m,
I have to tell you I had the feeling we aren't on the same page or haven't been, which you have clearly debunked for me now.
It is very unlikely that a recovery like this will be short lived. My sense that rates would have to stay VERY low seems accurate so far. I have overestimated the growth rates, but also overestimated inflation. This is much better, a slow drawn out recovery. It hurts my longer term stock model though because of demographics