Alternative Path

[gdl]

Is this a THREE-MONTH correction or a NINE Month deeper retrace. We have only a few more weeks to determine which.

I Strongly suggest it is only a 3-month correction. Trump has been told to tone down his rhetoric and make changes without any fanfare. My guess anyway. he wants his policy changes to be done quietly and pretend they are just normal administration decisions.

De is MULLING over to add sanctions to Putin. now that's laughable. no one believes it anymore and the EU is going to detach from USA on sharing intel.

The bungling morons with the hatchet have already cause major problems for themselves. There will be no drama on the deadline for government extensions. GOP has no plan to expose their plan till September. They want the public to stop getting the drum beat of their policies and plan.

As for the Market it still seems like a NORMAL correction. STAGFLATION in now on my radar with a 75% chance. Data confirms it. Wait till a spike in inflation of raw materials show up.

CRASH in 2025 is almost a shoe-in. Bond market thinks we hit a recession and therefore Fed lowers rates. NOT when material costs start spiking. Here we go again. Seems the economic cycles are alive and well despite a 40-year run on disinflation. Next 40 will be bad, very bad.

[gdl]

'Five Eyes alliance' crumbling after UK, Aus, NZ and Canada give US cold shoulder ---- Headlines

I TOLD YOU this was going to happen. not trusting US with Russia is a no brainer. They have no choice but to stop intelligence communication with USA.
I hope it is done immediately. The man is so dangerous, just 2 months in. A record even for him.

So tell me dear handful of readers, how is my medication treatment. I was able to telegraph EVERYTHING that happened and will happen. EASY based on a simpleton with no conscience, no moral code, no intelligent thought in his body. Driven by need for adulation as a feared GOD.

he is actually imploding before our eyes. never satisfied with his current power. Annoyed his simple policy changes create complicated problems for the idiot.
I still can't believe he was going to fire all air traffic controllers. Now that is ONE way to keep all Americans from leaving and all foreigners from coming over.

** Spoiler alert ** Nothing, I mean not anyone, anything, any event will stop him from carrying out his mandate. He is stalled and seeks advice on how to accomplish all he wants without anyone knowing or any pushback. If he can't get a good answer, he will eventually say to himself FUCK IT! He will start the ;process again and that will stick. no amount of arm twisting, devastation would budge him.

He is exactly like HITLER. The BOTH set a plan and implement it regardless of the consequences.

[gdl]

EU ignored Hungary and will supply financial aid to Ukraine. Much to the dismay of trump. How much and how fast. Intelligence gaps. So much to catch up.
Still believe they have 6 months and no more. Seems TRUMP has been bombarded with complaints from his GOP. Seems the slashing of programs is causing so much headache already they are thinking twice about it. Ebola outbreak is bad in Uganda. If they don't catch it in time, it will spread rapidly. Humanitarian aid Judge demanded by Monday. I am SURE they do NOT get it out on Monday.

The moron wanted to fire all the air traffic controller when he decided it was their fault thru his commonsense approach. Someone had to tell this massively immature moron that to fire them means no airplanes leave or land period.

The movie "Being There" a Peter Sellers spoof is being played out in reality. Instead of a gentle idiot with a low IQ we have a raving monster spouting fire. Let's see how their pan for tax cuts and extension of government shutdown gets passed.

I am SURE the GOP gave him an ultimatum. He listened because the stock market was dropping hard. I know the man and he will NEVER change, never sway from his pledge to tariff the world. He will now first have his lawyers and legal experts tell him how and when he can do it. With as little impact as possible. the stealth way.

[gdl]

Delay d tariffs. Only reason. The moron didn’t think thru the impact on autos. Also they already have a pact that would violate it. But don’t you worry Trump will place them back on your n 30 days. He will give the auto companies time to adjust.

So of this is the lows we have a 30 day rally. Will know immediately.

[gdl]

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/06/us/politics/supreme-court-barrett-trump.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare

Just as I reiterated. Barrett is furious she got hoodwinked into agreeing on Trumps legal status. She is likely to push back against the evil 3. Image knowing how crazy and dictatorial he as they maintain his dominance.

Insane.

[gdl]

Medicaid, Medicare and Social Security will be slashed immediately. They need to get that 5 trillion tax cut passed and even with all their cuts will not come close. So the answer is to abolish them all. In that order. Medicaid will be first and soon after Medicare. It will be masked and slashed to appear to get rid of so-called waste. This will happen within WEEKS, not years. A decapitation early in his 4-year term. Social Security will take more time to dissolve but make no mistake it is GONE!

Trump has decided on his path to stay the crowned KING. he NO LONGER cares or relies on the vote. he will try to manipulate or fix the vote in 2 years but even that doesn't matter, His total control thanks to the Supreme Court guarantees he will succeed. He will actually relish the pain he causes his loyalists. He has decided TODAY to abandon any pretense on caring for the voter. He will of course use his displaced anger and bravado to get him thru but even he realizes he will already be affecting most of his voters negatively. He has just thrown under the bus all that stayed loyal including his party.

Watch his next move. it will shock even his GOP base to the core. Thier commitment and all in posture can NEVER reverse so TRUMP knows he has WON. He has 2 years to make sure there is no free voting, no change in power, no going back. I thought he wuld wait and hold out till after the mid-term. NOW it seems not to be the case.

Everything i described speeds up the timeline for a massive economic collapse. Thank GOD for small miracles. i HATE being the ONLY ONE in deathly fear of the future. It also guarantees any releif and rally AFTER the NEXT CRASH will be limited to a short period of time.

[gdl]

Predictable market behavior and timeline for CRASH!

Count the number of days from the start of a real reversal from these lows. Either today, which seems unlikely, or as low as 5600 area, which meets the target.
In either even once we have a confirmed reversal of more than 5 days add up the number of days that we stay in the upward trend. The Fibonacci number 55 should indicate the terminal point of the rally. If it coincides with new all-time highs than so much the better. 55 trading days is between 2.5 and 3 months.

It does NOT guarantee an immediate crash but should start the slide that eventually does end in a crash.

We are in the most destructive phase of a world collapse. This will test and break the resolve of nations. it will end up worse than the great depression and instead of human compassion and a sense of fraternity it will create the opposite effect. Violence against our neighbor, greed, hording, animalistic behavior. If a nuclear bomb doesn't stop our fighting only a true survivalist will thrive.

Like i stated before, the speed at which we accomplish the first crash is astonishingly close. The first attempt to shore up the massive rift in our financial, moral, social dishevel will fail. On a GLOBAL level. It should take no more that 12 to 18 months before the real damage is seen.

YES, I SEE minimum of TWO massive crashes all within 18 months of each other. But first we MUST see the FIRST CRASH in 2025. if we manage to survive WITHOUT a CRASH in 2025 then my whole analysis is put in question.

Cross your fingers. If events unfold that prevent or relieve a crash scenario in 2025 there is HOPE my whole decade long assumption is wrong. Hope springs eternal.

[gdl]

Current move in Market: Pretty well defined. We already have a sharply defined THREE WAVE drop. if 5770 area is breached, we go to FIVE WAVES down that would take us to 5670 area.

While i am pretty confident on the year rollout causing a huge crash i must put myself in the minds of the investor. The start of a Pandemic was so obvious on the path I just could NOT understand the FIVE WEEK delay. Pounded into my head, like the tariffs, that ONLY when it actually happens will the market react. SO this move here will be absorbed, most likely, with a conclusion it isn't going to change much the outcome. The caveat: EU can NOT be part of the tariffs. That would surely dissolve any recovery into a rout.

So in 2 months' time Ukraine is dead, all safeguards including social programs are dying, and a dictator, one that favors other despots, will rule for 4 years if not longer. The speed at which everything is being accomplished also guarantees the EFFECT from this dismantling will be swifter than anticipated.

Before the next crash the following would already be in place. Suppression of speech, press. Total shift of government funds to the very wealthy. Total transparent abandonment of the non-productive citizen. Fix the voting booth with paper only mandate guaranteeing TRUMPs GOP stay in power. Clash if not full on rift with the rest of the world as trump aligns with Russia. Rumbles and fears of a military conflict with our past allies.

YES all this will happen before the CRASH.

BTW, a drop BELOW 5670 area means a full on major reversal is already here. No crash but deep and long drawdown.

[gdl]

EU must have been sleeping when trump announced a decade ago is love for PUTIN. They will NEVER be able to replace US military and intelligence. they actually JUST STARTED discussions on what to do. Ukraine is GONE! The moment trump pulled the dramatic act and withdrew our help. I give it 6 months, no more. EU, will have infighting and stall long enough for permanent shift in war.

But I knew this as sure as i knew Tariffs was his favorite extortion mechanism. Interjecting that the latest 5 to 4 decisions in the Supreme Court has shown the 2 REPUKS with a conscience has decided to break away from the Trump Fab Four. AT least for now.

IF this current DROP is still a correction it defines the next possible leg up as the FINAL ONE! Maybe this one is IT! The speed and destruction TRUMP is causing might just speed up the Depression we are about to be hit with. I count on the morons with only greed on their minds to focus exclusively on the bargains they see. Like a Pandemic they actually yawned when it came. I guess they assumed we would just allow hospitals to be overrun and let the death take its toll and be done with it.

The timeline for a crash, if this isn't the setup for one, is still in JULY, at the LATEST! It ALSO means the next leg up HAS TO START within DAYS and NO MORE THAN 10 trading days form NOW!

My preferred setup: A basing this month followed by a 2.5 to 3 month rally that hits new highs. A TEN PERCENT PLUS move when we base this month till sometime in JUNE. Then a slip/slide till July and the dam breaks.

I am still amazed at the ability for hate, violence, and evil to permeate our voters mind even today. they are actually blaming Ukraine, the president as a dictator and massively corrupt while praising or ignoring Putin. This PROVES to me this nation deserves a cleansing out. It will affect the world and most likely cause an actual world war. this is almost a done deal. Where to hide?

[gdl]

Divided Supreme Court rejects Trump administration's push to rebuke judge over foreign aid freeze

Here we GO! 5 to 4. As I stated before it comes down to 4 Judges that will ALWAYS vote in favor of TRUMP on important issues. Amy and Roberts are key here.

They BOTH have to side with the SANE and MORAL conclusions. I suspect they will NOT always do so. I DO suspect AMY is furious at herself for being roped in on their presidential conclusions.

INSANE to see the solid FOUR allow their first decision to give Trump godlike powers to continue given his destructive nature. They are all elitist; with no background they can remember that places them in the average person's shoes. Heartless, lack a conscience, and driven in a fanatical fashion. END Justifies the MEANS!

I await the very important decisions that will BREAK the Supreme Court for good. Trumps mandate will not be deterred by anyone. He needs to secure his KING status before the mid-term election. The RACE IS ON! that is why he is going full tilt at this. he only has HALF the time to succeed.
=============================================================

In the Ukraine saga the end is clear. Trump is consistent. he LOVES two things most in his life. One is Putin. The other is tariffs. Trump uses his dominant position to force Ukraine into signing their own death warrant. They hope and pray TRUMP will keep his word, not however in writing, that he supports Ukraine with military weapons and tactical aid. Trump will SOON find an excuse to stop support and if need be actually help Putin win the war. They will divvy up the booty. So Ukraine is gone as of this week. It might take months to finish the job but the signed sealed delivered document is here.

As for Tariffs the Rumor is that Trump is about to sign a deal to avert such measures. Not on YOUR LIFE! In fact all within a few months he will add to the list the EU.

[gdl]

IF this is just a correction it should be within a 3 month span from start to finish. ALL other corrections never went beyond the 3-month span.

The 3 major indices had peaked with all-time highs at very different points.
SPX - 02/19 all time high 6144.
DOW - 12/4/24 all time high at 43,065
QQQ - 12/16/24 all time high at 20,173

IF we use the DOW and Nasdaq, they should have seen a correction ending here. Any more downsides would negate the 3-month rule. This assumes the absolute peak to trough is no more than 3 months. BUT the recent attempt at all-time highs might just be the start of the correction. Will ANY of the THREE see new all-time highs BEFORE a crash. If we use the SPX (only) we will not know the true bottom till 05/19 at the very latest. The divergence between the three is very large when it comes to all-time high-performance dates. It is so large that a final top might already be here.

Not a pretty analysis but the tale of two tapes means it is disguised very well.

While everyone assumes this is only a correction i will wait ti see if we get a decent rebound soon. A CRASH scenario usually does not come out of nowhere. There is usually a struggle for months to reestablish new highs before succumbing to a dramatic drop.

[gdl]

Here we goa again. the Chamberlain Hitler talks. Seems like a positive outcome. Silly naive people that just doesn't understand what makes Trump tick.
Trump LOVES two things: Putin and tariffs.

The latest news is that Trump will compromise with both Canada and Mexico and make a long-lasting deal. Market excited. NEVER GOING TO HAPPEN.
The other news is that Trump signed a deal with Ukraine. Partially true. the deal consists of Trump receiving (stealing) their mineral rights. The bad news is that Trump will soon find a reason to renege on his unwritten promise for military aid. he will totally align with PUTIN and divey up the country. Think this is preposterous don't you. I KNOW how the man mind works. he loves to play games and be the center of attention and power.

Before the end of this week Tariffs will be imposed and no negotiations. Within 30 days TRUMP will renege on his military pledge and add NATO/EU to his enemy list. I might be off on timeline but not on outcome.

Watch the market squirm on every move TRUMP makes.

[gdl]

Ukraine folded. Giving TRUMP anything and everything. It will come with ZERO guarantees on military aid but make sure when he divided up Ukraine with Russia he gets to keep the mineral rights. In short order we will see this happen. no more than THREE months after signing the deal or maybe less. The propaganda machine will make it seem palatable to the public.

UKRAINE is about to sign away their country. Lock stock and barrel! This is another easy call. A win-win for PUTIN and TRUMP.

Canada now talking tough as TRUMP ups the ante demanding any retaliation by Canada will increase their tariffs that much more. The KING thinks he is dominating the world. I suspect that is not a big enough place for TRUMP. he seeks the UNIVERSE.

This is happening very fast. We could slip from a correction into a crash if TRUMP keeps the pace up.

[gdl]

The public have the same opinion on this devil. 50% love him but are starting to question their beliefs. He has destroyed our relationship with the world in less than 2 months' time. Human nature has a defense mechanism that always portrays the current situation in an optimistic light. Hitlers early intent was telegraphed yet the world refused to accept it. Trump is going after all social programs including social security. he has decided that he will not wait for the public to decide his fate in the next two years. he has decided to make his move NOW. It will guarantee a defeat of the GOP in two years, but he has resigned to that fact and has an outside chance of controlling the election results by then. He will succeed in PAPER BALLOTS ONLY. This is his avenue to control the political outcome. he has NOTHING to lose by doing this.

Wall Street, like the Pandemic, also prefers to hold off reality till it bites them in the ass. The tariffs on the world will have such an effect but I suspect this current drop is NOT the start of the great depression. A 3 month retrace gives us till April. May June and part of July is my best guess for a rally that finishes this long-bloated bull run. I am still expecting 6315 area to hit as the final peak.

Ukraine is gone, so we move on and pretend it has no ramifications. EU, NATO, all our neighbors will shut down communication on all levels with us. The destabilization both at home and abroad has started.

STAGFLATION is a guarantee now. Anyone wants advice i suggest bet the big reversal in yields soon. The current drop in stocks will likely cause all asset classes to drop. April is a good time to see a basing and spike move start.

the very fact that the PUBLIC is still in the same spilt camp tells me evil has a firm hold on half this nation. This is even more irrational than the Tulip Mania in the 1600's. It has a guaranteed gravitational force. It also means we are officially in the death throes of this republic. There will be multiple crashes along the way. In two years' time we will be in an economic depression. I have NO DOUBT! The sadistic leader has no time to sit admiring his handiwork but is HELL bent on impatiently adding to the cruelly and pain. He will NEVER STOP till we stop him. The odds of us stopping him or even resisting him is NIL.

The GOP will pass a huge tax cut on the backs of those that voted Trump in. All social norms will be disrupted and even the die-hard MAGA voter will be affected. in fact perhaps earlier than most.

War, Isolation, internal violence, paranoia, will get exponentially higher. ALL IN THE NEXT TWO MONTHS. It is NOW obvious what TRUMP plans. He will set up a military excuse to stop voting. It can't be any plainer than that.

[joyceschoice]

Just checking in. How are you? Chaos reigns and you, of all people, are certainly familiar with its unpredictability by now. What 's your downside target? I'm curious.

[gdl]

I find it amazing that Wall Street can keep shrugging off a massive Trump implosion, one after the other and still manage to conclude his presidency will get us RICH! The market wants to break out and there are candlestick patterns indicating this. Between the tit-for-tat on tariffs, rip in our foreign alliance, ever increased crazy and irrational behavior of trump we manage to rise to the occasion.

Maybe when he is the most frantic, threatening the world with nuclear destruction we will take that as a positive stock market sign.

[gdl]

MY theory on what makes Trump tick is now in full display. The more power he gets the more adulation he requires. He demands and needs to be praised.
He is NOT a man that takes power and relishes his success. He has a sadistic urge to punish his subjects. He will always crave more and is added power is proportional to his added impatience when the GOD is disobeyed.

He talked about WW III. He will be the cause as i have stated a long time ago. This is his 2nd month and already he has international crisis. The GOP will stand by as he humiliates them with their own constitutes. In fact he thrives on this. Can you extrapolate how unhinged he will be in 6 months. he is a walking nuclear time bomb.

I saw the end game and in every single scenario I only saw one ending. He has for me proven my assumptions correct. he WILL CAUSE a Nuclear War.

[gdl]

TRUMP folded on his promise because PUTIN was angry. The US dictator ganged up on Ukraine and it was the most humiliating display ever. Our commitment to dictators is solid and unapproachable. I HOPE the EU realize this is a panic time and MUST ACT. if they also drop the ball this world is over faster than i thought possible.

Why am I the ONLY ONE sounding an alarm for years past as the danger gest bigger and wider and more ominous.

What a display of ruthless cruelty. TRUMP can now do whatever he likes and does NOT care about anyone even his party. He is a man on a mission to rule the world or die trying. I mean allow his nation to die while he sits in a bunker for 20 years waiting it out.

[gdl]

Stock Market slow to comprehend and even slower to change their longer-term picture. Seems the Tariffs are getting thru late today. I suspect we close with bargain hunters BUT the drop is NOT over. I thought 5800 would hold but now not so sure. It all should end in next 3 trading days. March 4th, the day TRUMP starts the trade war with everyone will probably be seen as a non-event. In a long BULL run like this any stall on the downside should bring in the GREEDY.

BUT that should ONLY last 4 trading weeks which brings us to start of April. It does NOT seem probable we hit 6300 on SPX in those 4 weeks but it certainly is a possibility. I will WAIT for this drop to stall and the next leg up to resume. Tired Bull for sure. But will we see a spike move to the eventful top or a slip/slide hitting it in a very gradual move. Not sure BUT i believe no matter how it turns out 6300 is the likely target before it stalls big time.

For now trump is doing everything possible to destroy this bull market. Like a Pandemic that wasn't till we had ONE DEATH on our soil i suspect the same analysis will be followed. OBTUSE to the extreme.

[gdl]

FOX continues to do its thing. The public eat it up. When does the love affair from the RED STATES sour? Like the Pandemic it has to HIT them personally. Trump is trying his hardest to make that come true as quickly as possible.

As FOX uses incidents that prove the greatness of the man by portraying hate, paranoia and cruelty justified in many small incidents around the country I continue to post such glaring contradictions like this one:

Previously convicted rapist, suspected extortionist, seditionist, racist, misogynist. and a man that tried to hang his 2nd in command was found GUILTY and sentenced to 4-year term as president. he currently is disputing this charge and wants a full life term sentence. How any FOX article can top this is beyond comprehension. but that is exactly why they thrive. I loved the Billion Dollar settlement for defamation over the voting machines being defective. But this bunch is so OBTUSE it requires an actual personal injury by Trump to sway them. But don't you worry, it is coming.

[gdl]

Supreme Court just gave the GRREN LIGHT for Trump to purge all aid and funds in ay program he wants. I knew it wouldn't take long. Texas outbreak of measles is off to a great start. Tariffs on everyone as TRUMP just couldn't wait to begin a mass program on all trading partners. he will start March 4 on Mexico and Canada. He will also start on China by doubling the 10 percent to 20 percent. As for EU he already called them THE ENEMY on trade.

Market so far not very interested in the news. Why should they be. Massive layoffs, spike in inflation, Stagflation should result. I guess this is like the announced Pandemic. A yawn. With Ukraine about to get the knife, worldwide isolation, and a hostile GOP and a Supreme Court that is smiling thru this debacle it is all steam ahead! All things will converge based on the TRUMP decision to go all out as the worlds most hated nation. The ramifications will be generational.

JULY has been my crash month and NOW it seems like a road map marked with an "X".

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'God help us all': Infectious disease experts panic after Trump FDA cancels vaccine meeting

This multi-front implosion is going to be glorious in its strength, impact, and destructiveness.

[gdl]

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/trump-musk-and-their-dreams-of-tyranny-jamie-raskin-loses-it-on-the-trump-administration/vi-AA1zOgEO

Democrats on the Hill give great speeches. We the people spit on his words and meaning. we are tired of the rule of law. We want vengeance on an untold invisible foe and want a strong dictator to make us whole again. In Germany it was the Jew that took the brunt of the blame and the population either cheered or quickly accepted the policy. Today it is the DEEP STATE, Federal Government itself. Trump has promised to destroy it and we elected him to complete the task. Unlike the Germany situation the fall guy seems to be everyone and everywhere. From federal workers to federal agencies that help the middle class and poor. Creating a 2-class system of white Christian might excluding all others. Raping the middle class of social safety nets while rewarding the very wealthy.

As the year goes on he will no longer try to straddle the fence between his ruthless dictatorship and the public acceptance. His goal is to stay in power. He knows voting is not going to get him there. he will set up the nation as a solid controlled block. He will either alter the vote or not allow it to happen thru a national emergency. His term is ONLY 2 years. he knows this. If he can manage to control the house/senate after those elections he knows with certainty he stays for life.

We have underestimated the power Trump has. We STILL pretend that things will revert back to normal. Where will NEVER be a going back. If TRUMP was to die tomorrow it changes NOTHING! Once he opened the gates for EVIL to thrive others will step in his shoes. We are the Roman Empire's last days. It has gained power in a very short period and will flame out very quickly.

I am GLAD I am not young. GLAD I don;t have to live thru the destruction. GLAD I will not live in despair for decades hoping things change.

[gdl]

'Ill-conceived': Trump hit with triple whammy as 3 judges rule against him in 2 hours

It matters NOT! he is still defying their rulings. Freezing funds. At this point he just doesn't care if the public wakes up or not to his cruel ruthless insane hateful policies. He is RAQCING against the CLOCK. he needs to make sure the mid-terms stay RED. If we can't do that thru lies or cheating, he will step up the destruction of our nation and possibly the world. He needs to create a situation that gives him power forever, suspends elections. He will first try to alter the Paper Ballots ONLY. If he loses the house and or senate, he will go ballistic. Exclusively use executive orders defy courts and create an environment where war is inevitable.

he is GOING AFTER JACK SMITH and his law firm. He has no limits to what he can and will do. He has shattered the constitution and the little pushback he gets is being ignored. His disgusting world behavior with Ukraine shows he thinks in terms of winning and never considers the nation. Ukraine gives up their mineral rights knowing that in 4 years' time they will revert back to a state of normalcy. I suspect STRONGLY Trump will renege on promises and actually help Putin in the war.

But hey, i have been wrong before. Let us hope and pray this is another bad assessment.

[gdl]

Trump and Hegseth Just Signaled Terrifying Plans. The Pentagon and Congress Must Act.

On Friday, President Donald Trump fired the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, the chief of naval operations, and the vice chief of staff of the Air Force, as well as the judge advocate generals of the Army, Navy, and Air Force, simultaneously resegregating America’s military leadership and eliminating a critical safeguard against the execution of unlawful orders—a decision tantamount to flipping a weapon from safety to fire.

Air Force Gen. Charles Q. Brown Jr., the fired Joint Chiefs chairman, is the second Black general to serve in the role. Adm. Lisa Franchetti, the departing Navy chief, is the second woman to ever reach the rank of four-star admiral. The other Joint Chiefs are white men. The terminations come in the wake of Trump’s previous firing of Adm. Linda Fagan, the Coast Guard commandant, on his first day in office, and are part of a broader effort to discourage women, racial minorities, and LGBTQ+ service members from serving in the military.

They signal a presidential willingness to commit war crimes in pursuit of partisan political objectives that could fundamentally rupture the American military chain of command from private to general, undermine national security, and destroy an institution that has been a democratic cornerstone of the republic since its founding.
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I do believe I saw this way back when. About time. Let the steamroller ploy everything under. Fun times.

[gdl]

'May never result in charges': Trump’s top prosecutor won’t sign arrest warrant for GOP rep

Just your typical GOP umbrella from the law. If you work for TRUMP, you are protected. The MOB BOSS will cover for his lieutenants

[gdl]

Trump allies circulate mass deportation plan calling for ‘processing camps’ and a private citizen ‘army’

Here we go. Private SS and internment camps. Closing most social security buildings. Going after Medicaid. Some red and purple states having heated community meetings. But this is a small fraction and likely to get larger over time. Trump will affect everyone with his cruelty and vindictive nature.

Market is witnessing a correction here. Soon to start what I think is last upside move. SPX at 6300 area more likely but always hoping for a clear neon light display the devil has taken over with a 6660 sign.

[gdl]

NEW POLL: Trump Approval Rating 9 Points Above Water — Doing Well With Hispanics, Women, and Suburbia

Seems the more he pushes to destroy his base the more they LIKE IT! Like living on the top floor of a building trump is taking a sledgehammer to. We view this as adding to the strength of the foundation. I kid you not.

[gdl]

Despite the drop today i still see a rebound to 6330 area within one months' time followed by 2 months drop to perhaps 5800 followed by one more rally reaching 6000 area before the JULY crash.

I have changed my assumption on hitting 6660. 6330 is more likely as a momentum chart seem so indicate. The tariffs and trump policy disasters should hold the line on decisive upside moves till the crash. STAGFLATION in my mind seems a very likely result.

Despite the VIV hitting 17 today we should run back to the 14 area by July. This is the equivalent of an announced Pandemic and the 5-week treading water Instead of 5 weeks we should hold off for 5 months.

[gdl]

Trump deletes nationwide database on police misconduct founded after George Floyd murder

How low can he go? I suspect he not only deletes the record of bad cops he rehires them in his White House or secret service or FBI, CIA. he needs and wants more people like himself. The transformation is hourly. Only the densest blockhead would be unconcerned. I guess that means Wall Street, his voting base, and all republicans including the judges. If you are Black, a Woman, or not Christian you better become a Man, White, and go to the right church or YOU can't join the elite club.

[gdl]

Julianne Moore's book banned in the USA following executive order by President Trump

Just one more in the coffin. We have no free speech, no free press no democracy no republic no life worth living here. In fact I am so embarrassed to ever be thought of as an American. My OVER REACTION and Freaked out message these last 10 years no longer worth it. We have already lost the war. The courts stick to their interpretation of the loopholes and allow the massive sledgehammer to crush our way of life in a two-month span. Let us watch gladiators fight and hope that's enough to entertain us away from reality long enough.

The change is so fast and so complete that we hid from the implications and pretend everything is fine.

[gdl]

Every single news piece reads like an Orwellian novel. the speed at which trump has attacked all constitutional safeguards is astonishing. The more striking part about this is how so many city/states are participating and helping the cause for complete dismantling of all norms. Trump is about to throw 20% of all his savings from mass firings to the taxpayer. Like giving them a coliseum with gladiators. Placate and make the happy by diverting the public from their destructive policies. Reward the prisoner that does away with other prisoners. The pace at which every single segment of this government and economy will be impacted along with an ice-cold global shutdown will soon be replaces with ultimatums and real physical conflicts to the final solution. I can declare with near certainty 2025 will not go by without a test for our very survival. If we do manage to ring in 2026 it will not be for long. Either we dethrone this monster, or we get dethroned and buried.

Am "I" the "ONLY" one still panicking over an outcome that seems assured. Please tell me i am once again over reacting. WOW! It hurts even to read the news.
Where is the cavalry.

[gdl]

New RECORD - OK the 2nd best record in HISTORY!

SP500 P/E (Shiller P/E) over 38, highest since the 2000 spike. This as we learn on a daily basis trump team dismantling all constitutional guards, with limited or no resistance. Personally, i am scares shitless to fly now. Stripping the staff of the FAA. HELP......

[gdl]

WASHINGTON (AP) — A month into President Donald Trump 's second term, lawyers for the Republican administration seem intent on provoking a legal fight to overturn a 90-year-old Supreme Court decision known as Humphrey’s Executor that has been critical to the development of the modern U.S. government.
Humphrey's Executor ushered in an era of powerful independent federal agencies charged with regulating labor relations, employment discrimination, the airwaves and much else.

The unanimous 1935 Supreme Court ruling established that presidents cannot fire the appointed leaders of the alphabet soup of federal agencies without cause.

But that decision has long rankled conservative legal theorists who argue that the Constitution vests immense power in the president and they reject limits imposed by Congress and upheld by the courts.
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House Republican files articles of impeachment against judge who blocked Trump
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(Reuters) - Some U.S. Food and Drug Administration scientists have been told to stop using the words "woman," "disabled" and "elderly" in external communications, two sources familiar with the matter said, part of a list of banned terms that a White House spokesman said had misinterpreted President Donald Trump's executive order.
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Trump order saying only he and attorney general can interpret laws is limited to executive branch
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A list with the file name "Prohibited words" has been circulating since at least last week in official work chats, according to two FDA scientists with direct knowledge of the matter who requested anonymity for fear of professional repercussions.
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Isn't this fun. Like riding the most outrageous roller coaster ride. ENJOY the THRILL. As Trump himself just stated: ‘LONG LIVE THE KING’

[gdl]

DOW not seen a new high in 3 months, Nasdaq 2 months. they all have positive candlestick patterns. It should suggest a stall here is only a recharge point.
This as TRUMP seems extremely frustrated, he can't be crueler and get the adulation he wants desperately. He keeps pushing for more power and control and seems to be getting it BUT it is not satiating his thirst.

He wants true Dictatorial power with the ability to cause physical harm so he can watch their fear and terror. The sadistic bastard can't seem to get enough. AT this rate I question whether this nation stands by JULY. He is daring the world to take notice and defy him. His stance on Ukraine is as extreme as he can achieve.

The power this voting nation gave TRUMP will test their resolve in supporting him. Their stupidity is so great i am afraid even nukes dropped on their heads wouldn't be enough. We have become a masochistic mass of whining selfish petulant children only looking for scapegoats and not hard facts.

The daily grab for ever increased power will never calm his sadistic need to punish and get orgasmic thrills from it. In fact, it seems his threshold for pleasure has increased and he no longer gest that thrill unless he pushes his sadistic nature ever further.

He is DETERMINED to go to WAR! I am absolutely convinced. My TRACK RECORD unfortunately has been focused and spot on. I MUST conclude the odds of physical destruction is right now at 75% and rising. There is NOTHING to indicate it will be tamed or slowed.

The world might just end this year. A nuclear holocaust should see survivors, but the world will be in the dark ages for centuries. I feared this a decade ago and convinced myself I was too emotionally attacked and overboard on my conclusions. NOW i can't even keep up.

[gdl]

'Clear bias and prejudice against the president': Lawmaker files articles of impeachment against SDNY judge who blocked DOGE from accessing sensitive government data

A federal judge is being asked by contractors and aid recipients to hold Secretary of State Marco Rubio and the director of the U.S. Agency for International Development in civil contempt of court over their "brazen defiance" of an order to keep the agency functioning.

Federal workers were fired 'for performance.' Their records say otherwise

'Dangerous territory': Claire McCaskill slams potential firing of military officers

A Mississippi judge ordered a newspaper to remove an editorial. Press advocates are outraged

“CONGESTION PRICING IS DEAD. Manhattan, and all of New York, is SAVED,” Trump wrote on Truth Social Wednesday. “LONG LIVE THE KING!”

=============================================================================

Any questions? I do believe this says it all. As i stated over and over his plan is simple. STOP the courts, free press and shove down the throats of all politicians his mandate. He has blocked Ukraine and EU from so called negotiations about Ukraine. He has already declared himself a KING. His behavior is getting so outrageous the GOP will have to decide SOON whether they want to be in the shadows as he destroys the world. DESTROY is an easy conclusion since in less than 2 months he has already destabilized the world. He will get more and more erratic as he flexes his muscles. his need for more power and control is like an addict. he will NOT STOP.

My assumption for a CRASH is still in JULY. I assume by then INFLATION would be on the rise and actually spiking higher. Earnings will be cut by at least 25%. Stagflation should be here by then. Using a superstitious argument for numbers 9/11 has popped up more often that seems by coincidence. The big crash on 6/3/2009 (9/11). Here is a stretch but one that could very well prove correct. 7/22/2025. adding the numbers from left to right we can see a subdivided (9/11). It is a stretch indeed and had i not assumed a crash around then i probably would have ignored it.

I also believe a CRASH this year would set up an impressive rebound only to succumb to a crash in 2027 and one or two more all in 12 months or less.
First, we need a crash this year. if we get it i am confident within 2 years' time, we get another one. AND the frequency of crashes increases till we are totally imploded. Lats one should not exceed 2029. This assumes we are alive by then. I have placed the odds of a nuclear war at over 50% today and it will likely increase as TRUMP gest dissatisfied with the adrenaline rush of his dictatorship.

I can look back a decade and wonder why most people didn't come to the same conclusion. Like watching a tsunami develop a thousand miles away as it has known power and travel speed but not conclude it will affect you.

[gdl]

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/judge-orders-mississippi-newspaper-to-delete-editorial-criticizing-public-officials/ar-AA1zo3j3

Judge orders Mississippi newspaper to delete editorial criticizing public officials

Blatantly illegal but the Supreme Court will pretend this isn't happening or find ways to excuse such constitutional destruction. Hail Trump/Musk

I told you their plan. I told you they need to shut down free everything. By the time the courts try to right these wrong the GOP will pass legislation doing the same thing and having the same effect. The Civil War has been won decisively by the fascist state. I pity the minority, the intelligent, the honest, the trustworthy.

Immorality is now a mandate of this country.

[gdl]

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/if-this-scotus-decision-gets-overturned-the-u-s-will-lose-free-speech-as-we-know-it/ar-AA1zlKjT

If this SCOTUS decision gets overturned, the U.S. will lose free speech as we know it

I told ya he needs to squash free speech and is doing just that. Free speech and Press will be gone within 2 years time. If on the off chance the Supreme Court takes up this case and actually spanks trump it would be the first time Trump IGNORES it and the LAST time we have a constitution and Republic. I say get it over with. Seems every possible horror i envisioned a decade ago is coming true in living color. So much so I wonder if we ever did have a special political system or just hung on thru chance. Seems out luck has run out.

[gdl]

Mass resignations from prosecutors continue each day. The Suprema Court and Federal Judges are NOT likely to change the situation any time soon. Everything from the FAA to DOE to FCC FTC DOJ etc... will soon show the result of such fireside destruction. I suspect the federal government in years to come will be sued by victims of their dismantling safety concerns. It will cost Billions but by then it might not matter since we will be left with a shell of an economy and government.

[gdl]

Buffet still selling stocks into 2025. Longest streak that I can remember. Determined to stick with his own philosophy on when to buy and sell. Either his formula is obsolete now or the implication is ominous. So long and so much sold must mean a really historic event about to unfold.

Too bad he isn’t a market timer. Never found one person that hits the bull and bear major turns in a consistent way.

[gdl]

EU waking up to new reality and likely future relationship with USA. They need to quickly assess Trumps damage and push back hard. Ukraine is being given to Russia as only the US and Russia in talks. EU stepped in and will be making their presence known. Ukraine is likely NOT to give any territory away as part of deal IF the EU step up. They have more to lose if Putin gets his way. I suspect their take up the slack on military and even possible soldiers' involvement.

I even suspect TRUMP will tear away from the EU/NATO alliance over this. He will NOT get his way. He will be furious. The speed at which we are careening into a world war is simply startling.

[gdl]

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/opinion/john-roberts-supreme-court-obeyed-in-advance/ar-AA1zh2Va

This is a SPOT ON article. The reality of the situation and consequences are pretty much what I have been calling out for a while. Glad the PRESS finally caught on. Way too late.

[gdl]

Trump asks Supreme Court to fire ethics chief as mass purge runs into legal roadblocks.

Sad but the lower court ruled 2 to 11 to block mass purging of ethics and watchdogs. I suspect the Supreme Court will find this one easy. they already stated his is a GOD. 6 to 3 or at best 5 to 4 in favor of massive purging and stripping any oversight. Purge then pillage.

[gdl]

Worry about 'job security' puts deep red state on edge as Trump slashes federal workforce

US nuclear weapons agency hit by layoffs after DOGE exemption denied

JD Vance draws inspiration from a 19th century pro-slavery tyrant | Opinion - In 1832, Chief Justice John Marshall infuriated sitting president Andrew Jackson by declaring that the State of Georgia had no right to encroach on Cherokee lands, because the land belonged to the Cherokee under the terms of a federal treaty. Ignoring the Supreme Court’s ruling, a furious President Jackson famously responded: “John Marshall has made his decision, now let him enforce it.”

President Jackson, a champion of slavery and states’ rights, ignored the Supreme Court’s ruling, and instead endorsed the Trail of Tears, a forced march to Oklahoma during which thousands of Cherokee starved and froze to death. It was among the most shameful episodes of ethnic genocide in American history.

Trump administration eyes canceling leases for space used by US judiciary - that's yet another way to CONTROL the courts. All-out war on law and order, free press, free speech. NO ONE is concerned that can still stop him. NO ONE!

[gdl]

GOP got an 'alarming glimpse at the future' as it eyes massive cut: report - The Robin Hood of the Rich. Take from the poor to give to the rich.

House Republicans have made slashing hundreds of billions of dollars from Medicaid, the federal-state partnership of public health insurance for lower-income people, a core part of their plan to pay for new tax cuts for the rich — but making such cuts could be much harder than they anticipate, health reporter Joanne Kenen wrote for Politico on Thursday.

The fact is, she wrote, Medicaid "has evolved and expanded significantly over the years — and its constituency has expanded along with it. Some 80 million people now get health care from Medicaid, including many working-class voters in the president’s base."

BUT BUT BUT the end result WILL BE THE SAME! FOX and the GOP will find a solution to the narratives. They always do. just throw in a JEW, Black, Woman, illegals, etc... Muddy the facts, divert blame, move on.

[gdl]

‘Enormous harm’: Federal judge deals Trump another court loss -

Trump amps up the pressure on CBS with massive discovery demand as ’60 Minutes’ lawsuit moves forward

EXCLUSIVE: Judicial Branch Scrambles To Limit Spillover From Trump’s Executive Branch Rampage

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Under Investigation Over Illegal Migrant Video

JD Vance declares amnesty for bigotry under the guise of fighting cancel culture - Marko Elez, a 25-year-old who has worked with Elon Musk’s DOGE operation, was very busy last week. First, he resigned after the The Wall Street Journal reported that he had made racist remarks on a now-deleted social media account last year. Then, Musk himself said Elez will return to the government. The decision was backed by none other than Vice President JD Vance, who helped Musk out in his agenda by framing it as an attempt to fight cancel culture. The expected rehiring of Elez and Vance’s excuses for him show the lengths the new administration will go to downplay bigotry.

US government workplace officials turn to courts after Trump fires them

Pentagon 'alarmed' as Hegseth invites 'Pizzagate' conspiracy theorist on trip: report
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Just an early morning slew of NEWS REPORTS.

[gdl]

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/thursday-night-massacre-expert-flags-doj-s-cascading-scandal-that-won-t-go-away/ar-AA1z10Ed

Finally southern district of NY with BALLS. It took its time but like the Nikon Saturday Night Massacre will define the end of our judicial system TILL the head of the snake gest decapitated. In Nixons case that was quickly. In this I am afraid he gains strength after this test of his powers.

ALL THIS in FIRST MONTH. All my arguments and assumptions on the worst-case scenario has already happened in ONE MONTH. What is in store between now and One Year. Buckle Up.
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Dozens of OPM probationary employees were fired on a mass video call on Thursday and given 20 minutes to collect their belongings

The PURGING continues. All agencies will be stripped or rendered inoperable. The TAX CUTS for the top 5% is assured.

[gdl]

Extremely likely we drop to the 5800 area on SPX this current timeline. Inflation picks up at a time when retail sales drop rather significantly. Trumps firing of all federal workers will assure stagflation. This and Tariffs on everyone and everything.

Trump keeps defying court orders and in truth nothing can be done about it. He will fire Powell next time he makes his rate cut decision. I suspect the replacement will cut rates at a half point the first meeting he has. I suspect trump will be allowed to fire millions, throw out all oversight, dismiss all regulations and restrictions on businesses, and strip all money geared to the poor. In that respect he will then start on the middle class. His timing should start the middle-class purge right AFTER the mid-terms.

But I believe the economy will suffer way earlier than the middle-class social cuts will. He will also surge our chances of WAR on multiple fronts. The GOP will as usual have the talons of the Devil firmly in place and turn a deaf ear to even their own constituents.

RECAP: ONE MONTH into his reign and he has wiped away the Supreme Court as a nagging problem but one that has no bite. He has intimidated and threatened Federal Judges, the Press, and secured his control over all aspects of his federal agencies.

[gdl]

Market Pattern: It NOW looks like the SPX has a FIVE WAVE extension with a very defined bottom at 5865. We should already be in the last wave down. There a so many long-term candlestick patterns in a positive position that any drop from here should be well contained. 5865 to 6666 would require a 13% move.

FIST we look for 5865. if we get it and hold, I would bet my bottom dollar we surge 13% from there in a rather quick time.

[gdl]

Fed Chair Sees Elon Musk's Audit Push as Threat to Central Bank's Existence

I might be wrong about firing Powell. they would rather get rid of the central banks' role all together. The efficiency and speed at dismantling the government is unreal. They already destroyed any oversight for any federal agency. Allow and encourage graft and foreign influence. Make an appointment to the Federal position one of free money and outright theft. The public just doesn't care or want to know. Everyone looks to others to save them from this black hole of greed avarice cruelty and doing so with a devil's abandon.

Wall Street as usual is oblivious to the eventual destruction of our economy. ALL they see is an ever-wider shift of power and money to the largest investment lock, the wealthy. Like Musk insatiable need for more money and power the dynamic duo Trump/Musk was a pair made in HELL.

I can't ever express the actual devastation that is taking place. BEFORE I predicted such an event and now i can't keep up with the daily work of the devil himself. Since the speed and ease of accomplishment is much faster than i envisioned, and i am an impatient man, I MUST conclude MULTIPLE crashes will happen in intervals spanning months not years and start THIS YEAR. The Trump/Musk mandate makes it impossible not to implode this year. They are literally collapsing all safety nets, all oversight and use the GOP to attack any freedoms they can't themselves destroy.

Not even the Supreme Court, if they manage to have a semblance of a conscience, will right the ship. Sinking fast as we play on the decks while it sinks to the bottom of the sea. Their attack on judges has made the intimidation factor more telling. They will IGNORE rulings they don't like. ALL IN TWO YEARS TIME!

It is so obvious that my decade long quest to make people see what is occurring has now become we don't want to see and prefer to live in our little bubble till that also bursts.

[gdl]

Trump and Musk Are Going to War Against Military Veterans - The news of an all-front attack is obvious. A blitzkrieg as effective as Hitler was. His treatment of suckers and losers is no surprise. but their support was. He will leave no agency, no family left undamaged. he no longer cares. He will pass the multi-trillion-dollar tax cuts to the top 5%. he will strip this nation of all safety nets, oversight, and humanitarian concern. We will also shift our allies away from those of the last 100 years and move to unite all despots into on larger force.

I can't keep up with the hard-working task force of Trump/Musk. Well within the next 2 years it would be complete. Manipulated paper ballots assure a solid mandate by the GOP as the constitution will stand on paper only. Free speech and Press will be GONE by then. The people will just resign themselves to accepting a Russian style dictatorship. They will not put up a fight and cower like the political arena has done.

I still can't get over the ease at which we give up our freedoms without a fight. Our laziness and selfishness are deadly combinations.