I'd tend to agree, especially if you take into the consideration the purchases. However, until the vail has been lifted, its all pure speculation. But at this point, I'm very glad I got in early on...lol
The way I see it, if I'm wrong I lose a modest amount of money, no big deal. However, if I'm right and things turn out to be on the up and up, then I make two years salary in a week's time...lol So in my opinion, its a worthwile gamble, which all these plays are. Some work, some don't.