IMO: there will no settlement before or on 3/4.
The reason there is no pain for JPM...
$4 bil for us would be pain, not for JPM.
There would be pain for FDIC-receiver. They could use the
$4 bil. We need wait for the end of this dance and see what issues are leftover.
IMO: No settlement, I have stated before and I will state again. The $ 4bil is trival compared to takeover of solvent bank.
Happy to be wrong, but being realistic.
There would clearly be pain if above $4 bil for JPM.
Thats is what to look for.
Recall, JPM was willing to give back segregated acct monies.
(If this was European acct, that would be different.)