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Positive Worst Six Months Good Omen
By: Almanac Trader | September 29, 2017



A big upside move of over a 5% gain on the S&P 500 during the Worst Six Months (or the “Sell in May” period) from May through October has been followed by great gains for both frequency and magnitude. There is just one month left in the Worst Six Months. So if the market can log further gains in October and not succumb to often self-fulfilling prophecy of Octoberphobia and the curse of the 7th year that would be a solid indication for stronger gains over the next Best Six Months (November to April) and 2018.

We currently sit at +5.3% for the S&P 500 since the close of April 2017. Not bad, but not great, and right on the cusp of the level of Worst-Six-Months gains the have been more often followed by big upside moves. Look at the two tables below of “Not Bad” and “Great” Worst Six Months. Great was both followed by better Best Six Months returns than the Not Bad years.



http://jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/165843996193/positive-worst-six-months-good-omen

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