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rramirez82

01/08/10 1:17 PM

#134860 RE: thepennyguy #134858

I think your theory is a pretty realistic scenario and it might explain why the trustee insisted on the EC getting involved as quickly as it did - to ensure that our settlement is not peanuts, like JPM's first offer to Bear Stearns shareholders.


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rramirez82

01/08/10 1:54 PM

#134874 RE: thepennyguy #134858

While we're on the subject, I have a valuation question for anyone willing to provide meaningful feedback.

Up to now, we've based our settlement estimates on a lump sum settlement flowing down to commons - yielding a conservatively estimated $12+ recovery for the UQs. What can we gauge the commons to recover if thepennyguy's scenario plays out and the Ps and Ks are converted to JPM preferreds? What metrics can/would we use to estimate?