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06/02/07 11:16 PM

#6152 RE: LGL8054 #6150

More equity hedge funds turn to shorting ETFs
Crowded trades and LBOs have made shorting stocks 'treacherous'
By Alistair Barr, MarketWatch
Last Update: 7:14 PM ET Jun 1, 2007


SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Some equity hedge funds have quit short selling stocks because the strategy is riskier in a rising market and has become too crowded to be profitable. Instead, more managers are shorting exchange-traded funds.
That's a problem, according to some experts, who argue that using ETFs to hedge equity portfolios is a poor substitute for the real thing. Others say the trend shows managers are adapting to a trying environment for short sellers.
Short selling involves borrowing a stock and then selling it. If the shares fall, the trader can buy them back at a lower price and return them to the lender at the original price. The difference is kept as profit.
The managers of equity hedges sell stocks short to protect their portfolios from stock-market declines and to help them generate "alpha" -- industry parlance for extra returns, above what's available from the market.
When stock markets rise, as they have been doing recently, short selling becomes more difficult. Short sellers tracked by Hedge Fund Research lost 7.42% through April this year. The Standard & Poor's 500 index was up roughly 5% during the first four months of 2007.
But some investors and managers say a rising stock market isn't the sole issue. The rapid growth of the hedge-fund industry and the leveraged-buyout boom are also making the practice of shorting stocks less attractive.
"The single-stock-shorting game has become absolutely treacherous," said Jeff Bernstein, co-founder and managing director of hedge fund Keel Capital Management LLC. "Because of the growth of hedge funds, there just aren't that many companies available to short now -- competition for shares to borrow has gotten intense." See related story on the difficulties of short selling.
Bernstein and colleagues shut down Keel at the end of February partly because of a lack of attractive short-sale opportunities. Without good short ideas, Keel often had to trim its long positions to keep the fund within its strict strategy parameters. See full story.
Keel also refrained from using ETFs to hedge its portfolio because that strategy can inflate losses when stock markets fall, Bernstein said. It can also be a duller tool, leaving managers betting against "good" companies that happen to be in an index alongside more troubled rivals, he added.
Shorting ETFs
Still, facing investment headwinds, an increasing number of equity hedge funds are shorting ETFs instead of single stocks. ETFs are indexed baskets of securities that, like shares, trade on exchanges throughout the day. They can be sold short or bought on margin, and many have listed options.
Given Keel's problems, Bernstein said that if he were starting a hedge fund today, he would "absolutely" give the vehicle more leeway and allow it to short ETFs.
ETF short interest has jumped 44% to $85 billion since the end of 2006, Paul Mazzilli of Morgan Stanley (MS : morgan stanley com new
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MS86.07, +1.03, +1.2%) wrote in a note to clients in late April.
There are eight ETFs with short interest greater than 100%, indicating more shares are being shorted than are outstanding, he reported. The greatest short interest is in ETFs that focus on regional banks, retailers, residential builders and real estate, according to Mazzilli's report.
The KBW Regional Banking ETF (KRE : KBW Regional Banking ETF
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KRE48.17, +0.59, +1.2%) , which tracks lenders such as Synovus Financial (SNV : Synovus Financial Corp
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SNV33.20, +0.14, +0.4%) , Chittenden Corp. (CHZ : Chittenden Corporation
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CHZ29.45, +0.29, +1.0%) and People's Bancorp (PFDC : Peoples Bancorp
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PFDC19.10, -0.40, -2.1%) , has short interest of 1,838%, the analyst noted.
The Retail Holdrs ETF (RTH : Retail HOLDRS
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RTH107.42, +1.43, +1.3%) , which tracks companies including Home Depot (HD : Home Depot, Inc
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HD39.21, +0.34, +0.9%) , Target (TGT : target corp com
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TGT63.67, +1.24, +2.0%) and Wal-Mart (WMT : Wal-Mart Stores, Inc
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WMT49.47, +1.87, +3.9%) , has short interest of 466.9%. The SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF, which holds shares of such companies as Lowe's (LOW : Lowe's Companies, Inc
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LOW32.66, -0.16, -0.5%) , Pulte Homes (PHM : pulte homes inc com
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PHM27.05, -0.24, -0.9%) and Meritage Homes (MTH : meritage homes corp com
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MTH34.46, -0.23, -0.7%) , has attracted short interest of 192%, Mazzilli reported.
ETFs are easier to short because they're not subject to the "uptick" rule, Mazzilli said. (The uptick rule on the New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq means that shares cannot be shorted unless their prices first rise.)
ETFs are traded more than some stocks, which also makes them easier to short, Mazzilli added.
Benefits
Increased shorting of ETFs by equity hedge funds shows that managers are adapting to a strong stock market that's fueled by leveraged buyouts, or LBOs, according to Cynthia Nicoll, chief executive of Tremont Capital Management, a fund-of-hedge-funds firm.
When a heavily shorted company is acquired, short sellers have to cover their positions by buying back stock and returning it to a borrower. That process can push shares even higher in what's known as a short squeeze.
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