Replies to post #2054 on Ariad Pharmaceuticals Inc fka ARIA

[Whosetosay]

Recent history suggests an uncoupling of biotechs from the major indices, with a higher beta to the upside.

http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=%5EBTK+Interactive#chart3:symbol=^btk;range=2y;compare=^dji;indicator=volume;charttype=line;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=on;source=undefined

My take...if a slide were to occur, and I think 9000 would be the very bottom of possibilities, highly unlikely, biotechs would drop with a somewhat lower beta to the downside, meaning they would decline a slower rate than they went up, vs. the indices. A great buying opportunity for all stocks would be presented.

However, while ARIA will travel a similar looking path as the BTK, it may be doing it 5 or 10 or more points higher than it is now. Over time it will uncouple almost completely from the downside of the BTK as it spirals up.

Once we crossed 10,000, it was a stock picker environment and ARIA is at the top of the list. Every news release de-risks the stock. This autumn, the impact of the expected new release contents grows more potent, intense. I expect spikes. Next year, even better, I reiterate that we will see revenue from 534. As revenues continue to grow, ARIA will break free of the gravitational pull of the the BTK.

As bw and I have said in the past, there may be no better place for one's money in this environment.

[IIIverson]

2DA Blade & all, We have good support from $3 and up... many of the larger moving avgs are below the current price (50/100/200 MAs). Without news, we will just be hanging around these levels... look for $3.75 and $3.85 to break. If we break $3 we might be in trouble. However, the daily and weekly charts are still in a marjor bullish trend. The last few days money flowing out of Bios... (you can thank ARNA) and into SILVER and other hot sectors. Not to worry. It was only 1 million shares (1%) of ARIA, so nothing panic over. The market is pointing UP today and ARIA premarket is UP to $3.50... not bad!

There is a possibility the weekly chart COULD form a SYMETRICAL TRIANGLE, which just means another 2 or 3 months of boring movements. This would also create a larger base for ARIA to MOVE from (the larger the BASE the larger the MOVE) I expect ARIA to have more news (as they told investors) a lot of data is coming out 2H 2010. So far we got a new drug and trial. We are still waiting for the big RIDA news tho.

Bottom Line: CEO dr. HB phd. STILL OWNS tons of shares so I doubt he will DILUTE and I doubt he will deliver anything but GOOD NEWS to INVESTORS & more importantly....HIS PATIENTS