Now you are putting words in my mouth that I haven't said.
You act as if the announcement that Anavex may submit an MAA to to the EMA is sort of advisory
Possibly a lawyers thing, but what I said was that Anavex haven't yet submitted a MAA. I do believe Anavex will and I said who knows when - you know that Anavex timing thing that likely won't hit the 1 to 2 months norm.
I said I want to see the MAA submitted and validated, which is a very good point for a Bayesian inference update of my chances - and yours. Then I want to see what the company Clock-stops needs to answer and how long that takes. Although, I am not sure we will necessary know what the CHMP review comments may be. Passing the first and second Clock-stops are two other events for updating the chances.
Meanwhile, you and others are of course free to operate with an as good as WGT mindset.