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newmedman

03/13/24 3:07 PM

#466371 RE: B402 #466368

yeah sure, princess. Keep clutching those pearls..

arizona1

03/13/24 3:08 PM

#466372 RE: B402 #466368

Dems are losing credibility by the day...49% Independent now......

Why just democrats? It affects republicans the same. My husband and kids are all registered independent and they would NEVER vote MAGA. Once again, you make no point.

blackhawks

03/13/24 3:24 PM

#466378 RE: B402 #466368

So are you assuming most independents lean/vote GOP in presidential elections?

https://apnews.com/article/2022-midterm-elections-biden-angie-craig-2dfdaffd5b634a1bcf8eba73ea9980da

https://www.axios.com/2022/12/27/republicans-independent-voters-poll

Dec 27, 2022 -
Politics & Policy
New data: GOP's gap with independent voters

Interviews with midterm voters show Republicans continually underperform Democrats with one of the ripest targets in politics — independents who say they don't lean toward either party.

Why it matters: The interviews, by AP VoteCast (methodology), show a critical mass of moderates aren't thrilled with Democrats — but are resistant to a MAGA-fied GOP.

The data show Republicans have been stuck in the high 30s among independents in each of the past three elections.

These voters made up 12% of the electorate in 2018, 5% in 2020 and 8% in 2022.

20% of independents didn't vote for either party in 2022 (the missing votes in the chart above).

Between the lines: In November, independents didn't entirely blame Biden for the bad economy, even though they rated it poorly, AP reports.

Few independents said the economy is doing well — and about two-thirds disapproved of Biden's handling of it.
But independents were slightly more likely to say inflation is the result of factors outside Biden's control.

Reality check: That nuance was often missing from GOP messaging.



This is called negative partisanship, and it’s potent. It’s safe to say that the primary reason Joe Biden is president today is that the alternative was a second term for the deeply unpopular Donald Trump. For all of Trump’s complaints and questions about how Biden could have gotten 81 million votes, the answer is largely negative partisanship: People wanted to vote against Trump.