The 200-dMA is falling so that 4000 area could turn out to be an important test for the rally. I'd be inclined to wait and see what happens at the 200-day, assuming the rally get's that far. I think the bottom is in, but there are enough issues to be concerned. In 1998 there was a 20% correction. The dot.com crash began 18 months later. Something similar is possible this time.
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