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How Bad At Motorola?
Arik Hesseldahl, Forbes.com, 07.11.01, 2:26 PM ET
NEW YORK - That Motorola is expecting to report a loss for its second quarter later today is nothing new. The question is, "How bad will it be?"
On April 11, Motorola (nyse: MOT - news - people) executives guessed the loss for the second quarter might be "a few cents higher" than the first quarter's pro forma loss of 9 cents per share and a net loss of 24 cents per share. With analysts estimating a consensus loss of 12 cents per share on $7.9 billion in revenue, according to First Call/Thomson Financial, it's hard to see any silver linings, especially for a company whose main business lines are in two industries mired in severe downturns: mobile telephones and semiconductors.
It's been axing jobs in an attempt to control costs. By the end of March, more than 20,000 people had lost jobs at Motorola. And its stock price has fallen 24% year to date. In anticipation of today's earnings report after the closing bell, the stock was down 3% to $14.99 in midafternoon trading.
Indeed, there may not be much hope for Motorola's semiconductors unit. There's been nothing but bad news all over the landscape of the chip industry. Motorola has been buffeted by a severe drought in demand for its chips. Major customers include Apple Computer (nasdaq: AAPL - news - people), Palm (nasdaq: PALM - news - people) and Handspring (nasdaq: HAND - news - people), all of which have been struggling with sales problems of their own. Hopes are brightening that sales will improve next year, but there's really nowhere to go but up.
"Motorola does have some good chip products on the market, and they have much better management in place now than they did before," says Will Strauss, president of market research firm Forward Concepts. "All that's needed now is for the market to turn around."
But in the wireless business, Motorola may have some good news to report indicating the tide may be turning, says analyst Ray Jodoin of Cahners In-State Group, Scottsdale, Ariz. So far, Jodoin says Motorola is the only wireless handset maker building reliable phones based on third generation, or 3G, technology. Two Japanese suppliers of 3G handsets, Matsushita (nyse: MC - news - people) and Sony (nyse: SNE - news - people), have had to recall defective handsets.
Moreover, Motorola has recently landed several big handset supply contracts with mobile service providers. The biggest one is a $700 million blockbuster with Hong Kong-based Hutchison Whampoa, good through 2003. In the past few months, it has also landed infrastructure deals with wireless providers in China worth more than $600 million.