Snake,
Ok, here's what I think for MOASS (again, my OPINION):
-> I'm assuming that the float is gonna be somewhere between 100 to 150 million shares and that 660 million RME shares are in certificate form and not tradeable. That leads me to believe that the NSS position is somewhere between 200 to 300 million shares.
-> The numbers above is what I believe is out there, and what I'm basing my calculations from. I will not go over how I got to them, that has been discussed ad nauseum throughout the forum already. :)
-> If the float is truly 100 to 150 million, I believe it has already been locked up by the large investors. That being said, I think there's 2 scenarios for a short squeeze, as follows.
-> The first one is that it happens because of natural stock appreciation (company earnings increasing, gradual retirement of shares by the company, a steady influx of longs based on fundamentals, and NSS continuing to try and drive the price down, eventually giving up and covering their positions with no particular final timeframe required). This was my original timeframe, for which I was hoping on getting about $2 to $3 per share in about 2 years, and if fundamentals continued to do well, I'd consider selling a small part of my position at $2 or $3 a share and keep the majority of my holdings over time.
-> The second one is what everybody is hoping for -- heck, I like this one better myself :). If the company forces an accounting of all shares through dividend, symbol change, buyout, etc, we would have longs' positions at about 300 to 450 million shares (float + NSS position), of which 200 to 300 million would HAVE to be covered.
-> At this point, it becomes a matter of how many people are willing to hold on, and how many days the shorts have to cover before the event. If, for example, 100 million of those shares get covered at a range of, say, 0.10 to 0.50, only 100 to 200 million would be *REQUIRED* to cover their position now. The easier it is for the NSS shares to be covered, the less effect the MOASS has. However, the people that did the NSS would have to be competing with new longs as well, so it could get interesting.
-> The key factor will be Furth, Signature, BMAS, and those that hold the large positions. It has been stated by some of them on Yahoo that they wouldn't sell for anything less than $1, but we don't really know what the case may be until it actually happens. You have to figure that if they bought this at an avg price of 2.5 cents, they have put in over 10 million dollars into this. If you have that much invested, how much conviction do you have to wait until it becomes a 40 bagger? You'd have to be sure EVERY one of the large holders will NOT truly sell under $1; if one breaks, the rest may do it as well, and if they all just dump their shares at the same time, well, that kills the momentum right there.
-> Now, assuming every one of the large holders stay until $1 or more, I think it could be possible for the rest of us, if we can time it well, to get about $2 or $3. However, if the large holders *REALLY* play hardball, this could turn into another case like that other stock that someone posted a link to here, which went from 6 cents to 70 dollars (I don't remember how many hours/days it took for that to occur; if someone could post that link again, I'd appreciate it, since I don't remember what the stock symbol was). Personally, I'd be really happy with $10 to $20 myself, but again, I don't really know unless I have more details -- it may be that these figures are *completely* off because of something the company announces when the PR actually comes out.
-> Of course, this could get increased or decreased in magnitude depending on how long the company gives for this to happen. A PR saying that "We need all shares accounted for within a week" would not be anywhere as impressive (and fun) as "We need all shares accounted for by tomorrow". :)
News 
Market Data 
Discover 
