Alternative Path

[gdl]

Market focus is on the PAST! Productivity surged last quarter as labor costs slowed. The fact that January is showing a significant economic expansion when they seemed more concerned with a recession tells you all you need to know. Every analyst, economist and pseudo economist is declaring that the consumer is about to roll over and the FED has NO CHOICE but to lower rates. how convenient is that assumption. it reinforces their extreme bias. The January data says something entirely different.

Seems to me there will NEVER be a rate cut in 2024. Seems to me the likelihood of a rate hick will increase month after month till alarm bells go off. Bottom line: The consumer sees today as a new normal and has adjusted nicely to the spike in inflation. Debt will be added, and everyone will just ignore it as they have in the past.

Watch as signs of inflation returning come in. We should find a way to ignore it for a while.

The MARKET should have a decent slide THIS MONTH! I see it already happening. I expect today NOT TO HOLD UP! But longer run will take more than silly data points on rising inflation to hold this sucker down.

[gdl]

January data is confirming for ME that we are back baby! This economy is about to take off! In wages, costs, inflation. In NY going out mid-week to a restaurant and it is packed! not just busy but till late at night. The FED knows this and will hold off till they can't in announcing the obvious. but the obvious is never seen lately.

Just one more month of accelerated economic activity and the street will start panicking. Maybe this data is a one off and not repeated?

The length at which this country will protect a seditionist is astonishing. The Georgia GOP is setting up a LAW that makes Trumps problems go away! Seems they can get rid of Trumps attempt to throw the voting count out the window. Extortion, sedition, dictatorial control are just words meaning different things to different people.

I TOLD YOU there is no length at which this GOP will go to win elections.

[gdl]

Never ceases to amaze me that the street refuses to listen to the FED for over a year now. All analysts and economists were falling over themselves declaring just how fast and how many rate cuts we will see this year. The data has proven strong resilience in this economy and no sign that inflation is dead. Wait till the data starts spiking again. Now that will be something to watch.

For now we have a fourth wave drop that should be followed by one more upside move before a more damaging move occurs.

The street will quickly assume the FED is just talking the talk and quickly resume the assumption a rate cut is imminent. Till data proves them wrong.

[gdl]

Biden poll numbers are bad. Should lose by 10 points with the election results known within the first 4 hours. So given that we seem to accept as normal the next Hitler. Welcoming with open arms. Nothing will save Biden for this humiliation. The Democrats are as desperate as the Repuks. Biden should have stepped down a year ago. There should have been an open contest for the nominee. Biden pretends he is doing it to save America. What a joke. If the stock market falters before election it would be a landslide.

I dare anyone to list trumps known troubles, facts, speeches, actions etc... and tell me with a straight face they are voting for him DESPITE these small flaws. Or perhaps they agree with his crimes. The world knows that TRUMP tried desperately to overthrow this election and we the voter cheer him on. The stupidity is mind boggling. I will guarantee over 90 percent of every citizen in the USA will be disgusted and ashamed for their own actions in the next 4 years. ONLY personal hardships will take us there.

I can't wait for the Stupreme Court to finally put the nail in their own coffin. The most RADICAL ideology obsessed group that makes up reasons to shape this country in their lily-white image. A confluence of events has merged into one colossal Big Bang event.

In less than 30 days we should have the final nail placed in our coffin. On the off chance they actually decide to adhere to the constitution a more complicated accelerated upheaval will result. We are witnessing the dismantling of our system one brick at a time.

As for the market. Nothing will stop it from achieving its final top. This next 30 days or 1 year? Wish i knew.

[gdl]

The world we live in accepts.as normal the undisputed fact that Trump orchestrated, planned, participated in and tried to lead an insurrection. He thanked them for trying and vowed to pardon them.

No longer does anyone doubt what the man did. Not the GOP, FOX, or his most trusted loyalists. They ALL acknowledge he tried to overthrow the government. Most believe he was cheated some way, and it was justified. Most know his stealing secret documents and talking about it to anyone that would listen was also a crime. they conclude it was his right. They all know he was convicted of rape and his boasting he can grab pussies anytime he wanted was also a given. He is a flawed GOD that the masses love. WHY? Because they see in him what they themselves can only wish for. Trump is carrying out their own fantasies. He has unlimited unrestrained power and acts on a whim with no consequences.

I can give many excuses and reasons why he will be voted in. What is left isn't the reason but simply the FACT that his actual acts are being rewarded. He IS a RAPIST! He is a SEDITIONIST. He is the most treasonous highest official ever. He is a MOB BOSS and voters kiss his ring.

The news agencies all REFUSE to accept the fact that the world knows WHO Trump is. Nothing is hidden. They REFUSE to acknowledge a majority of voters DEMAND he win the presidency.

If you think about the reality of this, you will understand just why we are so SCREWED as a species. We openly accept such a leader in a country that could condemn him and put him into political Siberia. He IS the WILL OF THE PEOPLE!

Now after all this tell me this world isn't so irrational, so dangerously insane that to pretend otherwise is a mental malady. 50% of the world want him desperately to win! With just the FACTS easily replayed over and over, with the mountains of evidence, with his own words and actions NO ONE even cares to defend them or lie by saying he didn't do it. No they RATIONALIZE why he is their candidate DESPITE it.

Folks, that's so crazy that HITLERS long rise to power pales in comparison. I SAW THIS almost EIGHT YEARS ago! Thank the powers that be I can focus on ONE MAN for no more than 30 days from now. he will be crowned KING for surely the gutless LOYALISTS in the Stupreme Court will reward their party and filthy rich donors. On the OFF chance they still have some integrity and kick him off there will be even more turmoil lasting longer. SO, what do "I": wish for?

I always want things to run its course as fast as possible. My money is on TRUMP's victory. To think that no one dared mention that the 14th Amendment IS concrete and crystal clear as it fit EXACTLY into the TRUMP scenario. Liberal and conservative alike think it preposterous we use that to stop TRUMP. You can't possibly disallow TRUMP from running. We alter simple facts and easy truths into some convoluted reasoning because we don't like the answers.

THE AMENDMENT fits so perfectly for TRUMP and yet everyone assumed they can't use it and win? In fact, there is not a single argument that helps Trump to stay on the ballot. In fact, the Stupreme Court will have to revert to something similar to Blacks having no rights as humans during slavery. They will MAKE IT UP to justify their extreme bias.

Our system is a mirage and has been since it started. It survived, barely, thru force of will and determination to keep it together. These same forces are determined to destroy it today and they have already succeeded.

Imagine ONLY debating if TRUMP can be forced to surrender his crown thru some technicality and not on his act of sedition. Astonishing we as a nation accept this premise today. But here we are.

I am as adamant that what we are witnessing in the political arena isn;t going to happen in the economic arena.

[gdl]

I use Shiller SP500 P/E ratio to determine true picture of absurdities. In three past major peaks we had a P/E ratio of 31 on 6/1929, ratio of 43 on 10/1999, and 38 on 10/2021.

Most interesting is the last one. There was a sharp clear 7 wave move to get to 38 P/E on 10/2021. The lows so far some 12/13 months after the peak has NOT broken the lows from the last upside wave. That mean we can still be in an upside move exceeding 7 waves. More likely we are NOT extending the wave count but rather have a divided multi-wave drop. The 1st drop ended 12 months ago, and this one is wave 2 up of a 3 wave drop. Not only is it likely we are about to see the 3rd drop but, in all likelihood, it should be long and deep.

I bring this up to declare a target in which we can be more accurate on what wave count this is. If the Shiller P/E ratio hits 28 or lower, we are in the nasty steep drop zone. Long way from here so for now we just don't know. The odds of this being part of a larger move can ONLY happen if it breaks all past chart performances. Highly unlikely. The AI craze seems more like the dotcom craze and that ended very badly. One other observation. The current rebound from around 28 P/E to 33 is almost halfway (50%) recovery to top. Either we fail right here during this earnings season (OR) we hit 68 or even 76% of wave. That would mean a P/E ratio of 36 or even 37%. Personally based on past performances that also seems unlikely.

My best guess is we start the big drop soon as in BEFORE this quarterly earnings season is over. Early or mid-February? I had thought we could see another solid year leafing into 2025 but the chart isn't cooperating. Most likely we hit 18 P/E before any rebound.

Now looking at the big picture it is possible we don't hit a major bear wiping everything in the past out. It is possible we can even see new absurd highs in the Shiller P/E ratio above 44 but it seems too preposterous, and I must rule it out.

For now I see the simpler explanation. big steep long wave 3 down soon. Everything pointing to a nasty drop soon. BUT but but I have called these chart patterns wrong before and maybe it is wrong once again. I do know the P/E ratio has NEVER BEEN THIS HIGH WITHOUT A NASTY DROP. Is this going to extend even higher with more absurd rations? Can't rule it out. Will know in February.

[gdl]

When the final barrier to trumps presidency is gone, which should be next month, he will be very frank on his immediate plans. He will wave his hand and have all the loyal heads of the military and department of justice bow. He will reshape this country in his image and do so within weeks of taking control. He will go after his enemies with a vengeance and reward those that were loyal. He will have the GOP in each state cleanse the non-loyalists and pass laws that absolve him of any crimes. He will separate from NATO and any ally alliance. He will become buddies with Putin and share his top secrets with him. He will immediately stop any military or financial flow to Ukraine. He will pardon all involved in January 6th. The puppet congress will bob their heads and try to gain personally from the experience.

This in just the first 3 months. He will get rid of the IRS, have the DOJ prosecute states that punished Trump in the past. He will declare openly his dictatorial control. He will ban or punish the media that doesn't fall in line with his agenda. He will start wars and taint our allies. He will enrich himself and family thru any means. He will make sure he dies in office. He will punish corporations that don't accept or enact his policies.

Nothing i say here can be shocking since he is already the man i described. ONCE we hear from the 9 clowns deciding his fate we can begin to prepare for the end. I can't wait for those gutless fools to make their decision. It will be one they regret when they too become obsolete in his first 3 months.

Oh yeah the market: Forgetaboutit! Auto Pilot till decision on Trump. Most likely any disruption in the bull run will be rectified long before the election. If the GOP and TRUMP had their way they would cause a massive crash right before the next election BUT I don't think they have that kind of power or control yet.

[gdl]

So very few brave individuals in a time of utmost peril. I would go further and say so very many gutless politicians. throwing out all sense of moral code, ethical standards for a piece of the greedy pie. We only have one more tortuous month to finalize the total collapse of our republic. The one thing standing in the way of immediate defeat is the gutless Supreme Court. All they can do is delay the inevitable, but a delay is better than nothing. I expect them to either not answer the question of Trump remaining a God or make such a limited narrow muddled response guaranteeing Trump his crown back.

We Have Only One Month More Folks!

Between February 8th and the end of the month we will have our answer. Even if the court refuses to rush the response anything more than 3 weeks is already proof of what they will declare. ONLY an immediate decisive verdict in a limited manner will send the message that our republic isn't dead just yet. But it is and I don't need to listen to their BS. Even if on the off chance they have the guts and will to destroy Trump it will come way too late. There is NOW only 2 scenarios possible for our future. one accelerates the process while the other can take torturous years to complete. In a perverse way I hope they kiss Trumps ring. It would mean a clear fast decapitation of our short-lived republic. you see i am an impatient person that hates to watch in slow motion the destruction one pillar at a time.

On the market front there isn't much to say. Auto pilot till a shocker happens. In both the economy and politics, we have a free month to play with. February should be a calm one.

[gdl]

Bitcoin can be experiencing the start of a nasty drop. The wave count is right. Been wrong many times before trying to capture the turning point. Inflation is still tame but stubborn. No one has thought, except me of course, that this economy is strong despite the fast runup in rates. 40 years of disinflation and borrowing is hard to break habits. It has resulted in a stubborn refusal to drop home prices and an increase in borrowing habits. I am just as adamant my final calamity event will also take place and coincide with the political reality. BOTH today are on auto pilot with solid iron clad assumptions. The economy is in a sweet spot and the FED will lower rates soon. Trump is already the next president, and nothing can stop him.

How long these two runs in sync will be interesting. For I believe BOTH will crumble at the same moment. Maybe we extend this spike feel good mood till Trump gains his crown? But something tells me February will be a tough month. Based solely on the current mood and longevity of trend.

The mighty Supreme Court has already proven to be a paper tiger. Texas has just ignored an edict from the Supreme Court thumbing its nose as the GOP unity behind his defiance. This is an era of power, absolute power, and the soon to be King with his established legislative branch handily has won. While it is now in 2 of the 3 branches of government that will be consolidated into ONE. Just as these 2 branches have ignore the law for a long time, they will make the final sever by pretending they didn't understand the Supreme Court's decisions. One down one to go! With the help of the now defunct Supreme Court as they refuse to answer the question of trumps guilt, they are already in the trash bin. The GOP, the all-powerful actually think they can continue to control and take advantage of TRUMP popularity. History isn't one of their strong suits. They will lose complete control next year and will cower back into the role of a Politburo. Do Trumps bidding regardless.

On the off chance that TRUMP is pushed aside this year the new player will take over and emulate Trumps actions and make an attempt to complete his dream. Trump will be pardoned and his legal issues, even in state court, will mysteriously go away. How can I make such a preposterous claim? Easy. All you have to do is open your eyes.

[gdl]

The new dictatorial control by one party over the laws and rules set by the Constitution and Stupreme Court. The REPUKS have taken over the country with ABSOLUTE authority. They have seen what Trump has done and are all in.

Great News, Democrats: Republicans Say You Can Ignore the Supreme Court

Texas Gov. Greg Abbott said this week he will continue to defend his state’s border despite a 5-4 Supreme Court order that the US Border Patrol can take down razor wire Texas set up along portions of the US border with Mexico.

What this means is that the third branch of government is a broken off twig with no significance on the health of the tree. They will ignore the edict that trump will have to be removed from ballots (if the improbable vote is cats), admonish trump once in office, and defy anything and everything that gets in their way to reshape this country in their image.

One Man has awakened the whole REPUK PARTY to a simple understanding that being popular and defying the law works!

I have presents ONLY facts these many torturous years and when I started my campaign no one took me seriously or had any understanding of my complaint. Truth be told only a few more do today.

TODAY we have STATES defying the STUPEME COURT. Let's be clear, they defied the state supreme courts already and now make a final completion of that task.

A Party owned by TRUMP even as states place extraordinary financial penalties. Trump now owes over 86 MILLION of defying the courts. The end of this month I suspect another 350 MILLION will be added for his scheme on defrauding Uncle Sam of their taxes over the years.

[gdl]

Home sales, personal spending and consumption surged last month while inflation was MUTED! Debt has equally surged. Wages are NOT keeping up yet.

While the street always has its blinders on only looking at the strong readings as a good sign of future health it ignores the simple fact that this is happening when everyone assumed the spike in costs would kill this economy. For now, that is great news with one caveat. If we can thrive on a spike in prices why would the FED lower rates here? To make the personal debt that much more? Called paying the piper. Finally, CHINA is announcing stimulus programs. If it works BOTH nations, ranked one and two, will have to deal with a strong economy and hope inflation somehow stays tame.

Bottom line: Impossible the FED can ignore this and LOWER RATES! Not now and certainly not by June. So we extend the debt to unprecedented heights just to keep up with a lifestyle no one wants to abandon. It in affect guarantees a really deep recession. When relief over higher rates are not showing it only means the consumer is getting more into dangerous debt territory. It also means the next recession will be deeper and longer.

On the political front we see a similar scenario. Trump is a shoe in and there is not a living soul that can declare anything different. No mention of law and order. That applies to everyone else. No mention of a STUPREME COURT pretending to adhere to the LETTER OF THE LAW without reinterpretation. Well folks this one will be so transparent and shameful in reality that reality will just get shoved under the rug. You do understand that the public has no concern about Trump mental state, corruption, dictatorial retribution or trashing the constitution., they see a man, and by extension, a GOP policy change so drastic they actually cheer it on. Hitler was cheered even as he exposed his intent clearly. We are once again living in times where the end justifies the means. The GOP has used the legal system as their own torture chamber twisting laws and policy to go after anyone that dares to expose the truth.

BIG BROTHER. here to stay! When TRUMP takes the helm, he will throw money at any problem and the GOP will oblige. he will be the MOB BOSS of all branches of government, and no one will object. He will Putin as Putin never could be. NOT a single soul seems to understand what ALWAYS happens in that circumstance. The next great depression is soon. He will make sure of it. if not him another puppet Trump. But first we watch the gutless Repuks attack anyone that exposes their hypocrisy by going after jay walkers in the opposing party and declaring them of equal violations.

NOTHING WILL CHANGE THIS PATH! No more speculation. It is here and the outcome is as clear. WHEN? Refuse to say since i can't believe it went on this long. Humans have an enormous capacity for pushing itself over a cliff with the biggest leap yet. For now the market is on auto-pilot.

[gdl]

JUST GOT NEW COMPUTER. working out the kinks on windows 11 and transferring apps and data. not much to add on this autopilot market.

[gdl]

Seems my desktop has a problem posting. Getting new one in a few days. No posting till then.

[gdl]

[gdl]

Here we go boys and girls. CITI came out with a report showing they expect a FED RATE CUT in JUNE!
That caused an immediate jump in markets. See how easy it is. Just mention RATE CUTS and we are off to the races. This also tells me just how envious the street is. ONLY when the data is so glaring, or the FED specifically states NO RATE CUTS THIS TEAR will the market respond immediately.

So one bad monthly report should be like the initial announcement of the most deadly virus in 100 years. Yup that means they totally IGORE IT!

[gdl]

Let me bring my point home with my obsession over how important the Stupreme Court is, and why I have harped on this ONE topic for so long.

SCOTUS keeping 'insurrectionist' Trump on ballot is a 'suicide pact' for democracy: column Story by Carl Gibson
The Supreme Court of the United States' (SCOTUS) pending decision on the Colorado Supreme Court case that disqualified former President Trump from the state's Republican primary ballot will have far-reaching impacts on democracy, according to a Guardian columnist.

In a Thursday op-ed, labor journalist Steven Greenhouse argued that the Anderson v. Griswold case that disqualified Trump for his role in the January 6, 2021 siege of the US Capitol constituted an "insurrection" by a plain interpretation of the Constitution and should be upheld. He emphasized that point by stressing the praise the Colorado ruling got from conservative legal experts and conservative members, meaning SCOTUS members who subscribe to the conservative legal philosophies of textualism and originalism should be in favor of disqualification.
On the other hand, Greenhouse wrote that SCOTUS failing to disqualify Trump would effectively render Section 3 of the 14th Amendment (the insurrection clause) moot, and pave the way to the eventual end of democracy.
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I can guarantee you that this court will try NOT to answer the question using any loophole or downright ridiculous argument. If forced, they will declare Blacks have no rights and Trump is above any laws. What they dare not do is state we have no notion of trumps insurrection and therefore must wait for the final trial. Clearly that violates the 14th amendment since there is NO NEED OR EVEN SUGGESTION a trial need to make the conclusion final. In fact the language of the amendment is so unambiguous, so clear its meaning well understood and when they ignore that meaning they just declared their own branch as moot. They become the insurrectionists. But as we all know TRUMP does not share power well.
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Can you imagine 7 years after i went CRAZY with radical notions of our democracy being wiped out thru TRUMPS election other very prominent people are just NOW saying the same thing? Seven Years AGO, I saw with absolute certainty this ending. No not the current state of affairs but the one where he is crowned KING or his evil twin takes up the cause. The path the GOP is taking is as solid as the ground we walk on. As they did in the Hitler era, they will not be able to control him and will destroy themselves in the process. The STUPREME COURT is already the laughingstock to the world. An insurrections Judge caught lying about his wife's involvement, his taking bribes from billionaires, his sole vote declaring Trump king is currently on the MAJORITY opinion that TRUMP walks on water. When they find out it is blood, they too will be obsolete.

A third graders dilemma. At that age you know inherently right from wrong but also have a stronger desire to get what makes you happy regardless. Every player in this scene has personal interests that supersede our moral code of conduct. Even one that would eventually be self-destructive. Instant gratification as a third grader with no ability to make longer term conclusions.

I am frightened over my own long-ago conclusions with long term consequences. Not frightened over my vision of the future but rather the lack of vision by everyone else. What seemed obvious to me is still not obvious to the masses. In fact, they are incensed that there is a semblance of law and order still trying to right this wrong. It is as if they are presented with a realization that what they have seen was nothing more than a mirage and confronted with this they prefer the mirage.

I was called CRAZY and politically motivated with need to see a doctor. SEVEN YEARS AGO! Now for me it is clear my affliction was called stark reality, and it is still losing. Reality is what you perceive it to be. Ask the Noth Koreans what they think of the south. In all their hardships they still cling to the notion the "other" nation is evil. We have managed to do the exact same thing without a long dictatorship preventing truth from coming out. We rail against those that try to enlighten us. We are indeed lost like no other nation ever before.

WE HAVE SEALED OUR FATE. Enjoy the fireworks to come!

[gdl]

The big reversal of dollar and bond yields seems to be of a long-lasting trend upwards and not a correction in a downtrend. In fact, it also looks like we are in an accelerated stage. The market cannot stay at these levels without a FED RATE CUT! They are finally realizing it isn't going to happen this quarter or maybe not even next.

With the Stupreme Court ignoring the constitutional amendment because it doesn't fit with their political affiliation, they will seal our fate as if a nail has been pounded into the coffin. Now granted the nail is way after the death but it does make the event final. The number of people in all sectors of life proudly declaring their allegiance to the king normalizes and justifies evil intent. Trump has opened the way towards dictatorial control and a means to keep the masses happy. It is a playbook from all despots. Deflect your own destructive policies by placing blame elsewhere. Blame the easiest target, one where their voice isn't strong and long-standing hidden prejudice was already there.

February, we find out that ALL court cases against TRUMP will (NOT) be deliberated in 2024. The GOP, FOX, heads of state, stupreme court, will conspire to make sure the KING is back! I prophesized this many years ago and was ignored and dismissed as another political fanatic. To label me an alarmist meant there was something to be alarmed about. To dismiss my claim as crazy partisan politics makes your lives so much easier to accept.

Everything that TRUMP has already done in a so-called democratic society far exceeds anything any despot has done in the same environment. Trump has already achieved more than Hitler in the same amount of time. Hitler had no political structure that thwarted his efforts and yet even with a so-called check and balance government Trump has far exceeded Hitler's mandate. He has been caught destroying the current republic with no repercussions that will stick. Only the thin veneer called law and order goes thru a mock trial with known results. Like Putin's putting others on trial for phantom offenses. We already know the outcome. The clear and present danger is allowing our own selfish prejudices to be mainstream accepted. THAT has already happened and therefore TRUMP is not needed to carry out this to a conclusion. But I expect TRUMP to lead the riot and this time get his target. He can't contain his anger disdain and god complex. What do angry gods do when ridiculed or disobeyed?

Will 2024 be a bust? The setup is there for one with extreme valuations and extreme profit projections. Even if everything falls into place and the Goldilocks economy holds up the valuations suggest not such a stellar year anymore. I hope we get to the point where it is no longer possible to stay afloat. that makes betting for a disaster so much easier. Like waiting till we had ONE death on our shores from the Pandemic. It sparked the immediate crash. What will do it going forward? Post inauguration perhaps? That is the one death on our shore scenario. Will it take that long to develop? Most likely the answer is YES!

[gdl]

Market not happy while the economy is very happy. Weekly unemployment claims PLUNGED. No recession, no rate cut and with my expectations we should see signs of heating inflation within one months' time. The dollar and bond yields took a U-turn and should see a steady and increasing trajectory higher.

Too much of a good thing? You bet! When the experts were begging the FED to lower rates, they assumed a nasty recession would already be here, instead we only see stronger employment.

I warned many months ago that inflation is a cyclical problem of some 40 years in the making. While i don't know if this Goldilocks economy stays long enough for Trump to be crowned, I do know BOTH should be experiencing major cracks early 2025.

As a system/application programmer analyst and project leader dealing in cold logic and clear vision is a must. Building the framework using convoluted ambiguous logic is a guarantee for catastrophic failure. Trump surges ahead as major corporate big shots endorse him. This as he is in court right now over the second defamation trial for RAPING a woman and ridiculing her publicly. Just on the rape case alone we should be disgusted over his actions. NO. It doesn't register with the masses. HITLER promised a solution to the countries weak pride, and it targeted the JEW. No one seemed upset over it. In a simple twist of logic, they decided they deserved what they got.

We humans can do unspeakable harm and sleep like a baby. We have the ability to justify our evil intent. If anyone wants to DEBATE the qualities of TRUMP and list just FACTS without any speculation, I would be more than happy to point you the way. Once the FACTS are established list the reasons why YOU still support such a human. No one dares ask that question. To do so exposes their own false narrative to one of evil intent.

[gdl]

A new low or should i say a new dawn. Jamie Diamon just voiced his anger over how the Democrats are treating Trump. Trump has a point! Let's transpose Trump's name for Hitler right before the World War started. Hitler has a point! The nation was badly beat up and Hitler gave them pride again! The CEO of Chase just normalized and excused a convicted rapist, seditionist, extortionist, racist as he bashes every living soul that. he is envious of, demeans his own loyalists, makes fun of anyone in the military, and sells the nation to the highest bidder for personal profits. Sides with Putin and all despots.

This is the guy that is worth how much, never understood the poor or middle class and can actually shame the people refusing to give in to the devil. What an absolute moron. before we perish or cause a civil war he will eat his words and pretend he wasn't thinking straight. Trump is a man that did everything in his power to persuade people to kill for him in order to stay in power. he wanted to lead personally the rioters to hang his VP. This is not hyperbole but actual events.

I am a simple man that sees things in the raw kernel of truth. I can easily sweep aside the fog and stare straight at a target like a laser. We can pretend we follow TRUMP for hundreds of reasons but need only one to turn our backs on. He is pure EVIL and tempts all with their own vices, weaknesses, and prejudices. He can twist his horrors into a reasonable argument If you are willing to side with the devil. KKK killed Blacks and glorified it as a testament to gods will. Jews aren't worthy of god's grace. Immigrants are dirty selfish thieves with a low IQ.

ANYONE that praises TRUMP is lost forever. his soul has been taken. The Orange Jesus! I can promise you that when he takes office those of us that still have a soul will prey it ends swiftly. All the minions of Trump will be blaming others as their last dying breath is taken.

This nation is already a mirage. I cry for what it could have been. People are inherently selfish and greedy but above all want a clean conscience when they do unthinkable things to others. It was ONLY after TRUMP came on the scene and gained popularity did the gutless cowardly masses openly endorse his evil. That is why no matter what fate is Trumps ours remain constant. Pandoras Box is open.

[gdl]

A new low or should i say a new dawn. Jamie Diamon just voiced his anger over how they Democrats are treating Trump. Trump has a point! Let's transpose Trump's name for Hitler right before the World War started. Hitler has a point! The nation was badly beat up and Hitler gave them pride again! The CEO of Chase just discarded the convicted rapist, seditionist, extortionist, racist, bashing every living soul that. he is envious of, demeans his own loyalists, makes fun of anyone in the military, and sells the nation to the highest bidder for personal profits. Sides with Putin and all despots.

This is the guy that is worth how much, never understood the poor or middle class and can actually shame the people refusing to give in to the devil. What an absolute moron. before we perish or cause a civil war he will eat his words and pretend he wasn't thinking straight. This is a man that did everything in his power to persuade people to kill for him in order to stay in power. he wanted to lead personally the rioters to hang his VP. This is not hyperbole but actual events.

I am a simple man that sees things in the raw kernel of truth. I can easily sweep aside the fog and stare straight at a target like a laser. We can pretend we follow TRUMP for hundreds of reasons but need only one to turn our backs on. He is pure EVIL and tempts all with their own vices, weaknesses, and prejudices. He can twist his horrors into a reasonable argument If you are willing to side with the devil. KKK killed Blacks and glorified it as a testament to gods will. Jews aren't worthy of god's grace. Immigrants are dirty selfish thieves with a low IQ.

ANYONE that praises TRUMP is lost forever. his soul has been taken. The Orange Jesus! I can promise you that when he takes office those of us that still have a soul will prey it ends swiftly. All the minions of Trump will be blaming others as their last dying breath is taken.

This nation is already a mirage. I cry for what it could have been. People are inherently selfish and greedy but above all want a clean conscience when they do unthinkable things to others. It was ONLY after TRUMP came on the scene and gained popularity did the gutless cowardly masses openly endorse his evil. That is why no matter what fate is Trumps ours remain constant. Pandoras Box is open.

[gdl]

I have been harping on the same theme and condition for any major trend change. it is simple. Inflation, inflation, inflation. The consumer has totally ignored the spike in inflation and is in fact SPENDING at a "normal" clip. Jobs, yup plenty of that. Wages, yup it is starting to catch up with inflation. Borrowing, yup like pre-covid times. To be clear the consumer is not in good shape but that is relative. in the last 40 years they have relied on debt to service their lifestyle.

Like the roaring 20's on the surface everything is great. Beneath is a foundation built on clay. Debt has been wiped out of the equation for a long time since we have thrived on it. Like taking out multiple credit cards paying off the minimum to maintain our habits. On the surface no one sees a problem till credit tightens and repayment costs rise. The 40 year stretch showed continued reduction in borrowing costs. A generation hooked on low costs.

Mind you all this is happening without the second largest nation participating. The Chinese are not participating in the inflation cycle. Once they do it will compound the spike that much higher. I believe it is solely because China is not heating up the inflation cycle allowing for a more gradual rise. Their pain has been our gain.

All that can't continue.

[gdl]

Correction started. But not likely anything more YET! All about Rate Cuts! Seems the retail sales was very good in December along with stubborn INFLATION.

The ONLY focus going forward is how quickly will the FED lower rates. You see without rate cuts their whole notion of a double-digit gain in profits is gone.
Debt is increasing at a fast pace and the consumer seems willing so far to spend. IF/When the data supports rising inflation again this market will be 20 percent or more over extended. Time is running out for the bull. The data better continue to stay flat or drop. The FED better listen to the street.

Now add a condition that "I" believe is about to happen and you have a prescription for a crash. "I" believe inflation data will soon pick up. if it does for just 2 consecutive months the street will throw in the towel.

I see the Dollar go to 110 or higher in this current drive. I see 10 year note breakout to new highs also in this cycle. How long befor we have a nasty crash? maybe 2 to 3 months time? ONLY (IF) my understanding of Inflation holds true.

[gdl]

Seems both Trump and the stock market are still riding in sync. Both have been doing so well for so long it becomes a natural conclusion it will remain so.
The stock market has everything working towards an easy call for 2024. trump and the inability to get the popular vote away from him and the high court refusal to go against the popular Republican vote seems just as secure for 2024. BOTH are in auto pilot for 2024.

Not much can derail this years path. On economic front earnings should be in line with expectations IF inflation remains tame and the FED lowers rates in next 3 to 6 months. Trump should sail thru the election IF the Stupreme Court pretends laws don't apply to him. They MUST decide in February.

The good news is that BOTH decisions will be determined early in the year. The end of January earning season and more inflation data should seal the fate for rest of year. TRUMP has no scenario he will lose the presidential bid other than physically taking him off the ballot.

I suspect this one post is all that is needed for the rest of 2024. I will of course not hold myself to stop posting since it is a cathartic experience, one where I can release some buildup of toxic facts. If I dwell on humans' ability for self-destruction and immature emotional dependence, I will go crazy. Just the headlines alone have me so perplexed a rational common-sense approach that I take thru life must shut down completely to maintain some semblance of normal daily activity. People have actually found ways to vote for TRUMP without declaring their own evil inner intent. Claims Trump did a great job, was competent and a strong leader to he is the only individual worth voting for. I am sure White Supremacy and his pledge to wipe out all other races and ethnicities from the middle and upper class is not resonating with them? They can claim January 6th, the live TV coverage was nothing more than a peaceful gathering or one planted by the FBI. They can dismiss every single indictment as revenge related and dismiss facts as easily as you dismiss the earth revolves around the sun and not the other way. Honesty with oneself and others is not human's best trait. Once the Stuptreme Court bows out in stopping Trump that would be the last barrier. I hope this gest resolved in February so I can concentrate solely on the same blinders the economic market relies on.

[gdl]

Earlier this week, multi-hyphenate billionaire Elon Musk endorsed a tweet suggesting Black students at Historically Black Colleges and Universities (HBCUs) have lower IQs and shouldn't become pilots. Let's add Bill Ackman to that list. Chip Wilson, Vivek Ramaswamy, Kanye West, most GOP members in Federal and State, City, and Municipal positions. Newscasters, TV hosts, major institutions from education to business.

TODAY thanks to the frank talk and actions by TRUMP it is now allowable and encourages to rant your stupidity and scapegoating tirade and get rewarded for it.
A Badge of Honor to be in the Trump Camp. Why look at his popularity and you can see why it is so easy to emulate him.

The Stupreme Court, the most racist of them all use their elite all powerful position to degrade woman, blacks, all minorities with a proclamation this nation was founded on these principles. Can you possibly imagine Obama actions was that of Trumps? Can you Imagine how he would lead the Democratic Party thru all those years and remain solidly in their camp? How all the actions by the DOJ and Republicans would result in his attempt to run again with 91 indictments against him? And finally, can you imagine he continued to rant against whites and jews? Now stretch that imagination and tell me he would be standing after the first attempt to spew such garbage. If the Stupreme Court wouldn't already have him tar and feathered.

We slant reality to fit our own behavior as justified and normal. Inferior blacks because genetically it has been proven! Jews money hungry take the shirt off your backstabbing greedy scum. Mexicans and Hispanics with all low IQ and only worth to clean my dishes.

THIS IS THE NEW PARADIGM, the new America. We tried it in the 50's but failed. this time around things will be different. The single most boost to their claims comes from the Stupreme Court themselves. They will rubber stamp TRUMPS White Supremacy march. They will either boldly declare TRUMP a White Man with authority over all his subjects or find ways to allow him to stay on the ballot without declaring him dictator.

Hey folks, can i be wrong? IF THE STUPREME COURT actually declare his sedition reason to disqualify him from running I will shut the hell up on Trump and the GOP for ONE FULL YEAR from the time it gets announced. I am abetting an and the odds are so much in my favor. I feel comfortable declaring the decision way before it occurs. An easy call and i would be mor shocked than anyone if they actually made me look like a fool. Oh yeah, Uncle Tom will NOT RECUSE HIMSELF! That also is a given. He has already declared Trump a King. Just ask his wife about it.

[gdl]

Every article brings up Rate Cut expectation. This has frankly gone on for 6 months now. I wonder why 6 months after these expectations are not met do they still believe earnings will hit their projections? Either it doesn't matter if rates are cut or the damage to earnings if rate cuts don't materialize is delayed because of the unexpected strength in the economy?

My obstinate stance on Inflation still holds today. I find it peculiar and unexpected how the consumer can hold up with these headwinds on debt repayment. The data suggests a pre-covid surge in borrowing and if that is the reason the street knows with certainty rates are the key for future spending. Tapped out? Maybe or perhaps, it will take another few months. Home mortgage payment alone are major expenses that have risen a lot.

I actually think the no recession in the past 6 months was expected only by me. I predicted these higher rates will not deter the consumer. I also predicted the longer the consumer finds ways to keep their like style the same the more likely the forces of INFLATION take hold. Higher wages and higher costs should happen like the last 40-year cycle. So far not to be! Is this cycle not a real one going forward? Will know this year.

For now, we should have no more than another week of consolidation before the next spike move. Bitcoin does NOT seem to be peaking despite the recent spike move. Everything is still pointing to a unanimous assumption the consumer gives up and the FED lower rates to compensate. The fact that their model has been proven wrong without anyone reassessing the assumed path begs the question why they didn't? They have been pleasantly surprised over the resilience of the consumer but didn't change their future model when added debt was the reason for their resilience. I can see why beneath the surface they are very concerned with rate cuts. But the overriding feel good market creates an unequal importance on things that fit their assumptions and ignore those that don't. Like a Pandemic maybe? In fact, the market completely ignored it at the very peak and for 5 weeks a small consolidation was taking place. I have not seen or heard any mention of a dramatic reversal was even possible because of the Pandemic. The overwhelming mention was the street already absorbed the effect of a Pandemic. Like Trumps actions clearly defined by only a dictator could. Yet his mounting exposure to atrocities he performed only emboldened him and his followers. The last 7 years can be condensed into the 5 weeks post Pandemic. We live in a fantasy reinforced by lack of consequences.

Did you notice the complete lack of news with the Stupreme Court? They will find a way to skirt or delay any permanent decision on the fate of Trump. They may even just go ahead with partisan politics and once again thumb their noses at our critical review. Trump has proven that when he pushes the boundaries and topples them the consequences are minor. He single handedly proved just how easy it is to topple this Republic. All the selfish greedy individuals are clamoring to cash in. The last coup attempt was done with the help of elite powerful government positions. In every branch of government even local ones. To date not a single person was indicted other than the brain-dead foot soldier that did the physical lifting. I find this very fact so disturbing and reinforces my assumptions on a doomed nation. Nothing going forward will change this course. Assassinate Trump, strip him of his ability to be on the ballot, reject him in the voting booth. DOES NOT MATTER ANYMORE! He has set our fate as completely and predictably as a bundle of cash left on the street with a banks name on it. The obvious decision to keep it if no one is watching must run at a 99 to 1 rate. 99 percent of us will rely on our selfish greed and ability to morally excuse it. This is what is happening today.

[gdl]

PPI is as tame as can be. this market should rally from this one report if we are indeed in the latter stages of a bull market. A slow burn means we have a way to go to the top. This on a day someone questioned the argument on immunity for trump by saying if he is immune, we are a dictatorship. gee, what an advanced leap in thinking. It only took 7 years to develop.

Let the good times roll.........

[gdl]

Seems two diverging factors are at play. A huge blow off style enthusiasm for 2024 has been going on for months now. It wants to ignore any obstacle in its path.
A huge assumption is that the Fed will start lowering rates in March. It seems imperative they do if the profit train stays on track. A blow off mentality seems real here with the assumption the Fed cooperates. They have been begging and demanding a rate cut and the Fed so far isn't listening. They keep HINTING they will cut but not now and only if inflation stays tame.

How big a deal is the PPI tomorrow? HUGE! In-line number indicates that supply side chain is not causing inflation. That should keep real consumer inflation in check for now. A lower number causes a HUGE relief rally once again! A miss on the upside will shake this market up depending on the miss.

How am I so sure a top COULD be forming here? Every single earnings model needs rate cuts in MARCH. Every piece of data going forward will compound the weight of the Fed decision. A revamp backing up inflation is a killer. No way the FED cuts in March.

In the meantime, The Stupreme Court is unusually silent. I find it interesting that so many so-called experts dismissed the 14th amendment clause as not pertaining to Trump with the overwhelming conclusion they would not DARE follow the law against the majority of voters. Like abortion was an overwhelming acceptable court decision? We see what we want and disregard reality. The Court will FIND A WAY to keep TRUMP on the ballot PERIOD! The strict constitutionalists will switch sides on this one because ideology and political alignment is more important than the LAW! Hypocrites in a long line of Republicans.

To recap: It boggles the mind that everyone agrees that the most corrupt evil self-centered man in the universe already tried to place himself as KING would actually vote for him unhappy, he didn't succeed in the first place.

I bring this analogy up to prove that human's hardly ever work in a scientific fact driven world. The stock market is so stretched the only way you can conclude it is a great investment now is to persuade yourself even greater things are in store. IF only......

[gdl]

INFLATION just not cooperating? The street will FLIP OUT if they think the Fed will NOT lower rates in March. The chug chug train would have speed up on any sign that inflation is dead. The data is in! Seems the trend has stopped. Now we see if the all-important PPI sped up as well. In actuality the PPI is more important than the CPI since it leads the inflation move by month. Building on the supply chain costs always gets past on. So far the service sector is causing all the damage.

Yes a top might be here soon. The Inflation data is the ONLY event that is obvious to derail this rally. Was the last 2 months the spike move?

This market will rally IF the PPI is tame. the obsession on rate cuts id driving this market. IT CAN'T HIT ITS PROFIT TARGET WITHPOUT RATE CUTS!

[gdl]

Got to stop the music. Done with the TRUMP TRAIN for now. You get the gist of it. Same but more going forward. The market however is running on an over full tank and the fumes have been spilling over. It wants to run higher, a lot higher. Rev up the engines and off we go. Thats what it feels like to me.

I suspect a tame CPI/PPI will cause the market to go wild. They will assume the FED has to lower rates and soon. I also believe they will IGNORE the FEDS talking points and still expect a drop in rates soon. You see when you need to hear something because it is the only way it fits into your perfect world you tend to hear it and believe it despite silence or hedging from the FED.

Drum roll please! A soft CPI followed by a likely even softer PPI should spark the next spike move higher. This from a doom and gloom investor? We do have one small possible glitch, however. Earnings season starts. If that also holds up well nothing should stop this rocket till next month.

[gdl]

A full court press. that is what is happening now. trump leads and the "other side" changes strategy trying to force him to falter. His remarks are getting even more unhinged than ever before. This as the market marches on unconcerned.

Be prepared for a dramatic crack turned deluge in the coming year. The only thing right now the street is concerned about is WHEN the Fed lowers rates. Obsessed with it because their estimation on earnings and profit can only happen when the FED lowers rates.

market on autopilot so far. Continuing the assumption of more great years to come.

[Bigfootbud]

Jesus loves you, gdl !!! :) ♥️

[gdl]

Conservative Publication Begs Voters to Abandon Donald Trump
Donald Trump, Kari Lake and others invent a whole new kind of terrorism
Bringing birther back, Donald Trump questions Nikki Haley's right to be president
List of Donald Trump's Various Legal Defenses Goes Viral
Nikki Haley closes gap with Donald Trump in New Hampshire
Donald Trump Finds Himself Financially Hamstrung

Full frontal attack today and i suspect it increase. The silent GOP is waiting to see if TRUMP survives the edict from the Stupreme Court.

Like the stock market the lull before the breakout event. Let us be crystal clear on MY POSITION and my long-standing arguments and conclusion.

'The world is literally at war': McConnell sends strong warning to House Republicans In TEN DAYS they shut down the government? I do believe this could start the market stakeout.

Trumps agenda will prevail even if he doesn't. Knowing the makeup of an extreme out of control Stupreme Court it seems LOGICAL that they grant the king everything in their power to do so. Total immunity is out but I am convinced they find a way to prevent any case from seeing light of day in 2024. On the off chance my analysis is a bit biased and flawed we will see major rippling repercussions if he is taken off the ballot. The leader of the change will just be a different person. The GOP has committed itself to the new cause of total annihilation.

'The world is literally at war': McConnell sends strong warning to House Republicans Perhaps the shakeout starts then?

[gdl]

Nikkei hits a 34 year high! Clearly in the SEVENTH WAVE. I guess permanent negative rates work. Bitcoin hit by a scammer hacking into SEC account. Nikki Haley gains ground and likely the next president IF law and order prevail. Nah, that's not going to happen. A woman GOP leader? In an era of macho cave man mentality? This world is truly topsy-turvy.

the massive feel-good stock market mood has one glaring thing in common with all prior situations. It marks a top of some sort. Might be a double top or slip-sliding till a cascading event, BUT it fits so well with the presidential race conclusion. I mean it is PERFECTLY aligned.

The street is slightly interested in the CPI/PPI data this week but no one, I mean not even a mouse is concerned inflation is back. In the early 70's it looked the same and then quickly got out of control. Will this be a repeat? here is a clue: Every economist was sure the consumer would fold, and a nasty recession would occur after the big spike in inflation over a short period of time. When it didn't, they just put those blinders on and focused on profits based on a consumer that is steady and willing to absorb the costs. Once again, they ignore debt to GDP at 120 percent. Putting this in perspective in 2000 it was 46 Percent. In 2014 it was 84 Percent.

The dismissal of these stats is as mind boggling as Trumps widening lead. We quickly accept the preposterous and adjust our thinking to accommodate it.

The number of ALARMISTS over the prospect of a Trump win has soared. Talking about high profile people. The desperation of Trump is no less than the Republicans as a party. Both see this year as curtail for their long-term prospects. The ONLY thing that cn create a massive shake-up is from the Stupreme Court. It will ONLY start the civil war earlier than anticipated. It will NOT derail the dismantling of our democracy, and in fact is likely to speed its demise up. So my BIASED opinion places Trump at the helm and after that we crumble. If I am wrong, as i have been in the past on timing, the rejection of TRUMP this year would start the dismantling that much quicker. All GOP candidates know to win and maintain popularity they must destroy the infrastructure as per the demand from the public.

Enough about politics (lol). Let's look at the stock market, one where every single analyst and economist is extremely optimistic that the worst-case scenario is not a big deal. At some point we catch the catchy phrase New Paradigm again.

[gdl]

A Wisconsin Supreme Court justice says 'we're going to lose this battle' for democracy to 'a bunch of insurrectionists' if public officials don't speak out about the threats they've received THIS IS JUST THE beginning.

I went back to election night when TRUMP actually won fair and square. I knew with certainty the future, and everyone questioned my sanity and hubris. how is it potable? I say how is it not! His personality wasn't for show. his ego and need for more power and obedience was obvious. As the years and abuses went by he seemed to be more liked and more popular. It wasn't because of his genius; his incompetence was glaring. In fact he was so stupid and embarrassingly corrupt he didn't know to keep his crimes to himself. Instead, he boasted. I knew on the day of his inauguration just how bad and final his election would be. Final as in total destruction of our republic replaced by con men spewing our hate and venom towards those who are weak and vulnerable.

"Ty Cobb says former president poses ‘gravest threat to democracy we’ve ever seen’".


here is how it plays out: The conservative strict constitutionalists will NEVER allow Trump to be off center stage. They will come up with absurd reasons but who can criticize. you see we play by rules and TRUMP and the GOP do not. We pretend there is an order to things as they laugh at our stupidity. Thery play for keeps we play for moral upper hand and in the end that hand will be chopped off.

If on the very off chance the Supreme Court actually bans Trump from taking office, it will ONLY start the war of dismantling our system earlier than planned and with more direct results. Civil War will be in the open as desperate TRUMP will demand LOYALTY and there are enough people to take up the cause. Even if he loses all avenues and is relegated to eventual obscurity his MESSAGE will never be put back in the bottle. We will see a new tactic by the GOP to play for keeps knowing their test run over these many years proved they are invincible.

Starting next year we see massive changes in alliances, dictatorial control, dismantling of all other branch's power. I RELISH the day the STUPREME court makes a challenge to executive overreach, and no one listens. Their stupidity is as glaring as the rest of us. They can't see a 12-year reign with Hitler resulting in a world war? really? This war will be started and over very quickly with massive pain and suffering around the world. I also have a timeline for the END as we know it. 1 - Trump win has a much easier timeline. All within 4 years' time and depending on ow desperate TRUMP is during his term in office it will either push the timeline forward of wait till end of year 4. BUT that assuming external events that TRUMP starts doesn't get out of hand. BUT the known factor, he will never leave office. 2 - Trump is taken off the eligibility and he immediately calls for a war knowing he will be in jail soon enough. Civil war breaks out. Depending on help from GOP and FOX it can mushroom into a real civil war or flame out. BUT someone emulating TRUMP will win next election and will use his playbook without Trumps openness on committed crimes. He/she will dismantle the system quickly as the Democrats whin about it. This also will result in a clash with our allies. Now the timeline there is sketchy. One term or more? maybe. That can ONLY be determined once we see WHO it is and can read their personality as clearly as Trump's.

Me, I root for the KNOWN! A Trump win becomes transparent on the timeline, and I will spell it out for ya. His actions are so transparent and boastful. I can interpret cause and effect. Once he challenged other dictators or heads of states be it ally or not we will easily determine the course he sets down.

For now, let us pray! Oh lordie make it quick and as painless as possible. Let the known devil be the instrument of our demise. It would be like following a simpleton daily activity. And predicting with complete accuracy the how and when it ends.

I know I know! I am crazy and off my rocker with this nonsense. just answer me this. Can YOU list in chronological order all of his atrocities that we know of with certainty and then look at the polls and tell me we are not sheep begging to be slaughtered. I am witnessing Hitler two and just like then not a single nation wanted to know the obvious. GUTLESS cowards that hide for their own shadow. NO ONE will see the future even as it is presented on a silver platter.

I no longer end my conversation with "Gee, I Hope I got this wrong". More in line with "Can we hide anywhere on this planet and be safe". Maybe. That one i do not have an answer for.

[gdl]

Insane years keep getting more bizarre. Image deciding based on law if a president can lead an insurrection without any liability. Duh. 2 years went by. No decision. But wait The most corrupt politically aligned Supreme Court will dig deep to find any excuse to allow a malevolent king stay our leader for good. Their credibility is already shot. The course is clear. Follow the example of the GOP. One the Supreme Court gets their dirty hands on this they will make sure Trump is elected. By using stall tactics. Immunity? Insurrection? Tough legal cases. Of course only Trump can be allowed to destroy our past and future with a gift in the present.

Can I be wrong? Will the world still revolve around the sun or is it revolving around Trump???

[gdl]

The courts will be the final defense against a full out dismantling. Consider these facts. A rapist, seditionist, extortionist and frankly the most ignorant incompetent individual ever to gain such a high position. Clorox anyone? It boggles the mind that in this era of astonishing scientific breakthroughs we have a cretin loved and cherished by a MAJORITY of voters.

So the courts have the heavy burden of uncovering the hidden truth about TRUMP! Just kidding. Total immunity as KING! You bet! Dos the 14th amendment apply to a KING trying to regain his kingdom with force? A tough one.

But I am 100 percent sure the Stupreme Court will do what the congress has done and prop the devil up. FOX and the GOP could have just stayed silent and the result would be the same. The voter knows just who and what TRUMP is. Doesn't take a genius to see the January 6th riot and trumps involvement. The man went out of his way to THANK THEM for the effort. Promised full pardons. Even fought off the Secret Service in an attempt to lead the rioters. You would think once his efforts were unsuccessful, he would be tar and feathered. Instead, he gains more followers and defies the law with the strong help from the GOP and FOX news.

But hey thankfully this gets to be resolved soon. thankfully we will have our answer and KING. The Stupreme Court will fulfill the devils plan as he decided the joke would be for each of the so-called Democratic branches to succumb to greed power and cowardice. A trifecta!

[Bigfootbud]

Howdy gdl!! Curious ............ are your posts all your own words??

[gdl]

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/opinion-to-disqualify-or-not-to-disqualify-the-supreme-court-confronts-the-laugh-test/ar-AA1mDGlj?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=WSEDDB&cvid=5358efe850024d3fb44a4428b0e26d44&ei=32

If I was as articulate i would have my name on this opinion. It states in a nutshell that there is no wiggle room, no opinion from the high court other than one. A clear easy call. It also suggests the recusal of Uncle Thomas should be a given. It states the 6 conservative constitutionalists have absolutely no choice but to ban Trump. The actual Amendment was made for such an occasion. In fact, it fit perfectly with this current dilemma.

But in real life they are a thinly veiled bloated old men's opinion against their oath to interpret the law as intended not as they wish. Now we have a month to go.

Let's be crystal clear. they are COWARDS and if the last 7 year has taught anything it is that the antichrist has power over common sense, moral obligations and makes selfish acts justified.

The article explains just how easy and simple the call should be. Whatever path the Stupreme Court takes it certainly will not be the easy one constitutionally.
SIX to THREE (or) they make it seem close with a 5 to 4 decision granting all exceptions to TRUMP for life and for any infraction. So count on this court to grant SEDITION as a valid reason to run for president.

How's this market doing? Bitcoin is displaying such a rip roaring straight up move it defies the most optimistic cheerleader. I MUST conclude it is a terminal one and a spectacular drop is here. The rest of the market seems destined to follow. .BUT for the life of me i can't see the catalyst.

ONLY the shocking announcement by the STUPREME COURT disqualifying TRUMP would cause such a shakeup but frankly that's as likely as Trump becoming the greatest president ever. February 8th? I have a feeling it doesn't get resolved EVER!

[gdl]

What a MOVE!!!!! Today is so explosive and right near the all-time highs. If we can hit and exceed 4780 on a closing basis it would be the first time we had a truncated 7th wave with a very shallow retrace barely dropping enough to declare the last wave as 7 subdivided waves.

This as BITCOIN has a huge extended 7 wave advance. Now this canary seems to be chocking on the fumes. But maybe it just spikes and spikes straight up for EVER!

This as people are calling for and predicting Biden will leave the race. It matters not. Do these silly experts actually think there is anyone anywhere that can defeat TRUMP? Are they still under the impression that it is a lack of an alternative to Trump that is making him the prohibited favorite? Don't they realize TRUMP IS LOVED! I will go further and say he is their savior. The ANTICHRIST comes along once. The list of Trumps accomplishments reads like a Friday the 13th movie. We have easily dismissed reality in favor of purely selfish assumptions.

This must be nirvana. The 50 percent cheering Trump on with spitting mad indignation is also gleeful that the Goldilocks Stock Market is making them compounded money.

Anyone that can encapsulate the pre to post Trump era with just clinical facts and descriptions of event would have a 5-thousand-page book and it would be shelved for the next generation to pick up.

This "feels" like a blowoff but without the fanfare. More like an expected move given the drop in bond yields, the dollar and surge in this era's pet rock, Bitcoin.

WOW!

[gdl]

The panic by high profile individuals in both parties is simply astonishing. As if the last 7 years was a blur and no one could understand the ramifications of such a maverick. Unconventional and crass followed by rude bigoted con man with no care in the world if it didn't involve and benefit him. But it was worse, so much worse from the start. The pussy magnet was exposed, his extortion practices were also widely known. Once this was displayed in typical commercial fashion everyone assume he was a fad and would quickly go away.

Roll forward to the moment where no amount of exposure, indictments or revelations about the man changes his favorability rating. Every day the press gets wind of new revelations in Trump debasing human traits. Every day they expect to wake up with polls showing just how tired and disgusted they are of Trump, and every day they panic even more when it has no affect.

The stock market is also nearing a final devastating change and in both instances the voter and investor only sees the past as a path forward. What could possibly go wrong? Trump has already led, and many consider his 4 years as very positive. The stock market is experiencing unprecedented growth in a stretch that defies logic.

I see a possible top to this but not here. In fact, we should have a rather shallow retrace in January. If true we run further and higher. WHEN? When is it over?
Only know that. Election time will bring finality to this glorious market move. It can start before depending on events, but it is likely to be resolved in trumps favor.

[Bigfootbud]

If we walk in the light, as he is in the light, we have fellowship with one another, and the blood of Jesus, his Son, purifies us from all sin.
1 John 1:7

Howdy gdl !!! Just FYI, I am praying for you and our country! As always!!! :) Bless you much in this new year!!!
You are loved!

[gdl]

You are being warned': Trump's former defense secretary Mark Esper calls him a ‘threat to democracy' I was ridiculed, laughed at, dismissed as a kook. Told to get on meds and here we are some 7 years later with the former defense secretary calling Trump a Threat to Democracy.

But ironically the same people from 7 years ago STILL deny all aspects of Trumps actions, policy, and behavior for one simple reason, They Want Him to Behave this Way! They want him to SPEAK FOR THEM! They never cared who or what trump is as long as he shouts their grievances and finds where to place blame. the LAZY American that can't or refuse to understand just who trump is. They go out of their way to deny because to do otherwise places their own faith and beliefs in question.

I believe there will be 10 external events in the political arena for every one in the economic agenda. The year of the total torturous dismantling of our republic and even possibly a stellar year for stocks. the only question is how the final destruction of our economic situation plays out. A blowoff top like the Great depression crash? or a slow insidious slide down as in the 70's. One thing is clear, these are the only 2 scenarios left to us.

I can state NOW with certainty that 2024 will be the last hurrah! Betting on the next decade of horrendous downside movement in the world stock markets is an easy call. I know no one can imagine how that is even possible yet the very fact that a majority of Americans support TRUMP should give the rational person a glimpse to why it is so. trump unmasked his thin vail of bigotry and scapegoating. With very plain Hitler style speeches in very clear unambiguous fashion. So now perhaps YOU can understand why i was so ADAMANT 7 years ago that our fate has been set for a long long time.

The market will wait till the Pandemic kills on our soil before even starting to recognize the situation. the same is true with the voter. The political disasters this year will be dismissed as easily as a 100-year Pandemic till YOU get personally affected.

I am so tired of repeating myself using prominent others to parrot my concerns and to do so 7 years too late!

[gdl]

Front and center. TRUMP refuses to sign an agreement not to overthrow the government. And the crowd roars! In the height of gladiator period where Trump places his thumb up or down. The crowd cheers his every move. Keep the entertainment going. Who wants a boring government with no fights? But the rational law geniuses in their ivory tower where laws also don't apply to them will actually make the decision to allow the wianna be dictator another shot. This conservative, by the book tribunal will find ways to distort the most clearly worded constitutional LAW and grant Trump his dictatorship. They will actually be signing their own powers away when they do this.

We live in such absurd times that history will ask of us what were we drinking? But the answer is far simpler. All branches of government and all citizens live in times of instantaneous gratification. In being allowed the total freedom to move from destructive thoughts to action with no adverse ramifications. In fact, the more boastful you are to deflect blame on the blameless the more power you will receive. The more outrageous your claims are in regard to finding answers to your grievances, the more powerful you become. Hiler was a man that came along to fulfill the citizens grievances. ONLY the total destruction of the man and their way of life changed back societal norms. We the people have ONLY one path to follow regardless of who leads that path. ONLY after a total destruction of the man and the mass behavior will society change back to the more rational morally responsible way of life.

Thats why I am so insistent we stay the course even on the off-chance trump is defeated. He will just be replaced by another of like mind until we reap what we sow. We need to feel pain in order to understand the pain we inflict on others. Do unto others till others do it unto you.

Evil is gaining traction, and nothing will stop it. We have blueprint design, and we follow it like engineers. Hitler was stopped by conventional means. Today convention is a tad more drastic and impactful. We are already in the waning years of a short but glorious period in human existence.

My outbursts, sky is falling nonsense hardly keeps anyone awake reading this. We have a defense mechanism that tries to keep us calm even if the path is an obvious one. We will NEVER turn back till turning back is the only option. More likely we fall off the cliff first. I have been predicting these progressions for over 7 years now. That is but a nan-second in geologic times. The speed at which we plunge ourselves into self-destruction is swift.

Unfortunately, a year later we will still be in the same situation. Same mindset and same ability to dismiss reality even as it builds into a massive bubble about to burst. We will accept the new norm, the once outrageous as common and find reasons to actually support it.

The stock market will not be immune to these changes. They are both likely to crest at the same time. Once the Stupreme Court opens the flood gates all of us will see it as a great opportunity to take a swim. The speed of external events will get condensed as we near the crest. A huge beautiful immense hundred-foot wave will be seen develop and all will marvel at its beauty.

Predicting the stock market today is impossible but knowing the outcome is 100 percent assured. Knowing the timeline is also in our grasp. Watch as we speed headlong into that wave.

[gdl]

I want to bring home my most important message, one that I have been talking about for years. The Civil War of 2024.
It has already started. The GOP is fully committed to prop TRUMP up any way they can including abuse of power. They have adapted his HITLER agenda even if they hate the message. END justifies the MEANS! I have been using that phrase and NOW you will witness it front and center on a daily basis in 2024. the final year of the war. I believe Lincoln just stepped down as President. The future certainly would not look anything like it does today. The election process will be changed forever starting in 2025. An obvious conclusion.

Now if the Stupreme Court did its job we would not even be here today. but it will be played out in its fullest in 2024 with crushing defeats for democracy. Imagine the extreme position on womans right to self-determination. A man can inseminate at will. Rape, imprison or do daily abuse BUT once he passes his seed the woman becomes an object of the state to be manipulated as they see fit. Obviously giving woman the right to vote was a mistake. Even if the medical establishment determines the life of the woman will be impacted. Seems that unborn fetus instantly becomes more important with more rights than the person carrying that fetus. it is so outrageous, so preposterous you need to have the Church of the 13th Century back in deciding peoples fate. Ban science, as the GOP has already done, ban free will and put their interpretation of GODS word into practice, as the GOP has already done.

We live in a time of extraordinary scientific achievements. Getting as close to a godlike power as never before and yet we revert back to primitive methods using our bigoted angry emotional warped sense of right and wrong above common sense and accumulated knowledge.

The daily news is simply astonishing and alarming had we not seen the process play out over a decade. We are numbed and accept our fate because we can't actually believe it will have a real impact on our lives. Hitlers 12-year reign is being played out once again and NOW the direct link between Trumps playbook and Hitlers is starkly seen if not heard. He no longer cares to make references or inuendoes between his method and Hitlers. He is quoiting DIRECTLY from Hitler! The response is the same. WE LOVE TRUMP and HITLER. We went down this path early in the 20th century and this time around they will succeed.

2024 will determine for all to see that we lost any moral code, any semblance of decency. It will not be obvious, and many will never see anything wrong or disruptive. in fact, many will rejoice in the change. Obviously, they also will not see the self-destructive fate they put on themselves.

I can't wait to say, "I TOLF YOU SO". That will be my only solace. As always, I hope I am an idiot and completely interpreted the fate of our nation wrong. The fate i speak of will NOT include the voter's determination of next president. It will be decided by the Stupreme Court as the final say in the matter.

THE WILL OF THE PEOPLE and the massive moral indignation bottled up over our changing world will make that decision an easy one. The Stupreme Court didn't give a shit over the masses one sided opinion on abortion. Thier moral indignation superseded any deference to the law. Now that the DEVIL is running for president their transparent indignation will turn to selfish desires being played out. The DEVILS efforts have paid off. There is zero chance in HELL our fate will be reversed. Imagine the Stupreme Court, the very same court that has no rules or moral obligations for themselves, will decide the written law. A JOKE!

I pray I am wrong. On the off chance their gutless shameful act of the past has a quality of redemption in the future decisions it will only STALL the inevitable. Even if TRUMP isn't eligible the FATE of our Nation is still the same. the PEOPLE Want Trump or someone like him and the GOP will oblige. A new era has already been formed and ever TRUMP will not stop it. Thats why I am 100% sure of our fate and only 99.9% sure that TRUMP wins.

[gdl]

This year we will have the MAGA Stupreme Court as the most influential runaway dismantling train of Democracy ever. It will rival the GOP's efforts in the house senate and executive branch by a magnitude of 10. They just allowed Iowa to keep the extreme ban on abortion including emergency medical procedures to save the MOTHER! Of course, they will decide permanently soon enough but the obvious result has just been decided. You don't keep such a radical decision by States if they think it is overreach.

But of course, the TRUMP decision on his dictatorial powers will also be FORCED on them to decide. And decide they will.
Write this slam dunk conclusion. All either 6 to 3 or 5 to 4.
1 - The 14th Amendment can't be used by states. They might NOT decide on the merits of the case but rather the PROCEDURE states have to go thru. Let us be clear here. in no way shape or form will the most conservative, by the book exact constitutions integration EVER stick to their conservative stance. In fact, they will make wild assumptions that TODAY the law should not be interpreted as written. They become the most LIBERAL JUDGES ever to sit on the bench. For the LAW is CRYSTAL clear and everyone knows it.
2 - The question of total immunity because he is KING will likely be resolved. HE IS! The most LIBERAL interpretation will be with the most conservative group because IT SERVES THEIR AGENDA!

They are a laughingstock. Interjecting their own religious beliefs and bigotry. Imagine judges receiving MILLIONS of perks. lying about it, getting caught, and telling the world F'off! The very same man that has a wife involved directly with GOP payments and coup attempt will be DECIDING all cases about the KING.

So very soon the radical stupreme court will be front and center declaring their LOYALTY to TRUMP and the GOP. ALL branches of government have decided the ends justify the means regardless of constitutional rules.

As for the MARKETS? Heck an easy call, a new paradigm lasting another 100 years.

[gdl]

Seems I was WRONG in assuming the case would-be heard before the ballots get sent out. The actual oral arguments is February 6th. That places any decision in late February or as long as mid-March. But we all know the answer to this, don't we.

The 6 conservative judges will decide this one on a very liberal principal of extreme modern interpretation. You see if they VOTE the way they PRETEND to vote there is no question, slam dunk verdict. It would be a unanimous one where all use the exact wording of the 14th Amendment and place TRUMP squarely in the crosshairs. Everything about the 14th Amendment sticks to TRUMP without a doubt. Every single word.

Having said all that, the result will still be 6 to 3 in favor of Trump being allowed, as an insurrectionist, to become president again. What bothers me is the unanimous public conclusion that they will IGNORE the clear concise law with clear concise meaning and no wiggle room for interpretation to do just that, reinterpret the law. They could dare to say that what everyone saw on January 6th was up for INTERPRETATION. His refusal to call in military, refusal to text his rioters to stand down, refusal to act on the hysterical call from his own GOP House leader. His insistence that he march with them to hang his own VP. his insistence to lead them to the Capital and fight like hell. His refusal to condemn their actions and never asked them to stop. instead, after a secret service KILLED a rioter, he was forced to tell them to go home. he LOVED THEN for trying.

BUT as easy a call as this one they will give TRUMP his kingdom and therefore make our nation one for the history books as a short, failed experiment.

BUT we actually have to wait? Please, just chop off Miss Liberty's head and be done with it.

[gdl]

Past noon and the market is realizing their mistake. I suspect the extreme complacency and a lick your lips expectation of a huge gains assumed in 2024 has the crowd a bit confused right now. The only constant in all this is that the big rate hikes have been ignored by the consumer and jobs are still pouring in. Wages are also trickling higher. Question: if a jump in costs of this magnitude didn't create a recession or even a slowdown and the service sector STILL on fire why would Wall Street expect rate cuts? Same reason 50% of this population thinks it's unfair to disqualify trump for trying to overthrow the will of the people. Do You See just how easy it is to twist reality to fit your narrative?

I have been saying for over 6 months now that the longer the consumer holds up thru this rate hike the more likely it gets absorbed with higher debt and need to get back to pre-covid lifestyle. The more likely corporations start paying higher wages also. Once that happens INFLATION returns. i truly believe that is already happening. I trust human nature ti stay constant. The huge increase in debt and the contused hiring practices means we continue on the gap between solvency and affordability. GREED has a way of making inflation take off.

BTW where is the Stupreme Court today? I was told they HAVE TO DECIDE T-O-D-A-Y! A whole nation praising trump for his new clothing attire. it's called the stark-naked look. Seems we can even TWIST a well-defined, easily interpreted clause in the 14th Amendment and still find a way to ignore it. A 6 to 3 decision is imminent. They will single handedly reward sedition and open the flood gates to hell. But Trump is credited with sneaking in those Justices in the dead of night and why not show LOYALTY! You see even if the have a conscience and know without a doubt the Amendment applies to trump they will cower into their defensive mode of loyalty to party and trump. They will justify it by saying to themselves they can CONTROL an out of control president in the future by placing edicts. Delusional thinking. To actually expect Trump or his government to start listening to them if they dare to go against him is so absurd it is laughable. But hey, that's for another day because it will occur exactly the way i spelled out.

Back to the market: More like back and forth today trying to establish the uptrend again. Let me just apply economics 101 to the discussion since the crowd of geniuses seems to ignore it. The labor and service sector are doing so well that it is about to hit record. Territory. the great news is a guarantee that INFLATION is here to stay! I know i have harped on this forever and it is NOT happening yet. If i am wrong the stock market will SPIKE even higher and steeper. To be continued.....

[gdl]

Not again! What a start of the new year. Seems JONS, WAGES strongly suggest the FED has ZERO chance of lowering rates anytime soon. That single assumption, if true, will doom this market for the next 6 months. Earnings projections are very high and that means the consumer has to cooperate. With no rate cuts a steady but stagnant economy is likely. Earnings projections over next 2 quarters will be drastically reduced.

[gdl]

EVERY ARTICLE OPINION and CONCLUSION is the S-A-M-E!

The stupreme court has no choice but to allow TRUMP to stay on the ballots in ALL STATES! The arguments are so silly and begs the question why is it now acceptable for them to dismiss their own obligation over pressure from the GOP. Why is it so hard to disqualify a man that was caught multiple times trying to overthrow the voters choice? There is no need to question his motive, his live TV behavior, his actual words and deeds. it is PROOF enough. But in the new world order where right and wrong is decided by party loyalty I have ALREADY made it crystal clear they will give TRUMP THE GREEN LIGHT!

if this isn't the so-called antichrist I can't think of a better candidate and better escape from laws, both legal and moral.

Every day I prove my case that the public is so corrupt, so evil, so bigoted that in my estimation ONLY the DEVIL can be involved. or the reincarnation of the past devil Hitler himself.

But wait. Wait till Trumps first day as prez. Do a countdown from that day to see when he declared himself king above all, I suspect his deeds will be so shocking, so outrageous and so easily escaping justice that we will just become another dictator state and suck it up. I also suspect the 50 plus that voted for him will continue to worship him.

[gdl]

I am getting SPAM? On the radar? now that's a novelty. BIG BIG BIG NEWS coming your way FRIDAY!

I mean it confirms my long-hardened stand on what will be, where we go from here, how I saw the future from 7 or more years ago and how we finalize once and for all my adamant stance on TRUMP and Democracy.

TOMORROW is as big as it gets! Stupreme Court is now FORCED to make a decision on the Colorado ballot disqualification. Deadline is FRIDAY!

here is how it goes down: mark this one since i am sure it can ONLY go 2 ways, and both open the presidency for TRUMP!
1 - They (HOLD THE ORDER OF DISQAULIFICATION) stalling and making sure he is on all ballots.
2 - They decide then and there that a known insurrectionist that happened to be our president at the time has no bearing on the 14th Amendment. You know the Civil War decision that allowed slaves. I never thought the court can reach such a high bar of disgusting behavior but wait folks. They will grant the coup attempt by our prior president to succeed this time around. The silliest of all arguments is that the public gest to decide. Really? All it does is prove MY POINT that all along it isn't TRUMP on trial but us. We crave for this man to succeed. We are the criminals that have no law preventing such behavior.

If anyone ever wanted a better argument for a Democratic republic here is the perfect example. If you don't like the law change it! If you want to exempt individuals from the law, you can't. you must change the law first. So, I suggest each state pass a law allowing insurrectionists the right to be placed on the next ballot. I suspect strongly this can and will be done for the 70% in deep red states. We no longer have a federal court that is willing to place all states in common laws. This IS the start of another Civil War.

Watch the cowards tomorrow issue a stay of disqualification as they pretend to argue the case, as if they didn't know for 6 months this was coming. YUP a circus with some interesting, strange animals doing convoluted twisted acrobatics.