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Doc Will

01/02/11 2:17 PM

#10857 RE: jenna36 #10856

ANALYSIS OF MILL PURCHASE ORDERS ON SHARE PRICE

This analysis assumes that the Mill become operational within a reasonable time frame among other assumptions stated. Your critical analysis of the assumptions and conclusions will be appreciated.

In a PR dated 06/24/2010 CGFIA announced preliminary purchase orders of $9.1 mil generating $4.8 mil in net profit in the first year of operation.
http://easyir.marketwire.com/easyir/prssrel.do?easyirid=19D74C5776FFBDFD&version=live&prid=634864

According to Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended August 31, 2010 shares outstanding at November 17, 2010 were:
Class A common stock 2,464,163,308
Class B common stock 490,.367,597
For a total of 2,954,530,905 shares that would participate in the profit of the company. Excluding consideration of the additional number of shares issued since 11/17/10.
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1344394/000095012310107458/c08801e10vk.htm

Each share of profits based on above:
$4,800,000/2,954,530,905=$0.001625 per share.

Since CGFIA is a Junior mining company with no track record, for the purpose of this analysis it is assumed that the Price to Earning Ratio would range from 3 to 5.
Therefore the stock price after the first year of operation that might be expected would range as follows:

At P/E of 3 $0.001625X3=$0.004875 price per share
At P/E of 5 $0.001625X5=$0.008125 price per share

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Taking_Profits

01/02/11 3:34 PM

#10859 RE: jenna36 #10856

If there was a PR right after the Permit Denial Guyer would have heard 7000 angry investors Booooooo In the back ground.
It Has been only 18 calender days since the decision.that includes 3 weekends 2 holidays 1 a day for family gatherings and the other 1 a national all night party welcoming a New Year and because of the holidays and unresolved issues he may not be ready for a January Meeting.It Makes no sense to fumble twice and lose the game when you only have a 13 point lead.
Lets give Guyer the benefit of the doubt as nobody wants a PR with some kind of resolution in it more than then he does.IMHO

(NY Giant Fan )