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A.I.M. Users Bulletin Board (AIMUSERS)

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Last Post: 8/18/2018 6:49:39 PM - Followers: 272 - Board type: Free - Posts Today: 0

A.I.M. Users Bulletin Board
Robert Lichello's "Automatic Investment Management"
(Compliments of Investors Hub!)

While the AIM book is no longer being reprinted, it is available from Amazon for their Kindle for $5.99.

Run A Successful Equity Warehouse
Welcome to the AIM Users Bulletin Board. This is the thread to post your thoughts, questions and comments on the use of Robert Lichello's Automatic Investment Management for handling the risk of being involved in the Equities markets.

The AIM strategy gives the user LIFO gains of 20% minimum if the method is followed "by the book." It is ideally suited to those seeking long term investment growth while managing the risk of being invested.

The v-Wave........
Mr. Lichello used fixed cash starting levels; first it was 50/50 then 67/33 and in the last edition of his book 80/20 for the Equity/Cash ratio. This "one size fits all" approach is like a broken watch that shows the correct time twice a day but is wrong the rest of the time!

Minstrlman, a regular contributor here, has been gathering data from Value Line and formed a highly capable risk-cash indicator for our use. As an adjunct to the AIM methodology we now have a Cash Indicator which helps guide our starting and ongoing Cash Reserve level of AIM relative to measured market risk. It can be used as a general market barometer or specifically with the AIM method. The v-Wave (or VW) is derived from the Value Line "Appreciation Potential - Next 3-5 Years" (VLAP) indicator shown weekly in their Summary and Index Section for their 1700 stock edition. Looking back through V/L's history we find the peak Appreciation Potential occurred 12/23/1974 at +234%. Assuming that we should have been 100% invested at that moment, we've used it to scale the current readings so that we don't see a negative cash reserve. We take the VLAP and  manipulate it to get an indication of how much cash should be reserved for diversified mutual fund AIM accounts. It should be multiplied by your stock or portfolio's BETA to get the cash reserve level of less diversified or more aggressive holdings.  

                                                      v-Wave Weekly Cash Reserve Indicator For AIM Users

                                       10th Percentile = 43.1 or below Low Risk; 90th Percentile = 59.3 or above High Risk; Average Value = 51.5

Here's the Historical v-Wave during various times since 1982:

Significant historical events are shown nicely here and the v-Wave's response at those times.

v-Wave Calculations can be found at #30219. The data are a work-in-progress for now.

AIM Users Home Page: AIM Weekly Newsletter (free): AIM Stock Examples:

AIM "Cash Burn" Chart AIM Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) Board Tom's Retirement Account with ETFs Software for AIM accounts: I started using AIM full time in January of 1988, just after the nasty "crash" of '87. Those of us who have used AIM for a while are willing to help you get started with your own Equity Warehouse. Please feel free to ask questions here on this thread. Also, I've compiled some of the more frequent questions at: AIM FAQ's: and With AIM, you can choose stocks and funds for their Long Term investment potential. AIM will take care of most of your market timing and asset allocation needs while you wait for your favorite companies' stocks to prosper. Tom's AIM/Perverse Investment Candidates: Newsletter Archives - AIM for "Rational Exuberance," Tom Veale

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#37762  Sticky Note Hi TFO, My apology for directing that last OldAIMGuy 06/05/14 08:07:49 AM
#37457  Sticky Note Re: Newport AIM software ls7550 12/28/13 08:56:43 AM
#36711  Sticky Note Thanks LC, Now they can use the "calculator" again! OldAIMGuy 06/04/13 05:01:59 PM
#36709  Sticky Note This is a copy of that lostcowboy 06/04/13 09:56:02 AM
#30219  Sticky Note Hi Glen, RE: Calculating the v-Wave................... OldAIMGuy 05/26/09 11:32:16 AM
#43169   Hi Tom, I also hold AAPL and did Adam 08/18/18 06:49:39 PM
#43165   So long Ms Franklin, we'll miss you. OldAIMGuy 08/16/18 10:40:42 AM
#43164   Hi Ken, re: Activity on the Buy side...... OldAIMGuy 08/16/18 10:36:36 AM
#43163   One red cent...... Firebird400 08/16/18 09:13:36 AM
#43162   VWave for the Week of August 17th JDerb 08/13/18 10:55:31 AM
#43161   Hi Allen, Firebird400 08/12/18 12:02:10 PM
#43160   Hi Adam and Gang, I use limit orders SFSecurity 08/11/18 07:50:59 PM
#43159   Hi Ken, If you drop me a line SFSecurity 08/11/18 07:25:13 PM
#43158   Sell yesterday... Firebird400 08/11/18 12:29:34 PM
#43157   Hi Adam, Re: execution, Firebird400 08/09/18 02:34:13 PM
#43156   Hi Ken, I'm no expert on this but Adam 08/09/18 11:47:49 AM
#43155   Hi Tom, Re: GTC, Firebird400 08/09/18 08:39:53 AM
#43154   Re: " keeping me waiting........" OldAIMGuy 08/08/18 09:04:42 AM
#43153   Hi Adam, Re: Vortex........... OldAIMGuy 08/06/18 05:54:50 PM
#43152   Hi Tom, Yes you're right, I stand corrected, Adam 08/06/18 05:45:43 PM
#43151   Hi Adam, Re: AIM derivations............ OldAIMGuy 08/06/18 03:59:06 PM
#43150   Re Husky, Wasn't Husky created by Conrad? If Adam 08/06/18 03:35:39 PM
#43149   VWave for the Week of August 10th JDerb 08/06/18 10:59:22 AM
#43148   Hi Tom, Husky Firebird400 08/06/18 09:27:28 AM
#43147   Hi Ken, Re: Husky Spreadsheet......... OldAIMGuy 08/06/18 09:13:32 AM
#43146   Hi Tom, Re: HUSKY Link, Firebird400 08/06/18 08:48:52 AM
#43145   You're more than welcome Jon. SFSecurity 08/03/18 01:54:09 PM
#43144   Hi Buzz, Re: Husky....... OldAIMGuy 08/03/18 11:21:01 AM
#43143   Hi all, Can anyone explain exactly in what way Buzz78 08/03/18 10:02:21 AM
#43142   Hi Allen, Re: Husky Spreadsheet......... OldAIMGuy 08/03/18 07:41:01 AM
#43141   Thanks, Allen. Don Carlson was a bright and JDerb 08/02/18 08:45:38 PM
#43140   Well, Tom and Gang, Guess what! The HUSKY SFSecurity 08/02/18 06:12:08 PM
#43139   Update... Firebird400 08/01/18 04:23:07 PM
#43138   Thank you Mr. Lichello! OldAIMGuy 08/01/18 10:17:01 AM
#43137   Re: Sandbox AIM holdings.............. OldAIMGuy 07/31/18 11:09:11 AM
#43136   VWave for the Week of August 3rd JDerb 07/30/18 10:33:02 AM
#43135   Hi Allen, Re: Husky Spreadsheet.............. OldAIMGuy 07/30/18 09:10:21 AM
#43134   Hi Gang, JDerb sent me a copy of SFSecurity 07/29/18 06:14:31 PM
#43133   Hi Allen, Re: Newport................ OldAIMGuy 07/29/18 12:37:15 PM
#43132   Hi Firebird, If I recall correctly my machine SFSecurity 07/29/18 01:57:49 AM
#43131   Hi Cap10 Kaoz, in looking a previous history SFSecurity 07/29/18 01:53:16 AM
#43130   Newport Firebird400 07/28/18 08:00:24 PM
#43129   Hi SFSecurity Cap10 Kaoz 07/28/18 10:12:34 AM
#43128   So JDerb & Tom, where do I get SFSecurity 07/27/18 09:06:42 PM
#43127   Hi Allen.. I took Tom’s advice a couple of JDerb 07/27/18 06:47:47 PM
#43126   Hi Allen, Re: Step-wise SAFE adjustments............ OldAIMGuy 07/27/18 10:00:31 AM
#43125   Hi Cap10 Kaoz, What frequency do you think SFSecurity 07/26/18 08:22:43 PM
#43124   Hi Capt'K, Firebird400 07/26/18 06:18:46 PM
#43123   Hi Lostcowboy, Yeah HD crashes really take a SFSecurity 07/26/18 02:20:16 PM
#43122   Thanks for the insight, Tom. Do you do SFSecurity 07/26/18 02:13:33 PM
#43121   Hi nokodemion, I am sorry to say I lostcowboy 07/25/18 06:35:38 PM
#43120   Hi Toof, Re: What kind of Market our OldAIMGuy 07/25/18 04:26:18 PM
#43119   Hi SF Toofuzzy 07/25/18 01:37:33 PM
#43118   Lostcowboy, You are still alife!!! Years and years ago, nokodemion 07/25/18 07:22:35 AM
#43117   Hi Nokodemion, I am interested in the name lostcowboy 07/25/18 12:53:36 AM