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How Does 2017 Post-Election Year Rally Compare Historically?
By: Almanac Trader | October 10, 2017

Here is the answer to a great question from one of our Twitter followers. Thanks Michael Green? @NJForce3. Here are the stats:



Above average gains in the first nine months of post-election years since 1949 (post-WWII) resulted in gains in all of the following fourth quarters with no losses and slightly higher average gains. But subsequent midterm years suffered losses in 4 of the 8 years.

Below average gains or losses in the first nine months of post-election years since 1949 resulted in losses in 4 of 9 following fourth quarters, but were followed by big gain in subsequent 5 midterm years, with big losses in 2 and flat markets in 2.

So, just because we are having a banner post-election year so far that is not an indication the market will be great next year.

http://jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/166269096738/how-does-2017-post-election-year-rally-compare

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