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Bernie's longshot victory strategy

Bernie Sanders’ campaign thinks the next few weeks of the campaign calendar favor him and is preparing plans to make the uphill case to the superdelegates.
After string of defeats, he looks to friendlier turf and a possible plea to superdelegates.
03/16/16
Bernie Sanders is falling further and further behind in pledged delegates — but even after Hillary Clinton’s Tuesday romp, his campaign says there’s a longshot strategy that lets him regain momentum and win the Democratic nomination by relying on superdelegates even if he comes into the Philadelphia convention still trailing Clinton.
[...]
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/03/bernie-sanders-longshot-victory-superdelegates-220847 [with comments]


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Bernie Sanders’s New Plans to Win the Nomination: Convince the Corrupt Establishment That He’s Their Man

Berning out.
March 16, 2016
After a less-than-super Tuesday [ http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2016/03/clinton-up-in-ohio-dead-head-in-illinois.html ], Bernie Sanders's campaign faces a virtually insurmountable deficit in pledged delegates. With her blowout wins in Florida, North Carolina, and Ohio — and narrow victories in Illinois and Missouri — Clinton could lose the vast majority of remaining states and still earn the nomination. But to keep his political revolution churning as the primary shifts to friendlier pastures [ http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2016/03/why-a-sanders-upset-tonight-would-matter.html ], Sanders needs to offer his supporters and donors some vision for how a come-from-behind win could come about.
The best one his campaign has come up with is … not great. According to Politico [ http://www.politico.com/story/2016/03/bernie-sanders-longshot-victory-superdelegates-220847 (the item blurbed above)], Sanders’s plan is to get as close in the race for pledged delegates as possible, and then convince the very Establishment that he’s been disparaging for months to override the consensus of voters and throw the primary to a socialist insurgent.
“The arguments that we’re going to muster are going to be based on a series of facts,” Sanders campaign manager Tad Devine told Politico (emphasis ours). “People will look at different measures: How many votes did you get? How many delegates did you win? How many states did you win? But it’s really about momentum."
[...]
http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2016/03/sanders-to-court-the-corrupt-establishment.html [with comments] [emphasis in original]


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Bernie's Establishment Hail Mary


Only super-math can save him now.

Democrat-of-convenience, anti-establishmentarian Bernie Sanders is now betting on superdelegates.

By Robert Schlesinger
March 16, 2016, at 11:20 a.m.

This is what it’s come to for Bernie Sanders, that most definitely independent senator from Vermont: With Hillary Clinton enjoying her superest Tuesday yet and mounting what is by any realistic measure a virtually insurmountable lead, he’s planning a last-ditch Hail Mary pass, aimed at winning the nomination by swaying the Democratic Party’s superdelegates.

Yes, those same superdelegates that Sanders supporters previously denounced [ http://www.politico.com/story/2016/02/bernie-sanders-superdelegates-democrats-219286 ] as an undemocratic and anti-Democratic tool of the establishment designed to suppress grassroots movements [ http://www.politico.com/story/2016/02/bernie-sanders-superdelegates-democrats-219286 ]. This would be the group that is the actual, literal, living embodiment of the Democratic establishment that Sanders has so vocally taken on [ http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/sanders-dismisses-major-womens-group-establishment ]. And this would be the same party whose nomination Sanders sought, he admitted this week [ http://www.usnews.com/news/articles/2016-03-15/sanders-yes-im-a-democrat-of-convenience ], simply as a way to get media attention. Did I call this a Hail Mary? This is a 99-yard field goal.

No, I haven't been reading The Onion; this actually from Politico. Edward-Isaac Dovere writes there [ http://www.politico.com/story/2016/03/bernie-sanders-longshot-victory-superdelegates-220847 (again, the first item blurbed above)]:

Sanders’ campaign thinks the next few weeks of the campaign calendar favor him and is preparing plans to make the uphill case to the superdelegates – the 718 activists and elected officials who can vote however they please – that his late-breaking momentum would make him a stronger nominee that they should support over Clinton.

…

Sanders’ superdelegate pitch will likely take the shape of both direct lobbying and a more formal pitch. Sanders’ campaign will argue that voter enthusiasm and holding to the populist principles of the party are on Sanders’ side. They’ll point to their massive, low-dollar online fundraising.

In a sense, this is a deeply fitting approach for Sanders, as it matches the legislative approach he envisions for the presidency: Use populist momentum and power among the people to overwhelm elite leaders and bend them to his will.

But as Sanders should well know, big bucks (even if it comes from massive, low-dollar online fundraising) don’t trump big votes. And right now, the votes are on Clinton’s side. It’s a simple matter of math: She’s built a sizable delegate lead and Democrats don’t have winner-take-all primaries. “Because Democrats award pledged delegates proportionally, Sanders needs not only a string of victories but also popular vote margins large enough to pick up delegates in bushel baskets, contest by contest,” Dan Balz wrote in The Washington Post [ https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/a-good-night-for-trump-and-a-better-night-for-clinton/2016/03/15/93514198-ea3d-11e5-a6f3-21ccdbc5f74e_story.html ] Wednesday. So for Sanders, it’s superdelegates or bust.

Do I need to say that it’s going to be bust?

Copyright 2016 © U.S. News & World Report LP

http://www.usnews.com/opinion/blogs/robert-schlesinger/articles/2016-03-16/now-bernie-sanders-is-betting-on-the-establishment-and-the-superdelegates


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10 reasons Dem superdelegates will choose Sanders over Clinton

By H.A. Goodman
October 05, 2015
http://thehill.com/blogs/pundits-blog/presidential-campaign/10-reasons-delegates-will-choose-bernie-sanders-over-hillary-clinton [with comments] [emphasis added]


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Moment of Truth: The Decision that Derailed Bernie’s Campaign

By Peter Daou
March 16, 2016

Hillary Clinton’s legendary perseverance and resilience [ http://bluenationreview.com/hillary-clinton-is-one-of-the-most-ethical-and-most-lied-about-political-leaders-in-america/ ] are on full display in 2016. She is winning the Democratic nomination despite a mile-high wall of personal attacks. It is exactly why she is the best candidate to take on Donald Trump.

Bernie Sanders has done many things right in this race — and one thing very wrong. It is the wrong decision that I believe partially accounts for his poor showing on March 15th.

Let’s start with what’s right about Bernie’s message: he is a passionate purveyor of core progressive principles who has activated and energized millions of young voters. He speaks with conviction about crucial issues and he has helped bring those issues to the fore in 2016.

Here’s what’s wrong, terribly wrong: He caved to the pressure from his campaign manager Jeff Weaver and top aide Tad Devine to ride the ever-present wave of Hillary hate and to go after her character, impugning her honesty and insinuating that she is untrustworthy.

As I’ve argued [ http://bluenationreview.com/bernie-must-stop-character-attacks-against-hillary/ ] repeatedly, Bernie’s Wall Street dog whistle [ http://bluenationreview.com/the-wall-street-dog-whistle/ ] is a barely [sic - not at all] concealed attempt to accuse Hillary Clinton of corruption, despite the fact that he lacks a scintilla of evidence to support that claim. No matter how lofty and inspiring his message, it is deeply unjust – and frankly, reckless – to run a campaign premised on the destruction of Hillary’s character through false innuendo. Especially when Democrats are facing a dangerous opponent like Donald Trump in a general election.

At some point in late 2015, Bernie’s campaign message and the behavior of his supporters became less about something and more against someone. Bernie’s campaign team determined that his path to victory runs right through Hillary’s integrity.

Tad Devine, Jeff Weaver, Cornel West, Killer Mike, and other Bernie aides and surrogates have led the charge [ http://bluenationreview.com/cornel-west-slams-hillary/ ] against Hillary’s character, calling her honesty into question with no justification or evidence.

It has been a grave mistake for his candidacy, perhaps fatal. You can’t spend 2015 promising to run a positive, issue-driven campaign, then pivot in 2016 to a full-bore character attack against Hillary Clinton.

Going forward, it would be unwise for Hillary’s supporters to pressure Bernie to drop out, despite the prohibitive delegate math. All we should ask is that he drop the character attacks and stay positive.

And he should let go of this outlandish strategy [ http://www.politico.com/story/2016/03/bernie-sanders-longshot-victory-superdelegates-220847 (again, the first item blurbed above)]:

Bernie Sanders is falling further and further behind in pledged delegates — but even after Hillary Clinton’s Tuesday romp, his campaign says there’s a longshot strategy that lets him regain momentum and win the Democratic nomination by relying on superdelegates even if he comes into the Philadelphia convention still trailing Clinton.

Bernie’s campaign aides, surrogates and supporters have criticized the superdelegate system, claiming it reflected an antiquated structure that unfairly favored the “establishment” candidate. What they haven’t admitted is that Tad Devine helped craft that system and that Bernie himself is a superdelegate [ http://www.vermontpressbureau.com/2016/03/08/sanders-snares-3-vermont-superdelegates/ ]. Either way, the superdelegates will not save Bernie’s campaign.

Hillary is winning and she’s winning because of her positive, pragmatic and uplifting message. Bernie could learn a thing or two from her campaign.

© 2016 True Blue Media (emphasis in original)

http://bluenationreview.com/decision-that-derailed-bernies-campaign/


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in addition to (linked in) the post to which this is a reply and preceding and (other) following, see also (linked in):

http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=120986940 and preceding and following,
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=120986959 and preceding and following,
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=120986977 and preceding and following,
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=120986986 and preceding and following,
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=120986990 and preceding and following,
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=120986999 and preceding and following

http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=121165771 and preceding and following

http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=121221370 and preceding and following

http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=121224525 and preceding and following