U.S. oil production is about 1.3 million/bbls/day
higher than one year ago...
Fuel demand has been stable since the
winter of 2020, covid year, with little
variance in winter demand...
In 2023, oil inventories rose on average
about 10 million barrels per week during
January and February...
Oil companies have been shedding other
oil inventories late in 2023 versus building
those to start 2023...
Implies that the lower oil price may hold
and they don't want to get stuck with
other oils inventory at too high of cost...
China economy isn't going to pick up
in the middle of winter...
So you don't want to buy to high on a
day when the oil price is dripping with
blood from a media high light...
Interest rates dropping in cold weather
won't move demand up either,
that demand increase still depends on
timing of warmer, fairer weather...
So we watch...LJ