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The Dow Jones Industrials Average, etc. :
This from Wednesday June 6th :
Was noting the Clonks and the 25,000 :
This from Friday June 22nd : (13 trading days later)
This from the next trading day - Monday June 25th :
Now we've no choice but to (closely) monitor that Blue Line !.....as well as the 24,000
.
Meanwhile :
The Toronto 300 Composite Index.......(fwiw)
12 yr chart :
2 yr chart :
Monday June 25th - Down 266 (1.66 %)
.
And then there was Germany (not to bother with Asia here).....
Assuming one can make a bit of sense out of all this :
The Original : From February 23rd : (The Original identification of the import. of 12-5)
7 weeks later :
Four days after The Original (Feb. 27th) :
Four months after The Original :
One week after The Original :
Four months after The Original :
Yes,
.
Weekly FUTs vs Daily FUTs ... opposite patterns
Re-testing the break-down levels from rising wedges on the weeklies
while the dailies break-out of descending wedges...
Price is behaving in proper fashion with respect to the T/A wedge pattern - on both time frames.
Technically you should respect the longer term pattern and time frame more-so than the shorter...
So, let's be clear !
Now that the weekly's short term upward re-test of the rising wedges' break-down levels has happened
I'd expect price to reverse and continue to move down, as per rising wedges rules...
Which means the daily's breakout levels of their declining wedges will be re-tested
so I expect a reversal back down towards their break-out levels...as per declining wedges rules...
ummm, clear?
FLO trades update...3 for 4 buy-ins went higher with minimal draw-down...
FLO trades blog
March OEX entry for FOS trades ...
We had an accommodating pull back for this month's OEX entry after gaining on Thursday.
There are supportive technicals for this entry; stochastic is over sold, the MACD histogram slope is moving up
and the lower wedge line may provide support for a reversal of the move down from February's highs.
We shall see what happens for this Friday B4 OEX entry...March's 1st Monday entry was a disaster...
First week of MARCH...today's swoon is significant IMO.
Seems that the highly anticipated turn has finally come...the ides of March are upon us.
Rounded tops, MACD EMA cross and stochastic direction suggests more to come.
My targets are the 38% to 50% Fibonacci areas at the lower wedge lines, then perhaps on to the full BZ retrace levels (61.8% to 78.6%).
January 2015 - 1st and 2nd week charts
Interesting reversals for the 1st complete week of the year.
Session charts - the ES, YM and NQ had histogram divergences at the lows last Tuesday...the RUT did not.
On the dailies - all but the NQ rebounded 'perfectly' from their BZ retracements of December's High/Low runs...
The NQ overshot its BZ to print a divergent double bottom.
Below those charts are interesting reversals for the 2nd week...this time down. The ES and the YM have broken out
of their rising wedges and retested those levels Friday. Also interesting is that all but the NQ's retrace BZ areas (Oct to Dec run up)
co-inside closely with the Fibonacci extensions of the low to high runs of December.
1st week
2nd week
FUTs FIB EXTENSIONS - proxies for the majors...e-minis
The Nasdaq 100 and Dow Industrials have reached into their extension areas
with the S&P 500 not far behind.
So if they are leading, the Russell needs to do some catching up...
Bullish Patterns I see in them all:
I like the long tailed tweezer candlesticks at the October lows - very reliable patterns on any time frame.
Other bullish patterns that you can speculate about as to their validity are the multiple inverted H&S and 'V' bottoms.
I also find it interesting that the RUT's Aug top and Sept bottom both reversed with a Diamond pattern...
(they are supposed to be continuation patterns, not reversals - - aren't they?)
Mid-November and September's swoon is forgotten . . . October's recovery led to November's all-time-new-highs.
For the 1st week in November I drew flags on the RUT & NQ and ascending wedges on the YM & ES
correlating to NR7 patterns that completed last Monday.
The NR7 was suggesting a reversal might be in the works; Tuesday's overnight sessions looked like we were heading lower.
But the NQ and RUT both broke to the upside from their flags with the NQ leading a lonely charge up.
...the rest were basically sideways for the week.
FUTs daily patterns - megaphones, double-bottom and channel break
Nice week, eh?
ES's mega-phone is perfect...above the over/under line and heading back to 2000-ish.
YM's is not as perfect but price is back above the over/under.
RUT's double bottom makes it 3 of 4 bullish pattern possibilities...
The NQ broke down, testing it's lower channel support line...but is back above it.
May 2014 EOM . . . . . .
4 hour charts spanning May's activity...The four Futures markets I follow were all up from April's levels...
So much for "Sell in May and go away" this year.
Here's the 3 month continuous contract dailies ... The YM and ES are still chugging along, the NQ has rebounded
nicely from April's low but the RLM is lagging...
Stochastics show that all are over-bought and due for a correction to start June off...
May 2014 EOW 4th week of the month
5 session tick charts
4th week of May - 1 hour charts:
4th week of May - YM 6 month daily
4th week of May
ETF as proxies for their indices - Dailies followed by Weeklies...
Comparing price action since JAN/FEB's lows, the YM and ES pretty much held the line while the Q's and IWM sold off thru APR/MAY...
The QQQ has recovered nearly all its drop. Perhaps the IWM/Russel 2000 might be a better play if you're summer-rally-bullish...
I'm thinking the markets are anticipating a government sea change this November...Out with the liberal anti-capitalist government
of the past 6 to 8 years...America seems to be getting fed up with their idiot socialist agenda games...
If there is to be a summer rally this year it may run thru the elections
April 2014 EOW 2nd week of the month
Coming off last week's decline the FUTs rallied Mon-Tues but were not able to completely reach into their
Brach Zone retrace levels on Wednesday before dropping further Thurs-Fri.
The DOW completed a measured move down to 16000. Hard to gauge whether we bounce a bit from here due
to the indicator divergences or if Friday was just a pause in a bigger drop to come.
2nd week of April minute based charts
April 2014 Add'l charts . . . .
Just found the differences between Leaders/Laggards interesting...
4 sets of 2 charts each, roughly 2 weeks of sessions followed by 3 month dailies.
If these are leading...
then these are lagging...
But who's leading whom?
Does not dropping as much or as fast count as leading?
Since March, The NQ & RLM printed LL's and LH's, the very definition of downtrends...
while the YM & ES printed new highs...
April 2014 EOW 1st week of the month
Mixed week with the ES and YM ending slightly above last week, NQ and RLM slightly below...
Friday was a very active day relative to the rest of the week (note the horizontal widths between sessions).
Tick charts:
1st week of April minute based charts
Messed up in the charts below - missed pasting the NQ 1 hour with the 5 minute...
1st week of April, daily EFTs as proxies for their respective markets
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