Replies to post #140364 on Lightwave Logic Inc (LWLG)

[prototype_101]

LL, let's review the Shorts "situation",

1) there have been 2 takedowns to $4 and BOTH were on low volume, the Shorts could NOT get a volume capitulation!!!!

2) The fair value for IP and developments to-date BEFORE the mass commercialization begins should be close to $10 PPS currently

3) considering #1 and #2 above, the "juice is no longer worth the squeeze" for Shorts

4) the last few trading days I've noticed LWLG starting to outperform Nasdaq, there were 2 days with Nasdaq in RED and LWLG was in GREEN

5) with 21 million shares shorted there is no escape for all the Shorts so the smart ones will begin to try and sneak out without being noticed and the result will be what was described in #4 above

6) the Shorts Days to Cover at 54 Days is INSANE, markets are forward looking and even the Shorts know at this point that " it's REAL and it's HAPPENING", so if PPS begins to spiral upward as smarter Shorts try and sneak out it could get ugly fast for the stoopider Shorts playing a game of "musical shares"!!!

7) As I see it, if Shorts start to Cover it's "game on" and once that spigot gets started there will be NO stopping it!!! These are the scenarios I see

1) Covering BEFORE Licensing & Tech Transfers News would allow for
a) 10% to 20% of Shorts to profits
b) 10% to 20% of Shorts to break even
c) more than 50% of Shorts to lose

2) Covering AFTER Licensing & Tech Transfers News would allow for
a) 1% to 2% of Shorts to profits
b) 1% to 2% of Shorts to break even
c) more than 90% of Shorts to lose

Bottom line, I agree with what Dude said here,

I"m just going to say it - whoever is short this stock is screwed. Completely boned. There is no way to exit this position profitably any longer.

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[DanM51]

You anger the stock gods when you say "the PPS won't drop much lower than 4. which seems to be the bottom." Very bad karma.

[prototype_101]

LL, for Institutions to get more shares they are going to have to run this back up to the $20 to $30 range because time on the clock is running out before the veil lifts, Institutions got the bulk of their shares in the run to 20, but NOT because the Longs were giving up their shares, NOPE, it was MAINLY because they lured Shorts into becoming bagholders!!!

Current LWLG ownership is as follows >>
Retail__________ 94%
Institutions______ 24%
Shorts_________ (18%)
Total___________100%


Blackrock and Vanguard have about 7 million shares each with their averages closer to $10 per share, so I'm betting they will be doubling their holdings any time now at these prices

2023-02-09 13G VANGUARD GROUP INC 6,579,011
2023-02-03 13G BlackRock Inc. 7,232,043


https://fintel.io/so/us/lwlg

I also took a look at Poet and was surprised to see they had declining Institutional holdings each of the past 3 months, and not very high level overall really with around 650k shares total

This of course flies in the face of what Shorts keep telling you about the buying from Institutions being just willy nilly no thought whatsoever, Poet moved to the Nasdaq about a year ago too, they did a 1-10 reverse split to get there though, but the promise of management that by doing so they would get tons of support from Institutions has not materialized like it has for LWLG

https://fintel.io/so/us/poet

also take note of the analysis Xena provided here,

Strategy, IMO, was for some institutions to buy shares and loan them to shorts in order to manipulate the stock. Both stockholders and institutions knew the company was closing in on commercialization so stockholders wouldn't sell cheap and institutions were desperate to get a toehold.

THAT is why the price spiked.

It shows that institutions had to pay dearly for that first 1.5 million and participated in the run up.
The chart shows a surge of BUYING - not SELLING.

Quarterly institutional interest.

June 30, 2021 383,488 0.34% (ex 13D/G)
Sept. 30, 2021 1,572,492 - 1.39% 4x
Dec 31, 2021 10,650,274 - 9.44% 6.75x
March 30, 2022 16,023,079 - 14.20% 1.5x
June 30, 2022 25,953,669 - 23.00% 1.5x
Sept 30, 2022 26,398,135 - 23.39% 1.017x
(note that stock price went to 12 to get this small increase in September)

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