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...Slowly getting away from this one,...last couple of years have been Sweet!
Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate Index (DJI: ^DJUSRE )
Index Value: 221.14
Trade Time: 1:06PM EST
Change: +1.26 (0.57%)
Day's Range: 218.74 - 221.37
52wk Range: 161.73 - 224.44
i missed my entry by a dime at the low today crap
URE $8.00 pre R/S vs UYG $5.5.. RE sector doing better than financial sector?
stopped out at 37
URE is on today's erroneous trade cancellation list
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=49882424
Yes, both URE (long) and SRS (short) reverse split 1 for 5.
What caused the big jump a few weeks ago? Did they reverse split? Ive been out for a month or so and just checked the price and was shocked.-
Keep a close eye on what SPG bondholders say about the bid.
I may need to rethink my REIT philosophy {#msg-46068684} based on this sort of thing:
SPG bids on GGWPQ
Which RE REIT to sell or buy?
Stocks
A Top REIT in an Ailing Sector
February 8, 2010
By Richard Band, Editor, Profitable Investing
We all know that housing prices have gotten hammered in the past few years. But did you know that commercial real estate (office buildings, shopping centers, apartments) has done even worse? According to statistical services that track commercial property, values nationwide have fallen 35%-40% from their peak in late 2007.
The pain may not be over yet, either. While market conditions vary from one locality to another, the odds-on call for 2010 is that prices for commercial real estate will continue to erode in most parts of the country, though perhaps "only" another 5%-10% in a majority of cases.
Given the severe downturn in commercial property values (and bleak near-term outlook), it's amazing how Wall Street has responded. As a group, publicly traded real estate investment trusts (REITs) have doubled from their March 2009 lows. Starved by the Federal Reserve's ultra-low interest rates, income investors have gobbled up REITs. The result?
From a peak yield of around 10% last winter, the average property-owning REIT now churns out a measly dividend of 3.7%, hardly enough to compensate for the risks lurking in the shadows.
7 Real Estate Investments You Don't Want to Shack Up With
My first piece of advice to you, then, is a word of caution. Most publicly listed real estate investments are overpriced. Boston Properties (BXP), the largest public owner of office buildings, and Equity Residential (EQR), the largest public apartment landlord, are both trading at a nosebleed-high 16X estimated cash flow for 2010. In a struggling economy, such a valuation is ridiculous. Sell both stocks.
Other REITs and real estate investments you should unload now include:
* AvalonBay Communities (AVB)
* BRE Properties (BRE)
* Corporate Office Properties (OFC)
* Diamondrock Hospitality (DRH)
* Essex Property Trust (ESS)
The One REIT to Own in an Ailing Sector
Fortunately, a few excellent values remain among publicly traded real estate companies. Here's a top REIT worth buying at, or slightly below, current prices.
Celebrating its 50th year in 2010, Washington Real Estate Investment Trust (WRE) maintains a conservative risk profile. WRE owns office buildings (including medical offices), warehouses, shopping centers and apartments in and around the District of Columbia. While government tenants account for only a small percentage of WRE's revenues, the trust benefits from the economic stability of the Washington metro area.
Government employees -- and the employees of government contractors -- provide a steady stream of income for local businesses. Thus, WRE posted a 93% occupancy rate during the September quarter, an increase of 190 basis points from the year-ago period. Most landlords across the nation suffered declining occupancies due to the recession.
At a current yield of 6.3%, WRE delivers almost twice as much cash as the average REIT.
In the February issue of Profitable Investing (online now) Richard Band recommends another realty vehicle poised to deliver safe, double-digit returns over the next few years, plus the names of seven more investments to avoid. Get complete details, including Richard's specific buy instructions, by joining Profitable Investing risk-free today.
Related Articles:
* 4 Stocks Set to Make a Comeback
* Five Smart Investing Strategies for 2010
* 8 Policy-Proof Stocks That Will Survive Washington
Fitch:Banks Could Face Rating Action Over Commercial Property
Last update: 12/15/2009 2:00:00 AM
By Patricia Kowsmann
Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES
LONDON (Dow Jones)--European banks, including those in the U.K., Spain and Ireland, have high exposure to the crisis-hit commercial real estate sector, and some of them could face negative rating actions as loan losses peak next year, Fitch Ratings said in a report Tuesday.
"Fitch believes that there will be instances of banks being over-optimistic about economic recovery prospects and future asset price trends, and may be somewhat reliant on sentiment improving before leases (and to some extent loans) fall due for renewal," the agency said.
"A prolonged period of economic weakness and/or further asset value declines could therefore result in a significant rise in defaults and losses," it said.
According to the report, the U.K. banks have the highest exposure to commercial real estate, with Royal Bank of Scotland Group PLC's (RBS) put at GBP106 billion at the end of September, followed by Lloyds Banking Group PLC (LYG), with a GBP100 billion exposure at June.
HSBC Holdings PLC (HBC) comes in third with a $111 billion lending exposure at June, and Barclays PLC (BCS) with GBP43 billion at the end of June.
In Ireland, the bank with the highest exposure to the market is nationalized Anglo Irish Bank Corp., with EUR56 billion at the end of March. In Germany, Commerzbank AG (CBK.XE) is first with EUR82 billion.
Although it didn't provide a list of banks for Spain, Fitch said the Spanish economy has had a greater reliance on the construction sector than its European peers, including Iceland and Ireland.
"This has made the Spanish economy and banking system more sensitive to the construction cycle and to a collapse in the property market," it added.
However, it said the two largest banks, Banco Santander SA (STD) and Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria SA (BBV), have lower exposure to the property sector among country peers when measured by the proportion of their businesses.
The firm also said that although some banks have high exposure to commercial real estate, potential damage from falling asset values will mostly depend on the underwriting standard they have employed, where the properties are located and the quality of the tenants.
Fitch said it is in the process of collecting data from banks, and it will conduct a stress test that could lead it to changing the rating at some companies.
"Since market dynamics remain fragile and the outlook for the sector generally remains uncertain, there is justifiable concern that some banks may be storing up problems for the future," it said.
On the two banks with the highest exposure to the sector, Fitch said RBS is somewhat protected against severe losses, as almost 40% of its exposure to commercial real estate will be protected against losses by the U.K. government through an asset protection scheme.
On Lloyds, the firm said most of its problems "derive mainly from its acquisition" of mortgage lender HBOS. On the contrary to RBS, the bank isn't participating in the government's insurance scheme, leaving it "dependent upon its own resources to deal with continuing pressure in CRE markets."
Fitch also said corporate defaults typically peak after economic contraction ends, which suggests that loan losses are unlikely to peak until into 2010.
"Refinancing will be a particular concern in 2011 and 2012 when a high volume of property loans fall due," it said.
-By Patricia Kowsmann, Dow Jones Newswires. Tel +44(0)207-842-9295, patricia.kowsmann@dowjones.com
We can't all be god-like I suppose
just missed getting back in on this one... yesteraday by 1 penny
Time & Sales
Price Size Exch Time
t 4.93 200 NYE 19:18:14
t 4.93 2040 NDD 19:16:54
t 4.93 540 NDD 18:46:48
t 4.93 1500 NDD 18:45:40
t 4.93 2000 NLS 18:41:55
f 4.95 100 NYE 18:27:31
f 4.95 2500 NLS 18:27:31
f 4.95 400 NLS 18:27:31
f 4.95 300 NLS 18:27:31
f 4.95 1700 NLS 18:27:31
f 4.95 800 NLS 18:24:43
f 4.95 200 NLS 18:24:43
t 4.93 1000 NYE 18:01:24
t 4.92 1500 NDD 17:59:47
t 4.92 500 NDD 17:56:11
t 4.92 564 NDD 17:20:34
t 4.91 160 NDD 17:20:34
t 4.91 240 NDD 17:20:25
f 4.91 100 NLS 17:13:37
t 4.92 336 NYE 17:11:24
t 4.92 400 NYE 16:59:21
t 4.92 929 NYE 16:42:59
f 4.93 100 NLS 16:42:36
f 4.93 471 NLS 16:42:36
f 4.93 1500 NLS 16:40:54
t 4.95 240 NDD 16:40:52
f 4.93 100 NLS 16:36:41
t 4.93 3000 NLS 16:16:23
t 4.94 230 NYE 16:14:09
t 4.94 100 NYE 16:12:12
URE 2009 Sep 19 5.00 Call (@UQFIE)
Time & Sales
Price Size Exch Time
0.25 9 NYO 15:59:25
0.25 9 CBO 15:59:25
0.25 31 IOE 15:59:25
0.25 31 NYO 15:59:25
0.24 15 IOE 15:59:20
0.23 75 IOE 15:55:20
0.25 14 IOE 15:50:39
0.25 4 PHO 15:50:39
0.20 10 CBO 15:36:16
0.22 4 IOE 14:35:47
0.25 3 IOE 14:20:53
0.25 3 IOE 14:17:52
0.225 100 IOE 14:05:48
0.20 87 NYO 13:56:38
0.20 120 NYO 13:56:38
0.20 13 NYO 13:56:38
0.20 50 NYO 13:56:38
0.20 180 NYO 13:56:38
0.20 50 NYO 13:56:38
0.25 41 IOE 13:41:02
0.25 20 PHO 13:40:31
0.25 3 CBO 13:35:13
0.25 3 PHO 13:35:12
0.25 2 CBO 13:35:11
0.25 6 CBO 13:29:26
0.25 12 CBO 13:22:25
0.23 10 IOE 13:20:04
0.20 50 CBO 13:07:57
0.20 128 IOE 13:00:11
0.20 372 PHO 13:00:09
actually i was up to my ears in faz at the time you posted that, and by the time i got where I could buy in it was off the lows, thanks for the heads up!
i'm sure you traded in. i couldn't get a decent option trade, my bid was ignored.
Here's your 3.50 again
I am in both URE and UYG.. trading occasionally and holding core!
GLLs
round trip ticket in one day today
DJUSRE daily chart
Gerald Appel recommends an 8-17-9 MACD to generate buy signals and a 12-25-9 MACD to confirm a sell signal for a stock, which has had a strong bullish move.
Moving out to May 3.00 call UQFEB
OI overnight Thursday/Friday: +UQFDB 33,474
So, it turns out it was bullish after all
Someone opened 15,000 calls expecting something out of them.
The option writer will lose if they are in the money tomorrow.
Two sides, but 1.5 million anything raises the stakes of the game.
IMO, i think it was a hedge -- some institution is holding a lot of URE shares, so maybe they sold calls as a hedge? I do not know.
G-Man, what is the significance of the stat you mention relative to the ETF's price?
No change on OI 3.oo April calls
Apr 18 2009 Calls | 2 Days to Expiration
Symbol Bid Ask Type Last Change Vol Op Int
+UQFDZ 2.20 2.35 S 1.80 0.00 0 27
+UQFDA 1.20 1.35 S 1.15 -0.20 0 2,721
+UQFDB 0.25 0.35 S 0.30 -0.15 46 34,421
There are 35,000 open 3.00 April calls. These can't be allowed to be in the money, can they???
Apr 18 2009 Calls | 3 Days to Expiration
Symbol Bid Ask Type Last Change Vol Op Int
+UQFDB 0.10 0.25 S 0.15 0.00 175 34,375
ure is going to rock some more next week imo.
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General Information
ProShares Ultra Real Estate (the Fund) seeks daily investment results that correspond to twice the daily performance of the Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate Index (the Index). The Index measures the performance of the real estate sector of the United States equity market. Component companies include those that invest directly or indirectly through development, management or ownership of shopping malls, apartment buildings and housing developments, and real estate investment trusts (REITs) that invest in apartments, office and retail properties. The Fund takes positions in securities and/or financial instruments that, in combination, should have similar daily return characteristics as +200% of the daily return of the Index. The Index is a price return index. The Fund's investment advisor is ProShare Advisors LLC. If you are positive about commercial real estate, this is the ETF for you. If not, SRS should be your choice. See #board-10459 | 7501 Wisconsin Avenue Suite 1000 East Tower Bethesda, MD 20814 (240) 497-6400 |
URE Holdings: http://www.proshares.com/funds/ure.html?Daily%20Holdings=y&show=all
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