Lanza is....he not only understands the probability of hitting a gusher, but the probability that he will be believed if he says he will hit a gusher...and that is where the real money is. And it doesn't matter that he has said it for 10 years and failed a thousand times before.
"Give me your money and tomorrow you will be rich"
If BDGR DID hit a gusher, they wouldn't tell US about it. They'd quietly transfer the lease to one of their 'family' members and tell us the well was a duster. That's how we lost the deep drilling rights on some of our leases. It's just how this company operates.