InvestorsHub Logo
icon url

the big guy

08/18/08 10:25 PM

#17527 RE: Rawnoc #17526

Yes we agree on most of it. They are another software company, a vendor. I think software is one of the toughest businesses in the world to be in. Real hard to pick winners. Every vendor wants and talks about the Big Deal. Problem is, it is either that or nothing. I tend to look for things that are a little out of the ordinary or that have a killer competitive advantage. Industrials are much better/ more stable.

More on that later...

anyway, I just had to compare this with what else is out there now, and I just had to let it go. Part with my emotions and get it over with..

How can they do this with that much of investors money I wonder?.. of course i could be speaking to soon, it could all turn around when they get that Big Deal..

Mrs Fields.. aren't they the cookie guys? There is one in TOronto. THey make good cookies!!!
icon url

the big guy

08/19/08 10:35 PM

#17531 RE: Rawnoc #17526

On a more positive note, if you look at this stock as a technology stock, a vendor, it is unique in that there are very few vendors that can boast of having money-making enterprises (the restaurants) that double as marketing tools. There are 2 ways of looking at uWink, either as a restaurant chain with technology, or as a technology company with restaurants. The drivers for both are different.

The problem is that is trying to be both and really doing well at neither, and also not communicating it's strategy for success to shareholders in a way that can be readily understood. It is a kind of weird hybrid.

As a restaurant chain, they are top-heavy, expensive in terms of a franchise, and the best they can do is break-even in the short-and-medium term. The franchising agreement I have seen has nothing in it for them in terms of profit except a puny 4% Royalty, which I believe was designed for a much larger expansion to have any effect. And the SG&A is way too high, IMO. And I further believe they are not practicing any kind of cost control and looking realistically at the future.

As a technology vendor, they are in their early stages in terms of marketing their product. At least, there is nothing visible that tells me what they are doing. Most tech companies conceive of great ideas, put together a prototype, then sell it hard and struggle to deliver what they promised. uWink appears to have the goods, but is nowhere on marketing. There is no evidence of any revenue stream other than the restaurant chain. Lots of potential, that is not my point. Smart companies compromise and try to build relationships with major players (restaurant chains?)... with money.

Their product development, on the other hand, is well along. They should have something they can market successfully. Over the last 5-10 years they have invested something like 10 Million. So why aren't they more focussed on selling what they have?

Financially, they are structured more like a restaurant than a hitech company, just ridiculously top-heavy. The terms of the senior's deal (100K licensing fee) represent more the kind of revenue stream and deals they need. Hitech companies usually have kick-ass R&D budgets, whereas uWink has a small staff.

Anyway, I would like to calculate exactly there they will be in 3-4 months, but in looking at their burn rate, not good. If I had more of a sense of how they intend to leverage their restaurants or market their products, it may get interesting. Right now it appears as if hey will have a crisis very shortly. I can't see how they can avoid getting down to 500k in cash in another qtr, how can they keep going?

That could kill the stock price and makes the whole thing very risky. But, it could also represent a buying opportunity if a licensing deal or potential comes along. After all, they have revenue-generating restaurants that double as showrooms. They are just burning too much money.

I wonder to what extent the shareholders, especially those that partook in the 2007 offering, have the right to be angry for feeling that he misrepresented his intentions? After all, didn't uWink state that they intended to start a "chain" of restaurants (corporate and franchise)? They did not state that they wanted to build 3 "showcases", run a money-losing fat cat operation, and come to the brink of insolvency... did they???

All in all, quite an interesting and unique situation.
icon url

supadupa

08/19/08 11:43 PM

#17532 RE: Rawnoc #17526

No offense but if you are hoping on license deals for technology through this company I think you better look into the tech a bit more.
It's nothing special.
There are companies working on far superior products that would work in appliances, tabletops, bartops etc. Limitless possibilities with graphics that are far superior than the cheesy 16bit 2nd gen graphics they are using at uwink.

I'm not trying to bash but whenever I hear them trying to pump the technology, instead of the food/fun concept that's when I know this biz isn't working as they had planned.

Those that live in a big city and have visited decent 'cool fresh new' restaurants, know that this is a slight slight slight difference between what is already out there and what they have.

All I would hope for is that they have some SERIOUSLY fresh changes in place, that the current stores are just R&D for a soon to be booming biz.