Replies to post #200772 on Wave Systems Corp. (fka WAVXQ)

[wavxmaster]

Escrow

4thQ 2009 was $5.2
http://www.wave.com/news/news_archive.asp


Wave needs about $12 million for 130% increase for 4thQ 2010.

Auto deal should add $2.25 million, so with Acer's mobile unit growth and SED growth, I think/hope perhaps $12m is in the realm of possibilities! I'm sure there are many more things we should learn next week! : )

Hoping to add some tomorrow!

Wavxmaster

[ExPatriate57]

I'm not sure I've seen ANY analyst covering any stock (since the haylicon days of the dot com boom) who's call for triple digit top line growth for four consecutive quarters.

I honestly don't know what to make of it. I'm bulish on Wave after what I believe will be a flat quarter here for Q3. But bulish to the extent of triple digit growth?

It's one thing for posters on this board to be extremely bullish, but this analyst is really sticking his neck out, and he's no "young buck" trying to make a name for himself either.

Very impressive.

[24601]

The analyst says that 2011 growth will be 425%. That is, if 2010 = x, then 2011 = 4.25x. That is not "100% quarter over quarter growth for the entire next year." Growing 100% quarter over quarter for the entirety of 2011 would yield 750%. That is, even if 4q2010 were only one-fourth of the x, doubling .25x every quarter for the next four quarters -- "100% quarter over quarter growth for the entire next year" -- would make 2011 = 7.5x. That would make the analyst's entry be 750%.

Or am I missing something?






.

[dig space]

expat, bust out a calculator

the analyst calls for 29.62m for FY2010 and 45.75m for FY2011. The analyst bases that on a Q4 2010 of 9.2B.

Take 9.2B and put QtoQ growth in your caluclator of 10% ...

Q1 10.12m
Q2 11.13m
Q3 12.22m
Q4 13.46m

addem up 46.9m .... that is 10% QtoQ based on the analysts Q4 2010 and projected 2011 revs.

I'm using this as my source:

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ae?s=WAVX+Analyst+Estimates