Upon the closing of the acquisition, the maturity date of the Debentures was automatically extended from March 31, 2013 to December 31, 2019 in accordance with the terms of the Debentures. In addition, the Company will consolidate approximately $205 million and $43 million of existing non-recourse project-level debt at Meadow Creek and Rockland, respectively, with approximately $55 million of current Meadow Creek debt to be repaid with a U.S. stimulus grant in the first quarter of 2013.
Canadian Hills Wind Achieves Commercial Operation
The Company also announced today that Canadian Hills achieved COD on December 22, 2012, which qualifies the Project to receive federal production tax credits. The Project received tax equity investments in aggregate of $225 million from a consortium of four institutional tax equity investors along with an approximately $47 million tax equity investment by the Company, which it expects to syndicate with additional tax equity investors in the first quarter of 2013. The Project's outstanding construction loan was repaid by these tax equity investors, delevering the Project and Atlantic Power's short-term debt by $272 million. The Company owns 99% of the Project having made a $200 million capital contribution in July 2012. Cash distributions to the Company from the Project are expected to be in the range of $16 to $19 million for each full year of operation through 2020, and are expected to increase thereafter.
"We are delighted to bring Canadian Hills to COD on time and within budget, which represents our largest construction project to date at approximately 300 MW and a cost of $470 million," said Mr. Welch. "Atlantic Power's team played a significant role in bringing this large, complex construction project to completion, further demonstrating our ability to manage late-stage development projects through financing and construction to completion. In addition, Atlantic Power will oversee the ongoing operation of the Project and will act as its asset manager. We expect that this experience, coupled with the recently-acquired, seasoned Ridgeline team, will continue to provide Atlantic Power with opportunities to successfully grow its renewable energy portfolio in the near-term."
About Atlantic Power
Atlantic Power is a leading publicly traded, power generation and infrastructure company with a well-diversified portfolio of assets in the United States and Canada. The Company's corporate strategy is to increase the value of the Company through accretive acquisitions in North American markets while generating stable, contracted cash flows from its existing assets. The Company's power generation projects sell electricity to utilities and other large commercial customers under long-term PPAs, which seek to minimize exposure to changes in commodity prices. The net generating capacity of the Company's projects is approximately 2,560 MW, consisting of interests in 33 operational power generation projects across 12 states and 2 provinces and also an 84-mile, 500 kilovolt electric transmission line located in California. In addition, the Company has a 53 MW biomass project under construction in Georgia, which is expected to achieve COD in the first quarter of 2013. Atlantic Power owns a majority interest in Rollcast Energy, a biomass power plant developer in Charlotte, NC. The Company also owns Ridgeline, a renewable development company out of Seattle, WA with approximately 1,000 MW of wind and solar projects under development. Atlantic Power is incorporated in British Columbia, is headquartered in Boston and has offices in Chicago, Toronto, Vancouver, Seattle and San Diego.
Atlantic Power has a market capitalization of approximately $1.3 billion and trades on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol AT and on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol ATP. For more information, please visit the Company's website at www.atlanticpower.com or contact:
Atlantic Power Corporation
Amanda Wagemaker, Investor Relations
(617) 977-2700
info@atlanticpower.com
Copies of financial data and other publicly filed documents get filed on SEDAR at www.sedar.com or on EDGAR at www.sec.gov/edgar.shtml under "Atlantic Power Corporation" or on the Company's website.
Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-looking Statements
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