Look,how much worse can the Yankees be in 2024 than they were last year? If the pitching ticks up even a little bit, like Rodon is half the pitcher he was in 2022, well there's 10 games improvement right there.
With the hitting, I can't think of a single Yankees batter who had his best season, or even close to it, so with a 15% improvement in batting, add 10 more games to the W column.
Then there's addition by subtraction. Not relying on Hicks or Donaldson for all of 2024 adds 8 more wins.
Finally, your gritty new bench coach will school up Boonie, to the tune of a 9 game improvement.
This leaves the Yanks with a 2024 projected record of 125-37 (give or take).
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