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gold80302

07/01/08 1:40 PM

#3408 RE: cl001 #3406

TIV
Yes its a little disconcerting that the stock is dropping. The good news is the fundamentals justify a much higher price.
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farwest

07/01/08 2:20 PM

#3409 RE: cl001 #3406

TIV - $100MM cash flow? No way. They only have 25% net production. At 2000 boed gross, they are finally cash flow positive.

If they get to 3000 boed by year end, their net production is around 750 boed.

Assuming $90 netbacks, that's $25MM/yr cash flow. Slap a very generous 4x multiple and you get a company worth $100MM market cap.

Their financials are a mess.

At current prices, TIV is grossly over valued.