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Tuff-Stuff

03/24/10 8:39 AM

#310025 RE: Tuff-Stuff #310024

GENZ>Genzyme Reports FDA Enforcement Action Regarding Allston Plant

HoosierHoagie

03/24/10 8:43 AM

#310028 RE: Tuff-Stuff #310024

Coulter's Speech in Canada Canceled After Threats

http://www.aolnews.com/politics/article/ann-coulters-speech-canceled-after-threats-at-university-of-ottawa/19412237

OTTAWA (March 24) -- A protest by hundreds of students led organizers to cancel a Tuesday night speech by American conservative commentator Ann Coulter at the University of Ottawa.

A spokesman for the organizers said Coulter was advised against appearing after about 2,000 "threatening" students crowded the entrance to Marion Hall, posing a security threat.

"It would be physically dangerous for Ann Coulter to proceed with this event," said conservative political activist Ezra Levant inside the hall. "This is an embarrassing day for the University of Ottawa and their student body . . . who chose to silence her through threats and intimidation."

A protest organizer, international studies student Mike Fancie, said he was pleased they were able to stop Coulter from speaking.

"What Ann Coulter is practicing is not free speech, it's hate speech," he said. "She's targeted the Jews, she's targeted the Muslims, she's targeted Canadians, homosexuals, women, almost everybody you could imagine."

The announcement of the cancelation was greeted with shouts of "Shame" and "We want Ann" from about 100 people inside the hall. Outside protesters mockingly chanted "Goodbye Ann Coulter."

About 10 Ottawa police cars were called to the scene, but there were no incidents.

Coulter expressed her outrage, calling the University of Ottawa a "bush league" institution in an interview for The Washington Times.

"This has never happened before," she told the newspaper. "I go to the best schools, Harvard, the Ivy League and those kids are too intellectually proud" to threaten speakers.

Levant blamed the bedlam on university academic vice-president Francois Houle, who had written Coulter to warn her that Canadian laws make provisions for hate speech.

"Promoting hatred against any identifiable group would not only be considered inappropriate, but could in fact lead to criminal charges," he warned her in the letter, which Coulter quickly leaked to the media.

The university has refused to comment since. Levant said Houle's advice to Coulter had emboldened students to block her appearance.

Coulter, a best-selling author and syndicated columnist, was in the middle of a three-city tour of Canada, which began at the University of Western Ontario in London on Monday, and ends in Calgary on Thursday.

The event in London went without incident, but not without controversy.

When answering questions from students, Coulter told a 17-year-old Muslim student to "take a camel" instead of the flying carpet she has previously suggested Muslims use for transportation. Coulter later told CTV that the "camel" remark was a joke.
Filed under: World, Politics, Top Stories

Stock Lobster

03/24/10 8:45 AM

#310032 RE: Tuff-Stuff #310024

Good morning!

Stock Lobster

03/24/10 8:46 AM

#310035 RE: Tuff-Stuff #310024

WAG: More Green in Store for Walgreen

By TERESA RIVAS | MORE ARTICLES BY AUTHOR(S)

Walgreen's second-quarter results suggest the drug chain has the right prescription for continued success.

HAS WALGREEN (ticker: WAG) hit a wall? We don't think so.

Before Tuesday's opening bell, America's largest drugstore chain reported fiscal second-quarter results that missed estimates. The company said it earned 68 cents a share on revenue of nearly $17 billion, ahead of the year-ago period, but shy of analysts' expectations of 71 cents and $17.2 billion.

Although same-store sales fell slightly, Walgreen was optimistic about future trends, saying that new store openings would rise 4.5% to 5% in 2010, and continue to grow at a 2.5% to 3% annual rate afterward.

Despite the miss, Walgreen's stock gained 1.2% to a recent $35.75. Though it's not often that a company is rewarded for missing numerous key benchmarks in a quarter, the Street has the right idea about the stock, and we think it should climb further.

The stock trades at a cheap 13.3 times forward earnings. That's slightly ahead of its main rival CVS Caremark (CVS), which Barrons.com has recommended in the past. (See Barron's Take, "Impressed by CVS," Feb. 8, 2010.)

Still, at 1.6%, Walgreen's yield is slightly higher, and its long-term-growth rate of 14.5% just edges out CVS' 14%. So the two are nearly evenly matched, but there should be room for both to grow.

As Barron's magazine wrote in February, given Walgreen's opportunities, the shares could well rally more than 40%, to as high as $50 in the next year, given its Duane Reade acquisition and positive underlying fundamentals, including expanding margins. (See Barron's, "Walgreen Finds the Right Remedy for Tough Times," Feb. 22, 2010.)

Walgreen's latest earnings only reinforce the bullish hypothesis. Of course, it would have been better for the company to deliver a better-than-expected quarter, but that's not to say that the company isn't showing strength.

Gross margin rose to 28.8% from 28.3%, a trend that should continue as capital outlays decline. William Blair analyst Mark Miller wrote in a note earlier this month that the company is already on track to save $250 million with its Power (pharmacy and prescription) program, which has shown success in Florida and will likely be expanded to other states in the near future. Given that discretionary purchases remain depressed, such continued cost-savings should not only pad margins but also enhance results when the recovery is further along.

The company's optimism about same-store-sales growth doesn't look misplaced either. Lackluster discretionary purchases are currently an industry-wide phenomenon, and the early panic over swine flu, which boosted the fiscal first quarter, largely subsided in the second quarter. Core prescriptions and prescription sales saw growth. Redesigned test stores have been showing same-store-sales improvements, and Walgreen expects to have a full 40% of its stores refurbished before 2010 ends.

The Duane Reade acquisition should also contribute to robust same-store-sales growth. As Thomas Weisel Partners analyst Steven Halper noted, "Duane Reade currently generates the highest sales per square foot of any company in the retail drugstore industry."

That's not to say that the rest of 2010 will be easy. Earnings per share are expected to dip in the coming quarters as Walgreen integrates Duane Reade and finishes its restructuring. But earnings, revenue and profit for 2010 are on trend to grow nicely year-over-year through 2012.

So Walgreen will likely continue to deliver healthy returns for some time.

Stock Lobster

03/24/10 8:47 AM

#310038 RE: Tuff-Stuff #310024

CAT: Why You Need to Own Caterpillar Shares

Avondale Partners initiated coverage at Market Outperform.

TUESDAY, MARCH 23, 2010

WE ARE INITIATING COVERAGE on Caterpillar (ticker: CAT) with a Market Outperform rating and a 12-month price target of $70 (18% upside and 21% total return) with potential to $85 over the next two years as shares discount midcycle valuation on our 2012 earnings per share (about 50% total return).

We view Caterpillar as "need to own" among higher-beta [higher risk], large-cap U.S. industrials given its strong commodity leverage, emerging-markets exposure, and operating leverage. Though we see near-term potential for shares to remain range-bound by macro uncertainty, we expect Caterpillar to outperform on improved confidence over the global economic recovery (particularly sustainability of emerging-market growth) and visibility on bottom-line benefits of self-help initiatives.

While our 2010/2011E [estimated] EPS are about 5% below consensus [estimate], we note: (1) our 2010 EPS equal in line with guidance; (2) 2010/2011 estimated earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (Ebitda) is in line with consensus; (3) 2012 estimated EPS -- what we think matters most -- is up 7%; and (4) we believe buy-side expectations are closer to ours.


Caterpillar is highly leveraged to global commodity demand growth with an estimated 40% of 2009 equipment revenues and 60%-plus of profits derived from energy, base metal, and other commodities central to the urbanization, industrialization and modernization of emerging markets (and growth of developed markets). We hold a bullish outlook for these commodities based on futures pricing, consensus economic forecasts, and our bottoms-up producer capital-spending analysis for key end markets.

Caterpillar's rising exposure to faster-growing regions should remain a key driver of strong longer-term growth. In the last 10 years, Asia/Pacific has grown from 10% of equipment revenue to 23% (14.2% compounded annualized growth rate (CAGR) versus 3.1%, excluding Asia/Pacific) while emerging markets -- China, Commonwealth of Independent States [former Soviet states], India/Asean [Southeast Asian Nations] -- grew from 8% in 2005 to 15% in 2008 (37% CAGR versus 10%, excluding emerging markets) with China and CIS growing at 53%/56%, respectively. We estimate emerging-markets exposure nearing 20% of 2009 revenue.

Caterpillar has multiple initiatives under way to improve full-cycle profitability/returns by converting cyclical cost reductions to structural savings and raise asset efficiency. While success requires improved volumes, we are optimistic given actions to-date and the track record of Caterpillar's CEO-elect, as reflected in our above historical average incremental margin expectations.

Our estimates imply 2010-2012 EPS growth of 16%/52%/49% versus consensus of 24%/49%/32%, and equate to a three-year CAGR of 38% versus 33% for the peer group and 21% for core U.S. industrials. Over the next two years, our estimates imply average growth of 33% versus 21% for Standard & Poor's 500, with midcycle EPS profitability reached in 2012. We see revision bias skewed to the upside, based primarily on potential for better cost/efficiency performance, volumes and stock buyback.

-- Ted Grace

The companies mentioned in Hot Research are subjects of research reports issued recently by investment firms. Their opinions in no way represent those of Barrons.com or Dow Jones & Company, Inc. Share prices at the time the report was issued and the date of the report are in parentheses.

To be considered for this feature, please send material to Research@barrons.com

Comments? E-mail us at online.editors@barrons.com

Stock Lobster

03/24/10 9:11 AM

#310050 RE: Tuff-Stuff #310024

BL: Health Care Suits by States ’Unlikely to Succeed,’ Scholars Say

Health-Care Legislation Judged Able to Withstand Constitutional Challenge

By William McQuillen and Andrew Harris

March 24 (Bloomberg) -- Lawsuits by 14 states seeking to scuttle health-care legislation signed by President Barack Obama were given little chance of success in the face of the broad powers granted Congress by the U.S. Constitution, scholars said.

Thirteen states led by Florida said the law signed yesterday illegally places a fiscal burden on their cash- strapped budgets with an expansion of state-run Medicaid. Virginia filed a separate suit contending the “individual mandate” requiring people to buy health insurance exceeds Congress’s powers.

“It’s unlikely to succeed,” said Jack Balkin, a professor at Yale Law School in New Haven, Connecticut, of the effort by the states, equating the new law to Congress’s power to levy taxes. “Congress has the ability to force people to pay taxes. If it is a constitutional tax, then that is the ballgame.”

The $940 billion health care overhaul subsidizes coverage for uninsured Americans, and is financed by Medicare cuts to hospitals and fees or taxes on insurers, drugmakers, medical- device companies and Americans earning more than $200,000 a year. Many of the changes enacted by the bill, such as requiring most people to have health insurance and employers to provide coverage, will take at least two years to go into effect.

The 13 states joining in the lawsuit filed in federal court in Pensacola, Florida, claim that “the act represents an unprecedented encroachment on the liberty of individuals living in the plaintiffs’ respective states, by mandating that all citizens and legal residents of the United States have qualifying health care coverage or pay a tax penalty.”

13 States

Joining Florida in the suit are Alabama, Colorado, Idaho, Louisiana, Michigan, Nebraska, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, South Dakota, Texas, Utah and Washington. Along with a separate suit by Virginia filed in federal court in Richmond, the states asked the courts to declare the law unconstitutional and seek to bar its enforcement.

The complaints were filed moments after Obama, a Democrat, signed the legislation, which totals more than 2,400 pages.

“This is a continuation of politics by a national political faction that lost in Congress,” said Aziz Huq, a University of Chicago law professor, who predicted the lawsuits will likely fail.

Twelve of the state attorneys general participating in the Florida case are Republicans. Buddy Caldwell of Louisiana is the lone Democrat. Virginia’s lawsuit was filed by Ken Cuccinelli, a Republican.

The health-care overhaul will allow 16 million more Americans to qualify for Medicaid coverage, according to an estimate by the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office. It will cost the states billions of dollars to administer, according to the states that sued.

‘Ruin the State’

Florida Attorney General Bill McCollum said at a press conference yesterday that the act’s legislative mandates will cost his state billions of dollars. The legislation “will ruin the state financially,” said McCollum, who predicted the lawsuits would end up before the U.S. Supreme Court.

The states claim the legislation will deprive them of sovereignty and violates the Constitution’s Tenth Amendment, which says powers not granted to the national government are reserved to the states, or the people. In its lawsuit, Virginia specifically attacked the new law’s requirement that Americans obtain health coverage, calling it unconstitutional. Charles Fried, a professor at Harvard Law School in Cambridge, Massachusetts, disagreed.

‘What Virginia Says’

“As long as the federal law is independently constitutional, it doesn’t matter what Virginia says,” said Fried, who served as solicitor general, the government’s chief lawyer before the U.S. Supreme Court, during the administration of President Ronald Reagan. “It’s like Virginia saying we don’t have to pay income tax.”

The Florida lawsuit claims the reform contains “unfunded mandates” and is too financially burdensome at a time when states already need to cut their budgets. The attorneys general also said the law imposes an illegal tax on people “for their failure or refusal to do anything other than to exist and reside in the United States.”

Balkin said throwing out the health care law may require overturning decades of court precedent leading back to the “New Deal” legislation of President Franklin Roosevelt.

Robert Kaufman, a public policy professor at Pepperdine University in Malibu, California, who calls himself a “fervent opponent” of the new health law, said chances are slim that litigation by the states will reverse it.

The Issue

“The issue is whether this is constitutional, not whether this is wise,” said Kaufman, who is also an attorney. U.S. Supreme Court decisions since Roosevelt have tended to support a broad reading of the Constitution in allowing the federal government to regulate interstate commerce, Kaufman said.

The Supreme Court in 2005 cited the Constitution’s Commerce Clause in upholding a federal ban on marijuana, showing the reach of that provision in the face of state laws allowing its use for medical reasons, said Peter Edelman, a constitutional law professor at the Georgetown University in Washington.

“Bottom line, I don’t think there is any substance to any of the arguments,” said Edelman, who was an assistant secretary at the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services during the administration of President Bill Clinton. “But you always have to put a small asterisk, given the current membership of the court.”

The cases are State of Florida v. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, 10-cv-00091, U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Florida (Pensacola); Commonwealth of Virginia v. Sebelius, 10cv00188, U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Virginia (Richmond).

To contact the reporters on this story: William McQuillen in Washington at bmcquillen@bloomberg.net and; Andrew Harris in Chicago at aharris16@bloomberg.net.

Last Updated: March 24, 2010 00:01 EDT

Stock Lobster

03/24/10 9:25 AM

#310057 RE: Tuff-Stuff #310024

fyi: TBT +2.92%, $48.41, ultrashort US treasuries, fwiw

Stock Lobster

03/24/10 10:49 AM

#310058 RE: Tuff-Stuff #310024

BL: Sales of New U.S. Homes Dropped to Lowest on Record (Update2)

By Bob Willis

March 24 (Bloomberg) -- Sales of new homes in the U.S. unexpectedly fell in February to a record low as blizzards, unemployment and foreclosures depressed the market.

Purchases decreased 2.2 percent to an annual pace of 308.000, figures from the Commerce Department showed today in Washington. The median sales price climbed by the most in more than two years.

The new-home market is vying with foreclosure-induced declines in prices for existing homes in an economy where unemployment is forecast to average 9.6 percent this year, close to a 26-year high. Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner yesterday said it would take a “long time” to repair the housing market as the administration takes steps to overhaul real-estate financing and regulation.

“Americans remain downbeat on the housing market,” said David Semmens, an economist at Standard Chartered Bank in New York, who forecast a 300,000 sales pace. “We expect the continuation of poor sales to lead to a resumption of downward price pressure.”

Sales were projected to climb to a 315,000 annual pace, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of 78 economists. Forecasts ranged from 275,000 to 343,000. The Commerce Department revised data to show a January sales pace of 315,000, up from the previously estimated 309,000. Records go back to 1963.

Regional Breakdown

The report showed purchases dropped in three of four U.S. regions last month, those most likely to have been influenced by the winter storms. Purchases fell 20 percent in the Northeast, 18 percent in the Midwest and 4.6 percent in the South, which includes the Washington area.

Demand climbed 21 percent in the West, pushing the year- over-year increase in that region up to 35 percent, the biggest 12-month jump since March 2004.

Another Commerce Department report showed orders for long- lasting goods rose in February for a third month, while inventories and backlogs climbed by the most in more than a year, indicating the manufacturing rebound will keep propelling the recovery.

The 0.5 percent increase in bookings for durable goods was in line with the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News and followed a 3.9 percent gain the prior month. Excluding transportation equipment, orders advanced 0.9 percent, more than anticipated.

Shares Fall

Stocks fell on growing concern government deficits will hurt the global economic recovery. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index decreased 0.3 percent to 1,171.18 at 10:28 a.m. in New York. Treasury securities also dropped, sending the yield on the benchmark 10-year note up to 3.75 percent from 3.69 percent late yesterday.

The report on home sales showed purchases dropped in three of four U.S. regions last month, those most likely to have been influenced by the winter storms. Purchases fell 20 percent in the Northeast, 18 percent in the Midwest and 4.6 percent in the South, which includes the Washington area.

Demand climbed 21 percent in the West, pushing the year- over-year increase in that region up to 35 percent, the biggest 12-month jump since March 2004.

The median price of a new home in the U.S. increased 5.2 percent to $220,500 in February from a year earlier. The advance was the largest since September 2007.

More Supply

The supply of homes at the current sales rate increased to 9.2 months’ worth, the highest since May, from 8.9 months in January.

Housing, the industry that triggered the worst recession in seven decades as the subprime mortgage market collapsed, showed signs of recovering in 2009 as an $8,000 first-time buyer tax credit boosted sales ahead of its originally scheduled expiration in November.

Extension of the credit for contracts signed by April and its expansion to include some current homeowners has failed to boost sales in recent months.

New-home purchases are considered a leading indicator because they are based on contract signings. Sales of previously owned homes, which make up the remainder, are compiled from closings and reflect contracts signed weeks or months earlier.

Sales of existing homes fell 0.6 percent in February to a 5.02 million rate, the lowest since June, and the inventory of unsold homes rose to its highest level in almost two years, the National Association of Realtors reported yesterday in Washington.

Prices, Foreclosures

Prices for existing home have dropped, due in part to foreclosures, which RealtyTrac Inc. forecasts will reach a record 3 million this year. Such sales draw buyers away from the market for new houses.

A lack of jobs is another hurdle to a housing recovery. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg in early March forecast the jobless rate this year will average 9.6 percent, near the 26- year high of 10.1 percent reached in October.

The end of Fed purchases of mortgage-backed securities, aimed at keeping borrowing costs low, represents another challenge for the industry. The program is scheduled to expire at the end of this month.

“Promoting and maintaining stability in the housing market is critical to achieving economic recovery and sustainable long- term growth,” Geithner said in testimony before Congress yesterday. The administration will develop a “comprehensive reform proposal” beginning later this year, he said.

To contact the report on this story: Bob Willis in Washington at bwillis@bloomberg.net

Last Updated: March 24, 2010 10:29 EDT