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There is a major undervaluation in the resource estimate from the Gora deposit in Senegal. Teranga Gold(TGZ) has said on their website and in previous MD&A reports that only 140,000 ounces of Gold exist. However, Axmin clearly states on their website that Gora has just under 400,000 ounces of Gold. Now if we break this down, Gora has much more life ahead of it and here are the numbers to prove it.
Note – Gora did not start production until Q4 2015.
TGZ Gora Estimate – 140,000 Ounces Proven + Probable
AXM Gora Estimate – 395,000 Ounces Proven + Probable
2015
Ounces Mined: 22,814
Royalty Paid To Axmin: $300K USD
2016
Ounces Mined: 67,948
Royalty Paid To Axmin: $1M USD
2017
Ounces Mined: 115,398 – 60,587 coming from Q4 2017, major increase in production
Royalty Paid To Axmin: $1.6M USD
Total ounces mined: 206,160 (from 2015 to 2017)
So that has already exceeded TGZ’s estimate by 60,000 ounces. However, that is only over half of what Axmin has stated. As well, keep in mind that TGZ mined the most gold out of Gora in the most recent quarter, how is that possible if the resource is ending? Someone must of made a huge mistake on the Teranga side. On top of this, there are three other adjacent claims that could very well go into production soon (Honey, Jam, Cinnamon) as these are 1-2km’s away from Gora and results were similar or better from the 70,000m of drilling, bulk sampling and other tests performed.
Sources:
http://www.axmininc.com/Senegal.php
The Gora deposit, located on the Sounkounkou licence, has a proven and probable reserve, based on a US$1,500 gold price, of 2.1 Mt grading 4.22 g/t Au containing 285,000 ounces. The Measured and Indicated Resource at Gora has increased to 374,000 ounces of gold at 5.0 g/t Au and an Inferred resource of 20,000 ounces grading 3.4 g/t Au.
Note - This was last updated in 2012, so the resource could easily have increased since then with more exploration.
http://www.terangagold.com/English/investors/news/newsreleasedetails/2017/Teranga-Gold-Increases-Sabodalas-Reserve-Base-to-27-Million-Ounces-Adds-More-Than-400000-Ounces-of-Gold-and-Improves-Five-Year-Production-and-Cash-Flow-Profile/default.aspx
Financials on Sedar for TGZ show all the sales from Gora and royalties paid.
funny you say that, did buy some today. The juniors (GDXJ) has hyper underperformed gold, the normal is to go up 3x gold, in last 3 months gold is up 6%, a big move, GDXJ is down 3%, should be up 18%, a 21% dislocation.
Suggest going to TGCDF, that is the Teranga board that people post on.
Time to back up the truck imo...
just picked up another 2,000 at .83, looks like possible bottom here. Gold right at support, we know TGZ.to has superior fundemetals and growth prospects compared to sector.
This gold crash has been painful, but this would be a rational place for a reversal.
Plus a few predictors like Edleson called a Oct/Nov bottom for gold ahead this crash.
Theme, this is not main TerangaBoard-PleasePost at http://investorshub.advfn.com/Teranga-Gold-Corporation-TGCDF-30852/
I have mostly TGZ (canada) but most investors have TGCDF, betetrto have just one board.
wow very impressive buys by insiders, thanks and at today's prices. What do they know?
large insider buys
https://www.insidertracking.com/company?ticker=TGZ%2ACA
ok your symbol was wrong TG not TD
nothing comes up under that on I hub
Teranga Gold Offers Compelling Upside From A Buyout And/Or Continual Improvements On The Operational Front
Dec. 16, 2015 9:31 AM ET|24 comments | About: Teranga Gold Corp CDA (TGCDF), Includes: CLGRF, EDVMF, GOLD
Nicholas Bodnar Nicholas Bodnar? Following(1,569 followers)
Nano-cap, micro-cap, deep value, contrarian
Send Message|Nicholas Bodnar
Summary
Teranga is one of the lowest priced junior gold miners in the industry.
Despite the deep valuation, the balance sheet is strong and the company has one of the lowest AISC in the industry.
There are a number of reasons why Teranga makes for a compelling M&A target in today's depressed industry.
A very well respected and the richest man in Senegal just took at 9.99% private placement in Teranga.
With an EV/EBITDA of 1.01x, the deep undervaluation is not an understatement.
Investors can purchase shares of Teranga on the Venture Exchange via TGZ.TO or on the Grey Market boards under TGCDF.
When an industry is in an upswing or a downswing the fundamentals from overvalued to undervalued, can diverge greatly. Currently, junior gold miners are in a downswing. In most cases the divergence from intrinsic value is not great enough to take the added risk of buying common stock. However, there are rare cases where the downswing was so powerful that the margin of safety from intrinsic value is too great to ignore. That is the case with Teranga Gold Corp (OTC:TGCDF).
In TGCDF's case, the company is facing headwinds due to the industry downturn, which in turn has punished the stock price. However, in our opinion, the market overreacted to the industry headwinds and over punished the stock. Currently, TGCDF is trading for a very deep undervaluation, they have a strong balance sheet and are EPS and FCF positive. In fact, if TGCDF was bought out wholly, in ~18 months the investment would pay for itself on a TTM EBITDA basis.
Summary
TGCDF is a Canadian based gold mining company. However, all of their tangible assets are located in Senegal, West Africa in the Sabodala Gold Mine (actually the only gold mine in Senegal). Sabodala has been in operations since 2009 and currently with the proven reserves, the mine still has a strong 11 years left.
Management's strategy is to increase FCF on a long-term basis by; reserve growth, production growth, and margin expansion. All in all, management believes that they can, in time, continue to expand their operations beyond Senegal and further into West Africa. In fact, the vision of the company is to become a pre-eminent mid-tier gold producer, in the greater West African region.
Market Cap
140.00 M
Enterprise Value
98.11 M
Shares Outstanding
392.00 M
Cash
55.1 M
TTM Revenues
242.94 M
Debt
13.21 M
TTM EBITDA
97.26 M
Book Value Per Share
1.48
TTM EV/EBITDA
1.01
TTM EV/Revenue
0.40
Why Does this Opportunity Exist?
When I see a company selling for 1.01x EV/EBITDA, I think to myself that there has to be a reason for the steep undervaluation. In our opinion, one of the main reasons for the steep undervaluation is due to an industry downturn. Check out the negative returns from the junior gold miner index showcased below.
another new 9 month high, tgcdf sometimes lags, but tgz is liquid and hit .73 today was .39 just weeks ago
Teranga rare gainer today, New Tech Report
http://www.terangagold.com/English/investors/news/newsreleasedetails/2016/Teranga-Gold-Files-Technical-Report-for-Sabodala/default.aspx
Teranga Gold Corporation ("Teranga" or the "Company") (TSX:TGZ)(ASX:TGZ) announces the filing of a National Instrument 43-101 Technical Report (the "Technical Report"), supporting the Company's updated life of mine ("LOM") plan released on January 29, 2016. The Technical Report titled "Technical Report on the Sabodala Project, Senegal, West Africa", which was prepared by Teranga and RPA Inc. and conforms to National Instrument 43-101 Standards of Disclosure for Mineral Projects, has been filed on SEDAR at www.sedar.com and on the Company's website at www.terangagold.com.
"A long-life, low-cost reserve base and strong cash flow underpin our new updated life of mine plan which projects undiscounted cash flows of $549 million(1)," said Richard Young, President and Chief Executive Officer. "We believe the upside potential on this base case plan is significant. With the only operating mill in Senegal and a large land package on an emerging world-class gold belt, we are focused on continuing to convert resources to reserves and to make new discoveries. Since our IPO at the end of 2010, we have increased our reserve base net of five years' production, by 80 per cent, through acquisition and exploration."
Highlights of the Technical Report
Large, 13.5-year mine life
Open pit and underground mineral resources and reserves summary Au Grade
(December 31, 2015)(2) (Moz) (g/t Au)
Proven and Probable Reserves (2P) at $1,100/oz Au 2.63 1.38
Open Pit* 1.90 1.41
Underground* 0.35 5.01
Stockpiles 0.39 0.79
Measured and Indicated Resources (inclusive of Reserves) 4.44 1.62
Inferred Resources 0.94 1.92
*Average mined grade is 1.59 g/t Au for both open pit and underground reserves.
Note: Refer to Appendix 1 and Appendix 2 for full Mineral Reserve and Resource tables.
Solid LOM production profile with gold production expected to average over 200,000 ounces per annum through 2024. Sequencing of multiple open pits designed to maximize annual cash flow at an $1,100 gold price per ounce(3).
LOM all-in sustaining costs of $887 per ounce(4) and, when including the cost of the Franco-Nevada gold stream, $960 per ounce(4). Low sustaining capex of less than $10 million per annum over LOM.
Strong cash flow of $240 per ounce(5) at a $1,200 per ounce gold price.
Significant organic growth potential on emerging world-class gold belt where more than 50 million ounces have been identified(6).
Endnotes
For Teranga, life of mine cash flows from the Sabodala project are derived from the Company's NI 43-101 Technical Report filed on Sedar as of March 23, 2016 and are determined as follows: Forecasted revenues from production over the life of mine total $2,830 million (See Appendix 3 - Life of Mine Plan - 215,000 ounces at $1,100 per ounce and 2,154,000 ounces at $1,200 per ounce, see also Table 16-8 of the Technical Report on page 16-14) less anticipated life of mine all-in sustaining cash costs of $2,281 million (See Appendix 5 herein and Table 21-8 on page 21-15 of the Technical Report) for undiscounted cash flows totalling $549 million before interest payments, income tax payments, repayment of debt, working capital, closure costs and dividends. On a discounted basis the present value of these life of mine cash flows would be $376 million at 5% and $307 million at 8%. Using an exchange rate of 0.7USD:1CAD, undiscounted life of mine cash flows total C$784 million, and on a discounted basis, C$537 million at 5% and C$439 million at 8%.
Mineral Reserves and Mineral Resources estimates as at December 31, 2015 as per Company disclosure. For more information regarding Teranga Gold's Mineral Reserves and Resources, please refer to Teranga Gold's December Quarter and Year-end 2015 Report accessible on the Company's website at www.terangagold.com.
This production guidance is based on existing proven and probable reserves only from the Sabodala mining license as disclosed in Teranga Gold's December Quarter and Year-end 2015 Report accessible on the Company's website at www.terangagold.com.
Total cash costs figures are calculated in accordance with a standard developed by The Gold Institute, which was a worldwide association of suppliers of gold and gold products and included leading North American gold producers. The Gold Institute ceased operations in 2002, but the standard is considered the accepted standard of reporting cash cost of production in North America. Adoption of the standard is voluntary and the cost measures presented may not be comparable to other similarly titled measure of other companies. The World Gold Council ("WGC") definition of all-in sustaining costs seeks to extend the definition of total cash costs by adding corporate general and administrative costs, reclamation and remediation costs (including accretion and amortization), exploration and study costs (capital and expensed), capitalized stripping costs and sustaining capital expenditures and represents the total costs of producing gold from current operations. All-in sustaining cost excludes income tax payments, interest costs, costs related to business acquisitions and items needed to normalize earnings. Consequently, this measure is not representative of all of the Company's cash expenditures. In addition, the calculation of all-in sustaining costs does not include depreciation expense as it does not reflect the impact of expenditures incurred in prior periods. Therefore, it is not indicative of the Company's overall profitability. Life of mine total cash costs and all-in sustaining costs figures used in this release are before stockpile inventory value adjustments and government waiver accruals. For more information regarding these measures, please refer to the Company's 2015 Annual Management's Discussion and Analysis accessible on the Company's website at www.terangagold.com.
Cash flow per ounce is based on the Company's life of mine average all-in sustaining costs as set out in the Company's most recent NI 43-101 Technical Report before income tax payments, interest payments, debt repayments, closure costs, dividends and working capital deducted against a forecast gold price of $1,200 per ounce for 2017 and beyond.
Identified ounces on the Birimian greenstone belt, which straddles the border of Senegal and Mali, West Africa, refers to gold ounces historically mined in addition to gold ounces currently reported as Measured and Indicated Resources, as available on GFMS Thomson Reuters and the latest company reserve and resource statements as of March 23, 2016.
Very nice jump from Technical report today for TGZ/TGCDF
It is one of the best values out there period, not just for a miner.
STEEZ GOT THE BOAT FULL N
T G Z LOOKING TO BRAKE OUT
GOLD STOCK TURNING
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