Replies to post #12 on Gnome of Zurich

[GnomeOfZurich]

Nice. WV is my team, or at least one of my teams. I don't bet on them or Notre Dame.

Good luck, I like those odds.

If you have an opinion about to bash or not to bash that is the question then come on down and post.

Thanks.

Just highlight the topic in the ibox and paste it in your post so I can see what your posting about.

[GnomeOfZurich]

Tough break on WV last night.

I still like the coach of WV, he has lots of good formations its just that the players couldn't produce. That flee flicker was the game ending touchdown. The missed FG. Not the coaches fault, the players lost the game for the coach. It's usually the other way around.

[GnomeOfZurich]

Risk / Return, College Football.

Risk and Return for college football betting. If I could I'd run a Monte Carlo Simulation on it.

To lower risk.

Dollar Team

10 - 4
10 - 4
10 - 4
10 - 4
10 - 4
10 - 4
10 - 4
10 - 4
10 - 4
10 - 4

What these numbers represent is the Dollar amount and team amount parlay.

You have 10 parlay of 4 teams betting 10$ for each.

You only have to win one to make your money back.

1 out of 10 = 100$
2 out of 10 = 200$
3 out of 10 = 300$
4 out of 10 = 400$
5 out of 10 = 500$
6 out of 10 = 600$

The more games you play the better chance you have for winning.

Here are other ways to look at it.

100$ for one game w/or w/o the spread is a 50/50 chance.
100$ for a 4 team parlay you have 10:1 odds
10$ for 10 seperate - 4 team parlay you have 100:10 odds

Depending on how you allocate your money and adjust the risk/return ratio, you can profit every week in college football.

Personally, I usually don't have the money when I bet, so I pick up to 6 teams after hours and hours of Analytical work, I can safely say that I've been 60% and better week after week.

Simple Monte Carlo Sim. using 3 calculations for Risk/Return. I do millions of calculations.
You bet on 6 single teams w/ or w/o spreads
Teams,$, Odds, Variable,Y,N
1 - 100 50/50 Y N Y
2 - 100 50/50 N Y Y
3 - 100 50/50 Y N N
4 - 100 50/50 Y Y Y
5 - 100 50/50 N Y Y
6 - 100 50/50 Y N N

4 out of 6 3 out of 6 4 out of 6

The chances or the odds are 50/50 for each game, so if you do your homework, you should be able to make 50/50 each week or 60%+.



I look at every aspect of making money, poker, betting, stock market, private investing.. Or whatever doesn't have odds, I'll make the odds and we will bet. A-ka-pee-tow .