Replies to post #10774 on Loss to Profit, let's make your lost money back !

[IPRE-Paramount]

Change mind:Sold XOP to buy APOL 45 call strong !!! have a look

[IPRE-Paramount]

I think the general market is still up, but there will be some sectors which have run too far too fast are experiencing some profit taking.
For myself, this year, as i have not much money to camp on a normal positions with real shares, I will ACTIVELY play options.

My strategy : i will plau only when i see a Nice beginning of a move :either of one day either for 2 weeks hold.

OREX was good just one day .
WNR : i played it last days: made +40 from the run 16 to 17 ish.
now: holding CAT 2 since day+ friday in APOL.

I play only the nice daily start of reversal and hope it gap up for next day or 3-4 next days. Normally I don't Camp.

Note:We missed AOL revesal that IAMC pointed , pity.

[IPRE-Paramount]

The BIG DEAL +1K % with CAT options: i suggest you to buy LONG CALL 2012 JAN : it's WAY Cheap !

$125.00 CAT120121C00125000 bid/ask 3.45 3.55
$130.00 CAT120121C00130000 bid/ask 2.52 2.60
$135.00 CAT120121C00135000 bid/ask 1.80 1.88

I see CAT to 135-155$ at end of year.

This is Effortless winning position. Camp with 500$ lets say you buy option 2 CAll CAT $130.00 JAN 202 (CAT120121C00130000) for 2,60 : you pay 2 x 100 x 2.60$ : 520$ . IF in Best scenario you see CAT 155$ - 130$ your position = 2 x 100 x 25$ : 5,000 $!!

If you DD: CAT is living a a good growth story:
-See this link for sales growth Q y/y:you can follow it monthly.

http://www.caterpillar.com/investors/financial-reporting/dealer-statistics
January 2011 :
Dealer Reported Retail Statistics - Machines 1
World UP 49%

Reciprocating & Turbine Engine Retail Statistics 2
Total UP 23%

1 Reported in constant dollars and based on unit sales as reported by dealers.
2 Reported in constant dollars based on reporting from dealers and direct sales to OEMs.

-Plus here you see the Sales&Earning from last 3 years: So you can have a very good idea of what figures they were comparing to:

you can see that we are back to high revenues and CAT is surpassing the Pre-Crisis Sales already:

http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/invsub/results/hilite.asp?symbol=CAT

FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTSSales 42.59 Bil Revenue/Share 65.48
Income 2.70 Bil Earnings/Share 4.14
Net Profit Margin 6.53% Book Value/Share 16.99
Return on Equity 27.60% Dividend Rate 1.76
Debt/Equity Ratio 2.63 Payout Ratio 41.00%

REVENUE - QUARTERLY RESULTS (IN MILLIONS) FY (12/10) FY (12/09) FY (12/08)
1st Qtr 8,238.0 9,225.0 11,796.0
2nd Qtr 10,409.0 7,975.0 13,624.0
3rd Qtr 11,134.0 7,298.0 12,981.0
4th Qtr 12,807.0 7,898.0 12,923.0
Total 42,588.0 32,396.0 51,324.0

QTR. OVER QTR. EPS GROWTH RATE FY (12/10) FY (12/09) FY (12/08)
1st Qtr 0% NA ---
2nd Qtr 203% NA 21%
3rd Qtr 12% 7% -21%
4th Qtr 22% -43% -23%

EARNINGS PER SHARE - QUARTERLY RESULTS FY (12/10) FY (12/09) FY (12/08)
1st Qtr $0.37 -$0.19 $1.49
2nd Qtr $1.12 $0.61 $1.80
3rd Qtr $1.25 $0.65 $1.43
4th Qtr $1.52 $0.37 $1.10
Total $4.26 $1.44 $5.82
YR. OVER YR. EPS GROWTH RATE FY (12/10) FY (12/09)
1st Qtr NA NA
2nd Qtr 84% -66