Well Mrmain...... I am also picking off more shares as I can. You said a mouthful here.
"Is it via GIA revenue growth in the EU, some sort of AG in the US, victory in court, a buyout, or something like Denner taking control? Maybe it's a new indication or trial result?"
I think it will happen in any (and all) of the scenarios you've listed..... it's more a matter of the speed at which it will happen. If we rely on GIA, then we plod along with receiving authorization and pricing along with getting prescriptions in the ROW. We are basically break even and the US scripts are funding everything at the moment. This is the slowest route to the $5 mark but I think it alone will get us there. I think an AG helps if it can be priced near V and get the same generic tier acceptance as everyone else. A victory in court would be huge catalyst sepending on what the victory induces. A buyout speaks for itself but I don't want that until the price gets above $5 anyway. Denner taking control sounds very appealing but we really don't know what he'll do. We can only speculate that it's very positive because he's in the business of making money off of these things. Any new indication or trial result is an "it depends".
The biggest challenge still is AMRN figuring out how to sell V in every region. They have to convince those that prescribe this medicine that it is life saving/changing for their patients.