Replies to post #37803 on The New CS Board

[baja6string]

The 200-dMA is falling so that 4000 area could turn out to be an important test for the rally. I'd be inclined to wait and see what happens at the 200-day, assuming the rally get's that far. I think the bottom is in, but there are enough issues to be concerned. In 1998 there was a 20% correction. The dot.com crash began 18 months later. Something similar is possible this time.

[nowwhat2]

CHINA is coming back on line !.....
Interest rates have PEAKED !
GLOBAL INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY OF A LIFETIME !
Don't you DARE miss the boat !
LoL



Tungsten !.......Aluminum !..........Copper !.........GOLD !
EVERYTHING'S going to go UP !


CURSES !!!!!!!!.........





AAPL / SPY



etc., etc.,.


Including :


O.M.G.

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[Oddlot]

$SPX the nominal 20week cycle still dominates, and we are in week14 implying nominal top early Jan2023. I use 43weeks or 216days. with halfcycle 108days. The price at which the MA108 slope will flip positive (smoothed) is approx 3975, and solid violation would generate target of 4400-4500. The Sentient Trader discord has several analyses combining multiple cycles and generating a top in approx 2nd week of December . I remain flat, awaiting trendline break as sign of 20week top. The widest channel would be based on slope of MA27, but others representing shorter cycles would be preferable in Dec as top is closer.